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NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.: Q3 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 5 November 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 2 lowered, 1 new, 11 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Diluted EPS fell to $0.50: Diluted GAAP EPS was $0.50 against $0.62 a year earlier; adjusted non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.58 against $0.79. Net income was $30.7 million versus $38.2 million. Source
  • Colstrip interests drove the decline: Management attributed the lower result mainly to a $6.1 million net loss on the added Colstrip Units 3 and 4 interests, plus higher depreciation and interest expense. Source
  • Utility margin rose 5.5 percent: Electric utility margin rose $14.8 million to $277.4 million and natural gas rose $1.7 million to $39.1 million, giving total utility margin of $316.5 million. Source
  • Generation maintenance was largest increase: Electric generation maintenance rose $10.5 million, including $7.2 million tied to the Puget Interests and $4.3 million tied to the Avista Interests. Source
  • Avista costs not covered by prices: Pacific Northwest power prices on the designated contracts under the interim PCCAM waiver were too low to cover Avista Interests operating costs in the quarter and nine months. Source
  • Montana approval is last step: Approvals from FERC, Nebraska and South Dakota are in hand; a Montana hearing was held in May, and the company awaits the final order. Source

“The third quarter was a busy and productive one for NorthWestern”

President and CEO Brian Bird

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Non-GAAP diluted EPS Source2026 full year$3.68 to $3.83 per diluted shareKept
Long-term diluted EPS growth SourceLong term, from 2024 baseline4% to 6%Kept
Rate base growth SourceLong term, from 2024 base year4% to 6% from approximately $5.4 billionKept
Capital investment plan Source2026-2030$3.2 billionKept
2026 capital plan Source2026$683 millionKept
Effective income tax rate Source2026approximately 14 percent to 18 percentKept
Diluted average shares outstanding Source2026approximately 61.8 millionKept
Dividend payout ratio SourceLong term, standalone60% to 70%Kept
Data center energy service requirement SourceBeginning late 202775 megawattsLowered from 150 megawatts
Data center load growth SourceBy 2030up to approximately 1,250 megawatts or moreLowered from up to approximately 1,500 megawatts or more
Hub City Energy Park project cost SourceProject to meet capacity needs by 2030approximately $470.0 millionRaised from approximately $300.0 million
Puget Interests incremental operating costs SourceAnnual$30.0 millionKept
Avista Interests incremental operating costs SourceAnnualapproximately $18.0 millionKept
North Plains Connector stake SourceConstruction 2028; operational 2032300 megawatts (10 percent)Kept
South Dakota PIRP revenue request SourceJuly 2026 through June 2027approximately $11.8 millionNew

What changed from last quarter

  • New: Merger share conversion ratio stated: each NorthWestern share converts into 0.98 Black Hills shares if the merger completes before the record date. Source
  • New: NW Corp revolving credit facility capacity was increased through the accordion feature, from $425.0 million to $500.0 million. Source
  • Ended: The development agreement with Sabey Data Centers, previously disclosed, has been terminated. Source

Results and earnings drivers

  • Diluted EPS fell to $0.50: Diluted GAAP EPS was $0.50 against $0.62 a year earlier; adjusted non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.58 against $0.79. Net income was $30.7 million versus $38.2 million. Source
  • Colstrip interests drove the decline: Management attributed the lower result mainly to a $6.1 million net loss on the added Colstrip Units 3 and 4 interests, plus higher depreciation and interest expense. Source
  • Supply costs and volumes partly offset: Lower non-recoverable Montana electric supply costs, higher retail volumes, higher transmission revenue and lower merger costs partly offset the decline, according to the company. Source
  • Adjusted EPS excludes Avista costs: The adjusted figure adds back $0.05 per share of Avista Interests costs, where Pacific Northwest power prices did not cover operating expenses; merger costs and a weather item also adjusted. Source

Electric and gas segments

  • Utility margin rose 5.5 percent: Electric utility margin rose $14.8 million to $277.4 million and natural gas rose $1.7 million to $39.1 million, giving total utility margin of $316.5 million. Source
  • Puget interests added electric margin: Electric margin from the Puget Interests was the largest single item adding to net-income-affecting utility margin, ahead of non-recoverable Montana supply costs. Source
  • Electric volumes rose on weather and growth: Electric retail volumes were helped by favorable weather and customer growth in every jurisdiction, adding $1.5 million of margin. Source
  • Gas volumes mixed by state weather: Gas volumes gained from favorable Montana weather and customer growth, partly offset by unfavorable weather in South Dakota and Nebraska. Source

“Although the costs associated with our incremental ownership in Colstrip have created a temporary earnings headwind, this strategic decision helps ensure reliable energy for our customers and support economic development in Montana.”

