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AES Corp.: Q3 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 4 November 2025: press release. Guidance figures: 7 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Net income rose to $517 million: Third quarter net income was $517 million versus $215 million a year earlier; net income attributable to AES was $639 million versus $504 million. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose $132 million: Adjusted EBITDA was $830 million versus $698 million, driven by new Renewables projects and higher rider revenues at AES Indiana and AES Ohio. Source
  • Renewables Adjusted EBITDA up nearly 50%: Renewables SBU Adjusted EBITDA is up nearly 50% year-to-date, mainly from the 3 GW brought online since third quarter 2024. Renewables revenue was $817 million versus $754 million. Source
  • Backlog stands at 11.1 GW: Backlog of projects with signed contracts that are not yet operational is 11.1 GW, including 5 GW under construction. Source
  • Operating cash flow rose to $1,297M: Net cash from operating activities was $1,297 million in the quarter versus $985 million; nine-month operating cash flow was $2,818 million versus $1,664 million. Source
  • Parent liquidity fell to $1,650M: Parent Company Liquidity was $1,650 million at September 30, 2025, versus $2,194 million at June 30, 2025, with availability under credit facilities at $1,619 million. Source

“I am very pleased with our performance year-to-date, which has us on track to achieve all of our financial and strategic objectives.”

Andrés Gluski, AES President and Chief Executive Officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Adjusted EBITDA Source2025$2,650 to $2,850 millionKept
Adjusted EBITDA growth Source2023 to 2027, annualized5% to 7%Kept
Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes Source2025$3,950 to $4,350 millionKept
Adjusted EPS Source2025$2.10 to $2.26Kept
Adjusted EPS growth Source2020 to 2025, annualized7% to 9%Kept
Adjusted EPS growth Source2023 to 2027, annualized7% to 9%Kept
Quarterly dividend SourceGoing forward$0.17595 per quarterKept
New projects in operation Source20253.2 GW
Long-term PPA signings Source2023 through 202514-17 GW
US utilities capital expenditures Source2025$1.4 billion

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance kept: 2025 guidance and long-term growth rate targets reaffirmed; no figures changed in the release. Source
  • New: AES Indiana filed a 20-year Integrated Resource Plan. Source
  • New: AES Ohio reached a unanimous settlement resolving its distribution rate review. Source
  • Ended: The sale of AES Brasil is cited as an offset to Adjusted EBITDA; the sell-down of AES Ohio is also cited. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Net income rose to $517 million: Third quarter net income was $517 million versus $215 million a year earlier; net income attributable to AES was $639 million versus $504 million. Source
  • Diluted EPS reached $0.94: Diluted EPS from continuing operations was $0.94 versus $0.72. Adjusted EPS was $0.75 versus $0.71. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose $132 million: Adjusted EBITDA was $830 million versus $698 million, driven by new Renewables projects and higher rider revenues at AES Indiana and AES Ohio. Source

Segments and regions

  • Renewables Adjusted EBITDA up nearly 50%: Renewables SBU Adjusted EBITDA is up nearly 50% year-to-date, mainly from the 3 GW brought online since third quarter 2024. Renewables revenue was $817 million versus $754 million. Source
  • Utilities revenue and rider revenue up: Utilities SBU revenue was $1,105 million versus $961 million, with rider revenues up on revised rates at AES Indiana and AES Ohio. Source
  • Energy Infrastructure revenue declined: Energy Infrastructure SBU revenue was $1,483 million versus $1,614 million; lower generation at this SBU is cited as an offset to net income. Source

“We are reaffirming our 2025 guidance and long-term growth rate targets through 2027”

Stephen Coughlin, AES Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Contracts, backlog and customers

  • Backlog stands at 11.1 GW: Backlog of projects with signed contracts that are not yet operational is 11.1 GW, including 5 GW under construction. Source
  • Hyperscaler customers in backlog: Backlog includes 4 GW with hyperscaler customers, per the CEO, and most of it is expected online within three years. Source
  • New PPAs signed year to date: Year-to-date the company signed or was awarded new long-term PPAs for 2.2 GW of renewables, including 1.6 GW with data centers. Source

Earnings and tax items

  • Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes up: Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes was $1,256 million versus $1,174 million, partly offset by lower realized tax attributes from timing of recognition. Source
  • Adjusted EPS helped by lower tax rate: Adjusted EPS rose $0.04, mainly from a lower adjusted tax rate including tax credit transfers, higher Utilities retail margin, and lower Corporate general and administrative costs. Source
  • Interest expense and income declined: Interest expense was $348 million versus $379 million, and interest income was $76 million versus $119 million. Source

“We are also on track with our $1.4 billion 2025 capex plan at our US utilities, which will deliver important upgrades to our customers.”

Stephen Coughlin, AES Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Utilities rate reviews and planning

  • AES Ohio rate review settled: AES Ohio reached a unanimous settlement resolving its distribution rate review. Source
  • AES Indiana partial rate settlement: AES Indiana reached a partial settlement agreement for its current rate review. Source
  • 20-year IRP filed at AES Indiana: AES Indiana filed a 20-year Integrated Resource Plan, listed among the utility's progress items for the quarter. Source

Cash flow, capital and returns

  • Operating cash flow rose to $1,297M: Net cash from operating activities was $1,297 million in the quarter versus $985 million; nine-month operating cash flow was $2,818 million versus $1,664 million. Source
  • Capital expenditures totaled $1,808M: Quarterly capital expenditures were $1,808 million versus $1,832 million; nine-month capital expenditures were $4,394 million versus $5,665 million. Source
  • Dividends paid to common holders: Dividends paid on AES common stock were $126 million in the quarter versus $123 million, and $376 million year-to-date versus $361 million. Source
  • Parent liquidity fell to $1,650M: Parent Company Liquidity was $1,650 million at September 30, 2025, versus $2,194 million at June 30, 2025, with availability under credit facilities at $1,619 million. Source
  • Subsidiary distributions to Parent: Subsidiary distributions and returns of capital to Parent were $623 million in the quarter and $2,200 million over the last four quarters. Source
  • Cash balance at September 30: Cash and cash equivalents were $1,758 million at September 30, 2025, versus $1,524 million at December 31, 2024. Source

Risks management discussed

  • Financial: 2025 growth is partly offset by 2024 Warrior Run revenue absence, asset sales, higher Parent interest and a higher adjusted tax rate. Source
  • Financial: Lower realized tax attributes at the Renewables SBU reflect the timing of tax attribute recognition. Source
  • External: 2025 guidance is based on foreign currency and commodity forward curves as of September 30, 2025. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: CEO says the company is on track to achieve all of its financial and strategic objectives. Source
  • On track: Company says it is on track to sign a total of 14-17 GW over 2023 through 2025. Source
  • On track: 2.9 GW completed year-to-date; company says it is on track to add 3.2 GW by year-end 2025. Source
  • On track: Company says it is on track with its 2025 capex plan at the US utilities. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.