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Affirm Holdings, Inc.: Q2 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q2 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 5 February 2026: letter to shareholders. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • GMV grew 36% to $13.8 billion: GMV rose 36% to $13.8 billion, accelerating from 35% growth a year earlier. Over 40% of growth came from direct merchant point-of-sale integrations. Source
  • RLTC at high end of target: RLTC rose 29% to $543 million, or 3.93% of GMV, down 20 basis points, at the high end of the 3 to 4% long-term target range. Source
  • Card GMV grew 159%: Direct-to-consumer GMV rose 52% to $4.3 billion, led by Card GMV up 159% to $2.2 billion. In-store Card GMV is more than an order of magnitude above non-Card in-store spend. Source
  • 0% APR share of GMV rose: 0% APR products, including Pay in X, rose to 32% of GMV from 28%, lowering average interest yield versus a constant mix. Source
  • Big Nothing lifted merchant GMV: The October 0% event lifted merchant GMV 5%, rising to 27% when highlighted on Affirm surfaces. It was about 15% of October GMV, and daily Card signups rose 21%. Source
  • Adjusted operating income up 42%: Adjusted operating income was $337 million, up $99 million or 42%, with adjusted operating margin at 30.0% against 27.4%. Source
  • 30+ day delinquencies edged up: Ex-Peloton and Pay in X 30+ day delinquencies were 2.7%, up 18 basis points year over year and down 7 basis points sequentially. Source
  • Funding capacity rose to $28.0 billion: Funding capacity rose to $28.0 billion from $26.6 billion. Management says the capacity can support more than $65 billion of annual GMV at about five-month loan duration. Source

“We achieved these results with merchant funding and without sacrificing unit economics.”

Affirm Holdings, Inc., letter to shareholders

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
GMV SourceFiscal Q3 2026$11.00 to $11.25 billion
GMV SourceFiscal Q4 2026$12.75 to $13.05 billion
GMV SourceFiscal 2026$48.30 to $48.85 billion
Revenue SourceFiscal Q3 2026$970 to $1,000 million
Revenue SourceFiscal Q4 2026$1,060 to $1,090 million
Revenue SourceFiscal 2026$4,086 to $4,146 million
Revenue Less Transaction Costs SourceFiscal Q3 2026$450 to $465 million
Revenue Less Transaction Costs SourceFiscal Q4 2026$510 to $525 million
Revenue Less Transaction Costs SourceFiscal 2026$1,958 to $1,988 million
Operating margin SourceFiscal Q3 20264.5 to 6.0%
Operating margin SourceFiscal Q4 20268.5 to 10.5%
Operating margin SourceFiscal 20267.7 to 8.6%
Adjusted operating margin SourceFiscal Q3 202624.5 to 25.5%
Adjusted operating margin SourceFiscal Q4 202626.5 to 28.5%
Adjusted operating margin SourceFiscal 202627.4 to 28.1%
Weighted average basic shares outstanding SourceFiscal Q3 2026338 million
Weighted average basic shares outstanding SourceFiscal Q4 2026341 million
Weighted average basic shares outstanding SourceFiscal 2026336 million
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding SourceFiscal Q3 2026352 million
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding SourceFiscal Q4 2026353 million
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding SourceFiscal 2026351 million
Equity capital required as a percent of total platform portfolio Sourcenot statedbelow 5%
Convertible notes repurchase SourceJanuary 1, 2026 through November 13, 2026up to $176 million

What changed from last quarter

  • New: Held the inaugural Big Nothing, a 0% APR event with merchants, in October. Source
  • New: Entered a multi-year partnership with Intuit making Affirm the exclusive pay-over-time option in QuickBooks Payments. Source
  • New: Signed Virgin Media O2 in the UK to provide device and hardware financing. Source
  • New: Renewed and expanded the Expedia partnership in the US and Canada, and extended Wayfair to Canada and the UK. Source
  • Ended: An enterprise merchant moved its Pay Later volumes to its own wallet; the transition was substantially completed in FQ1’26. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • GMV grew 36% to $13.8 billion: GMV rose 36% to $13.8 billion, accelerating from 35% growth a year earlier. Over 40% of growth came from direct merchant point-of-sale integrations. Source
  • Revenue grew 30%: Total revenue rose 30% to $1,123 million in the quarter. Source
  • Operating income turned positive: Operating income was $118 million, a $122 million improvement on the $4 million loss in the year-earlier quarter. Source
  • Diluted EPS rose to $0.37: Diluted net income per share was $0.37 against $0.23 a year earlier; basic was $0.39 against $0.25. Source
  • Active consumers and frequency rose: Active consumers reached 25.8 million, and transactions per active consumer rose 20% to 6.4. Source

