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Centene Corp.: Q2 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q2 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 28 July 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 11 raised, 5 lowered, 1 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Earnings returned to profit; revenue up 4%: GAAP diluted EPS was $2.19 and adjusted diluted EPS $2.51, against a GAAP loss of $0.51 and an adjusted loss of $0.16 in the second quarter of 2025. Total revenues were $53.6 billion. Source
  • Commercial HBR came down to 79.2%: Commercial HBR was 79.2% against 90.6% a year earlier. Commercial premium and service revenue fell 7% to $9.4 billion, with Marketplace membership lower. Source
  • Marketplace membership fell to 3.5 million: Marketplace membership was 3.49 million, against 5.86 million a year earlier and 3.58 million at March 31. Individual and Commercial Group membership rose to 497,000 from 449,700. Source
  • Consolidated HBR improved to 89.6%: Consolidated HBR was 89.6% against 93.0%. Management cited lower Marketplace HBR from better pricing and risk transfer, rate and revenue increases, and Medicaid cost progress. Source
  • Full-year severance estimate now $355-405M: Full-year severance costs are estimated at $355 million to $405 million, up from $20 million to $24 million in April. Third-party vendor costs are estimated at $85 million to $115 million. Source
  • Cash and investments of $44.8 billion: Cash, investments and restricted deposits were $44.8 billion, up from $41.8 billion at March 31. Cash available for general corporate use was $715 million. Source
  • Full-year EPS floors raised: GAAP diluted EPS floor rose to greater than $3.11 from greater than $2.37, and adjusted floor to greater than $4.80 from greater than $3.40. Management said the increase includes about $0.50 of non-recurring items. Source

“Our second quarter results and improved full-year outlook represent meaningful milestones on our path to restoring profitability and increasing shareholder value,”

Chief Executive Officer of Centene, Sarah M. London

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Total revenues SourceFull year 2026$193.5 billion to $197.5 billionRaised from $187.5 billion to $191.5 billion
Premium and service revenues SourceFull year 2026$173.0 billion to $177.0 billionRaised from $171.0 billion to $175.0 billion
Investment and other income SourceFull year 2026$1.50 billionRaised from $1.45 billion
Health benefits ratio (HBR) SourceFull year 202690.5% to 91.3%Lowered from 90.9% to 91.7%
SG&A expense ratio SourceFull year 20267.2% to 7.8%Raised from 7.0% to 7.6%
Adjusted SG&A expense ratio SourceFull year 20266.9% to 7.5%Lowered from 7.0% to 7.6%
Effective tax rate SourceFull year 202626.5% to 27.5%Lowered from 27.0% to 28.0%
Adjusted effective tax rate SourceFull year 202625.5% to 26.5%Lowered from 26.0% to 27.0%
Diluted shares outstanding SourceFull year 2026497.0 million to 500.0 millionRaised from 495.6 million to 498.6 million
GAAP diluted EPS SourceFull year 2026greater than $3.11Raised from greater than $2.37
Adjusted diluted EPS SourceFull year 2026greater than $4.80Raised from greater than $3.40
Severance costs, enterprise optimization and contract exits SourceFull year 2026approximately $355 million to $405 millionRaised from approximately $20 million to $24 million
Enterprise optimization third-party vendor costs SourceFull year 2026approximately $85 million to $115 millionNew
Acquisition and divestiture related expenses SourceFull year 2026approximately $750 thousandRaised from approximately $575 thousand
Income tax effects of adjustments SourceFull year 2026approximately $268 million to $272 millionRaised from approximately $165 million to $169 million
Amortization of acquired intangible assets per share SourceFull year 2026approximately $1.30 per shareLowered from approximately $1.31 per share
Estimated severance per share SourceYear ended December 31, 2026$0.76 per share pre-taxRaised from $0.04 per share pre-tax
Non-recurring items in guidance increase SourceFull year 2026approximately $0.50 per share

