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Selective Insurance Group Inc.: Q2 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q2 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 23 July 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 1 lowered, 3 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Earnings per share rose 55%: Net income per diluted common share was $2.11 against $1.36, and non-GAAP operating income per share was $1.95 against $1.31. Operating ROE was 13.7%. Source
  • Premiums fell five percent: Net premiums written fell 5% to $1,220.7 million from $1,288.6 million. Management tied the decline to rate and non-rate actions aimed at underwriting profitability. Source
  • Commercial Lines combined ratio improved: The Standard Commercial Lines combined ratio was 99.3%, 3.5 points better than a year ago, with lower non-catastrophe property losses partly offset by higher casualty loss costs. Source
  • Personal Lines combined ratio rose: Standard Personal Lines combined ratio rose 3.9 points to 95.5%, on higher non-catastrophe losses and a higher expense ratio, partly offset by lower catastrophe losses. Source
  • Overall combined ratio improved 2.2 points: Overall combined ratio was 98.0% against 100.2%, with the loss and loss expense ratio at 67.2% against 69.3%. Source
  • No prior-year casualty reserve development: No prior year casualty reserve development was recorded in any segment, against 3.8 points of unfavorable development a year ago. Source
  • Investment income rose 18%: After-tax net investment income was $119 million, up 18%, with the after-tax fixed income yield at 4.4% and the overall portfolio at 4.2%. Source
  • Share repurchases in the quarter: The company repurchased $32 million of common stock, or 376,131 shares, at an average price of $84.72. Source

“Our results reflect disciplined execution in an increasingly competitive environment.”

John J. Marchioni, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
GAAP combined ratio Sourcefull year 202696.5% to 97.5%Kept
Net catastrophe losses Sourcefull year 20266.0 pointsKept
After-tax net investment income Sourcefull year 2026$480 millionRaised from $465 million
Effective tax rate Sourcefull year 202621.5%Kept
Weighted average diluted shares Sourcefull year 202660.2 millionLowered from 60.5 million

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Full-year after-tax net investment income guidance increased to $480 million from $465 million. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Full-year weighted average diluted share guidance reduced to 60.2 million from 60.5 million. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Earnings per share rose 55%: Net income per diluted common share was $2.11 against $1.36, and non-GAAP operating income per share was $1.95 against $1.31. Operating ROE was 13.7%. Source
  • Premiums fell five percent: Net premiums written fell 5% to $1,220.7 million from $1,288.6 million. Management tied the decline to rate and non-rate actions aimed at underwriting profitability. Source
  • First-half operating earnings rose: First-half non-GAAP operating income per share was $3.64 against $3.06, and net income per share was $3.69 against $3.12. Source

Segments and business lines

  • Commercial Lines combined ratio improved: The Standard Commercial Lines combined ratio was 99.3%, 3.5 points better than a year ago, with lower non-catastrophe property losses partly offset by higher casualty loss costs. Source
  • Personal Lines combined ratio rose: Standard Personal Lines combined ratio rose 3.9 points to 95.5%, on higher non-catastrophe losses and a higher expense ratio, partly offset by lower catastrophe losses. Source
  • Personal Lines new business fell: Standard Personal Lines premiums fell 8% and new business fell 36% from a year ago. Source
  • Excess and Surplus combined ratio rose: Excess and Surplus Lines combined ratio was 91.8%, 2.0 points higher than a year ago. Premiums fell 2%, with average renewal pure price increases of 3.4%. Source

“While those decisions contributed to lower premium in the quarter, they reflect the underwriting discipline that has long differentiated Selective”

John J. Marchioni, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Costs, margins and pricing

  • Overall combined ratio improved 2.2 points: Overall combined ratio was 98.0% against 100.2%, with the loss and loss expense ratio at 67.2% against 69.3%. Source
  • No prior-year casualty reserve development: No prior year casualty reserve development was recorded in any segment, against 3.8 points of unfavorable development a year ago. Source
  • Casualty loss costs rose: Current year casualty loss costs rose to 47.6 points from 44.2. Management said this partly offset the improvement from reserve development. Source
  • Catastrophe and property losses fell: Net catastrophe losses were 5.6 points against 6.7, and non-catastrophe property losses were 14.0 points against 14.6. Source

Demand, retention and pricing

  • Commercial new business fell: Standard Commercial Lines premiums, 79% of total NPW, fell 6% from a year ago on lower new business. Source
  • Commercial renewal price increases slowed: Commercial Lines renewal pure price averaged 6.5%, down from 8.9% a year earlier, with retention at 81%. Source
  • Retention shifted toward best business: Management said the actions include higher renewal retention on best-performing business and meaningfully lower retention on poorer-performing business. Source
  • Personal Lines pricing and retention: Standard Personal Lines renewal pure price was 8.9% and retention was 79%. Source

“Even with this capital return, book value per share grew 3% in the quarter,”

John J. Marchioni, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Investments and balance sheet

  • Investment income rose 18%: After-tax net investment income was $119 million, up 18%, with the after-tax fixed income yield at 4.4% and the overall portfolio at 4.2%. Source
  • Invested assets per equity dollar rose: Invested assets were $3.34 per dollar of common stockholders' equity at June 30, up from $3.32 at December 31, 2025. Source
  • Unrealized losses rose with rates: Management attributed the increase in after-tax unrealized losses on fixed income securities to higher interest rates. Source

Capital and returns to shareholders

  • Share repurchases in the quarter: The company repurchased $32 million of common stock, or 376,131 shares, at an average price of $84.72. Source
  • Common dividend declared: The board declared a quarterly common dividend of $0.43 per share. Source
  • Preferred dividend declared: The board declared a quarterly dividend of $287.50 per share on the 4.60% Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series B. Source
  • First-half book value rise: Book value per common share rose $1.39, or 2%, in the first half. Net income of $3.69 per share was offset by a $1.25 rise in unrealized losses and $0.86 of dividends. Source

Strategy, underwriting and milestones

  • Two-year portfolio actions: Management said deliberate actions over two years aimed to improve the quality and long-term profitability of the underwriting portfolio. Source
  • Growth pursued where returns are highest: Management said it pursues growth where risk-adjusted returns are highest. Source
  • Centenary and public-company milestones: The company marked its 100th year in business and 50th year as a publicly traded company during the quarter. Source
  • Employees and partners credited: Management credited employees, distribution partners, customers and investors for the company's milestones and success. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Combined ratio Source98.0%
Net premiums written Source$1,220.7 million
Prior year reserve development Sourcenone on casualty lines
Catastrophe losses Source5.6 points
Investment income Source$119.2 million after-tax
Book value per share Source$58.13

Risks management discussed

  • Demand: Management described an increasingly competitive environment as part of the quarter's conditions. Source
  • Operational: Current year casualty loss costs rose to 47.6 points from 44.2, a higher cost base for the business. Source
  • Financial: Management said it does not assume future reserve development in its full-year combined ratio estimate. Source
  • External: Catastrophe losses were 5.6 points in the quarter, and the full-year assumption is 6.0 points. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: Management said the combined ratio estimate assumes no prior-year reserve development, recorded at best estimate each quarter. Source
  • Not stated: The 60.2 million weighted average share figure assumes no repurchases beyond those already made under the authorization. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.