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Centene Corp.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 6 February 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 11 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 loss per share, full-year adjusted EPS: Q4 GAAP diluted loss per share was $(2.24) and adjusted diluted loss was $(1.19). Full-year GAAP diluted loss was $(13.53) and adjusted diluted EPS was $2.08. Source
  • Premium and service revenue up 23%: Q4 total revenues were $49,725 million and premium and service revenues were $44,727 million. Drivers were PDP yield and membership, Marketplace market growth and Medicaid rate increases. Source
  • Q4 health benefits ratio rose to 94.3%: Q4 HBR was 94.3% against 89.6% a year earlier, driven by higher Marketplace morbidity and PDP program changes under the IRA. Full-year HBR was 91.9% against 88.3%. Source
  • Commercial HBR 100 basis points above expectations: Commercial HBR was 95.4% in Q4, against 81.8% a year earlier. The figure was 100 basis points above expectations, driven by net out-of-period items. Source
  • SG&A ratio fell on scale and PDP mix: SG&A expense ratio was 7.5% in Q4, against 8.9%, and 7.4% for the year, against 8.5%. Marketplace growth, at a higher SG&A ratio, partly offset the decrease. Source
  • Favorable prior-period claims development: Prior-period claims development was favorable for 2025. About $93 million was recorded as a reduction to premium revenue under minimum HBR and return of premium programs. Source

“We are pleased to end a challenging year carrying positive momentum from the extensive and decisive actions taken in the back half of 2025 with the goal of restoring Marketplace profitability and stabilizing the trajectory of our Medicaid business,”

Chief Executive Officer of Centene, Sarah M. London

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
GAAP diluted EPS SourceFull year 2026> $1.98New
Adjusted diluted EPS SourceFull year 2026> $3.00New
Total revenues SourceFull year 2026$186.5 billion to $190.5 billionNew
Premium and service revenues SourceFull year 2026$170.0 billion to $174.0 billionNew
Health benefits ratio and SG&A expense ratio, GAAP and adjusted SourceFull year 2026HBR 90.9% to 91.7%; SG&A expense ratio 7.1% to 7.7%; adjusted SG&A expense ratio 7.1% to 7.7%New
Effective tax rate SourceFull year 2026GAAP 27.0% to 28.0%; adjusted 26.0% to 27.0%New
Diluted shares outstanding SourceFull year 2026495.6 million to 498.6 millionNew
Amortization of acquired intangible assets, per diluted share SourceFull year 2026~$1.34 per shareNew
Net loss on debt extinguishment, per diluted share SourceFull year 2026$0.01 per shareNew
Acquisition and divestiture related expenses excluded from adjusted SG&A SourceFull year 2026approximately $300 thousandNew
Income tax effects of adjustments SourceFull year 2026$161 million to $164 millionNew

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: Full-year 2026 guidance appears in this release; the previous release gave only 2025 forecasts. Source
  • New: Definitive agreement signed in December 2025 to divest the remaining Magellan Health businesses; a $513 million impairment was recorded for the pending divestiture. Source

Fourth quarter and full-year results

  • Q4 loss per share, full-year adjusted EPS: Q4 GAAP diluted loss per share was $(2.24) and adjusted diluted loss was $(1.19). Full-year GAAP diluted loss was $(13.53) and adjusted diluted EPS was $2.08. Source
  • Premium and service revenue up 23%: Q4 total revenues were $49,725 million and premium and service revenues were $44,727 million. Drivers were PDP yield and membership, Marketplace market growth and Medicaid rate increases. Source
  • Full-year premium and service revenue up 20%: Full-year premium and service revenues rose 20% to $174.6 billion. The 2024 comparison included Marketplace risk adjustment outperformance for the 2023 benefit year. Source
  • Operating cash flow lifted by timing items: Operating cash flow was $437 million in Q4, driven by pharmacy rebate, CMS and state remittance timing. Full-year operating cash flow was $5.1 billion. Source

Segments and membership

  • Medicare revenue up 75% in Q4: Medicare premium and service revenue rose 75% to $9,610 million in Q4 and 62% to $37,210 million for the year. Source
  • Commercial revenue up 24% in Q4: Commercial premium and service revenue rose 24% to $10,792 million in Q4 and 25% to $42,003 million for the year. Source
  • Medicaid membership lower over the year: Medicaid membership was 12,518,400 at year-end, down from 13,003,500, while Medicaid revenue rose 11% in Q4 to $23,045 million. Source
  • Marketplace membership higher than last year: Marketplace membership was 5,541,400 at year-end, up from 4,382,100 a year earlier and down from 5,828,100 at September 30. Source
  • PDP membership grew to 8.1 million: Medicare Prescription Drug Plan membership was 8,118,600 at year-end, up from 6,925,700 a year earlier. Source

“As we look to 2026, we are positioned to deliver meaningful margin improvement and renewed adjusted diluted EPS growth.”

