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ConocoPhillips: Q3 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 5 November 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 1 new, 2 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Earnings rose on higher prices: Earnings were $4.0 billion, or $3.34 per share, against $1.7 billion, or $1.38 per share, a year earlier. The company attributed the increase mainly to higher prices, partly offset by lower volumes. Source
  • Realized price rose 32%: The total average realized price was $61.40 per BOE, compared with $46.44 per BOE in the third quarter of 2025. Source
  • Production fell 2% after adjustments: Reported production was 2,302 MBOED, down 97 MBOED from a year earlier. Adjusted for closed deals, production fell 40 MBOED, or 2%. Source
  • New chief executive title named: The third-quarter release names Andy O’Brien as president and chief executive officer. The second-quarter release named Ryan Lance as chairman and chief executive officer. Source
  • Cash from operations reached $7.2 billion: Cash provided by operating activities and CFO were both $7.2 billion. Free cash flow was $4.0 billion after $3.1 billion of capital expenditures and investments. Source

“We’re capturing efficiencies across our best-in-class Lower 48 assets, growing our strategic commercial LNG offtake portfolio and advancing Willow critical path items.”

Andy O’Brien, president and chief executive officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Production Sourcefourth-quarter 20262.32 to 2.36 million barrels of oil equivalent per dayNew
Return of CFO Source202645%Kept
Free cash flow inflection Sourceby 2029$7 billion free cash flow inflection by 2029Kept
Quarterly ordinary dividend Sourcefourth-quarter 2026 dividend$0.93 per shareRaised from $0.84
Willow first oil Sourceearly 2029early 2029

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: The company gave fourth-quarter 2026 production guidance of 2.32 to 2.36 million barrels of oil equivalent per day. The prior release gave third-quarter guidance of 2.29 to 2.32. Source
  • Guidance raised: The quarterly ordinary dividend was raised 11% to $0.93 per share, up from $0.84 in the prior quarter. Source
  • New: Commercial LNG offtake was expanded to 13 MTPA, from the 12 MTPA reported in the second-quarter release. Source
  • New: Andy O’Brien is named president and chief executive officer. The second-quarter release named Ryan Lance as chairman and chief executive officer. Source
  • Guidance kept: Full-year capital expenditures and adjusted operating cost guidance were left unchanged from the prior release. Source

Earnings and pricing

  • Earnings rose on higher prices: Earnings were $4.0 billion, or $3.34 per share, against $1.7 billion, or $1.38 per share, a year earlier. The company attributed the increase mainly to higher prices, partly offset by lower volumes. Source
  • Tax reserve reversal drove special items: Adjusted earnings were $3.9 billion, or $3.27 per share. Special items were mainly the reversal of a tax reserve, which the release lists as a $126 million tax adjustment. Source
  • Realized price rose 32%: The total average realized price was $61.40 per BOE, compared with $46.44 per BOE in the third quarter of 2025. Source

Production and segments

  • Production fell 2% after adjustments: Reported production was 2,302 MBOED, down 97 MBOED from a year earlier. Adjusted for closed deals, production fell 40 MBOED, or 2%. Source
  • Delaware Basin produced most Lower 48 volume: Lower 48 production was 1,517 MBOED. The Delaware Basin contributed 757 MBOED, the Eagle Ford 369, the Midland Basin 197 and the Bakken 191. Source
  • Permian completions set efficiency record: The company reported record Permian completion efficiency, with 15% more pumping hours than the prior-year average. Source

“We strengthened our balance sheet and continued progress toward our 45% return of CFO target for 2026, including increasing our ordinary dividend at a top-quartile S&P 500 growth rate.”

Andy O’Brien, president and chief executive officer

Projects and LNG

  • Willow modules more than 75% complete: Module fabrication scope for the Willow project is over 75% complete. First oil remains on track for early 2029. Source
  • Surmont pad came in early and under budget: First production from Surmont Pad 104W-B in Canada came ahead of schedule and under budget. Source
  • LNG offtake grew to 13 MTPA: The commercial LNG offtake portfolio was expanded to 13 MTPA, from 12 MTPA in the second-quarter release. Source

Leadership and strategy

  • New chief executive title named: The third-quarter release names Andy O’Brien as president and chief executive officer. The second-quarter release named Ryan Lance as chairman and chief executive officer. Source
  • Differential strategy continues: The chief executive said the company is continuing to execute its differential strategy across the portfolio. Source
  • 2029 presented as not the endpoint: The chief executive said 2029 is not the endpoint and described the portfolio as positioning the company for growth well into the next decade. Source

Cash flow and capital returns

  • Cash from operations reached $7.2 billion: Cash provided by operating activities and CFO were both $7.2 billion. Free cash flow was $4.0 billion after $3.1 billion of capital expenditures and investments. Source
  • Noncore asset sales brought $1.6 billion: The company received $1.6 billion of disposition proceeds from the sale of noncore assets during the quarter. Source
  • Shareholder distributions reached $3.4 billion: Distributions totaled $3.4 billion, with $2.4 billion of share repurchases and $1.0 billion of ordinary dividends. Source
  • Cash balance rose from $8.1 billion: Cash and short-term investments were $10.4 billion at quarter end, up from $8.1 billion at the end of the second quarter. Long-term investments were $1.1 billion. Source

Dividend and call timing

  • Higher dividend paid December 1: The raised dividend is payable on December 1, 2026, to holders of record at the close of business on November 16, 2026. Source
  • Conference call held today: The company hosts a conference call on November 5, 2026, at 12:00 p.m. Eastern time, with a recording and transcript to be posted afterward. Source
  • More guidance on presentation slide: Additional guidance items are on slide 11 of the third-quarter 2026 earnings presentation on the investor relations website. Source

Coming up, as management said on 5 November 2026

  • Dividend payment on December 1: The raised quarterly dividend is payable December 1, 2026, to holders of record at the close of business on November 16, 2026. Source
  • Further guidance on slide 11: Additional guidance items are listed on slide 11 of the third-quarter 2026 earnings presentation. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Capital expenditure Source$3,133 million capital expenditures and investments

Risks management discussed

  • External: The Middle East conflict reduced Qatar volumes, which more than offset Lower 48 organic growth. Source
  • Financial: Higher Surmont royalties reduced production, alongside the Qatar impact from the Middle East conflict. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: The company stated it is on track for a 45% return of CFO in 2026. Source
  • On track: The chief executive said the company remains on track for a $7 billion free cash flow inflection by 2029. Source
  • On track: Willow first oil is on track for early 2029, with module fabrication over 75% complete. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.