greeksoup/ stock research

Grand Canyon Education, Inc.: Q3 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 4 November 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 12 lowered, 1 new, 2 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Service revenue rose 2.4% in quarter: Service revenue was $267.3 million, up $6.2 million or 2.4%, mainly on university partner enrollments up 5.2% to 145,270. Source
  • Operating income rose to $51.5 million: Operating income was $51.5 million against $18.0 million, a 19.3% margin against 6.9%. The 2025 quarter included a $35.0 million litigation settlement. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA down 3.2% in quarter: Adjusted EBITDA was $73.5 million against $75.9 million. For nine months it rose 5.0% to $257.5 million from $245.3 million. Source
  • Partner enrollments up 5.2%: University partner enrollments were 145,270, up 5.2% from 138,073. GCU enrollments were 139,170, up 5.1% over the prior year. Source
  • ABSN sites lift per-student revenue: Accelerated Bachelor of Science in Nursing (ABSN) students at off-campus sites generate significantly higher revenue per student than under the GCU agreement, given higher revenue shares and tuition rates. Source
  • Unrestricted cash and investments fell: Unrestricted cash and investments were $162.1 million at September 30, 2026, down $137.9 million from $300.1 million at December 31, 2025. Source
  • Q4 revenue and margin guided lower: Fourth-quarter service revenue of $320.5 million to $321.5 million and operating margin of 36.0% to 36.2%, against $324.0 million to $329.0 million and 36.9% to 37.4% in the prior release. Source
  • Full-year EPS guided to $9.81 to $9.85: Full-year diluted EPS of $9.81 to $9.85 and adjusted diluted EPS of $10.09 to $10.13, against $9.93 to $10.07 and $10.18 to $10.32 previously. Source

“Our liquidity position, as measured by cash and cash equivalents and investments decreased by $137.9 million between December 31, 2025 and September 30, 2026”

Grand Canyon Education, Inc., press release

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Service revenue SourceQ4 2026$320.5 million to $321.5 millionLowered from $324.0 million to $329.0 million
Operating margin SourceQ4 202636.0% to 36.2%Lowered from 36.9% to 37.4%
Effective tax rate SourceQ4 202623.0%Lowered from 23.2%
Diluted EPS SourceQ4 2026$3.57 to $3.61Lowered from $3.69 to $3.79
Diluted shares SourceQ4 202625.3 millionLowered from 25.4 million
Adjusted diluted EPS (non-GAAP) SourceQ4 2026$3.63 to $3.67Lowered from $3.75 to $3.85
Amortization of intangibles, net of tax SourceQ4 2026$1.6 million, $0.06 impact on diluted EPSKept
Service revenue SourceFull year 2026$1,160.7 million to $1,161.7 millionLowered from $1,165.3 million to $1,172.3 million
Operating margin SourceFull year 202627.6% to 27.7%Lowered from 28.0% to 28.2%
Effective tax rate SourceFull year 202623.0%Lowered from 23.2%
Diluted EPS SourceFull year 2026$9.81 to $9.85Lowered from $9.93 to $10.07
Diluted shares SourceFull year 202626.0 millionLowered from 26.1 million
Adjusted diluted EPS (non-GAAP) SourceFull year 2026$10.09 to $10.13Lowered from $10.18 to $10.32
Amortization of intangibles, net of tax SourceFull year 2026$6.5 millionKept
Non-recurring costs, net of tax SourceFull year 2026$0.8 millionNew
Amortization impact on diluted EPS SourceFull year 2026$0.28 per diluted shareRaised from $0.25 per diluted share

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance lowered: Fourth-quarter 2026 guidance lowered on service revenue, operating margin, tax rate, diluted EPS, share count and adjusted EPS versus the prior release. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Full-year 2026 guidance lowered on service revenue, operating margin, tax rate, diluted EPS, share count and adjusted EPS versus the prior release. Source
  • New: Release contact changed to Lori Browning, Interim Chief Financial Officer; the prior release named Daniel E. Bachus, Chief Financial Officer. Source
  • New: Board approved a $355.0 million increase to the repurchase program on October 28, 2026, bringing aggregate authorization since inception to $2.9 billion. Source
  • New: GCU revenue for the quarter was earned under the Amended MSA on tuition and academic-related fees only; the prior-year quarter was under the Original MSA. Source
  • New: Non-GAAP net income and diluted EPS now also exclude non-recurring costs, litigation settlement, lease termination, impairment, other and severance items; the prior release excluded only amortization and fixed asset disposal losses. Source

Quarter and nine-month results

  • Service revenue rose 2.4% in quarter: Service revenue was $267.3 million, up $6.2 million or 2.4%, mainly on university partner enrollments up 5.2% to 145,270. Source
  • Operating income rose to $51.5 million: Operating income was $51.5 million against $18.0 million, a 19.3% margin against 6.9%. The 2025 quarter included a $35.0 million litigation settlement. Source
  • Diluted EPS $1.67 against $0.58: Net income was $43.0 million against $16.3 million. As adjusted diluted EPS was $1.77 against $1.78 in the 2025 quarter. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA down 3.2% in quarter: Adjusted EBITDA was $73.5 million against $75.9 million. For nine months it rose 5.0% to $257.5 million from $245.3 million. Source
  • Nine-month service revenue and operating income grew: Nine-month service revenue was $840.2 million, up 5.3%, and operating income was $205.1 million, up 29.9%, with margin of 24.4% against 19.8%. Source

Enrollment growth and mix

  • Partner enrollments up 5.2%: University partner enrollments were 145,270, up 5.2% from 138,073. GCU enrollments were 139,170, up 5.1% over the prior year. Source
  • Online enrollments up, mix shifting: GCU online enrollments were 115,520, up 7.1%. Management described a continued mix shift toward students with slightly lower net tuition rates. Source
  • GCU ground enrollment down 4.1%: GCU ground enrollments were 23,650, down 4.1% from 24,671 a year earlier, with the Fall start date shifting revenue into the fourth quarter. Source
  • Off-campus enrollment up 12.6%: Off-campus classroom and laboratory enrollments were 7,780, up 12.6%, or 14.1% excluding closed or teach-out sites. Total sites were 48 at quarter end. Source

“The increase in income tax expense is due to the increase in income before taxes due to the litigation settlement in the third quarter of 2025, partially offset by a lower effective tax rate.”

