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Moodys Corp.: Q1 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q1 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 22 April 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 8 raised, 4 lowered, 4 new, 26 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue rose 8%, 6% organic: MCO revenue was $2,079 million, up 8% from $1,924 million; on an organic constant currency basis growth was 6%. Source
  • Adjusted diluted EPS rose 13%: Diluted EPS was $3.73, up 8% from $3.46; adjusted diluted EPS was $4.33, up 13% from $3.83. Source
  • Adjusted operating margin reached 53.2%: Operating margin was 44.3%, up 30 bps from 44.0%; adjusted operating margin rose 150 bps to 53.2% from 51.7%. Source
  • MIS revenue hit a record: MIS revenue was $1,153 million, up 8%, the highest quarter on record; foreign currency added 2 points. Source
  • Record first-quarter investment grade issuance: Investment grade issuance was a record for a first quarter, with several jumbo deals; Investment Grade revenue rose 33% and transaction revenue rose 32%. Source
  • $1.7 billion returned in quarter: The company returned about $1.7 billion to shareholders: $1.5 billion in share repurchases and $185 million in dividends. Source
  • Moody’s Analytics CEO change: Christina Kosmowski was named CEO of Moody’s Analytics, effective June 2026. Source

“MIS achieved record revenues of $1.2 billion on over $2 trillion in rated issuance and delivered an adjusted operating margin of 67%.”

Rob Fauber, President and Chief Executive Officer, Moody’s Corporation

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
MCO revenue growth SourceFull year 2026Increase in the high-single-digit percent rangeKept
Operating expenses SourceFull year 2026Increase in the mid-single-digit percent rangeKept
Operating margin SourceFull year 2026Approximately 45%Lowered from 45% to 46%
Adjusted operating margin SourceFull year 202652% to 53%Kept
Interest expense, net SourceFull year 2026$220 to $240 millionRaised from $210 to $230 million
Non-operating (expense)/income SourceFull year 2026$70 to $90 millionRaised from ($180 to $200 million)
Effective tax rate SourceFull year 202623% to 25%Kept
Diluted EPS SourceFull year 2026$16.00 to $16.60Raised from $15.00 to $15.60
Adjusted diluted EPS SourceFull year 2026$16.40 to $17.00Kept
Operating cash flow SourceFull year 2026$3.25 to $3.45 billionKept
Free cash flow SourceFull year 2026$2.8 to $3.0 billionKept
Share repurchases SourceFull year 2026Approximately $2.5 billionRaised from Approximately $2.0 billion
Capital expenditures SourceFull year 2026Approximately $450 millionKept
Incremental capital expenditures for office relocations SourceFull year 2026Approximately $100 millionKept
MA revenue growth SourceFull year 2026Increase in the mid-single-digit percent rangeKept
MA organic constant currency revenue growth SourceFull year 2026Increase in the high-single-digit percent rangeKept
MA ARR growth SourceFull year 2026Increase in the high-single-digit percent rangeKept
MA adjusted operating margin SourceFull year 202634% to 35%Kept
MIS revenue growth SourceFull year 2026Increase in the high-single-digit percent rangeKept
MIS adjusted operating margin SourceFull year 2026Approximately 65%Kept
Depreciation and amortization (operating margin reconciling item) SourceFull year 2026Approximately 6%Kept
Restructuring (operating margin reconciling item) SourceFull year 2026Approximately 1%Kept
International non-income tax reserve (operating margin reconciling item) SourceFull year 2026Approximately 0.5%New
Acquisition-related intangible amortization (per diluted share) SourceFull year 2026Approximately $0.90Kept
Restructuring (per diluted share) SourceFull year 2026Approximately $0.40Kept
International non-income tax reserve (per diluted share) SourceFull year 2026Approximately $0.25New
Duplicative rent, New York headquarters (per diluted share) SourceFull year 2026Approximately $0.10Kept
Gain on divestiture (per diluted share) SourceFull year 2026Approximately ($1.25)New
Operating growth before adjusted items (operating expense drivers) SourceFull year 20262.5 to 3.5%New
MA inorganic revenue from acquisitions and divestitures SourceFull year 2026Approximately 4%Raised from Approximately 2%
FX impact on MA revenue SourceFull year 2026Approximately (0.5)%Raised from Approximately (1%)
U.S. GDP growth (assumption) Source20261.5% to 2.5%Kept
Euro area GDP growth (assumption) Source20261.0% to 2.0%Kept
Global GDP growth (assumption) Source20262.0% to 3.0%Kept
U.S. inflation (assumption) Source20262.0% to 3.0%Kept
Euro area inflation (assumption) Source2026Above 2.0%Raised from Around 2.0%
U.S. unemployment (assumption) Source20264.0% to 5.0%Kept
Global speculative-grade default rate (assumption) SourceYear-end 2026Around 3% by year-endRaised from Below 3% by year-end
U.S. high yield spreads (assumption) SourceNext 12 monthsAround 460 bpsLowered from Around 470 bps
Global MIS rated issuance (assumption) SourceFull year 2026Increase in the low-single-digit percent rangeKept
GBP/USD exchange rate (assumption) SourceRemainder of 2026$1.32 for the remainder of the yearLowered from $1.35 for the full year
EUR/USD exchange rate (assumption) SourceRemainder of 2026$1.15 for the remainder of the yearLowered from $1.17 for the full year

