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AES Corp.: Q2 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q2 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 1 August 2025: press release. Guidance figures: 8 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted EBITDA rose $23 million: Adjusted EBITDA was $681 million against $658 million. Higher Renewables SBU contributions from projects placed in service and prior-year Colombia outages drove the increase; the AES Brasil sale and the Warrior Run revenue comparison offset part of it. Source
  • Net loss on sales-type lease losses: Net loss was $150 million against net income of $153 million, a $303 million decrease. Diluted EPS was ($0.15) against $0.39. Day-one losses on sales-type leases were the main cause. Source
  • Adjusted EPS rose to $0.51: Adjusted EPS was $0.51 against $0.38, up $0.13, on a lower adjusted tax rate and new renewables projects, partly offset by lower Utilities SBU contributions from planned outages. Source
  • Renewables SBU Adjusted EBITDA up 56%: Renewables SBU Adjusted EBITDA was 56% above the year-earlier quarter. Renewables SBU revenue was $644 million against $619 million. Source
  • Backlog reached 12 GW: Backlog of signed contracts not yet operational was 12 GW, including 5.2 GW under construction. The first quarter release reported 11.7 GW, including 5.3 GW under construction. Source
  • Parent liquidity rose to $2,194 million: Parent Company liquidity was $2,194 million at June 30, 2025, up from $1,677 million at March 31, including $2,185 million of credit facility availability. Source

“AES is in a uniquely strong position due to our diversified operating portfolio, well-protected 12 GW backlog of signed long-term PPAs, and established domestic supply chain,”

Andrés Gluski, AES President and Chief Executive Officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Adjusted EBITDA Source2025$2,650 to $2,850 millionKept
Adjusted EBITDA growth Sourceannualized through 2027, from 2023 base5% to 7%; 2023 base $2,600 to $2,900 millionKept
Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes Source2025$3,950 to $4,350 millionKept
Adjusted EPS Source2025$2.10 to $2.26Kept
Adjusted EPS growth Sourceannualized through 2025, from 2020 base7% to 9%Kept
Adjusted EPS growth Sourceannualized through 2027, from 2023 base7% to 9%; 2023 base $1.65 to $1.75Kept
Quarterly dividend Sourcegoing forward$0.17595 per quarterKept
New project additions Source20253.2 GW of new projects in operationKept

What changed from last quarter

  • New: AES Indiana filed a petition for regulatory rate review with the IURC in June, its first rate case using a forward-looking test year. Source
  • New: Since May the company signed or was awarded new long-term PPAs for 1.6 GW of solar and wind, all with data center companies. Source
  • New: Mong Duong was reclassified from held-for-sale to held and used, which the company cites as partly offsetting the net income decline. Source
  • New: The company recorded a $45 million gain on the sale of Dominican Republic Renewables. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Adjusted EBITDA rose $23 million: Adjusted EBITDA was $681 million against $658 million. Higher Renewables SBU contributions from projects placed in service and prior-year Colombia outages drove the increase; the AES Brasil sale and the Warrior Run revenue comparison offset part of it. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes up: Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes was $1,057 million against $849 million, an increase of $208 million, mainly from higher realized tax attributes and tax credit transfer income. Source
  • Net loss on sales-type lease losses: Net loss was $150 million against net income of $153 million, a $303 million decrease. Diluted EPS was ($0.15) against $0.39. Day-one losses on sales-type leases were the main cause. Source
  • Adjusted EPS rose to $0.51: Adjusted EPS was $0.51 against $0.38, up $0.13, on a lower adjusted tax rate and new renewables projects, partly offset by lower Utilities SBU contributions from planned outages. Source

Segments and regions

  • Renewables SBU Adjusted EBITDA up 56%: Renewables SBU Adjusted EBITDA was 56% above the year-earlier quarter. Renewables SBU revenue was $644 million against $619 million. Source
  • Utilities SBU revenue rose: Utilities SBU revenue was $954 million against $896 million. The sell-down of AES Ohio reduced Utilities SBU contributions to Adjusted EBITDA. Source
  • Energy Infrastructure earnings fell: Energy Infrastructure SBU revenue was $1,306 million against $1,462 million. Margins fell against prior-year unrealized derivative gains and Warrior Run coal plant PPA monetization revenue. Source

“Our strong track record with our customers, resilient supply chain strategy, and advanced construction execution enable us to confidently reaffirm both our 2025 guidance and long-term growth rate targets through 2027.”

