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NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.: Q1 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q1 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 30 April 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 1 lowered, 11 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Net income and EPS declined year over year: The company reported first quarter net income of $63.5 million, or $1.03 per diluted share, against $76.9 million, or $1.25, in the same quarter of 2025. Adjusted non-GAAP EPS was $1.31, against $1.22. Source
  • Utility margin rose 7.2 percent: Utility margin was $352.0 million, up $23.6 million or 7.2 percent. Electric utility margin rose 12.0 percent to $271.8 million; natural gas fell 6.4 percent to $80.2 million. Source
  • Operating expenses rose 16.7 percent: Operating expenses excluding fuel were $237.8 million, up $34.1 million or 16.7 percent from $203.7 million. Operating and maintenance rose $17.8 million to $74.5 million. Source
  • Avista costs not covered by waiver: Pacific Northwest power prices under the PCCAM waiver contracts were too low in the quarter to recover operating costs for the Avista Interests, estimated at about $18.0 million a year. Source
  • Data center load from late 2027: Combined data center energy service requirement is now 150 megawatts from late 2027, with growth to about 1,500 megawatts or more by 2030. Source
  • Montana rate order reconsideration pending: The company filed a motion for reconsideration in January 2026 on the YCGS capital cost prudence and the PCCAM suspension effective date, requesting July 1, 2025. Source
  • Montana and South Dakota intervenor settlements: Settlements reached in April 2026 with key intervenors in Montana and South Dakota are subject to approval by the MPSC and SDPUC, respectively. Source

“The first quarter included several important developments across our regulatory and strategic priorities,”

Brian Bird, President and CEO

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
2026 diluted EPS (non-GAAP) Source2026$3.68 to $3.83 per diluted shareKept
Long-term diluted EPS growth SourceLong term, from 2024 baseline4% to 6%Kept
Capital investment plan Source2026-2030$3.2 billionKept
Capital plan, 2026 year Source2026$683 millionKept
Rate base growth Source2026-2030 capital plan, from 2024 base4% to 6%Kept
Effective income tax rate Source2026approximately 14 percent to 18 percentKept
Diluted average shares outstanding Source2026approximately 61.7 millionKept
Equity issuance timing SourceFrom 2027beginning in 2027Kept
Dividend payout ratio SourceLong term60-70%Kept
Quarterly dividend per share SourcePayable June 30, 2026$0.67 per shareKept
Data center energy service requirement SourceBeginning late 2027150 megawattsLowered from 175 megawatts
Data center load growth SourceBy 2030up to approximately 1,500 megawatts or moreRaised from 1,100 megawatts or more
Aberdeen gas generation project cost SourceProject to meet 2030 capacity needsapproximately $300.0 million; 131 MWKept

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance kept: The 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance range was affirmed, not revised, relative to the February 2026 initiation. Source
  • New: South Dakota Senate Bill 36, covering wildfire liability, was signed into law in March 2026. Source
  • New: The company filed a Large New Load tariff rule with the MPSC in March 2026, covering loads of five megawatts or greater. Source
  • New: A development agreement with Quantica Infrastructure was signed in April 2026, moving from the July 2025 letter of intent to an executed agreement. Source
  • New: FERC approved cost-based rates and contract rates for the Puget Colstrip interests in February 2026, retroactive to January 1, 2026. Source
  • Guidance lowered: The 2027 data center energy service requirement was reduced from 175 megawatts to 150 megawatts. Source
  • Guidance raised: The projected data center growth by 2030 was raised from 1,100 megawatts or more to up to approximately 1,500 megawatts or more. Source

Quarterly results and drivers

  • Net income and EPS declined year over year: The company reported first quarter net income of $63.5 million, or $1.03 per diluted share, against $76.9 million, or $1.25, in the same quarter of 2025. Adjusted non-GAAP EPS was $1.31, against $1.22. Source
  • Volumes and costs drove the decrease: Management said the decrease was primarily due to retail volumes, operating, administrative and general costs including merger costs, Colstrip interests, depreciation and interest expense. Source
  • Effective tax rate rose: The effective tax rate was 17.9 percent for the quarter, compared with 16.5 percent a year earlier. Income tax expense was $13.8 million, against $15.2 million. Source