President and CEO Brian Bird

Customers and large-load demand

  • Serves about 850,300 customers: The company provides electricity or natural gas to approximately 850,300 customers across Montana, South Dakota, Nebraska and Yellowstone National Park. Source
  • Atlas and Quantica agreements advance: The company is working with Atlas and Quantica on electric service agreements; the resources and regulatory mechanisms for these requests are still under evaluation. Source
  • Large New Load rule still in discovery: The Large New Load tariff application covers loads of five megawatts or greater; discovery has started and the MPSC has not set settlement or hearing dates. Source

Operating costs and interest

  • Operating expenses rose 10.1 percent: Operating expenses excluding fuel rose $22.2 million to $241.9 million, a 10.1 percent increase, while administrative and general expense fell $7.2 million. Source
  • Generation maintenance was largest increase: Electric generation maintenance rose $10.5 million, including $7.2 million tied to the Puget Interests and $4.3 million tied to the Avista Interests. Source
  • Merger costs lower than prior year: Merger-related costs were $3.2 million in the quarter and $9.9 million for nine months, recorded in administrative and general expenses; the quarter comparison was $7.6 million. Source
  • Depreciation and interest costs rose: Depreciation and depletion rose to $67.0 million and property and other taxes to $50.5 million; interest expense rose to $42.2 million from $38.4 million. Source

“we are excited about the prospect of completing our merger with Black Hills and beginning the next chapter for our combined company”

President and CEO Brian Bird

Margins, tax and rate mechanisms

  • Gross margin fell 10.2 percent: Gross margin, which is after operating and depreciation costs, fell to $114.1 million from $127.0 million, mainly on negative Colstrip margin and depreciation. Source
  • Avista costs not covered by prices: Pacific Northwest power prices on the designated contracts under the interim PCCAM waiver were too low to cover Avista Interests operating costs in the quarter and nine months. Source
  • PCCAM sharing suspended on interim basis: The 90/10 PCCAM cost-sharing mechanism remains suspended on an interim basis pending MPSC review; the prior-year quarter carried a $2.3 million pre-tax decrease. Source
  • Effective tax rate fell to 13.2%: The effective tax rate was 13.2 percent against 18.7 percent, with flow-through repairs deductions and production tax credits as the main reconciling items. Source

Capital, liquidity and financing

  • Net liquidity rose to $349.5 million: Total net liquidity was about $349.5 million at quarter end, up from $262.2 million a year earlier, including $6.5 million of cash and $343.0 million of revolver availability. Source
  • Revolver expansions kept terms: Both revolving facilities were enlarged through accordion features, and those actions left maturity dates and borrowing rates unchanged. Source
  • Bond repaid at maturity: NWE Public Service repaid $45.0 million of 2.66 percent South Dakota First Mortgage Bonds at maturity on September 30, 2026. Source
  • Equity issuance planned from 2027: Equity issuance is expected from 2027 to fund South Dakota generation; other capital spending is funded by operating cash flow, credit, debt and future rate increases. Source

Merger, generation and transmission projects

  • Montana approval is last step: Approvals from FERC, Nebraska and South Dakota are in hand; a Montana hearing was held in May, and the company awaits the final order. Source
  • Combined company named Bright Horizon: The merger with Black Hills is an all-stock merger of equals, with the resulting parent to be named Bright Horizon Energy Corporation. Source
  • Hub City gas plant advances: Hub City Energy Park was submitted under SPP's expedited study; $42.6 million of non-refundable turbine milestone payments is recorded in other noncurrent assets. Source
  • SPP needs more accredited capacity: SPP updated its resource accreditation and planning reserve margin rules over reliability concerns, and is requiring more accredited capacity by 2030. Source
  • North Plains Connector investment conditional: The company holds a nonbinding MOU for a share of the NPC Consortium; it will decide on investment once permits and regulatory approvals are in place. Source
  • Southwest Montana corridor letter of intent: A nonbinding letter of intent with Grid United covers continued transmission development through the southwest corridor of Montana. Source

