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Starling Oncology, Inc.: Q3 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 5 November 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 lowered, 3 narrowed, 1 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue rose 24 percent: Consolidated revenue was $169.8 million, up 24.3 percent from $136.6 million a year earlier. Specialty pharmacy revenue accounted for most of the increase. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA positive second quarter running: Adjusted EBITDA was $3.4 million, against negative $3.5 million a year earlier. Management described this as the second consecutive quarter of positive Adjusted EBITDA. Source
  • Specialty pharmacy revenue up 44 percent: Specialty pharmacy revenue was $109 million, up 44 percent, at a 24 percent gross margin. Source
  • Starling Nexus portal now live: The portal is live for network providers in all delegated capitation markets and is the interface for submitting prior authorizations for utilization management review. Source
  • Medical loss ratio improved to 81.0 percent: The medical loss ratio on capitated contracts was 81.0 percent, against 85.5 percent in the second quarter and 67.8 percent a year earlier. Source
  • Revenue top end cut to $660 million: Full-year 2026 revenue is now $650 to $660 million, down from $650 to $670 million. Gross profit is $107 to $110 million, up from $105 to $110 million. Source
  • Capitated revenue and free cash flow ranges cut: Full-year free cash flow is $5 to $10 million, down from $5 to $15 million. Capitated revenue is now expected at about $110 million, against about $150 million. Source
  • Fourth quarter Adjusted EBITDA of $3 to $5 million: Fourth quarter 2026 Adjusted EBITDA is expected at $3 million to $5 million, as the company onboards and ramps Florida delegated lives. Source

“The third quarter of 2026 was another strong quarter for our company, with revenue up 24% year over year and Adjusted EBITDA of $3.4 million”

Daniel Virnich, CEO of Starling

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Revenue SourceFull year 2026$650 to $660 millionNarrowed, top end cut from $650 to $670 million
Gross profit SourceFull year 2026$107 to $110 millionNarrowed, low end up from $105 to $110 million
Adjusted EBITDA SourceFull year 2026$4 to $6 million
Free cash flow SourceFull year 2026$5 to $10 millionNarrowed, top end cut from $5 to $15 million
Capitated revenue SourceFull year 2026approximately $110 millionLowered from approximately $150 million
Medical loss ratio Source202785% to 90%
Adjusted EBITDA SourceFourth quarter 2026$3 million to $5 millionNew

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance lowered: Full-year revenue high end cut by $10 million to $660 million. Low end unchanged at $650 million. Source
  • Guidance raised: Full-year gross profit low end raised by $2 million to $107 million. High end unchanged at $110 million. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Full-year free cash flow high end cut to $10 million from $15 million. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Expected 2026 capitated revenue cut to approximately $110 million from approximately $150 million. Source
  • New guidance: First stated Adjusted EBITDA expectation for the fourth quarter, at $3 million to $5 million. Source
  • New guidance: Medical loss ratio range now stated for 2027. The prior release gave 80% to 90% for the next twelve months. Source
  • New: Starling Nexus portal is live for network clinicians, following the mid-August launch planned in the prior release. Source
  • New: Company now presented as Starling Oncology, formerly known as The Oncology Institute. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Revenue rose 24 percent: Consolidated revenue was $169.8 million, up 24.3 percent from $136.6 million a year earlier. Specialty pharmacy revenue accounted for most of the increase. Source
  • Gross profit up 62 percent: Gross profit was $30.7 million, up 62.1 percent from the prior year quarter. Loss from operations narrowed to $3.0 million from $8.1 million. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA positive second quarter running: Adjusted EBITDA was $3.4 million, against negative $3.5 million a year earlier. Management described this as the second consecutive quarter of positive Adjusted EBITDA. Source
  • Net loss and per-share loss narrowed: Net loss was $15.7 million, against $16.5 million. Basic and diluted loss per share was $(0.13), against $(0.14). The quarter included an $11.6 million loss on debt extinguishment. Source

Segments and revenue mix

  • Specialty pharmacy revenue up 44 percent: Specialty pharmacy revenue was $109 million, up 44 percent, at a 24 percent gross margin. Source
  • Starling physician fill capture drove growth: Management said a continued rise in the capture rate of fills written by Starling physicians was the primary contributor to year-over-year specialty pharmacy growth. Source
  • Capitated revenue grew 40 percent: Capitated revenue was $28.7 million, up 39.6 percent from $20.6 million, and is reported within patient services. Fee-for-service revenue was $31.3 million, down from $39.6 million. Source
  • Patient services flat year over year: Patient services revenue was $60.0 million, down 0.3 percent. Clinical trials and other revenue was $0.45 million, against $0.47 million a year earlier. Source

“Starling Nexus, our proprietary provider-focused portal, is now live and available to our network clinicians to support care coordination and evidence-based care on our delegated capitation model.”