Grand Canyon Education, Inc., press release

Revenue per student and GCU agreement

  • Revenue per student slightly lower: Revenue per student decreased slightly on six fewer days of ground traditional revenue, a $7.5 million shift from the third quarter into the fourth quarter. Source
  • Nine-month revenue per student flat: Nine-month GCU revenue combines six months under the Original MSA, which included ancillary fees, with the third quarter under the Amended MSA. Revenue per student was flat. Source
  • ABSN sites lift per-student revenue: Accelerated Bachelor of Science in Nursing (ABSN) students at off-campus sites generate significantly higher revenue per student than under the GCU agreement, given higher revenue shares and tuition rates. Source

Costs, margins and tax

  • Margin excluding items was 20.5%: Operating income excluding amortization, non-recurring costs and fixed asset disposals was $54.7 million, a 20.5% margin for the quarter. Source
  • 2025 comparison excluded settlement items: The 2025 quarter comparison excluded litigation settlement, lease termination, impairment, other and severance items, giving operating income of $58.2 million and a 22.3% margin. Source
  • Quarter tax rate fell to 20.0%: Effective tax rate was 20.0% against 24.9%, with $5.0 million of contributions in lieu of state income taxes in both quarters. Tax expense was $10.7 million against $5.4 million. Source
  • Nine-month tax rate roughly flat: Nine-month effective tax rate was 22.9% against 23.0%. Excess tax benefits on share awards fell to $1.4 million from $2.7 million. Source

“Revenue per student slightly decreased between years primarily due to six fewer days of revenue for ground traditional students”

Grand Canyon Education, Inc., press release

Cash, capital and share repurchases

  • Unrestricted cash and investments fell: Unrestricted cash and investments were $162.1 million at September 30, 2026, down $137.9 million from $300.1 million at December 31, 2025. Source
  • Nine-month buybacks reached $278.3 million: Share repurchases and withheld shares totalled $278.3 million in nine months, against $164.7 million. Operating cash flow was $171.6 million for the period. Source
  • Shares outstanding at November 2: Shares outstanding were 25,510,517 at November 2, 2026, compared with 25,726 thousand at September 30, 2026. Source
  • Repurchase plan carries no obligation: Remaining authorization was $394.5 million at November 2, 2026. The plan may be suspended or discontinued at any time and does not require a set purchase amount. Source

Fourth quarter and full-year guidance

  • Q4 revenue and margin guided lower: Fourth-quarter service revenue of $320.5 million to $321.5 million and operating margin of 36.0% to 36.2%, against $324.0 million to $329.0 million and 36.9% to 37.4% in the prior release. Source
  • Full-year EPS guided to $9.81 to $9.85: Full-year diluted EPS of $9.81 to $9.85 and adjusted diluted EPS of $10.09 to $10.13, against $9.93 to $10.07 and $10.18 to $10.32 previously. Source
  • Full-year revenue guided lower: Full-year service revenue of $1,160.7 million to $1,161.7 million and operating margin of 27.6% to 27.7%, against $1,165.3 million to $1,172.3 million and 28.0% to 28.2%. Source
  • Tax rate and share count guided lower: Effective tax rate guided at 23.0% for fourth quarter and full year, down from 23.2%. Diluted shares guided at 25.3 million for fourth quarter and 26.0 million for full year. Source

Non-GAAP measures and reporting

  • Non-recurring costs excluded from adjusted results: Non-recurring costs of $1.1 million, or $0.03 per diluted share, were excluded from third-quarter adjusted results, net of a $0.01 tax benefit. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA adds back unusual items: Adjusted EBITDA adds back litigation and regulatory costs of $1.6 million and share-based compensation of $3.4 million for the quarter, along with other defined items. Source
  • 2025 litigation reserve tax effect: The income tax effect of the 2025 litigation reserve was based on a 16.49% rate because of non-deductible components. Source

Coming up, as management said on 4 November 2026

  • Repurchase authority runs to March 2028: The current repurchase authorization expires March 1, 2028. Since inception the aggregate authorization is $2.9 billion, and $394.5 million remained available at November 2, 2026. Source
  • Restricted stock tax effects land in March: Restricted stock awards vest in March, so any excess tax benefit or expense will primarily affect the first quarter each year. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
University partner enrollments Source145,270 at September 30, 2026
GCU enrollments Source139,170 at September 30, 2026
GCU online enrollments Source115,520 at September 30, 2026
GCU ground enrollments Source23,650 at September 30, 2026
Off-campus classroom and laboratory site enrollments Source7,780 at September 30, 2026
Off-campus classroom and laboratory sites Source48 at September 30, 2026
University partners Source20

Risks management discussed

  • Financial: Excess tax benefits and deficiencies on share awards depend on the stock price at vesting, which adds volatility to the tax provision. Source
  • Demand: Online revenue per student declined on a continued mix shift toward students with slightly lower net tuition rates. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: The July release planned one more site for Fall 2026. This release reports two new sites opened in nine months and 48 sites in total. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.