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Share repurchase guidance was raised to approximately $2.5 billion from approximately $2.0 billion. Source
  • Guidance raised: Diluted EPS guidance moved to $16.00 to $16.60 from $15.00 to $15.60. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Operating margin guidance moved to approximately 45% from 45% to 46%. Source
  • Guidance raised: Net interest expense guidance moved to $220 to $240 million from $210 to $230 million. Source
  • Guidance raised: Non-operating line moved to income of $70 to $90 million from expense of $180 to $200 million, including an expected divestiture gain. Source
  • New guidance: Guidance now includes a gain on divestiture of approximately $1.25 per diluted share. Source
  • New guidance: Guidance now includes an international non-income tax reserve of approximately $0.25 per diluted share. Source
  • New: Current guidance includes the pending divestiture of the MA Regulatory Solutions business, expected to close in the second quarter of 2026. Source
  • New: Christina Kosmowski was named CEO of Moody’s Analytics, effective June 2026. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Revenue rose 8%, 6% organic: MCO revenue was $2,079 million, up 8% from $1,924 million; on an organic constant currency basis growth was 6%. Source
  • Adjusted diluted EPS rose 13%: Diluted EPS was $3.73, up 8% from $3.46; adjusted diluted EPS was $4.33, up 13% from $3.83. Source
  • Operating cash flow up 24%: Operating cash flow was $939 million, up 24%, and free cash flow was $844 million, up 26%, driven mainly by higher operating income in both segments. Source
  • Adjusted operating margin reached 53.2%: Operating margin was 44.3%, up 30 bps from 44.0%; adjusted operating margin rose 150 bps to 53.2% from 51.7%. Source

Segments and regions

  • MA revenue up 8%, 6% organic: MA revenue was $926 million, up 8%; foreign currency added 3 points, leaving organic constant currency growth of 6%. Source
  • Recurring share rose, transactional fell: MA recurring revenue rose 11% (7% organic constant currency) to 98% of MA revenue; transactional revenue fell 54%, reflecting the Learning Solutions divestiture and the shift to subscriptions. Source
  • MA ARR grew 8%, led by Decision Solutions: MA ARR was $3.6 billion at March 31, 2026, up 8%, with Decision Solutions up 10%. Source
  • MIS revenue hit a record: MIS revenue was $1,153 million, up 8%, the highest quarter on record; foreign currency added 2 points. Source

“MA continued its growth momentum with 8% ARR 3 growth and 250 basis points of adjusted operating margin expansion.”

