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Flutter Entertainment plc: Q3 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 12 November 2025: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 8 lowered, 4 new, 5 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Group AMPs and revenue grew: AMPs rose 9% to 14,133 thousand and revenue rose 17% to $3,794m, aided by Snai and Betnacional; excluding M&A, revenue grew 5%. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA up 6%, margin lower: Adjusted EBITDA was $478m, up 6%, with margin down 130bps to 12.6%; adjusted EPS rose 29% to $1.64, helped by non-controlling interest credits. Source
  • FanDuel Predicts launch in December: FanDuel Predicts, run through the CME Group joint venture, will offer sports in states without sports betting regulation and launch in December. Source
  • US iGaming revenue up 44%: US iGaming revenue grew 44% to $530m with AMPs up 30% and a 27% GGR market share, while sportsbook revenue fell 5%. Source
  • India real-money gaming ended: Real-money gaming in India stopped under new law; APAC revenue fell 12%, and Junglee now runs free-to-play content while management assesses medium-term options. Source
  • Sports results customer friendly: Sports results were customer friendly across the Group, with about $170m adjusted EBITDA impact from October 1 through November 9, 2025. Source
  • Full-year guidance cut: Group revenue guidance midpoint fell $570m and adjusted EBITDA fell $380m, reflecting Q3, Q4 sports results, Q4 investment, Predicts, Illinois tax and India. Source
  • Total debt nearly doubled: Total debt rose to $12,099m from $6,736m; net debt was $10,602m and leverage was 4.0x (3.7x including Snai) against a 2.0-2.5x medium-term target. Source

“Flutter delivered a solid third quarter, with continued momentum in both our US and International businesses.”

Peter Jackson, CEO

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Group revenue SourceFY 2025$16.69bn midpoint (range $16.39bn to $16.99bn)Lowered from $17.26bn
Group adjusted EBITDA SourceFY 2025$2.915bn midpoint (range $2.765bn to $3.065bn)Lowered from $3.295bn
US existing states revenue SourceFY 2025$7.20bn midpoint (range $7.04bn to $7.36bn)Lowered from $7.61bn
US existing states adjusted EBITDA SourceFY 2025$1.005bn midpoint (range $0.925bn to $1.085bn)Lowered from $1.315bn
US new states SourceFY 2025revenue cost of about $30m; adjusted EBITDA cost of about $70mKept
US total revenue SourceFY 2025$7.17bn midpoint (range $7.01bn to $7.33bn)Lowered from $7.58bn
US total adjusted EBITDA SourceFY 2025$935m midpoint (range $855m to $1.015bn)Lowered from $1.245bn
International revenue SourceFY 2025$9.52bn midpoint (range $9.38bn to $9.66bn)Lowered from $9.68bn
International adjusted EBITDA SourceFY 2025$2.24bn midpoint (range $2.17bn to $2.31bn)Lowered from $2.30bn
Unallocated corporate overhead SourceFY 2025approximately $260m costRaised from $250m
FanDuel Predicts EBITDA investment SourceQ4 2025 and 2026$40m-$50m in Q4 2025; $200m-$300m in 2026, majority in H2New
Depreciation and amortization excl. acquired intangibles SourceFY 2025approximately $670mKept
Non-controlling interests credit SourceFY 2025approximately $120m creditNew
Capital expenditure SourceFY 2025approximately $820mKept
Share repurchases SourceFY 2025$1bnKept
Share repurchases SourceQ1 2026up to $250mNew
Leverage ratio SourceMedium term2.0-2.5xKept
India real-money gaming impact on APAC Source2025, 2026, 20272025: revenue -$70m, EBITDA -$30m; 2026: revenue -$250m, EBITDA -$90m; 2027: revenue -$310m, EBITDA -$130mNew

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance lowered: Group 2025 guidance midpoints cut: revenue to $16.69bn from $17.26bn, adjusted EBITDA to $2.915bn from $3.295bn. Source
  • New: FanDuel Predicts, a prediction market product for sports in states without regulated sports betting, is being launched. Source
  • Ended: Real-money gaming in India ceased after the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025; Junglee now offers free-to-play content only. Source
  • New: A new strategic NBA partnership with Amazon Prime has been entered into. Source

Group results and growth drivers

  • Group AMPs and revenue grew: AMPs rose 9% to 14,133 thousand and revenue rose 17% to $3,794m, aided by Snai and Betnacional; excluding M&A, revenue grew 5%. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA up 6%, margin lower: Adjusted EBITDA was $478m, up 6%, with margin down 130bps to 12.6%; adjusted EPS rose 29% to $1.64, helped by non-controlling interest credits. Source
  • Net loss widened on charges: Net loss was $789m against $114m a year earlier, due to a $556m India impairment and $204m of Boyd-related transaction fees; loss per share was $3.91. Source
  • Organic iGaming growth offset sports: Organic iGaming revenue grew 19% at Group level, offsetting the effect of customer-friendly sports results on sportsbook. Source

US trading and product

  • FanDuel Predicts launch in December: FanDuel Predicts, run through the CME Group joint venture, will offer sports in states without sports betting regulation and launch in December. Source
  • US iGaming revenue up 44%: US iGaming revenue grew 44% to $530m with AMPs up 30% and a 27% GGR market share, while sportsbook revenue fell 5%. Source
  • Competitor generosity hit sportsbook: Competitors offered high levels of customer generosity at the NFL start, which lowered FanDuel NFL handle growth and SGP penetration; management called the impact transitory. Source
  • Q4 investment lifted handle growth: Increased Q4 customer acquisition and retention spend lifted year-over-year handle growth to 10% quarter to date, with the NBA season off to a good start. Source

“We are the clear number one operator in the US, and we will continue to build on that position to drive future profitability.”

