greeksoup/ stock research

Verra Mobility Corp.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 24 February 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 11 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Total revenue Sourcefiscal 2026$1,020 million to $1,030 millionNew
Adjusted EBITDA Sourcefiscal 2026$405 million to $415 millionNew
Adjusted EPS Sourcefiscal 2026$1.32 to $1.38New
Free Cash Flow Sourcefiscal 2026$150 million to $160 millionNew
Diluted share count Sourcefiscal 2026approximately 155 million sharesNew
Effective tax rate Sourcefiscal 202628.0% to 29.0%, including state taxesNew
Total cash taxes Source2026approximately $50 millionNew
Depreciation and amortization Source2026approximately $125 millionNew
Interest expense, net Source2026approximately $62 million total; approximately $60 million net cash interestNew
Change in working capital Source2026use of cash of approximately $20 millionNew
Capital expenditures Source2026approximately $125 millionNew

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: Full-year 2026 guidance given for total revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EPS and Free Cash Flow, with underlying assumptions. Source
  • Ended: Prior NYCDOT contract expired at the end of 2025. Source
  • New: New five-year NYCDOT contract effective January 1, 2026; the prior release had estimated about $963 million for its first term. Source
  • New: Replaced the revolving credit agreement with a new asset-based facility and refinanced the term loans, with later maturities. Source
  • New: Shares repurchased under the May 2025 program for the first time, after the prior release said none had been bought. Source

Coming up, as management said on 24 February 2026

  • Repurchase authority runs to November 2026: Repurchases may continue until November 13, 2026 under the program; purchases are at management's discretion and may be modified or suspended. Source
  • NYCDOT contract extension option: The new NYCDOT contract includes an option for the parties to extend it for an additional five-year term. Source

In management's words

“Total revenue for the fourth quarter increased 16 percent over the fourth quarter of 2024, exceeding our internal expectations while Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Earnings Per Share were in-line with our internal expectations.”

David Roberts, President and CEO, Verra Mobility

“Looking ahead to 2026 and beyond, we are executing against a focused value-creation strategy designed to strengthen our core, enhance profitability and position Verra Mobility for durable long-term growth.”

David Roberts, President and CEO, Verra Mobility

Risks management discussed

  • Operational: Project implementation and NYCDOT readiness costs were cited for the lower Government Solutions segment margin and the lower consolidated Adjusted EBITDA margin in the fourth quarter. Source
  • Regulatory: The new NYCDOT contract's terms differ materially from the prior contract, including service credits, liquidated damages and cybersecurity requirements. Source
  • Demand: Customer churn at a fleet management business reduced Commercial Services revenue growth in the fourth quarter. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Met: The preliminary 2026 view in the prior release assumed the NYCDOT renewal would be concluded and effective January 1, 2026. The contract took effect on that date. Source
  • Not stated: The prior release expected about $30 million of 2025 revenue from the program. The fourth-quarter release reports $38.4 million from the 300 cameras installed.
  • Not stated: The prior release reaffirmed this range for 2025. The fourth-quarter release reports full-year Free Cash Flow of $136.7 million, without stating a status against it.

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.