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Grand Canyon Education, Inc.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 18 February 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 25 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 service revenue rose 5.3%: Fourth-quarter service revenue was $308.1 million, up $15.5 million or 5.3% from $292.6 million a year earlier, driven by a 7.1% rise in university partner enrollments. Source
  • Full-year service revenue grew 7.1%: Full-year 2025 service revenue was $1,106.1 million, up $73.1 million or 7.1%, again driven mainly by enrollment growth of 7.1% to 136,239 students. Source
  • Full-year operating margin fell: Full-year operating income was $265.9 million, down 3.4%. Operating margin was 24.0% against 26.7%, after a $35.0 million litigation settlement and other charges. Source
  • University enrollment up 7.1%: University partner enrollments reached 136,239 at December 31, 2025, against 127,155 a year earlier. Enrollment growth is the main driver of service revenue growth in the release. Source
  • Revenue per student slipped on contracts: Revenue per student fell slightly in the quarter, mainly because revenue share percentages were reduced under contract modifications with some university partners. Source
  • Litigation settlement hit 2025 margin: A $35.0 million litigation settlement related to a qui tam lawsuit was recorded in the third quarter and materially reduced full-year operating income and operating margin. Source
  • Liquidity fell $24.5 million: Cash and investments declined by $24.5 million during 2025, largely because share repurchases and capital expenditures exceeded operating cash flow. Source
  • Buybacks rose to $264.8 million: Repurchases of common shares and shares withheld for taxes totalled $264.8 million in 2025, against $173.2 million in 2024. Source
  • Full-year 2026 service revenue range: Full-year 2026 service revenue is guided to between $1,167.5 million and $1,189.0 million, with operating margin between 27.5% and 28.8%. Source

“All of the adjustments made in our calculation of Adjusted EBITDA are adjustments to items that management does not consider to be reflective of our core operating performance.”

Grand Canyon Education, Inc., press release

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Service revenue SourceQ1 2026between $307.0 million and $308.0 millionNew
Operating margin SourceQ1 2026between 30.0% and 30.3%New
Diluted EPS SourceQ1 2026between $2.70 and $2.73New
Effective tax rate SourceQ1 202623.4%New
Diluted shares SourceQ1 202627.0 millionNew
Service revenue SourceQ2 2026between $260.0 million and $264.0 millionNew
Operating margin SourceQ2 2026between 20.1% and 21.3%New
Diluted EPS SourceQ2 2026between $1.56 and $1.68New
Effective tax rate SourceQ2 202624.9%New
Diluted shares SourceQ2 202626.6 millionNew
Service revenue SourceQ3 2026between $271.5 million and $278.5 millionNew
Operating margin SourceQ3 2026between 21.0% and 23.0%New
Diluted EPS SourceQ3 2026between $1.72 and $1.91New
Effective tax rate SourceQ3 202624.9%New
Diluted shares SourceQ3 202626.3 millionNew
Service revenue SourceQ4 2026between $329.0 million and $338.5 millionNew
Operating margin SourceQ4 2026between 36.4% and 38.2%New
Diluted EPS SourceQ4 2026between $3.57 and $3.85New
Effective tax rate SourceQ4 202624.3%New
Diluted shares SourceQ4 202626.0 millionNew
Service revenue SourceFull year 2026between $1,167.5 million and $1,189.0 millionNew
Operating margin SourceFull year 2026between 27.5% and 28.8%New
Diluted EPS SourceFull year 2026between $9.55 and $10.16New
Effective tax rate SourceFull year 202624.3%New
Diluted shares SourceFull year 202626.5 millionNew

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: Guidance is now given for each quarter of 2026 and for full year 2026. The prior release gave ranges only for Q4 2025 and full year 2025. Source

Fourth quarter and full-year results

  • Q4 service revenue rose 5.3%: Fourth-quarter service revenue was $308.1 million, up $15.5 million or 5.3% from $292.6 million a year earlier, driven by a 7.1% rise in university partner enrollments. Source
  • Q4 operating income and margin rose: Fourth-quarter operating income was $108.1 million, up 8.1%. Operating margin was 35.1% against 34.2%. Diluted EPS was $3.14, or $3.21 as adjusted, against $2.84 and $2.95. Source
  • Q4 net income and adjusted EBITDA rose: Fourth-quarter net income was $86.7 million, up 5.9%. Adjusted EBITDA rose 5.8% to $123.3 million from $116.6 million a year earlier. Source
  • Full-year service revenue grew 7.1%: Full-year 2025 service revenue was $1,106.1 million, up $73.1 million or 7.1%, again driven mainly by enrollment growth of 7.1% to 136,239 students. Source
  • Full-year operating margin fell: Full-year operating income was $265.9 million, down 3.4%. Operating margin was 24.0% against 26.7%, after a $35.0 million litigation settlement and other charges. Source
  • Adjusted full-year operating margin improved: Excluding the listed charges and intangible amortization of $8.4 million, adjusted operating income was $313.0 million, a 28.3% margin, against 27.8% a year earlier. Source

Enrollment and growth drivers

  • University enrollment up 7.1%: University partner enrollments reached 136,239 at December 31, 2025, against 127,155 a year earlier. Enrollment growth is the main driver of service revenue growth in the release. Source
  • GCU online enrollment led growth: GCU online enrollments were 107,148, up 8.7% from 98,597. GCU ground enrollments were 24,678, up slightly from 24,552. Source
  • GCU total enrollment up 7.0%: GCU enrollments reached 131,826 at December 31, 2025, up 7.0% year over year. Source