Rob Fauber, President and Chief Executive Officer, Moody’s Corporation

Products and customers

  • KYC and Insurance revenue grew: Within Decision Solutions, KYC revenue rose 17% and Insurance rose 11% as reported, while Banking revenue fell 6%. Source
  • Research and Data lines grew: Research and Insights revenue rose 8% (6% organic constant currency) and Data and Information revenue rose 10% (5% organic constant currency). Source
  • ARR by Decision Solutions line: ARR at March 31, 2026 was $422 million for Banking (up 10%), $706 million for Insurance (up 7%) and $473 million for KYC (up 13%). Source

Costs and segment margins

  • Operating expenses up 7%: Operating expenses grew 7%: 3 points came from a reserve for an international non-income tax obligation and 2 points from unfavorable currency translation. Source
  • MA margin up 250 bps: MA adjusted operating margin was 32.5%, up 250 bps, which the company attributes to revenue growth and cost and efficiency initiatives. Source
  • MIS margin up 70 bps: MIS adjusted operating margin was 66.7%, up 70 bps, reflecting the operating leverage of the business. Source
  • Currency had little margin effect: Foreign currency translation had an immaterial impact on MCO’s operating and adjusted operating margins. Source

“As AI adoption accelerates, it is driving demand for Moody’s decision-grade connected intelligence in high-stakes environments.”

Rob Fauber, President and Chief Executive Officer, Moody’s Corporation

Demand and rated issuance

  • Record first-quarter investment grade issuance: Investment grade issuance was a record for a first quarter, with several jumbo deals; Investment Grade revenue rose 33% and transaction revenue rose 32%. Source
  • Infrastructure Finance second-highest issuance: Infrastructure Finance posted its top quarter since 2020, with second-highest quarterly issuance tied to infrastructure funding needs and AI and data-center activity. Source
  • Leveraged loan revenue declined: Leveraged loan revenue fell 13%, reflecting a more cautious market late in the quarter and lower repricing activity. Source
  • Financial Institutions growth from banking: Financial Institutions revenue grew 2%, driven by recurring revenue from Banking issuers and by Private Credit activity. Source

Capital, cash and shareholder returns

  • $1.7 billion returned in quarter: The company returned about $1.7 billion to shareholders: $1.5 billion in share repurchases and $185 million in dividends. Source
  • Quarterly dividend stayed at $1.03: The board declared a regular quarterly dividend of $1.03 per share on April 20, 2026, the same rate declared in February. Source
  • Cash balance fell in quarter: Cash and cash equivalents were $1,469 million at March 31, 2026, down from $2,384 million at December 31, 2025. Source
  • Debt and equity balances moved: Long-term debt was $6,387 million, with $576 million classed as current; Moody’s shareholders’ equity was $2,994 million, down from $4,054 million. Source

Tax and non-operating items

  • Effective tax rate rose to 24.0%: The effective tax rate was 24.0%, up from 22.3%, mainly on lower excess tax benefits from stock-based compensation. Source
  • Non-operating expense widened: Total non-operating expense was $52 million against $42 million a year earlier, with net interest expense of $66 million against $61 million. Source
  • Pre-tax reserve totalled $53 million: The reserve, including related interest and penalties, was $53 million pre-tax; the company excludes it from adjusted measures. Source

Strategy and leadership

  • AI adoption seen driving demand: The company said AI adoption is driving demand for decision-grade connected intelligence in high-stakes environments. Source
  • Regulatory Solutions excluded from ARR: ARR excludes contracts tied to the MA Regulatory Solutions business, given the pending divestiture and its expected closing date. Source
  • Moody’s Analytics CEO change: Christina Kosmowski was named CEO of Moody’s Analytics, effective June 2026. Source

Coming up, as management said on 22 April 2026

  • Regulatory Solutions sale expected to close: The MA Regulatory Solutions divestiture is expected to close in the second quarter of 2026. Source
  • Dividend payable June 5, 2026: The $1.03 dividend is payable June 5, 2026, to holders of record at the close of business on May 15, 2026. Source
  • Moody’s Analytics CEO takes office: Christina Kosmowski becomes CEO of Moody’s Analytics in June 2026. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Rated issuance volume growth, total MIS Source6%
Rated issuance volume growth, Corporate Finance Source9%

Risks management discussed

  • Demand: Leveraged loan revenue declined as the market turned more cautious late in the quarter. Source
  • External: Management assumes rate-cut expectations are pushed out, with a possible rate hike if conflict extends and spurs inflation. Source
  • Regulatory: A reserve for an international non-income tax obligation was recorded in the quarter, adding 3 points to operating expense growth. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: Management reaffirmed the full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance and Adjusted Diluted EPS range. Source
  • Not stated: The divestiture is still expected to close in the second quarter, and the guidance includes its expected impact. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.