Utility margin and rates

  • Utility margin rose 7.2 percent: Utility margin was $352.0 million, up $23.6 million or 7.2 percent. Electric utility margin rose 12.0 percent to $271.8 million; natural gas fell 6.4 percent to $80.2 million. Source
  • Gross margin declined 3.5 percent: Gross margin was $160.3 million, down $5.9 million or 3.5 percent from $166.2 million, with the decrease attributed to retail volumes, operating expenses and depreciation. Source
  • New rates offset part of decline: New rates added $23.7 million of base rate revenue to utility margin, and transmission revenue added $2.2 million. Lower non-recoverable Montana supply costs added $2.0 million. Source

“Together, these milestones meaningfully advance us toward a targeted second‑half 2026 closing of the transaction.”

Brian Bird, President and CEO

Operating costs and expenses

  • Operating expenses rose 16.7 percent: Operating expenses excluding fuel were $237.8 million, up $34.1 million or 16.7 percent from $203.7 million. Operating and maintenance rose $17.8 million to $74.5 million. Source
  • Generation maintenance added $10.1 million: Electric generation maintenance rose $10.1 million, including $6.4 million tied to the Puget Interests and $3.9 million tied to the Avista Interests. Source
  • Merger costs booked in administrative expense: The company incurred $3.4 million of merger-related costs in the quarter, recorded in administrative and general expenses. Source
  • Depreciation and property taxes increased: Depreciation and depletion rose to $66.8 million from $62.4 million, and property and other taxes rose to $50.4 million from $43.2 million. Source
  • Interest expense rose $3.4 million: Interest expense was $39.9 million, up from $36.5 million, due to higher borrowings and rates, partly offset by higher capitalized AFUDC. Source

Colstrip interests and supply costs

  • Puget Colstrip interests raise ownership: The Puget acquisition on January 1, 2026 raised the company's Colstrip Units 3 and 4 ownership to 55 percent, adding 370 megawatts of capacity. Source
  • Avista costs not covered by waiver: Pacific Northwest power prices under the PCCAM waiver contracts were too low in the quarter to recover operating costs for the Avista Interests, estimated at about $18.0 million a year. Source
  • Puget capacity sales expected to offset costs: A contract to sell Puget Interests capacity from January 2026 through late 2027 is expected to largely offset estimated annual operating costs of $30.0 million. Source
  • PCCAM cost sharing suspended from February: The 90/10 PCCAM cost sharing was suspended temporarily from February 1, 2026. The company recorded a $0.7 million pre-tax decrease for January 2026 cost variance. Source

“Looking ahead, we remain committed to maintaining a dividend payout ratio within our targeted range of 60-70% over the long term.”

NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc., press release

Demand, weather and large loads

  • Weather reduced retail volumes: Electric retail volumes reduced utility margin by $12.2 million and natural gas retail volumes by $6.2 million. Customer growth and Energy West acquisition partly offset, adding $3.2 million for gas. Source
  • Data center load from late 2027: Combined data center energy service requirement is now 150 megawatts from late 2027, with growth to about 1,500 megawatts or more by 2030. Source
  • Sabey and Atlas agreements in place: The company has signed development agreements with Sabey Data Centers and Atlas Power Holdings for Montana data centers, and is working toward electric service agreements with each. Source

Regulatory and legislative developments

  • Montana rate order reconsideration pending: The company filed a motion for reconsideration in January 2026 on the YCGS capital cost prudence and the PCCAM suspension effective date, requesting July 1, 2025. Source
  • Interim PCCAM waiver approved: In January 2026 the MPSC approved the PCCAM tariff waiver on an interim basis, with final approval or denial subject to the ongoing PCCAM docket. Source
  • FERC rehearing request on Puget rates: Two MPSC commissioners, acting individually, asked FERC for rehearing of the Puget rate approval. The company expects a ruling in the second quarter of 2026. Source
  • South Dakota wildfire liability standards set: The South Dakota law precludes common law strict liability claims for utility-caused wildfire damages and creates a rebuttable presumption for a current mitigation plan. Source

