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Warrior MET Coal, Inc.: Q1 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q1 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 30 April 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 10 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Record sales volume and net income: Sales volumes were a record 3.0 million short tons, driven mainly by Blue Creek coal. Net income was $72.3 million, or $1.37 per diluted share, against a loss a year earlier. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose 263 percent: Adjusted EBITDA reached $143.4 million, a 31.3% margin on revenue, against $39.5 million and 13.2% a year earlier. Management credited the Blue Creek ramp-up and slightly higher prices. Source
  • Average net selling price up 10 percent: The average net selling price was $149.39 per short ton, up from $135.79 a year earlier, a rise of about 10%. Source
  • Cash cost per ton down 14 percent: Cash cost of sales (FOB port) per short ton fell to $96.17 from $112.35, a reduction the company puts at 14%. Source
  • Operating cash flow was negative: Operating cash used was $11.7 million, against $10.9 million of cash generated a year earlier. Source
  • Free cash flow negative $91.9 million: Free cash flow was negative $91.9 million, against negative $68.4 million, reflecting final Blue Creek project spending and higher working capital from Blue Creek volumes. Source
  • Blue Creek construction completed: The final Blue Creek investment was $66.1 million, bringing total project spending to $1,022.9 million, which management said was in line with guidance. Source

“The first quarter marked a defining milestone for Warrior as we completed the final project spending for the development of our transformational Blue Creek mine”

Walt Scheller, CEO of Warrior

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Coal sales SourceFull year 202612.5 - 13.5 million short tonsKept
Coal production SourceFull year 202612.0 - 13.0 million short tonsKept
Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port) per short ton SourceFull year 2026$95 - $110 per short tonKept
Capital expenditures for sustaining existing mines SourceFull year 2026$105 - $115 millionKept
Capital expenditures for Blue Creek project SourceFull year 2026$50 - $75 millionKept
Depreciation and depletion SourceFull year 2026$225 - $250 millionKept
Selling, general and administrative expenses SourceFull year 2026$75 - $85 millionKept
Interest expense SourceFull year 2026$20 - $25 millionKept
Interest income SourceFull year 2026$3 - $8 millionKept
Longwall moves SourceFull year 2026four planned longwall moves (two in Q2, one in Q3, one in Q4)Kept
Blue Creek total project capital expendituresBlue Creek project, through completion$995 million to $1.075 billion

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance kept: Full-year 2026 guidance was reaffirmed; the release reports no change to the figures. Source
  • Ended: Management said construction capital expenditures for Blue Creek are now behind the company. Source

Volumes and profit growth

  • Record sales volume and net income: Sales volumes were a record 3.0 million short tons, driven mainly by Blue Creek coal. Net income was $72.3 million, or $1.37 per diluted share, against a loss a year earlier. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose 263 percent: Adjusted EBITDA reached $143.4 million, a 31.3% margin on revenue, against $39.5 million and 13.2% a year earlier. Management credited the Blue Creek ramp-up and slightly higher prices. Source
  • Production up 55 percent: Production reached 3.5 million short tons, up from 2.3 million. Inventory rose to 1.9 million short tons from 1.6 million at year-end. Source
  • Revenue rose to $458.6 million: Total revenues were $458.6 million against $299.9 million, reflecting the 38% volume increase combined with a higher average net selling price. Source
  • Pre-tax income and tax expense: Pre-tax income was $78.8 million. Income tax expense was $6.4 million, against a $6.0 million benefit on a $14.2 million pre-tax loss a year earlier. Source

Pricing and demand

  • Average net selling price up 10 percent: The average net selling price was $149.39 per short ton, up from $135.79 a year earlier, a rise of about 10%. Source
  • Realization fell on high-vol A mix: Gross realization was about 72% of the PLV index, against 83%. Management attributed the gap to a higher high-vol A sales mix sold into the Pacific Basin. Source
  • Second-tier price relativities stayed low: Management said second-tier price relativities to the PLV remained persistently low during the quarter. Source
  • China restrictions and India demand: Management said trade restrictions with China persist and global supply pressures pricing, especially High Vol A. It described India as the key growth demand driver. Source

