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Cheniere Energy, Inc.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 26 February 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 2 raised, 10 new, 4 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Full-year revenue rose 27%: Revenues were $19,976 million for 2025 against $15,703 million in 2024. Fourth-quarter revenues were $5,450 million, against $4,436 million. Source
  • Derivative gains drove net income: Net income attributable to Cheniere reached $5,330 million for 2025, up 64%, with derivative fair-value variances of about $2.3 billion favorable. Source
  • 670 cargoes exported in 2025: The company exported 670 cargoes in 2025, and the first four CCL Stage 3 trains reached substantial completion during the year. Source
  • Margin per MMBtu was lower: Margins per MMBtu were lower than 2024, partly offsetting the EBITDA gain from higher volumes in both periods. Source
  • CPC long-term supply deal signed: Cheniere Marketing agreed to sell up to about 1.2 mtpa to CPC Corporation, Taiwan, on a delivered basis from 2026 through 2050. Source
  • $6.1 billion deployed in 2025: The company deployed about $1.7 billion in the fourth quarter and $6.1 billion in 2025 toward growth, balance sheet and shareholder returns. Source
  • 2026 guidance rests on production: The 2026 guidance reflects the previously announced LNG production forecast and the expected completion of the remaining three Stage 3 trains this year. Source

“This commitment also enabled another record-setting year of LNG production in 2025, driving full year financial results to the high end of our guidance ranges”

Jack Fusco, Cheniere’s President and Chief Executive Officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA SourceFull year 2026$6.75 billion - $7.25 billionNew
Distributable Cash Flow (Cheniere share) SourceFull year 2026$4.35 billion - $4.85 billionNew
Net income attributable to Cheniere SourceFull year 2026$2.2 - $2.7 billionNew
Consolidated Distributable Cash Flow SourceFull year 2026$5.4 - $5.9 billionNew
Net income attributable to non-controlling interests SourceFull year 2026$1.3 billionNew
Income tax provision SourceFull year 2026$0.5 - $0.6 billionNew
Interest expense, net of capitalized interest SourceFull year 2026$1.1 billionNew
Depreciation, amortization and accretion expense SourceFull year 2026$1.5 billionNew
Distributable Cash Flow attributable to non-controlling interests SourceFull year 2026$1.0 billionNew
Maintenance capital expenditures SourceFull year 2026$0.2 billionNew
Run-rate Distributable Cash Flow per share SourceRun-rate, after full buyback through 2030 and initial expansion FIDsapproximately $30 per common shareRaised
Share repurchase authorization Source2026 through 2030over $10 billionRaised from $1.2 billion remaining under the previous authorization as of December 31, 2025
CCL Stage 3 Trains 5-7 substantial completion SourceBy end of 2026by the end of 2026Kept
CCL Midscale Trains 8 & 9 substantial completion SourceSecond half 20282H 2028Kept
SPL Expansion Project peak production capacity SourcePeak capacityup to approximately 20 mtpaKept
CCL Expansion Project peak production capacity SourcePeak capacityup to approximately 24 mtpaKept

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: Full-year 2026 guidance ranges introduced for Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow. Source
  • Guidance raised: Run-rate Distributable Cash Flow guidance raised to about $30 per share. The previous release had no run-rate figure. Source
  • New: Share repurchase authorization increased to over $10 billion for 2026 through 2030. Source
  • New: Cheniere Marketing signed a long-term SPA with CPC Corporation, Taiwan, for up to about 1.2 mtpa, delivered from 2026 through 2050. Source
  • New: LNG was first produced from Train 5 of the CCL Stage 3 Project in February 2026. Source
  • New: Application filed with the FERC in February 2026 for the CCL Expansion Project, previously named CCL Stage 4 Expansion Project. Source
  • New: S&P upgraded Cheniere and Cheniere Energy Partners to BBB+ in November 2025. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Full-year revenue rose 27%: Revenues were $19,976 million for 2025 against $15,703 million in 2024. Fourth-quarter revenues were $5,450 million, against $4,436 million. Source
  • Derivative gains drove net income: Net income attributable to Cheniere reached $5,330 million for 2025, up 64%, with derivative fair-value variances of about $2.3 billion favorable. Source
  • Fourth-quarter net income more than doubled: Fourth-quarter net income attributable to Cheniere was $2,302 million, up 136% from $977 million a year earlier. Source
  • EBITDA rose on delivered volumes: Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA rose about $788 million for 2025, mainly on higher volumes delivered in both periods. Source

Volumes and production

  • 670 cargoes exported in 2025: The company exported 670 cargoes in 2025, and the first four CCL Stage 3 trains reached substantial completion during the year. Source
  • Fourth-quarter exports up 12%: Fourth-quarter LNG exports were 679 TBtu, up 12%, from 185 cargoes against 167 a year earlier. Source
  • Full-year exports reached 2,424 TBtu: Full-year exports were 2,424 TBtu, up 4% from 2,327 TBtu in 2024. Source
  • Cumulative cargo count passes 4,610: Cumulative exports reached over 4,610 cargoes by February 20, 2026, with over 315 million tonnes produced, loaded and exported. Source

