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Greif, Inc.: Q3 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 31 July 2026: press release, call transcript. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 3 lowered, 1 new, 1 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Net income and EPS rose: Net income attributable to Greif reached $78.8 million, or $1.37 per diluted Class A share, against $30.7 million, or $0.53. Excluding adjustments, net income was $93.3 million, or $1.61 per share, against $49.9 million, or $0.86. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose 24.7%: Adjusted EBITDA reached $183.4 million, up from $147.1 million in the prior-year quarter, on a continuing-operations basis. Source
  • Margins expanded over 260 basis points: Adjusted EBITDA margin rose more than 260 basis points year over year and 110 basis points from the second quarter of fiscal 2026. Source
  • Demand improved from a low base: Management said demand improved sequentially across all four segments, but it hesitated to call this an inflection because the starting base is very low. Source
  • April URB increase reaching results: Fiber margins fell on cost inflation, partly offset by the April $60 per ton URB increase, which is now starting to flow through the P&L. Source
  • Adjusted free cash flow fell: Adjusted free cash flow was $57.7 million, against $144.4 million a year earlier, when the comparison included the Containerboard Business. Source
  • Higher inventory held for supply: The company held above-typical inventory to keep supply steady through Middle East volatility, and that inventory carried high dollar cost after raw material indices rose. Source

“We cannot predict when the cycle will turn. We can decide how prepared Greif will be when it does.”

Ole Rosgaard, CEO

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Adjusted EBITDA Sourcefiscal 2026$615 - $635 millionRaised from $610 million (low end)
Adjusted EBITDA growth Sourcefiscal 2026approximately 10% to 13%
Adjusted free cash flow Sourcefiscal 2026$305 - $325 millionLowered from $315 million (low end)
Adjusted free cash flow conversion Sourcefiscal 2026around 50%
Tax rate Sourcefiscal 202624.0 to 28.0 percentLowered from 26.0 to 30.0 percent
Tax rate excluding adjustments Sourcefiscal 202625.0 to 29.0 percentLowered from 28.0 to 32.0 percent
Middle East-related EBITDA impact Sourcefiscal 2026approximately $20 million
Share repurchase plan Sourcenew plan$150 millionNew
Share repurchase pace Sourcelong-termapproximately 2% of shares outstanding annually
Leverage Sourceintended ceiling and near termbelow 2.0; below 1.5x near term
Cost optimization run-rate savings Sourceend of fiscal 2027at least $120 million cumulativeKept

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Adjusted EBITDA guidance moved from a $610 million low-end assumption to a $615 million to $635 million range. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Both fiscal 2026 tax rate ranges moved down from the second-quarter ranges. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Adjusted free cash flow low end moved from $315 million to $305 million, citing higher working capital and restructuring costs. Source
  • Guidance kept: The cost optimization expectation of at least $120 million run-rate savings by fiscal 2027 end was reaffirmed. Source
  • New: An additional $150 million share repurchase plan was requested from the board's stock repurchase committee. Source
  • New: The Envaplast bolt-on acquisition was completed on June 2, 2026. Source
  • New: The quarterly dividend was increased by 10.7%. Source
  • New: The sales organization's commercial structure was changed, and pay is now tied to results. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Net income and EPS rose: Net income attributable to Greif reached $78.8 million, or $1.37 per diluted Class A share, against $30.7 million, or $0.53. Excluding adjustments, net income was $93.3 million, or $1.61 per share, against $49.9 million, or $0.86. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose 24.7%: Adjusted EBITDA reached $183.4 million, up from $147.1 million in the prior-year quarter, on a continuing-operations basis. Source
  • Margins expanded over 260 basis points: Adjusted EBITDA margin rose more than 260 basis points year over year and 110 basis points from the second quarter of fiscal 2026. Source
  • Price/cost and savings drove the gain: Management attributed the roughly 25 percent EBITDA improvement mainly to better price/cost and structural cost optimization, with sales about in line with the prior year. Source
  • Lower interest lifted adjusted EPS: Management said the EBITDA gain, significantly lower interest costs and favorable quarterly taxes produced adjusted EPS growth of nearly 90 percent. Source

Segment results

  • Polymer sales and EBITDA grew: Customized Polymer Solutions net sales rose to $383.8 million on higher selling prices, currency gains and higher volumes. Adjusted EBITDA was $64.3 million, from $37.1 million. Source
  • Metal sales rose on prices and currency: Durable Metal Solutions net sales rose to $405.6 million, partly offset by lower volumes. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $64.0 million from $53.6 million on cost optimization. Source
  • Fiber sales and EBITDA declined: Sustainable Fiber Solutions net sales fell to $346.5 million, with lower average selling prices and the Soterra divestiture among the causes. Adjusted EBITDA fell to $42.5 million from $48.8 million. Source
  • Closures sales and EBITDA rose: Innovative Closure Solutions net sales rose to $29.7 million on higher prices, volumes and currency. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $12.6 million from $7.6 million. Source

“We believe that Greif that emerges from this cycle will be fundamentally stronger than the Greif that entered it”