Revenue and unit economics

  • Revenue as a share of GMV fell: Revenue was 8.14% of GMV, down 40 basis points, with interest income down 46 basis points of GMV as 0% APR mix rose. Source
  • Interest income grew 21%: Interest income rose 21%, driven by a 22% increase in average net loans held for investment. Network revenue rose 32%. Source
  • Gain on sale rose on pricing: Gain on sale of loans rose 48% and 11 basis points as a share of GMV, from loans sold up 29% and better loan sale pricing. Source
  • RLTC at high end of target: RLTC rose 29% to $543 million, or 3.93% of GMV, down 20 basis points, at the high end of the 3 to 4% long-term target range. Source
  • Lower funding costs offset revenue drop: Average annualized cost of funds fell to 6.2%, down about 109 basis points year over year and 57 sequentially, adding 25 basis points to RLTC as a share of GMV. Source

“Consumers aren't avoiding credit. They’re avoiding credit that profits from their confusion.”

Affirm Holdings, Inc., letter to shareholders

Affirm Card and direct-to-consumer

  • Card GMV grew 159%: Direct-to-consumer GMV rose 52% to $4.3 billion, led by Card GMV up 159% to $2.2 billion. In-store Card GMV is more than an order of magnitude above non-Card in-store spend. Source
  • Active cardholders more than doubled: Active cardholders reached 3.7 million, more than doubling year over year, and card attach rate rose to about 14%, up about three points sequentially. Source
  • Card 0% APR use grew sharply: Card 0% APR GMV rose 190% and now makes up almost 20% of Card GMV, up 4 points sequentially. Source
  • Card signups rose over shopping weekend: Affirm Card signups during the shopping weekend grew 130%, with about 65% of new activations from near-prime or better borrowers. Source

0% APR offers and merchant funding

  • 0% APR share of GMV rose: 0% APR products, including Pay in X, rose to 32% of GMV from 28%, lowering average interest yield versus a constant mix. Source
  • Monthly installment GMV up 65%: GMV from 0% APR monthly installment products rose 65%, and Pay-in-X volume rose 55%. Source
  • Big Nothing lifted merchant GMV: The October 0% event lifted merchant GMV 5%, rising to 27% when highlighted on Affirm surfaces. It was about 15% of October GMV, and daily Card signups rose 21%. Source
  • Most applications saw 0% offers: Over 65% of approved US loan applications were presented with a 0% APR offer, and 39% of all transactions were 0% APR. Source

“Affirm truly shines when the transaction really matters, and for higher AOV baskets we saw a progressively greater lift.”

Affirm Holdings, Inc., letter to shareholders

Merchants, partners and platforms

  • Top-five partner share eased: GMV from the top five merchants and platform partners grew 23%, and their share of GMV fell to 46% from 51%. Source
  • Active merchants up 42%: Active merchants reached 478 thousand, up 42%, with growth driven mainly by two wallet partnerships and several ISV partnerships. Source
  • Merchants funded 0% offers: About 60 thousand merchants funded 0% offers in the quarter, nearly quadrupling year over year. Over 95% of 0% monthly installment GMV at integrated merchants was merchant funded. Source

Costs and profitability

  • Adjusted operating income up 42%: Adjusted operating income was $337 million, up $99 million or 42%, with adjusted operating margin at 30.0% against 27.4%. Source
  • Warrant expense sits in operating income: Operating income of $118 million includes $66 million of enterprise warrant and share-based expense tied to warrants granted to two enterprise partners. Source
  • Technology spend rose with transactions: Technology and data analytics rose 25%, as transaction count grew 44% and infrastructure expense rose. Investment continued in Card, wallet, PSP and international. Source
  • Sales and marketing fell on warrants: Sales and marketing fell $37 million, or 27%, mainly from a $35 million drop in enterprise warrant expense. Source
  • Non-GAAP operating costs rose 13%: Non-GAAP operating expenses excluding transaction costs rose $24 million, or 13%, against a $123 million increase in RLTC. Source

Credit quality and loan performance

  • 30+ day delinquencies edged up: Ex-Peloton and Pay in X 30+ day delinquencies were 2.7%, up 18 basis points year over year and down 7 basis points sequentially. Source
  • Allowance ratio at 5.4%: Allowance for credit losses was 5.4% of loans held for investment, flat year over year and down from 5.9% in FQ1'26. Source
  • Recent monthly cohorts tracking 3.5%: Recent monthly installment cohorts track toward about 3.5% ultimate net charge-offs as a share of cohort GMV, in line with expectations. Source
  • Pay in 4 losses under 1%: All recent Pay in 4 vintages continue to track to loss rates below 1% of GMV. Source

