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Prologis, Inc.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 21 January 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 16 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Net earnings rose on property gains: Net earnings attributable to common stockholders were $1,398 million in the quarter, against $1,277 million a year earlier. Gains on other dispositions of real estate were $570 million. Twelve-month net earnings were $3,322 million, against $3,726 million. Source
  • U.S. holds most of NOI: U.S. holds 802 million square feet and 85% of NOI. Europe holds 255 million square feet and 9%, Other Americas 128 million and 5%, and Asia 115 million and 1%. The portfolio totals about 1.3 billion square feet in 20 countries. Source
  • Leases commenced fell in quarter: Operating Portfolio leases commenced totaled 42.3 million square feet in the fourth quarter, against 62.4 million in the third quarter and 43.0 million a year earlier. Source
  • Consolidated debt below September level: Consolidated debt was $35.0 billion at December 31, against $35.3 billion at September 30 and $30.9 billion a year earlier. Source
  • Development starts of $1.1 billion: Development starts were $1,111 million TEI in the fourth quarter, with 5.2 million square feet owned and managed and 49.6% leased at start. Full-year starts were $3,124 million TEI. Source

“Net Promote Income (Expense) in 2025 is negative due to expense from the amortization of stock compensation issued to employees related to promote income recognized in prior periods.”

Prologis, Inc., press release

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Net earnings attributable to common stockholders, per diluted share Source2026$3.70 low, $4.00 highNew
Core FFO attributable to common stockholders/unitholders, per diluted share Source2026$6.00 low, $6.20 highNew
Core FFO excluding Net Promote Income (Expense), per diluted share Source2026$6.05 low, $6.25 highNew
Average occupancy, Prologis Share Source202694.75% low, 95.75% highNew
Same store NOI, cash, Prologis Share Source20265.75% low, 6.75% highNew
Same store NOI, net effective, Prologis Share Source20264.25% low, 5.25% highNew
Strategic capital revenue, excluding promote revenue Source2026$650 million low, $670 million highNew
Net Promote Income (Expense) Source2026$(50) million, low and highNew
General and administrative expenses Source2026$500 million low, $520 million highNew
Realized development gains Source2026$400 million low, $600 million highNew
Development stabilizations, Prologis Share and owned and managed Source2026Prologis Share $2,250 million to $2,750 million; owned and managed $2,500 million to $3,000 millionNew
Development starts, Prologis Share and owned and managed Source2026Prologis Share $3,000 million to $4,000 million; owned and managed $4,000 million to $5,000 millionNew
Acquisitions, Prologis Share and owned and managed Source2026Prologis Share $1,000 million to $1,500 million; owned and managed $2,000 million to $3,000 millionNew
Dispositions, Prologis Share and owned and managed Source2026Prologis Share $1,750 million to $2,250 million; owned and managed $2,500 million to $3,000 millionNew
Contributions, Prologis Share and owned and managed Source2026Prologis Share $1,500 million to $2,000 million; owned and managed $2,500 million to $3,000 millionNew
Exchange rate assumptions for capital deployment and other metrics Source2026EUR 1.18 ($/€), GBP 1.35 ($/£), JPY 156.67 (¥/$)New

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: Full-year 2026 guidance was issued for net earnings, Core FFO, operations and capital deployment, replacing the 2025 guidance given with the third quarter release. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Net earnings rose on property gains: Net earnings attributable to common stockholders were $1,398 million in the quarter, against $1,277 million a year earlier. Gains on other dispositions of real estate were $570 million. Twelve-month net earnings were $3,322 million, against $3,726 million. Source
  • Diluted earnings per share rose: Diluted net earnings per share were $1.49 for the quarter, against $1.37 a year earlier. Twelve-month diluted net earnings per share were $3.56, against $4.01. Source
  • Realized development gains declined: Realized development gains, net of taxes, were $0.18 per diluted share in the quarter, against $0.29. For the year they were $0.23, against $0.45. Source
  • Stabilization value creation fell: Estimated value creation from development stabilizations, Prologis Share, was $95 million in the quarter against $298 million. For the twelve months it was $568 million against $773 million. Source

Segments and regions

  • U.S. holds most of NOI: U.S. holds 802 million square feet and 85% of NOI. Europe holds 255 million square feet and 9%, Other Americas 128 million and 5%, and Asia 115 million and 1%. The portfolio totals about 1.3 billion square feet in 20 countries. Source
  • Southern California is largest market: Southern California has 556 buildings, 106.8 million square feet on a Prologis Share basis, and 13.8% of Prologis Share NOI of the operating portfolio. Source

“We manage our business and compensate our executives based on the same store results of our Owned and Managed portfolio at 100% as we manage our portfolio on an ownership blind basis.”