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Total revenue guidance range raised by $6.0 billion, to $193.5 billion to $197.5 billion from $187.5 billion to $191.5 billion. Source
  • Guidance raised: Premium and service revenue guidance range raised by $2.0 billion, to $173.0 billion to $177.0 billion from $171.0 billion to $175.0 billion. Source
  • Guidance raised: Investment and other income expectation raised by $50 million, to $1.50 billion from $1.45 billion. Source
  • Guidance raised: GAAP diluted EPS guidance floor raised to greater than $3.11 from greater than $2.37. Source
  • Guidance raised: Adjusted diluted EPS guidance floor raised to greater than $4.80 from greater than $3.40. Source
  • Guidance raised: Full-year severance cost estimate raised to $355 million to $405 million from $20 million to $24 million. Source
  • New guidance: Full-year estimate for enterprise optimization third-party vendor costs of $85 million to $115 million added. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Full-year HBR range moved down to 90.5% to 91.3% from 90.9% to 91.7%. Source
  • Guidance raised: Full-year SG&A expense ratio range moved up to 7.2% to 7.8% from 7.0% to 7.6%. Source
  • New: Enterprise optimization costs of $37 million and severance of $15 million were recorded in the quarter and excluded from adjusted results. Source
  • New: Company repurchased $260 million of par value senior notes due 2027 and 2028 during the quarter. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Earnings returned to profit; revenue up 4%: GAAP diluted EPS was $2.19 and adjusted diluted EPS $2.51, against a GAAP loss of $0.51 and an adjusted loss of $0.16 in the second quarter of 2025. Total revenues were $53.6 billion. Source
  • PDP growth and rate increases drove revenue: Management attributed premium revenue growth to PDP premium yield and membership, Marketplace and Medicaid rate increases, Marketplace risk adjustment for 2025 and 2026 benefit years, and state directed payments. Source
  • Net earnings attributable to Centene rose: GAAP net earnings attributable to Centene were $1,091 million in the quarter, against a loss of $253 million a year earlier. Six-month GAAP net earnings were $2,632 million. Source
  • Premium tax revenue rose to $9.2 billion: Premium tax revenue was $9.2 billion against $6.3 billion a year earlier. Management defines pass-through payments as state supplemental payments recorded as premium tax revenue and premium tax expense. Source

Segment results by product

  • Commercial HBR came down to 79.2%: Commercial HBR was 79.2% against 90.6% a year earlier. Commercial premium and service revenue fell 7% to $9.4 billion, with Marketplace membership lower. Source
  • Medicaid HBR of 93.9%: Medicaid HBR was 93.9% against 94.9%. Medicaid premium and service revenue rose 5% to $22.8 billion, and management described the HBR as in-line with expectations. Source
  • Medicare HBR 89.5%, revenue up 17%: Medicare HBR was 89.5% against 90.9%, and Medicare premium and service revenue rose 17% to $11.1 billion. Medicare covers Medicare Advantage, PDP and Medicare Supplement. Source

“We are excited by the positive momentum we have built and remain focused on our goal of delivering industry-leading health outcomes with an industry-leading cost structure.”

Chief Executive Officer of Centene, Sarah M. London

Membership and demand

  • Marketplace membership fell to 3.5 million: Marketplace membership was 3.49 million, against 5.86 million a year earlier and 3.58 million at March 31. Individual and Commercial Group membership rose to 497,000 from 449,700. Source
  • PDP membership continued to grow: Medicare PDP membership was 8.80 million, against 7.85 million a year earlier. Total at-risk membership was 25.9 million, against 28.0 million. Source
  • Medicaid membership declined: Total Medicaid membership was 12.1 million against 12.8 million a year earlier. High Acuity Medicaid fell to 1.36 million; in 2026 MMP members are counted in Medicare under the CMS transition to D-SNP based integration. Source
  • Medicare membership definition changed: Medicare membership now includes Applicable Integrated Plans following the CMS transition to D-SNP based integration in 2026. Source

Medical costs and margins

  • Consolidated HBR improved to 89.6%: Consolidated HBR was 89.6% against 93.0%. Management cited lower Marketplace HBR from better pricing and risk transfer, rate and revenue increases, and Medicaid cost progress. Source
  • Medicare reserve and 2025 items: Medicare Advantage recorded a premium deficiency reserve increase in 2025 and none in 2026. Favorable resolution of 2025 benefit year programmatic elements in Medicare also benefited the HBR. Source
  • Prior-period claims development favorable: Claims incurred for prior periods were $1,737 million favorable over the twelve months to June 30, 2026, against $1,972 million over the twelve months to March 31. Return-of-premium programs reduced premium revenue by about $22 million, against $34 million. Source

“Guidance increase resulting from underlying strength of the business, including approximately $0.50 of non-recurring items in Medicare and Commercial segments.”