Daniel Virnich, CEO of Starling

Network, lives and provider portal

  • Value-based lives rose to 2.2 million: Lives under value-based contracts were 2.2 million, against 1.9 million a year earlier. Source
  • Clinic count up, market count down: Affiliated and network clinics were 322, against 80. Markets were 17, against 22 a year earlier. Source
  • Starling Nexus portal now live: The portal is live for network providers in all delegated capitation markets and is the interface for submitting prior authorizations for utilization management review. Source

Costs, margins and medical loss ratio

  • Medical loss ratio improved to 81.0 percent: The medical loss ratio on capitated contracts was 81.0 percent, against 85.5 percent in the second quarter and 67.8 percent a year earlier. Source
  • Capitated direct costs rose faster than revenue: Direct costs on capitated contracts were $23.3 million, up 66.6 percent, against capitated revenue up 39.6 percent. Source
  • Overhead and infrastructure costs rose: Selling, general and administrative expense was $32.1 million, against $25.3 million. Infrastructure and workforce costs added back to Adjusted EBITDA were $3.3 million, against $1.3 million. Source
  • Operating loss narrowed: Loss from operations was $3.0 million, against $8.1 million a year earlier. Specialty pharmacy direct costs were $82.9 million, up from $63.1 million. Source

Guidance and near-term expectations

  • Revenue top end cut to $660 million: Full-year 2026 revenue is now $650 to $660 million, down from $650 to $670 million. Gross profit is $107 to $110 million, up from $105 to $110 million. Source
  • Capitated revenue and free cash flow ranges cut: Full-year free cash flow is $5 to $10 million, down from $5 to $15 million. Capitated revenue is now expected at about $110 million, against about $150 million. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA range narrowed: Full-year Adjusted EBITDA is $4 to $6 million, against $2 to $7 million. The company said it cannot reconcile these forward-looking non-GAAP measures to GAAP without unreasonable effort. Source
  • Fourth quarter Adjusted EBITDA of $3 to $5 million: Fourth quarter 2026 Adjusted EBITDA is expected at $3 million to $5 million, as the company onboards and ramps Florida delegated lives. Source
  • 2027 loss ratio range set higher: Medical loss ratio is expected at 85 to 90 percent in 2027, with new lives onboarded. The prior release covered 80 to 90 percent over the next twelve months. Source

Cash, debt and balance sheet

  • Nine-month free cash flow positive: Free cash flow for the nine months was $20.2 million, against negative $26.9 million. Operating cash flow was $19.9 million. Source
  • Cash balance at $36.9 million: Cash and cash equivalents were $36.9 million at September 30, 2026, against $33.6 million at December 31, 2025. Source
  • Debt repaid and new borrowings drawn: The nine-month cash flow shows $75.0 million of long-term debt issued and $85.9 million of principal repaid, plus a $5.0 million asset-based revolving facility advance and a $5.5 million exit fee and make-whole payment. Source
  • Stockholders' deficit grew: Total stockholders’ deficit was $37.4 million at September 30, 2026, against $15.7 million at December 31, 2025. Accounts payable rose to $82.1 million from $43.2 million. Source

Strategy, growth into 2027 and investment

  • Growth into 2027 expected: Management said it believes the company is well positioned for continued growth into 2027. Source
  • Name changed to Starling Oncology: The company now operates as Starling Oncology, Inc., formerly The Oncology Institute, Inc., and describes its care across five states. Source
  • Property and equipment spending up: Purchases of property and equipment were $3.2 million in the nine months, against $2.1 million a year earlier. Source

Coming up, as management said on 5 November 2026

  • Florida lives ramp in fourth quarter: Management expects Florida delegated lives to be onboarded and ramped during the fourth quarter, alongside the Adjusted EBITDA range of $3 million to $5 million. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Lives under value-based contracts (millions) Source2.2 (Q3 2026); 1.9 (Q3 2025)
Medical loss ratio related to capitated contracts Source81.0% (Q3 2026); 85.5% (Q2 2026); 67.8% (Q3 2025)
Patient population (approximately) Source2.2 million patients

Risks management discussed

  • External: The guidance assumes a largely stable global market. Management said recent tariff increases and exchange rate changes, if they persist, would likely reduce it. Source
  • Financial: Management said the items reconciling non-GAAP measures could have an unpredictable and potentially significant effect on future GAAP results. Source
  • Operational: The 2027 medical loss ratio range of 85 to 90 percent is above the third quarter ratio of 81.0 percent, as new lives are onboarded. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Met: The second quarter release said the portal would launch in mid-August. This release states it is now live for network clinicians. Source
  • Not stated: Management said it is affirming full-year 2026 guidance, while the guidance table in the same release shows changed ranges for revenue, gross profit, Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow. Source
  • Not stated: The second quarter release expressed confidence in a path to sustained positive Adjusted EBITDA. This release reports a second consecutive positive quarter.

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.