greeksoup/ stock research

ConocoPhillips: Q1 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q1 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 30 April 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 1 lowered, 2 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • GAAP earnings fell from year earlier: Earnings were $2.2 billion, or $1.78 per share, compared with $2.8 billion, or $2.23 per share, in the first quarter of 2025. Source
  • Production declined 80 MBOED: Reported production was 2,309 MBOED, against 2,389 MBOED a year earlier. The company also gave a decline on a basis adjusted for dispositions. Source
  • Downtime and royalties offset growth: Lower 48 organic growth was more than offset by downtime, including Qatar effects from the conflict, and by higher Surmont royalties. Source
  • Realized price down 6%: Average realized price was $50.36 per BOE, compared with $53.34 per BOE in the first quarter of 2025. Source
  • Qatar excluded from Q2 production guidance: Second-quarter production guidance excludes Qatar because of uncertainty about the Middle East conflict. Source
  • Surmont royalty rate adjustment: A 15 MBOED annual royalty-rate adjustment at Surmont, tied to higher oil prices, is included in full-year production guidance. Source
  • CFO of $5.4 billion: Cash provided by operating activities was $4.3 billion. The $1.1 billion operating working capital change is excluded from CFO. Source
  • $2.0 billion returned in quarter: Distributions were split evenly between $1.0 billion of share repurchases and $1.0 billion of ordinary dividends. Source

“Amid ongoing macro volatility, ConocoPhillips delivered another quarter of strong financial and operational performance.”

Ryan Lance, chairman and chief executive officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Production, second quarter Sourcesecond quarter 20262.185 to 2.215 MMBOEDNew
Production, full year Sourcefull year 20262.295 to 2.325 MMBOEDLowered from 2.33 to 2.36 MMBOED
Production adjustments, Qatar and Surmont Sourcefull year 202620 MBOED Qatar; 15 MBOED Surmont royaltyNew
Capital spending Sourcefull year 2026$12 to $12.5 billionRaised from approximately $12 billion

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: Second-quarter production guidance was not in the prior release, which gave first-quarter guidance only. This release excludes Qatar from it. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Full-year 2026 production guidance moved from 2.33 to 2.36 MMBOED to 2.295 to 2.325 MMBOED. Source
  • Guidance raised: 2026 capital spending guidance moved from approximately $12 billion to $12 to $12.5 billion. Source
  • Guidance kept: Operating cost guidance was not changed in this release. Source
  • New: A tolling agreement was signed for third-party gas volumes at the Equatorial Guinea LNG facility. Source

Results and production

  • GAAP earnings fell from year earlier: Earnings were $2.2 billion, or $1.78 per share, compared with $2.8 billion, or $2.23 per share, in the first quarter of 2025. Source
  • Adjusted EPS of $1.89: Adjusted figures exclude special items and are reconciled to reported earnings in the release tables. Source
  • Production declined 80 MBOED: Reported production was 2,309 MBOED, against 2,389 MBOED a year earlier. The company also gave a decline on a basis adjusted for dispositions. Source
  • Downtime and royalties offset growth: Lower 48 organic growth was more than offset by downtime, including Qatar effects from the conflict, and by higher Surmont royalties. Source

Lower 48 segment

  • Lower 48 produced 1,453 MBOED: Delaware Basin output was 698 MBOED, Midland 200 MBOED, Eagle Ford 367 MBOED and Bakken 183 MBOED. Source
  • Gas prices and volumes cut earnings: Lower 48 earnings declined from the prior-year quarter, mainly on lower Permian gas prices and lower volumes. Source
  • Longer laterals doubled share: Management said the share of wells drilled with laterals of 3 miles or more more than doubled compared with the prior year. Source

“We remain focused on delivering our value proposition: operating safely; maximizing our returns on and of capital, reiterating our objective to return 45% of CFO to shareholders this year; and driving peer-leading free cash flow growth.”

Ryan Lance, chairman and chief executive officer

Prices, costs and special items

  • Realized price down 6%: Average realized price was $50.36 per BOE, compared with $53.34 per BOE in the first quarter of 2025. Source
  • Lower costs partly offset declines: Management said lower costs partly offset the decline in earnings from lower prices and volumes. Special items also reduced earnings. Source
  • Special items linked to claims: Special items mainly related to pending claims and settlements and a loss on a contingent liability measurement, reconciled in Table 1. Source

Qatar, Surmont and capital range

  • Qatar excluded from Q2 production guidance: Second-quarter production guidance excludes Qatar because of uncertainty about the Middle East conflict. Source
  • Surmont royalty rate adjustment: A 15 MBOED annual royalty-rate adjustment at Surmont, tied to higher oil prices, is included in full-year production guidance. Source
  • Capex range reflects macro and Qatar timing: The 2026 capital range reflects macro uncertainty and the timing of North Field East and North Field South capital in Qatar. Source

“Our thoughts are with our team, partners and everyone impacted by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East,”

Ryan Lance, chairman and chief executive officer

Cash flow and capital spending

  • CFO of $5.4 billion: Cash provided by operating activities was $4.3 billion. The $1.1 billion operating working capital change is excluded from CFO. Source
  • Capital spending and debt repaid: Capital expenditures and investments totaled $2.9 billion in the quarter. Debt of $0.1 billion was retired at maturity. Source
  • Cash and investments at quarter end: The company held $6.7 billion of cash and short-term investments and $1.2 billion of long-term investments at quarter end. Source

Shareholder returns

  • $2.0 billion returned in quarter: Distributions were split evenly between $1.0 billion of share repurchases and $1.0 billion of ordinary dividends. Source
  • Dividend of $0.84 payable June 1: The second-quarter ordinary dividend is payable June 1, 2026, to holders of record at the close of business on May 11, 2026. Source
  • Return target reiterated at 45% of CFO: Management reiterated its objective to return 45% of CFO to shareholders in 2026. Source

Projects and exploration

  • Willow reached 50% completion: Management described the Willow winter construction season as successful, with the project at 50% completion. Source
  • Alaska exploration and NPR-A acreage: The four-well Alaska winter exploration program is under evaluation, and high-priority NPR-A acreage was secured in a lease sale. Source
  • Equatorial Guinea LNG life extended: The tolling agreement for third-party gas at the Equatorial Guinea LNG facility is said to extend its life into the next decade. Source

Coming up, as management said on 30 April 2026

  • Recording and transcript to follow: A recording and transcript of the call will be posted on the investor site afterward. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Capital expenditure Source$2.9 billion funded in the quarter

Risks management discussed

  • External: Conflict in the Middle East creates uncertainty for Qatar production and guidance, according to management. Source
  • Operational: The capital range carries macro uncertainty and timing risk on North Field East and North Field South in Qatar. Source
  • Demand: Lower Permian gas prices reduced Lower 48 earnings in the quarter. Source
  • Operational: Downtime, including Qatar, offset Lower 48 organic growth. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: Management reiterated the 45% CFO return objective for 2026. Source
  • Not stated: Operating cost guidance was carried forward unchanged from the prior release. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.