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Waste Management Inc.: Q3 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 27 October 2025: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 2 lowered, 1 new, 5 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue up 14.9% to $6,443 million: Legacy revenue rose 3.7% to $5,815 million, and WM Healthcare Solutions added $628 million. Collection and Disposal core price was 6.0% and yield 3.8%. Source
  • Legacy adjusted EBITDA grew 8.7%: Adjusted operating EBITDA for the WM Legacy Business reached $1,860 million at a 32.0% margin. Total adjusted operating EBITDA was $1,970 million, a 30.6% margin. Source
  • Reported diluted EPS $1.49 versus $1.88: Reported diluted EPS was $1.49 against $1.88 a year earlier, and net income attributable to WM was $603 million against $760 million. Adjusted diluted EPS was $1.98 against $1.96. Source
  • Collection and Disposal margin was 37.5%: Collection and Disposal operating EBITDA margin was 37.5%, or 38.4% adjusted. The company attributed this to technology, asset network use, and price-cost spread. Source
  • Impairments and unusual items hit results: Three items totaled $208 million: a $152 million plastic film recycling impairment, a $45 million East Tier landfill impairment, and an $11 million contract termination payment. Source
  • Single stream recycled price down about 33%: Blended single stream price was about $68 per ton in the quarter against about $101 a year earlier. Source
  • Free cash flow up 13.5% year to date: Free cash flow for the first nine months was $2.11 billion, up 13.5%, driven by operating EBITDA growth. Source

“Our third quarter results highlight momentum in WM’s earnings growth and free cash flow conversion, which is driven by our strong operating platform, diverse and growing customer base, and expanding sustainability businesses,”

Jim Fish, WM’s CEO

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Adjusted operating EBITDA Sourcefull year 2025between $7.475 and $7.625 billionKept
Free cash flow Sourcefull year 2025between $2.8 and $2.9 billionKept
Total Company revenue Sourcefull year 2025approximately $25.275 billionLowered from between $25.275 and $25.475 billion
Adjusted operating EBITDA margin Sourcefull year 2025between 29.6% and 30.2%Raised from between 29.6% and 29.9%
Single stream recycled commodity price Source2025 averageapproximately $75 per tonLowered from $80 per ton
Net cash provided by operating activities Sourcefull year 2025$ 5,860 and $ 6,025 (in millions, scenarios 1 and 2)Kept
Capital expenditures to support the business Sourcefull year 2025(2,575) and (2,625) (in millions, scenarios 1 and 2)Kept
Capital expenditures, sustainability growth investments Sourcefull year 2025$600 and $650 (in millions, scenarios 1 and 2)Kept
Free cash flow Source2026approach $3.8 billionNew

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance lowered: Full-year total Company revenue expectation moved to approximately $25.275 billion, the low end of the prior range. Source
  • Guidance raised: Projected full-year adjusted operating EBITDA margin range raised to between 29.6% and 30.2%. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Expected 2025 average single stream commodity price reduced to approximately $75 per ton from $80 per ton. Source
  • Guidance kept: Full-year adjusted operating EBITDA range affirmed at between $7.475 and $7.625 billion. Source
  • Guidance kept: Full-year free cash flow range remained between $2.8 and $2.9 billion. Source
  • New guidance: First stated expectation for 2026 free cash flow, approaching $3.8 billion. Source
  • New: Decision to temporarily suspend operations of a plastic film and wrap recycling business, with a $152 million impairment. Source
  • New: Decision to accelerate closure of a landfill within the East Tier, with a $45 million impairment. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Revenue up 14.9% to $6,443 million: Legacy revenue rose 3.7% to $5,815 million, and WM Healthcare Solutions added $628 million. Collection and Disposal core price was 6.0% and yield 3.8%. Source
  • Legacy adjusted EBITDA grew 8.7%: Adjusted operating EBITDA for the WM Legacy Business reached $1,860 million at a 32.0% margin. Total adjusted operating EBITDA was $1,970 million, a 30.6% margin. Source
  • Reported diluted EPS $1.49 versus $1.88: Reported diluted EPS was $1.49 against $1.88 a year earlier, and net income attributable to WM was $603 million against $760 million. Adjusted diluted EPS was $1.98 against $1.96. Source