Stephen Coughlin, AES Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Backlog and projects

  • Backlog reached 12 GW: Backlog of signed contracts not yet operational was 12 GW, including 5.2 GW under construction. The first quarter release reported 11.7 GW, including 5.3 GW under construction. Source
  • 1.9 GW of projects completed in 2025: Since May the company completed 1.2 GW of storage and solar, including the 1 GW Bellefield 1 solar-plus-storage facility, bringing the year-to-date total to 1.9 GW. Source
  • Remaining 1.3 GW 78% complete: The company reported the remaining 1.3 GW of its 2025 additions as 78% complete. Source

Costs, margins and tax

  • Operating margin fell to $453 million: Operating margin was $453 million against $553 million. Regulated cost of sales rose to $795 million from $718 million, while non-regulated cost of sales fell to $1,607 million from $1,671 million. Source
  • Income tax expense of $167 million: Income tax expense was $167 million against a $35 million benefit a year earlier. The company lists higher income tax expense among the items that weighed on Net Income. Source
  • Restructuring costs of $42 million: Restructuring costs were $42 million in the quarter and $88 million for the six months. In the quarter, $38 million of impairments at AES Clean Energy Development related to the restructuring program. Source
  • Emissions allowance expense rose: Emissions allowance expense was $76 million against $24 million a year earlier. Six-month expense was $178 million against $71 million. Source

Cash flow and parent liquidity

  • Operating cash flow rose to $976 million: Net cash from operating activities was $976 million against $392 million in the quarter, and $1,521 million against $679 million for the six months. Source
  • Capital expenditures fell: Capital expenditures were $1,332 million against $1,685 million in the quarter, and $2,586 million against $3,833 million for the six months. Source
  • Sales to noncontrolling interests rose: Sales to noncontrolling interests brought in $893 million in the quarter against $198 million, and preferred share issuance in subsidiaries added $444 million. Source
  • Parent liquidity rose to $2,194 million: Parent Company liquidity was $2,194 million at June 30, 2025, up from $1,677 million at March 31, including $2,185 million of credit facility availability. Source
  • Distributions to Parent rose in quarter: Total subsidiary distributions and returns of capital to Parent were $601 million in the quarter, against $233 million in the first quarter. Source

Balance sheet and debt

  • Property, plant and equipment grew: Property, plant and equipment was $34,727 million at June 30, 2025, against $33,166 million at December 31, 2024. Source
  • Cash balance lower, restricted cash higher: Cash and cash equivalents were $1,350 million against $1,524 million, while restricted cash rose to $763 million from $437 million. Source
  • Noncurrent non-recourse debt rose: Noncurrent non-recourse debt was $21,752 million against $20,626 million at December 31, 2024. Source
  • Redeemable stock of subsidiaries rose: Redeemable stock of subsidiaries was $2,179 million against $938 million at December 31, 2024. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Rate cases SourceAES Indiana filed a petition for regulatory rate review with the IURC in June 2025; first rate case using a forward-looking test year
Rate base growth SourceNamed as a 2025 growth driver; no rate base dollar figure stated
EPS growth target SourceAdjusted EPS 7% to 9% annualized through 2027 from 2023 base of $1.65 to $1.75; 7% to 9% through 2025 from 2020 base

Risks management discussed

  • Financial: Higher Parent interest and a higher adjusted tax rate are named as headwinds to 2025 Adjusted EPS growth. Source
  • Financial: Losses on sales-type leases at commencement reflect the exclusion of ITC value from the fair value of the renewable asset. Source
  • External: Guidance is based on foreign currency and commodity forward curves as of June 30, 2025. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: Headline states the company is on track to deliver 2025 guidance and long-term targets. Source
  • On track: Company states it remains on track for the 3.2 GW addition planned for 2025. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.