Chief Executive Officer of Centene, Sarah M. London

Health benefits ratio by product

  • Q4 health benefits ratio rose to 94.3%: Q4 HBR was 94.3% against 89.6% a year earlier, driven by higher Marketplace morbidity and PDP program changes under the IRA. Full-year HBR was 91.9% against 88.3%. Source
  • Commercial HBR 100 basis points above expectations: Commercial HBR was 95.4% in Q4, against 81.8% a year earlier. The figure was 100 basis points above expectations, driven by net out-of-period items. Source
  • Medicaid HBR fell 40 basis points: Medicaid HBR was 93.0% in Q4 and 93.7% for the year, against 93.4% and 92.5% in the comparable periods. Source
  • Medicare HBR rose in Q4: Medicare HBR was 96.1% in Q4 against 86.7%, and 92.0% for the year against 88.7%. Medicare here covers Medicare Advantage, PDP and Medicare Supplement. Source

SG&A and effective tax rate

  • SG&A ratio fell on scale and PDP mix: SG&A expense ratio was 7.5% in Q4, against 8.9%, and 7.4% for the year, against 8.5%. Marketplace growth, at a higher SG&A ratio, partly offset the decrease. Source
  • Q4 effective tax rate rose to 28.7%: Q4 effective tax rate was 28.7% against 19.2%, and adjusted effective tax rate was 32.1% against 20.7%. Both reflect the Magellan Health impairment and state uncertain tax position releases. Source
  • Full-year effective tax rate 0.8%: Full-year effective tax rate was 0.8% against 22.6%, and adjusted rate was 20.4% against 23.8%. The goodwill impairment was non-deductible. Source

Claims reserves and claims liability

  • Favorable prior-period claims development: Prior-period claims development was favorable for 2025. About $93 million was recorded as a reduction to premium revenue under minimum HBR and return of premium programs. Source
  • Days in claims payable down two: Days in claims payable were 46, down two from Q3. Management attributed this to state-directed payments and the elimination of the Medicare Advantage premium deficiency reserve. Medical claims liability was $20,544 million. Source
  • Medical claims incurred and paid totals: Medical claims incurred for the current period were $160,109 million. Total incurred, including prior periods, was $157,794 million. Source

Cash, debt and shareholder returns

  • Cash and investments of $38.8 billion: Cash, investments and restricted deposits were $38.8 billion, with $400 million available for general corporate use. Total debt was $17.4 billion, and the $4.0 billion revolver had no borrowings. Source
  • Debt to capitalization rose to 46.5%: Debt to capitalization was 46.5% at year-end, against 45.5% at September 30 and 41.2% a year earlier. Source
  • Share repurchases and debt repayments: Common stock repurchases were $475 million for 2025, against $3,124 million in 2024. Debt repayments were $1,895 million, and new long-term debt proceeds were $750 million. Source
  • Capital expenditures for the year: Capital expenditures were $767 million for 2025, against $644 million in 2024. Source

Goodwill impairment and amortization

  • Goodwill impairment drives GAAP loss: The full-year GAAP loss reflects a goodwill impairment recorded in Q3 after July 2025 market conditions, including the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and the decline in the stock price. Source
  • Amortization excluded from adjusted earnings: Amortization of acquired intangible assets was $169 million in Q4 and $685 million for the year. It is excluded from adjusted results. Source

Employees and community programs

  • Employees rose to 61,100: Employees numbered 61,100 at December 31, 2025, against 60,500 a year earlier. Source
  • Foster care center opened in Missouri: In October, Home State Health launched a Foster Care Center of Excellence with Jordan Valley Community Health Center. Centene's centers are also operational in Texas, Washington and Oklahoma. Source
  • Food bank support after SNAP, WIC disruptions: In November, the Centene Foundation and five subsidiaries announced contributions to food banks and community-based organizations, following disruptions to SNAP and WIC. Source

Coming up, as management said on 6 February 2026

  • Magellan divestiture still pending: The remaining Magellan Health divestiture is described as pending. The release gives no closing date. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Prior-year reserve development Source$2,315 million favorable, 2025 incurred related to prior periods
Investment income Source$1,572 million for full-year 2025 (investment and other income); $369 million in Q4

Risks management discussed

  • Financial: Lower Marketplace risk adjustment revenue and higher Marketplace medical costs contributed to the full-year HBR increase. Source
  • Regulatory: PDP program changes under the Inflation Reduction Act contributed to a higher health benefits ratio compared with the prior year. Source
  • Operational: Medicaid medical costs rose on behavioral health and home health, partly offset by rate increases. Source
  • Financial: Timing of state-directed payments is hard to predict, and the company has limited visibility until states pay. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: Management said the Q4 trend was consistent with expectations in Medicaid and Medicare Advantage, and slightly favorable in Marketplace and Medicare PDP. Source
  • Not stated: The Q3 release set the full-year 2025 adjusted diluted EPS forecast at no less than $2.00. The Q4 release does not state whether that forecast was met.
  • Not stated: The Q3 release set a full-year 2025 GAAP diluted loss per share ceiling of $(12.85). The Q4 release does not state whether that forecast was met.

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.