“We believe Adjusted EBITDA allows us to compare our current operating results with corresponding historical periods and with the operational performance of other companies in our industry”

Grand Canyon Education, Inc., press release

Off-campus sites and ABSN programs

  • Off-campus enrollment up 16.6%: Off-campus classroom and laboratory enrollments were 5,738, up 16.6%. Excluding sites closed to new students in 2024, the increase was 18.7%. Source
  • Off-campus site count held at 47: Five sites opened in 2025, two sites that had stopped recruiting in 2024 closed, and two sites in the same market were merged. Total off-campus sites stood at 47. Source
  • ABSN students earn higher revenue per student: ABSN students at off-campus sites generate significantly higher revenue per student than under the GCU agreement, because partners pay higher tuition and students take more credits. Source

Revenue per student and contract changes

  • Revenue per student slipped on contracts: Revenue per student fell slightly in the quarter, mainly because revenue share percentages were reduced under contract modifications with some university partners. Source
  • Partners now carry certain faculty costs: Revenue share was reduced in exchange for the company no longer reimbursing certain faculty costs. This lowered revenue per student and operating expenses, which helped full-year operating income. Source
  • Online mix shift lowered revenue per student: Online revenue per student declined slightly as the mix shifted to students with a slightly lower net tuition rate. Source
  • Leap-year and GCU start-date effects: The 2024 leap day added $1.5 million of service revenue versus 2025. A GCU start-date shift moved one day of revenue into the third quarter, a $0.9 million impact. Source

“Our liquidity position, as measured by cash and cash equivalents and investments decreased by $24.5 million between December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2025”

Grand Canyon Education, Inc., press release

Costs, margins and one-time items

  • Litigation settlement hit 2025 margin: A $35.0 million litigation settlement related to a qui tam lawsuit was recorded in the third quarter and materially reduced full-year operating income and operating margin. Source
  • Lease and disposal charges recorded: Lease termination, impairment and other costs were $2.4 million, from terminating an office lease and impairing two off-campus site leases after teach-outs. Disposal losses were $0.9 million and severance $0.3 million. Source
  • Higher state taxes lifted Q4 tax rate: The fourth-quarter effective tax rate was 22.4% against 21.2%, due to higher state income taxes. The full-year rate was 22.8% against 22.3%. Source

Cash, investments and share repurchases

  • Liquidity fell $24.5 million: Cash and investments declined by $24.5 million during 2025, largely because share repurchases and capital expenditures exceeded operating cash flow. Source
  • Buybacks rose to $264.8 million: Repurchases of common shares and shares withheld for taxes totalled $264.8 million in 2025, against $173.2 million in 2024. Source
  • Operating cash flow declined: Net cash from operating activities was $273.5 million against $290.0 million. Capital expenditures were $34.8 million against $37.2 million. Source
  • Unrestricted cash and investments $300.1 million: Unrestricted cash, cash equivalents and investments were $300.1 million at December 31, 2025, against $324.6 million a year earlier. Source

2026 guidance by period

  • Full-year 2026 service revenue range: Full-year 2026 service revenue is guided to between $1,167.5 million and $1,189.0 million, with operating margin between 27.5% and 28.8%. Source
  • Full-year 2026 EPS range: Full-year diluted EPS is guided to between $9.55 and $10.16. Excluding $0.24 of intangible amortization, as adjusted non-GAAP diluted EPS is between $9.79 and $10.40. Source
  • Q1 2026 EPS range: Q1 2026 diluted EPS is guided to between $2.70 and $2.73, or $2.76 to $2.79 as adjusted, on 27.0 million diluted shares. Source
  • Q4 2026 has highest revenue range: Q4 2026 service revenue is guided to between $329.0 million and $338.5 million, the highest quarterly range in the 2026 guidance. Source

Coming up, as management said on 18 February 2026

  • Q1 2026 results to be reported: Management set Q1 2026 ranges for service revenue, operating margin, tax rate, diluted EPS and diluted shares, to be reported against in the next quarterly release. Source
  • Q4 2026 guidance set: Management also set Q4 2026 ranges, the final quarter of the 2026 guidance, with service revenue between $329.0 million and $338.5 million. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
University partners Source20
University partner enrollments at December 31, 2025 Source136,239
GCU enrollments at December 31, 2025 Source131,826
GCU online enrollments at December 31, 2025 Source107,148
GCU ground enrollments at December 31, 2025 Source24,678
Off-campus classroom and laboratory site enrollments at December 31, 2025 Source5,738
Off-campus classroom and laboratory sites at December 31, 2025 Source47

Risks management discussed

  • Regulatory: A $35.0 million litigation settlement related to a qui tam lawsuit reduced 2025 operating income and margin. Source
  • Demand: Revenue per student is pressured by a continuing mix shift toward online students with slightly lower net tuition rates. Source
  • Operational: Impairments of two off-campus site leases were recorded once teach-outs at those locations were completed. Source
  • Financial: Share repurchases and capital expenditures exceeded operating cash flow in 2025, reducing cash and investments. Source
  • External: Higher state income taxes raised the effective tax rate in the fourth quarter. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.