Merger with Black Hills

  • Shareholders approved merger in April: Shareholders of both companies approved the merger in April 2026, and the Hart-Scott-Rodino waiting period expired, permitting consummation of the transaction. Source
  • Montana and South Dakota intervenor settlements: Settlements reached in April 2026 with key intervenors in Montana and South Dakota are subject to approval by the MPSC and SDPUC, respectively. Source
  • Nebraska settlement awaiting commission approval: A March 2026 settlement with the Nebraska Public Advocate is subject to NPSC approval. A hearing with the NPSC was held in April 2026. Source
  • Combined company name selected: The resulting parent company of the combined group will be named Bright Horizon Energy. Source

Capital, financing and dividend

  • Capital plan funded by several sources: Capital expenditures are to be funded through operating cash flows, available credit, debt issuances and future rate increases, with equity from 2027 for South Dakota generation. Source
  • Net liquidity lower than a year ago: Total net liquidity at March 31, 2026 was about $230.9 million, including $5.9 million of cash and $225.0 million of revolver availability, against $630.0 million a year earlier. Source
  • South Dakota bonds priced at 5.51 percent: NWE Public Service priced $150.0 million of South Dakota first mortgage bonds at 5.51 percent due 2036, with $60.0 million of 2.80 percent bonds to be redeemed. Source
  • Quarterly dividend held at $0.67: The company declared a $0.67 per share quarterly dividend and reiterated a long-term payout ratio target of 60 to 70 percent. Source

Generation and transmission projects

  • Aberdeen gas plant submitted to SPP: A 131 MW natural gas facility in Aberdeen, South Dakota was submitted to SPP's Expedited Resource Adequacy Study program to meet 2030 capacity needs, at anticipated cost of about $300.0 million. Source
  • North Plains Connector investment decision deferred: The company holds a nonbinding MOU for 10 percent (300 megawatts) of the North Plains Connector. Investment is decided after approvals and permits; construction is planned for 2028. Source
  • Southwest Montana corridor letter of intent: A nonbinding letter of intent with Grid United covers continued transmission development through the southwest corridor of Montana. Source

Coming up, as management said on 30 April 2026

  • Merger closing targeted second half 2026: The transaction is anticipated to close in the second half of 2026, subject to satisfaction or waiver of closing conditions. Source
  • Montana and South Dakota hearings in Q2: Hearings before the MPSC and SDPUC on the intervenor settlements are scheduled for the second quarter of 2026. Source
  • FERC ruling on rehearing motion: The company anticipates a FERC ruling on the rehearing motion concerning the Puget interests in the second quarter of 2026. Source
  • South Dakota bond sale closing June 15: The company expects to complete the issuance and sale of the $150.0 million South Dakota first mortgage bonds on June 15, 2026. Source
  • South Dakota wildfire mitigation plan filing: The company anticipates filing its wildfire mitigation plan with the SDPUC in the second half of 2026. Source
  • North Plains Connector construction timing: Construction of the North Plains Connector is planned to start in 2028, subject to approvals, with operation expected by 2032. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Rate cases Source$23.7 million base-rate contribution to Q1 utility margin
Rate base growth Source4% to 6% from a 2024 base of approximately $5.4 billion
Capital plan Source$3.2 billion for 2026-2030; record $683 million for 2026
Customer growth Sourcecited as a driver of retail volumes; no rate given
Load growth Sourceelectric retail volumes reduced utility margin by $12.2 million
EPS growth target Source4% to 6% long-term diluted EPS growth on a $3.40 2024 adjusted baseline

Risks management discussed

  • Regulatory: If FERC grants the rehearing motion on the Puget interest rate proceedings, those proceedings could be reopened in whole or in part. Source
  • Demand: Electric retail volumes in the quarter were reduced by unfavorable weather, partly offset by customer growth. Source
  • External: Pacific Northwest power prices in the quarter were too low to recover operating costs of the Avista Interests under the waiver contracts. Source
  • Regulatory: Colstrip operating costs from January 1, 2026 are not collected through base rates until requested in a future Montana rate review. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Met: The company stated it had entered agreements for the Colstrip interests and completed the acquisitions on January 1, 2026, as previously disclosed. Source
  • Met: The company filed the Large New Load tariff rule application with the MPSC in March 2026, within the first half timeframe it had given. Source
  • Met: Shareholders approved the merger and the Hart-Scott-Rodino waiting period expired, steps the company had planned ahead of closing. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.