Centene Corp., press release

Costs and enterprise optimization

  • SG&A ratio eased to 7.0%: SG&A expense ratio was 7.0% against 7.1%, and adjusted ratio 6.9% against 7.1%. Management attributed the decrease to cost management, expense leverage over higher revenues, and reduced Marketplace membership. Source
  • Enterprise optimization costs in quarter: The quarter included $37 million of enterprise optimization costs and $15 million of severance for enterprise optimization and contract exits. Both are excluded from adjusted results. Source
  • Full-year severance estimate now $355-405M: Full-year severance costs are estimated at $355 million to $405 million, up from $20 million to $24 million in April. Third-party vendor costs are estimated at $85 million to $115 million. Source
  • Employee count down to 59,800: Employees numbered 59,800 at June 30, against 61,000 at March 31 and 60,300 a year earlier. Source

Cash, debt and shareholder returns

  • Operating cash flow of $3.6 billion: Cash flow from operations was $3.6 billion in the quarter and $8.0 billion for six months. Management attributed the quarter mainly to net earnings and payment timing, partly offset by a net improvement in the 2025 risk adjustment transfer position. Source
  • Senior notes repurchased for $260 million: The company repurchased $260 million of senior notes due 2027 and 2028 in the quarter. Total debt was $16.1 billion, and the $4.0 billion revolving credit facility had no borrowings at quarter end. Source
  • Cash and investments of $44.8 billion: Cash, investments and restricted deposits were $44.8 billion, up from $41.8 billion at March 31. Cash available for general corporate use was $715 million. Source
  • Debt to capitalization 41.6%: Debt to capitalization was 41.6%, against 43.2% at March 31 and 39.0% a year earlier. Source
  • Six-month buybacks of $33 million: Common stock repurchases were $33 million in the first six months, against $473 million a year earlier. Proceeds from common stock issuances were $18 million. Source
  • Days in claims payable at 47: Days in claims payable were 47, one day lower than at March 31, which management attributed to timing of state directed payments. Source

Full-year guidance update

  • Full-year EPS floors raised: GAAP diluted EPS floor rose to greater than $3.11 from greater than $2.37, and adjusted floor to greater than $4.80 from greater than $3.40. Management said the increase includes about $0.50 of non-recurring items. Source
  • HBR and SG&A ranges moved: Full-year HBR range is 90.5% to 91.3%, against 90.9% to 91.7%. Full-year SG&A expense ratio range is 7.2% to 7.8%, against 7.0% to 7.6%. Source
  • Tax and share count ranges: Full-year effective tax rate is 26.5% to 27.5%, adjusted rate 25.5% to 26.5%, and diluted shares 497.0 to 500.0 million, against 495.6 to 498.6 million in April. Source
  • Revenue and investment income ranges raised: Total revenue range is $193.5 billion to $197.5 billion and premium and service revenue range is $173.0 billion to $177.0 billion. Investment and other income expectation is $1.50 billion. Source

Coming up, as management said on 28 July 2026

  • Full-year 2026 enterprise optimization costs: Full-year 2026 estimates include severance and enterprise optimization costs still to be recorded through the year end. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Investment income Source$435 million, three months ended June 30, 2026
Prior-year reserve development Source$1,737 million favorable, twelve months to June 30, 2026

Risks management discussed

  • Demand: Lower Marketplace and Medicaid membership partly offset revenue growth in the quarter. Source
  • Operational: Management cited continued work on medical cost trend, with Medicaid HBR at 93.9% in the quarter. Source
  • Operational: Marketplace HBR depends on membership acuity and risk transfer, which management cited as drivers of the lower Marketplace HBR. Source
  • Regulatory: Management noted limited visibility into the timing of state directed payments until a state pays them. Source
  • Financial: Operating cash flow depends on payment timing for pass-through, premium and other payments, which management identified as a driver of the quarter. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: Management described Medicaid HBR of 93.9% as in-line with expectations for the quarter. Source
  • Not stated: Management estimated full-year 2026 severance at $0.76 per share and enterprise optimization costs at $0.20 per share, both pre-tax. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.