Ole G. Rosgaard, President, CEO & Director

Demand and the order book

  • Demand improved from a low base: Management said demand improved sequentially across all four segments, but it hesitated to call this an inflection because the starting base is very low. Source
  • Polymer volumes grew on IBCs: Polymer volume growth came from intermediate bulk containers and large polymer containers, while small polymer volumes were below last year's unusually high comparison. Source
  • Closures won new business: Third-party closure demand rose mid-single digits and total closure volumes rose high single digits as the company kept winning new business. Source
  • Metal markets remain soft: Metal demand improved from the prior quarter, but broader industrial markets remain soft and reflect geopolitical uncertainty. Source
  • Fiber converting demand near flat: Excluding last year's mill closure, underlying converting demand was close to flat, with improved partitions and tube and core performance. Source

Costs, margins and pricing

  • Resin prices rose sharply: Resin prices rose sharply through the third quarter. Management said teams raised prices in step, and does not expect a continued sharp increase or a decrease. Source
  • April URB increase reaching results: Fiber margins fell on cost inflation, partly offset by the April $60 per ton URB increase, which is now starting to flow through the P&L. Source
  • June increase fully implemented: An additional $60 per ton increase was announced in June and has been fully implemented with non-RISI customers. Source
  • Index has not reflected the price rise: RISI has not reflected the June increase. Management said that conclusion is inconsistent with healthy demand and higher year-over-year cost levels. Source
  • Savings delivered with operational efficiency: Management said cost optimization runs alongside operational efficiency savings, using the Greif Business System framework. Source

“As Ole mentioned in his opening remarks, our strategy clearly shows in these financial results.”

Lawrence A. Hilsheimer, Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Cash, capital and shareholder returns

  • Adjusted free cash flow fell: Adjusted free cash flow was $57.7 million, against $144.4 million a year earlier, when the comparison included the Containerboard Business. Source
  • Higher inventory held for supply: The company held above-typical inventory to keep supply steady through Middle East volatility, and that inventory carried high dollar cost after raw material indices rose. Source
  • Debt and leverage reduced: Total debt fell to $1,030.4 million after repayments from the Containerboard and timberlands sales. Net debt was $741.9 million, and leverage fell to 1.1x from 3.1x. Source
  • Quarterly dividend raised 10.7%: Quarterly dividends of $0.62 per Class A share and $0.93 per Class B share were declared, about $35.2 million in total. Source
  • Earlier repurchase program completed: The $150 million share repurchase plan was completed earlier this year, and the company intends to begin executing the new plan. Source

Strategy and investment

  • Envaplast adds Spanish polymer footprint: Envaplast is a small polymer container producer in Spain, where Greif had limited small polymer presence, and most of its business is agrochemical. Source
  • Envaplast meets M&A criteria: Management said Envaplast's EBITDA margins and free cash flow conversion sit well above Greif's M&A criteria. Source
  • Tuck-in M&A, not transformative: Management said it is not pursuing transformative M&A and will continue its tuck-in strategy. Source
  • Organic growth comes first: Management said the focus is organic growth and new logo growth, supplemented by high return organic capital spending and bolt-on acquisitions. Source
  • Results rest on self-help: Management said progress comes from actions within the company's control rather than from a market recovery. Source

Products and customers

  • Flavor, fragrance and pharma targeted: Management said new-logo focus has been on the flavor and fragrance and pharma end markets. Source
  • Target markets performing as expected: Management said its target end markets are performing in line with what the company expects. Source
  • Closures drive profit through technology: Management said Closures keeps driving profitability through technologically advanced products, new logo growth and strategic investment. Source

Leadership and people

  • Commercial model reshaped: Management said the commercial structure changed, pay now rewards results, and the company sells solutions rather than products. Source
  • Sales time freed for new logos: A program called Greif+ handles established customers so the sales organization can focus on finding new logos. Source
  • Colleagues credited for results: The CEO thanked colleagues in more than 35 countries and credited their commitment to safe, reliable and excellent service for the results. Source

Coming up, as management said on 31 July 2026

  • Tuck-in acquisitions expected: Management expects a number of similar acquisitions each year and says it has a healthy pipeline of companies like Envaplast. Source
  • June fiber increase expected in index: Management expects the June increase to be recognized, and guidance does not include it. Source
  • Inventory and index costs ease: Management expects inventory levels and dollar cost to be lower sequentially, though some Q3 index effect persists through year-end. Source
  • Next update at next quarter: Management said it looks forward to speaking with investors next quarter. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Customized Polymer Solutions volume change Source1.5%
Durable Metal Solutions volume change Source(3.1)%
Sustainable Fiber Solutions volume change Source(4.0)%
Innovative Closure Solutions volume change Source5.5%
Mill operating rate Source96%
Closures third-party demand Sourceincreased mid-single digits

Risks management discussed

  • Demand: Industrial demand is subdued, geopolitical uncertainty adds volatility, and a broad recovery is not yet evident. Source
  • Financial: Higher working capital and restructuring costs changed cash flow assumptions, partly offset by better cash taxes. Source
  • Demand: Fiber and steel remain pressured by the chemical market and muted housing, which management described as at historic lows. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Ahead: Management said the $90 million run-rate cost optimization milestone was reached early. Source
  • Not stated: Management said it remains committed to this cost optimization target by the end of the next fiscal year. Source
  • Not stated: Management said it had previously communicated its pursuit of bolt-on acquisitions, and Envaplast closed this quarter. Source
  • Not stated: Management said it will keep executing share repurchases under its authorization. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.