“We are pleased to announce the successful early completion of our ‘20/20 Vision’ capital allocation plan unveiled in 2022”

Zach Davis, Cheniere’s Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Costs, margins and pricing

  • Margin per MMBtu was lower: Margins per MMBtu were lower than 2024, partly offsetting the EBITDA gain from higher volumes in both periods. Source
  • Charter vessel contributions declined: Contributions from charter vessel portfolio optimization were lower than 2024 in both periods, to a lesser extent than the margin decline. Source
  • Derivative gains in cost of sales: Cost of sales included about $2.2 billion of fair-value gains on commodity derivatives in the fourth quarter, against $0.6 billion a year earlier. Source
  • Selling and admin costs fell: Selling, general and administrative expense was $383 million for 2025, against $441 million, and $87 million in the fourth quarter, against $142 million. Source

Contracts and customers

  • CPC long-term supply deal signed: Cheniere Marketing agreed to sell up to about 1.2 mtpa to CPC Corporation, Taiwan, on a delivered basis from 2026 through 2050. Source
  • CPC is a repeat customer: The CEO described the CPC contract as the second long-term contract with CPC, citing operational reliability and customer focus. Source
  • Contracted cash flow through decade: The CFO cited contracted cash flow visibility through this decade as the basis for augmenting the shareholder return proposition. Source

“we are able to raise our run-rate Distributable Cash Flow guidance to approximately $30 per share assuming approximately 175 million shares outstanding.”

Zach Davis, Cheniere’s Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Project construction and expansion

  • Four Stage 3 trains complete: Trains 1 to 4 of the CCL Stage 3 Project reached substantial completion in 2025, in March, August, October and December. Source
  • Stage 3 construction nearly finished: Overall CCL Stage 3 completion was 94.1% at December 31, 2025. Engineering was 99.6% complete, procurement 100.0%, subcontract work 95.1% and construction 84.7%. Source
  • Midscale Trains 8 and 9 progressing: CCL Midscale Trains 8 and 9 were 31.8% complete at year-end, with substantial completion expected in 2H 2028. Source
  • SPL expansion awaits approvals: The FERC siting application and the DOE non-FTA export application for the SPL Expansion Project remain pending. Source

Capital allocation and returns

  • $6.1 billion deployed in 2025: The company deployed about $1.7 billion in the fourth quarter and $6.1 billion in 2025 toward growth, balance sheet and shareholder returns. Source
  • Buybacks in 2025: In 2025 the company repurchased about 12.1 million shares for $2.7 billion, including 4.8 million shares for $1.0 billion in the fourth quarter. Source
  • Dividends paid in 2025: Quarterly dividends paid in 2025 totaled $2.055 per share, about $451 million in total. Source
  • Growth capital partly funded by equity: Growth capital invested was about $2.6 billion in 2025, with about $2.3 billion funded with equity. Source

Liquidity, debt and credit ratings

  • Liquidity of $8.8 billion: Total available liquidity was $8,758 million at December 31, 2025, including $1,099 million of cash and $7,174 million of credit facility commitments. Source
  • SPL retired 2026 notes: SPL redeemed $300 million of its 2026 senior notes in December 2025 and the remaining $200 million in February 2026. Source
  • Credit ratings raised by S&P: S&P upgraded Cheniere and Cheniere Partners to BBB+ in November 2025, and CCH to BBB+ in October 2025. Source

Strategy and 2026 guidance basis

  • 2026 guidance rests on production: The 2026 guidance reflects the previously announced LNG production forecast and the expected completion of the remaining three Stage 3 trains this year. Source
  • Liquefaction platform capacity: Across Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi, the company reports about 52 mtpa in operation, over 9 mtpa under construction and over 40 mtpa in permitting. Source
  • Non-controlling interests take DCF share: The 2026 Distributable Cash Flow bridge deducts about $1.0 billion attributable to non-controlling interests before the Cheniere figure. Source

Coming up, as management said on 26 February 2026

  • Dividend payable February 27: Quarterly dividend of $0.555 per share, declared in January 2026 for the fourth quarter, is payable on February 27, 2026. Source
  • Trains 5 to 7 due by 2026 end: Trains 5 to 7 of the CCL Stage 3 Project are scheduled to reach substantial completion by the end of 2026. Source

Risks management discussed

  • Regulatory: The 2026 Distributable Cash Flow guidance excludes prospective changes to tax laws and regulations, which could change results. Source
  • Financial: Cash tax payments depend on commodity and market volatility and regulatory changes, which could affect their timing and amount. Source
  • Regulatory: A positive FID on the expansions depends on regulatory approvals and on commercial and financing arrangements. Source
  • Financial: Net income includes derivative transactions whose impact cannot be determined in advance, so no run-rate net income forecast was made. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Ahead: The 20/20 Vision plan was completed ahead of schedule, with over $20 billion deployed since 2022. Source
  • Met: Full-year 2025 financial results were at the high end of the guidance ranges. Source
  • Not stated: The 2026 guidance reflects the production forecast management had previously announced. Source
  • Not stated: Management stated it looks forward to delivering 2026 results within the guidance ranges. Source
  • Not stated: The CFO said the company continues to budget for FIDs of brownfield growth opportunities alongside the buyback upsizing. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.