Funding, capital and shareholder returns

  • Funding capacity rose to $28.0 billion: Funding capacity rose to $28.0 billion from $26.6 billion. Management says the capacity can support more than $65 billion of annual GMV at about five-month loan duration. Source
  • Forward flow capacity added: Forward flow capacity rose about $600 million, mainly from onboarding AB CarVal. Warehouse capacity rose about $100 million with a multinational bank. Source
  • November ABS priced at 5.96%: The 2025-X2 securitization, the largest static deal to date, priced at 5.96% all-in cost of funds, over 100 basis points below the last static deal, about six times oversubscribed. Source
  • Net cash rose $408 million: Net cash of $1.1 billion rose $408 million year over year, as cash and securities rose $384 million and convertible debt fell $23 million. Source
  • No buybacks this quarter: No common stock was repurchased in the quarter, against $250 million a year earlier. Taxes paid on net share settlement of equity awards were $80.9 million. Source
  • Convertible notes repurchase authorized: The board authorized repurchase of up to $176 million of the $221 million outstanding 2026 convertible notes through November 13, 2026. Source

Strategy, AI and affordability

  • AI lifted checkout conversion: AdaptAI, deployed on nearly all surfaces, contributed about a 10% year-over-year improvement in end-to-end checkout conversion. BoostAI shows 5 - 15% merchant GMV lift. Source
  • BoostAI deployed at 47 enterprises: BoostAI, launched a few months before quarter end, is deployed at 47 enterprise merchants and hundreds of SMBs. Management plans to roll it across the network. Source
  • Affordability savings estimate: Management estimates US households in 2024 could have saved up to $18 billion by using Affirm instead of revolving on a credit card. Source
  • Holiday season a test of affordability: Management said the holiday season was a referendum on affordability, with consumers giving more thoughtful consideration to how they spend. Source
  • International not a material FY26 driver: Expansion outside North America is not expected to be a material growth contributor during FY’26. Source

People and leadership

  • Thanks to Affirmers: Management thanked all Affirmers for the quarter and said the people at the company matter in the age of AI. Source
  • Cross-functional BFCM effort credited: Management credited a cross-functional team across Engineering, Product, Operations, Analytics and Marketing for the largest BFCM the company has run. Source
  • Named executives host results call: Max Levchin, Founder and CEO, Michael Linford, COO, and Rob O’Hare, CFO, host the results call. Source

Coming up, as management said on 5 February 2026

  • Investor Forum on May 12: Management will hold its Investor Forum on May 12, 2026, covering vision, commercial and product initiatives, and financial framework. Source
  • Morgan Stanley conference in March: Affirm plans to attend the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media, and Telecom conference in San Francisco on March 3-4, 2026. Source
  • Wolfe FinTech Forum in March: Affirm plans to attend the Wolfe FinTech Forum in New York on March 11, 2026. Source
  • Possible tax allowance release: If earnings continue on trajectory, the company expects there may be enough positive evidence to release a significant portion of the US deferred tax valuation allowance by end of fiscal 2026. Source
  • BoostAI rollout across network: Management is excited to continue rolling BoostAI across its entire merchant network. Source
  • Next Big Nothing events in planning: Management is already planning the next Big Nothing events. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Gross merchandise volume (GMV), billions Source$13.8 billion
Total transactions Source54.9 million
Active consumers Source25.8 million
Transactions per active consumer Source6.4
Active merchants Source478.3 thousand
Active cardholders Source3.7 million
Card attach rate Sourceapproximately 14%
Total platform portfolio Source$19.0 billion
Funding capacity Source$28.0 billion

Risks management discussed

  • Financial: 0% APR products carry lower RLTC as a share of GMV than interest-bearing products, so a rising 0% mix lowers yield. Source
  • Financial: Ex-Peloton and Pay in X 30+ day delinquencies rose 18 basis points year over year. Source
  • Operational: Infrastructure expense rose with transaction volume, which grew 44% in the quarter. Source
  • Demand: An enterprise merchant moved Pay Later volume to its own wallet, reducing volume through Affirm. Source
  • External: Management says consumers are scrutinizing spending and fees, making affordability a central issue for the holiday season. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: Management says recent cohorts are tracking toward about 3.5% and are in line with expectations. Source
  • On track: Management says recent Pay in 4 vintages continue to track to losses under 1% of GMV. Source
  • Met: Management says the enterprise merchant's transition was substantially completed in FQ1’26. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.