Prologis, Inc., press release

Products and customers

  • Customer base of about 6,500: The company leases to about 6,500 customers across business-to-business and retail/online fulfillment. It owned or had investments in 5,882 buildings at December 31, 2025. Source
  • Remaining lease term 3.9 years: Weighted average remaining lease term on owned and managed net effective rent was 3.9 years, against 4.1 years at September 30, 2025. Source
  • Solar and storage capacity: The operating solar and energy storage portfolio totals 389 MW with gross book value of $616.9 million. A further 320 MW is under development, and total installed capacity is 1,110 MW. Source

Costs and margins

  • G&A expense increased: General and administrative expense was $137 million in the quarter, against $103 million. For 2025 it was $469 million, against $419 million. Source
  • Capital expenditures slightly lower: Total capital expenditures owned and managed were $429 million in the quarter, against $438 million a year earlier. The Prologis Share figure was $296 million, against $304 million. Source

Demand and leasing activity

  • Leases commenced fell in quarter: Operating Portfolio leases commenced totaled 42.3 million square feet in the fourth quarter, against 62.4 million in the third quarter and 43.0 million a year earlier. Source
  • Renewals outweighed new leases: Renewals totaled 27.6 million square feet and new leases 14.7 million in the fourth quarter. Renewals were 42.7 million square feet in the third quarter. Source
  • Average lease term lengthened: Weighted average term of leases started was 61 months in the fourth quarter, against 59 months in the third quarter and 64 months a year earlier. Source
  • 2026 expiries largely re-signed: Signed leases that were due to expire in 2026 total 67 million square feet of owned and managed space. They are excluded from 2026 expirations and shown in their new expiry year. Source

Capital, cash and shareholder returns

  • Dividends per share were $1.01: Dividends and distributions per common share were $1.01 for the quarter, against $0.96 a year earlier. For 2025 they were $4.04, against $3.84. Source
  • Distributions totaled $968 million: Common stock dividends and limited partnership unit distributions totaled $968 million in the quarter, against $917 million a year earlier, and $3,866 million for 2025. Source
  • Consolidated debt below September level: Consolidated debt was $35.0 billion at December 31, against $35.3 billion at September 30 and $30.9 billion a year earlier. Source

Development, land and acquisitions

  • Development starts of $1.1 billion: Development starts were $1,111 million TEI in the fourth quarter, with 5.2 million square feet owned and managed and 49.6% leased at start. Full-year starts were $3,124 million TEI. Source
  • Stabilizations delivered in quarter: Development stabilizations totaled $577 million TEI in the fourth quarter, with 2.2 million square feet and a 6.4% estimated weighted average stabilized yield. Full-year stabilizations were $2,402 million TEI. Source
  • Land build-out estimate rose: Estimated TEI build out of the land portfolio is $26.3 billion owned and managed, against $26.0 billion at September 30. Total build out including covered land plays and other land is $42.6 billion. Source
  • Third-party acquisitions for the year: Twelve-month third-party acquisitions totaled $1,710 million Prologis Share, of which $375 million was acquisitions of other real estate investments. Source
  • Dispositions and contributions for the year: Twelve-month dispositions and contributions totaled $2,170 million Prologis Share, including $414 million of dispositions of other real estate investments. Source

Strategic capital and ventures

  • Fee related earnings for quarter: Fee Related Earnings were $65 million for the quarter and $273 million annualized. Source
  • Net promote expense in period: Net promote expense was $12 million in the quarter and $49 million over the trailing twelve months. Source
  • Assets under management reported: Gross AUM was $230 billion, Prologis Share AUM $162 billion and market equity $121 billion at the reporting date. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Core FFO per diluted share Source$1.44 for the quarter; $5.81 for the twelve months
AFFO attributable to common stockholders/unitholders Source$1,152 million for the quarter; $4,335 million for the twelve months
Average occupancy, owned and managed Source95.7% in the fourth quarter
Same store NOI, cash, Prologis Share Source5.7% change over prior year
Same store NOI, net effective, Prologis Share Source4.7% change over prior year
Rent change, net effective, Prologis Share Source43.8% trailing four quarters
Rent change, cash, Prologis Share Source27.3% trailing four quarters
Third-party acquisitions, Prologis Share Source$517 million for the quarter
Dispositions and contributions, Prologis Share Source$1,885 million for the quarter
Debt to Adjusted EBITDA Source5.3x; 5.4x excluding development gains

Risks management discussed

  • Demand: Owned and managed leases expiring in 2026 cover 169,160 thousand square feet and 11.3% of net effective rent. Source
  • External: Currency exposure to the euro, sterling and yen is addressed by hedging the majority of estimated 2026 Core FFO in those currencies. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: The third quarter release gave 2025 Core FFO per diluted share guidance of $5.78 to $5.81. The fourth quarter release does not state performance against it.
  • Not stated: The third quarter release said Core FFO was further adjusted to exclude $0.05 of net promote expense. The fourth quarter release does not restate the status of this adjustment.

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.