Regulatory and legal matters

  • Montana rate order under reconsideration: The company asked the MPSC to reconsider its prudence conclusions on Yellowstone County Generating Station costs and to set a July 1, 2025 effective date for the PCCAM suspension. Source
  • Earlier disallowance charge recorded: The MPSC disallowed part of the YCGS capital costs, and the company recorded a non-cash regulatory disallowance charge in the fourth quarter of 2025. Source
  • South Dakota rider request pending: The company's annual Phase In Rate Plan Rider filing seeks recovery for Aberdeen Generating Station, certain nuclear study costs and Hub City; it remains pending before the SDPUC. Source
  • South Dakota wildfire liability law: Senate Bill 36, signed in March 2026, limits strict liability claims and sets a statutory standard of care, with a rebuttable presumption for valid mitigation plans. Source
  • Puget rate appeal at Ninth Circuit: Two MPSC commissioners, acting individually, appealed the FERC decision on the Puget Interests cost-based rates; the company has intervened in the case. Source

Dividend and shareholder returns

  • Quarterly dividend of $0.67: The board declared $0.67 per share, against $0.66 a year earlier; nine-month dividends declared were $2.01 per share against $1.98. Source
  • Record and payment dates revised: The board changed the dividend record and payment dates to reflect the merger agreement's dividend coordination provisions. Source
  • Payout target applies to standalone: The 60% to 70% payout target reflects NorthWestern on a standalone basis only, through completion of the pending Black Hills merger. Source

Coming up, as management said on 5 November 2026

  • Montana commission to consider merger: The Montana Public Service Commission is expected to consider the merger before November 12, 2026. Source
  • Merger expected to close by year-end: The company anticipates the transaction closing by year-end 2026, subject to satisfying or waiving certain closing conditions. Source
  • Dividend payable December 1 if merger later: If the merger completes after the November 17, 2026 record date, the NorthWestern dividend of $0.67 per share is payable December 1, 2026. Source
  • PCCAM suspension resolution expected 2027: Resolution of the PCCAM cost-sharing suspension will be handled in a separate docket, with resolution expected in the first half of 2027. Source
  • Ninth Circuit abeyance runs to December: The Ninth Circuit granted FERC's motion to hold the Puget rate appeal in abeyance until December 11, 2026. Source
  • Investor earnings webinar November 5: The company will host an investor earnings webinar on November 5, 2026 at 11:00 a.m. Eastern time to review the quarter. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Rate base growth Source4% to 6% from approximately $5.4 billion 2024 base
EPS growth target Source4% to 6% from $3.40 2024 baseline
Capital plan Source$3.2 billion for 2026-2030; $683 million for 2026
Customer growth Sourceapproximately 850,300 customers
Load growth Sourcedata center requirement of 75 MW from late 2027; up to approximately 1,250 MW by 2030
Rate case SourcePIRP revenue request of approximately $11.8 million for July 2026 to June 2027

Risks management discussed

  • Regulatory: Interim approval of the Avista PCCAM waiver leaves final approval or denial, and so cost recovery, to a later decision in the PCCAM docket. Source
  • Regulatory: Any further MPSC changes to its December 2025 final order, as sought in the reconsideration motion, would be reflected in company results. Source
  • Demand: Resources and regulatory mechanisms for serving data center requests are still under evaluation, so the timing and scope of that load depend on those decisions. Source
  • Financial: Operating costs of the Colstrip interests are borne from January 1, 2026, and are not collected through base rates until a future Montana rate review. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Met: The company acquired the Avista and Puget interests in Colstrip Units 3 and 4 as previously agreed, completing both on January 1, 2026. Source
  • Met: The company had expected to file its wildfire mitigation plan with the SDPUC in the third quarter of 2026 and filed it in July 2026. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.