Peter Jackson, CEO

International segment

  • International revenue up 21%: International revenue rose 21% to $2,426m, with Snai and Betnacional adding 18 points; excluding M&A, revenue rose 3%. Source
  • Southern Europe and Africa surged: SEA revenue rose 101%, or 19% excluding M&A; organic SEA revenue grew 24% on Sisal Italy online at 46% and Turkey at 65%. Source
  • India real-money gaming ended: Real-money gaming in India stopped under new law; APAC revenue fell 12%, and Junglee now runs free-to-play content while management assesses medium-term options. Source
  • UKI revenue flat, Sky Bet migrated: UKI revenue rose 1% to $853m, with sportsbook down 7% and iGaming up 7%; the Sky Bet migration to the shared platform enabled new products. Source

Costs, margins and impairment

  • International margin fell on Brazil: International adjusted EBITDA margin fell 230bps to 20.8%, reflecting investment in Brazil and higher cost of sales from Snai and Betnacional. Source
  • US sales and marketing rose: US sales and marketing rose 11% to $307m, with more of the 2025 investment planned for H2; technology spend rose 22% on data storage and talent. Source
  • Cost of sales rose on taxes: US cost of sales rose 120bps as a share of revenue, from the sports results swing and higher taxes in several states, partly offset by Boyd market access terms. Source
  • Junglee impairment and Boyd charges: A non-cash impairment of $556m for Junglee followed the India ban; transaction fees of $204m related to the Boyd revision are excluded from adjusted EBITDA. Source

“Our diversified portfolio and disciplined approach give me great confidence in our ability to lead the industry and increase long-term value for shareholders.”

Peter Jackson, CEO

Sports results and guidance changes

  • Sports results customer friendly: Sports results were customer friendly across the Group, with about $170m adjusted EBITDA impact from October 1 through November 9, 2025. Source
  • Full-year guidance cut: Group revenue guidance midpoint fell $570m and adjusted EBITDA fell $380m, reflecting Q3, Q4 sports results, Q4 investment, Predicts, Illinois tax and India. Source
  • Guidance basis stated: Guidance assumes sports results in line with the expected margin for the rest of the year, stated FX rates, and a consistent regulatory and tax framework. Source

Cash flow, debt and shareholder returns

  • Operating cash flow and FCF fell: Operating cash flow fell 28% to $209m and free cash flow fell 78% to $25m, primarily due to the $205m Boyd payment. Source
  • Total debt nearly doubled: Total debt rose to $12,099m from $6,736m; net debt was $10,602m and leverage was 4.0x (3.7x including Snai) against a 2.0-2.5x medium-term target. Source
  • Buybacks continued into 2026: Q3 repurchases were 770 thousand shares for $225m; the Q4 program finished November 3 at $245m, bringing cumulative returns to $1.12bn of a $5bn plan. Source

Prediction markets, partnerships and integrity

  • Prediction markets seen negligible: Management says prediction market activity had a negligible effect on FanDuel in the quarter, as regulated-state customers prefer regulated sportsbooks. Source
  • NBA partnership with Amazon Prime: A new strategic NBA partnership with Amazon Prime is expected to bring merchandising, product and in-game virtual signage integrations. Source
  • Sports integrity monitoring described: FanDuel uses real-time monitoring and works with leagues, data groups and law enforcement to flag suspicious activity, which management says it takes very seriously. Source

Coming up, as management said on 12 November 2025

  • FanDuel Predicts launch in December: FanDuel Predicts is due to launch in December through the CME Group joint venture. Source
  • Q1 2026 share repurchase up to $250m: Share repurchases continue into 2026, with up to $250m planned for Q1 2026. Source
  • UK Budget outcome awaited: Management awaits the UK Budget outcome later this month and is engaging policymakers on gaming tax. Source
  • Sportsbook upgrades before World Cup: Pricing and generosity upgrades are planned to elevate the sportsbook proposition ahead of next year's World Cup. Source
  • Snai customers move online in H1 2026: Snai customers are to move onto the SEA online platform in the first half of 2026. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Average monthly players (customer count) Source14,133 thousand, up 9% year-over-year

Risks management discussed

  • Regulatory: Management says significant UK gaming tax increases would threaten jobs and investment and push customers to unregulated operators. Source
  • Regulatory: A Illinois wager fee, now treated as taxable, adds tax costs to the 2025 guidance. Source
  • Operational: September and October sports results were customer-friendly, and it is early in the NFL season. Source
  • Demand: Competitive intensity in US sportsbook has moderated from the NFL season start but remains at elevated levels. Source
  • Financial: Net debt was $10,602m and the leverage ratio was 4.0x at September 30, 2025, up from 2.2x at December 31, 2024. Source
  • Regulatory: Management described the India regulatory change as sudden and unexpected, which led to the Junglee shutdown. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: Management says the Snai migration remains on track for H1 2026. Source
  • Not stated: Management says the Snai migration gives it increased confidence in the synergy targets. Source
  • Not stated: The July PokerStars Italy migration is described as a milestone toward savings in 2027. Source
  • Ahead: Management says cost efficiency drivers go beyond the $300m target set at the prior Investor Day. Source
  • Met: The authorized Q4 repurchase program completed on November 3, 2025. Source
  • Not stated: Management expects leverage to fall rapidly after the Boyd and Snai financing. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.