“we have been successfully executing a strategy enabling us to optimize production and control costs”

Walt Scheller, CEO of Warrior

Costs and unit economics

  • Cash cost per ton down 14 percent: Cash cost of sales (FOB port) per short ton fell to $96.17 from $112.35, a reduction the company puts at 14%. Source
  • Blue Creek mix and 45X credit: Management attributed the lower unit cost mainly to the Blue Creek sales mix and a 45X credit, partly offset by higher steelmaking coal prices. Source
  • Depreciation and depletion increased: Depreciation and depletion was $52.3 million, or 11.4% of revenue, up from $45.3 million, due to Blue Creek assets placed in service and higher volumes. Source
  • SG&A rose on employee costs: Selling, general and administrative expenses were $28.2 million, or 6.1% of revenue, against $18.4 million, due to higher employee-related expenses. Source
  • Net interest turned to expense: Net interest expense was $584 thousand, against net interest income a year earlier, on lower cash balances and interest on new leased equipment. Source

Cash, liquidity and returns

  • Operating cash flow was negative: Operating cash used was $11.7 million, against $10.9 million of cash generated a year earlier. Source
  • Free cash flow negative $91.9 million: Free cash flow was negative $91.9 million, against negative $68.4 million, reflecting final Blue Creek project spending and higher working capital from Blue Creek volumes. Source
  • Working capital rose $145.8 million: Net working capital excluding cash rose $145.8 million from year-end, on higher receivables and inventories and lower accrued expenses. Source
  • Liquidity of $363.7 million: Total liquidity was $363.7 million: $202.6 million cash, $20.6 million short-term investments and $140.5 million ABL availability, down from $483.9 million at year-end. Source
  • Financing outflows and dividend: Financing used $28.1 million, mainly for taxes on net share settlement of equity awards. A $0.08 quarterly dividend was declared on April 20, 2026. Source

“Blue Creek is already making a meaningful contribution to our financial performance with its volumes a key driver of record sales volume during the first quarter”

Walt Scheller, CEO of Warrior

Blue Creek build-out and capital

  • Blue Creek construction completed: The final Blue Creek investment was $66.1 million, bringing total project spending to $1,022.9 million, which management said was in line with guidance. Source
  • Capital spending below last year: Capital expenditures and mine development were $57.4 million, against $77.8 million, including the $66.1 million of final Blue Creek spending. Source
  • Blue Creek drove sales growth: Management said the sales increase was driven primarily by Blue Creek steelmaking coal. Source

Strategy and management view

  • Strategy to optimize output and costs: Management said it has been executing a strategy to optimize production and control costs. Source
  • Lower cost base supports margins: Management said Blue Creek's lower cost structure is a critical foundation for expanding margins and driving free cash flow despite challenging market conditions. Source
  • Positioned with assets operational: Management said the assets are now fully operational and construction capital spending is behind the company. Source

Coming up, as management said on 30 April 2026

  • Dividend payment on May 7: The Board declared a $0.08 quarterly dividend, planned for payment on May 7, 2026 to holders of record on May 1, 2026. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Tons sold Source3.0 million short tons (3,002 thousand)
Tons produced Source3.5 million short tons (3,498 thousand)
Inventory Source1.9 million short tons at March 31, 2026
Cash cost of sales (FOB port) per short ton Source$96.17
Average net selling price per short ton Source$149.39
Realization as share of PLV index Source72%

Risks management discussed

  • External: Management cited the Middle East conflict as adding uncertainty and potential inflationary pressure to global markets. Source
  • Regulatory: Guidance is subject to global trade and tariff uncertainties, along with steel and steelmaking coal market conditions. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: Management said first-quarter sales and production were ahead of budget and on track with full-year guidance. Source
  • Ahead: Management said the Blue Creek project was delivered ahead of schedule and in line with capital expenditure guidance. Source
  • Not stated: The prior release expected remaining amounts to be spent by the end of Q1 2026; this release reports construction completed. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.