Segments and regions

  • Collection and Disposal margin was 37.5%: Collection and Disposal operating EBITDA margin was 37.5%, or 38.4% adjusted. The company attributed this to technology, asset network use, and price-cost spread. Source
  • Recycling and renewables EBITDA grew: Adjusted operating EBITDA rose in Recycling Processing and Sales and in WM Renewable Energy despite commodity price headwinds, according to the CEO. Source
  • Recycling revenue fell $60 million: Recycling Processing and Sales revenue declined $60 million because market prices for recycled commodities were lower. Source
  • Healthcare integration continued: Management said integration of WM Healthcare Solutions continued and that its services are being broadened for customers. Source

“Our Collection and Disposal business delivered record-setting margin this quarter, underscoring the strength of our industry-leading asset network”

Jim Fish, WM’s CEO

Products and customers

  • Collection and Disposal volumes up 0.2%: Volumes grew 0.2% on strong landfill and industrial collection volumes, partly offset by residential declines. Source
  • Lower-margin residential contracts exited: Residential collection volumes declined because the company exited lower-margin contracts, which the document describes as a strategic exit. Source

Costs, margins and pricing

  • Legacy operating costs at 59.0% of revenue: Legacy adjusted operating expenses fell to 59.0% of revenue from 60.6% a year earlier. Source
  • Legacy SG&A held near 9% of revenue: Legacy adjusted SG&A was 9.0% of revenue against 8.9% a year earlier. Management described it as an ongoing commitment to cost discipline. Source
  • Healthcare SG&A improved sequentially: WM Healthcare Solutions SG&A improved 270 basis points from the prior quarter, or 180 basis points adjusted, as sales and back-office processes were streamlined. Source
  • Impairments and unusual items hit results: Three items totaled $208 million: a $152 million plastic film recycling impairment, a $45 million East Tier landfill impairment, and an $11 million contract termination payment. Source
  • Adjusted tax rate eased to 21.9%: The adjusted effective tax rate was 21.9% in the third quarter of 2025, against 23.3% in the prior year quarter. Source

“Our disciplined approach to capital allocation remains unchanged, and we are committed to translating this performance into strong shareholder returns.”

Jim Fish, WM’s CEO

Demand and commodity markets

  • Single stream recycled price down about 33%: Blended single stream price was about $68 per ton in the quarter against about $101 a year earlier. Source
  • Natural gas and power prices rose: Natural gas averaged $2.46 per MMBtu against $1.80 a year earlier, and renewable electricity about $73 per MWh against about $60. Renewable Fuel Standard credits fell to $2.56 from $3.08. Source
  • Landfill depletion expense rose: Landfill depletion expense was $227 million against $203 million, which management attributed to higher volumes. Source

Capital, cash and returns to shareholders

  • Nine-month operating cash flow up 12%: Net cash provided by operating activities was $4.35 billion for the first nine months, up 12.0%, with growth from operating EBITDA and lower cash taxes. Source
  • Free cash flow up 13.5% year to date: Free cash flow for the first nine months was $2.11 billion, up 13.5%, driven by operating EBITDA growth. Source
  • Sustainability growth capital reduced: Sustainability growth investments were $429 million in the first nine months, against $571 million a year earlier, as the portfolio moved past peak construction. Source
  • Support capital spending rose: Capital expenditures to support the business were $1,910 million for the nine months against $1,545 million, including the addition of WM Healthcare Solutions. Source

Strategy and sustainability investment

  • Renewable natural gas projects at 10 of 20: Ten of the original 20 planned renewable natural gas facilities are now complete. Source
  • Recycling automation at 31 of 39: Thirty-one of the original 39 planned recycling automation and new market projects are complete. Source
  • Four growth projects began operating: Four projects began operations in the quarter: renewable natural gas plants in Texas and California, a Texas recycling facility, and a California recycling automation project. Source

People and integration

  • Driver retention improved: Management cited improved driver retention, with cost focus, among the benefits lowering legacy operating costs. Source
  • Healthcare integrated into 16 areas: Healthcare people and operations were brought into the management and operating structure of 16 geographic areas during the quarter. Source
  • Integration costs excluded from adjusted results: Stericycle acquisition and integration-related costs of $34 million were adjusted out of third quarter results, including severance, retention, and ERP system costs. Source

Risks management discussed

  • External: Further declines in recycled commodity pricing and lower Healthcare revenue expectations reduced the full-year revenue expectation. Source
  • Financial: Higher cash interest from debt funding of the Stericycle acquisition partly offset operating cash flow growth. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: Management stated confidence in achieving full-year earnings and free cash flow guidance. Source
  • On track: Management said the company remains on track to reach its targeted leverage ratio range by the middle of 2026. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.