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Selective Insurance Group Inc.: Q1 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q1 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 22 April 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 lowered, 3 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Earnings per share declined year over year: Diluted EPS was $1.58, against $1.76 a year earlier; non-GAAP operating EPS was $1.69 against $1.76. ROE was 11.2% and non-GAAP operating ROE 12.0%, versus 14.4% a year earlier. Source
  • Commercial Lines combined ratio rose 3.8 points: Standard Commercial Lines, 81% of NPW, had premiums of $992.4 million, down 1%, and a combined ratio of 100.2%, up 3.8 points, primarily on catastrophe losses of 5.9 points. Source
  • Personal Lines combined ratio improved 5.2 points: Standard Personal Lines premiums were $82.5 million, down 6%, and 7% of NPW. The combined ratio was 92.8%, improved 5.2 points, with net catastrophe losses of 13.2 points against 6.9. Source
  • Catastrophe losses rose to 6.2 points: Net catastrophe losses were 6.2 points, against 3.7 a year earlier. Management said catastrophe losses were the primary reason the combined ratio rose. Non-catastrophe property losses fell to 14.6 points from 15.4. Source
  • No prior-year casualty reserve development: No prior-year casualty reserve development was recorded in any segment or line. A year earlier, unfavorable development was 0.4 points overall and 4.8 points in Standard Personal Lines. Source
  • After-tax investment income up 18%: After-tax net investment income was $113.1 million, up 18%, or $1.87 per share. The after-tax yield was 4.0% on the overall portfolio and 4.2% on fixed income, generating 13.3 points of annualized ROE. Source
  • Book value per share edged lower: Book value per common share was $56.58 at March 31, 2026, against $56.74 at year-end. Adjusted book value rose 2% to $58.94, which excludes total after-tax unrealized gains and losses on investments. Source

“We delivered a solid start to the year, which keeps us on track to achieve our 2026 guidance.”

John J. Marchioni, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
GAAP combined ratio Source2026 full year96.5% to 97.5%, including net catastrophe losses of 6 pointsKept
After-tax net investment income Source2026 full year$465 millionKept
Overall effective tax rate Source2026 full year21.5%Kept
Weighted average fully diluted shares Source2026 full year60.5 millionLowered from 61 million

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance lowered: Full-year weighted average fully diluted share count lowered from 61 million to 60.5 million, reflecting first-quarter repurchases. Source

Results and earnings

  • Earnings per share declined year over year: Diluted EPS was $1.58, against $1.76 a year earlier; non-GAAP operating EPS was $1.69 against $1.76. ROE was 11.2% and non-GAAP operating ROE 12.0%, versus 14.4% a year earlier. Source
  • Premiums written slipped 1%: Net premiums written were $1,225.5 million, down 1%, while net premiums earned rose 5% to $1,217.2 million. Management said rate and non-rate actions were implemented to enhance underwriting profitability. Source
  • Underwriting income fell 53%: After-tax net underwriting income was $16.8 million, against $36.1 million a year earlier. The loss and loss expense ratio rose to 67.0% from 64.4%, while the underwriting expense ratio fell to 31.2% from 31.6%. Source
  • Insurance segment ROE dropped 2.8 points: Insurance segment performance generated 2.0 points of ROE, down 2.8 points from a year earlier. Source

Segment performance

  • Commercial Lines combined ratio rose 3.8 points: Standard Commercial Lines, 81% of NPW, had premiums of $992.4 million, down 1%, and a combined ratio of 100.2%, up 3.8 points, primarily on catastrophe losses of 5.9 points. Source
  • Personal Lines combined ratio improved 5.2 points: Standard Personal Lines premiums were $82.5 million, down 6%, and 7% of NPW. The combined ratio was 92.8%, improved 5.2 points, with net catastrophe losses of 13.2 points against 6.9. Source
  • Excess and Surplus combined ratio improved: The combined ratio was 89.5%, improved 3.0 points. Net catastrophe losses fell to 3.3 points from 11.5, while non-catastrophe property losses rose to 13.9 points from 9.4. Source

“Net premiums written decreased modestly in the quarter, reflecting a competitive environment and deliberate actions to further strengthen our performance.”

John J. Marchioni, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Pricing, retention and new business

  • Commercial renewal pricing eased to 7.1%: Commercial Lines renewal pure price averaged 7.1%, against 9.1% a year earlier, and retention was 82%. Overall renewal pure price averaged 7.2%, down 3.1 points from a year ago. Source
  • Excess and Surplus premiums rose 1%: Excess and Surplus Lines premiums were $150.7 million, up 1%, with average renewal pure price increases of 4.1%. Source
  • Personal Lines new business fell 15%: Standard Personal Lines new business decreased 15% from a year ago. Renewal pure price was 10.6% and retention was 78%. Source

Catastrophes, losses and reserves

  • Catastrophe losses rose to 6.2 points: Net catastrophe losses were 6.2 points, against 3.7 a year earlier. Management said catastrophe losses were the primary reason the combined ratio rose. Non-catastrophe property losses fell to 14.6 points from 15.4. Source
  • No prior-year casualty reserve development: No prior-year casualty reserve development was recorded in any segment or line. A year earlier, unfavorable development was 0.4 points overall and 4.8 points in Standard Personal Lines. Source
  • Current-year casualty loss costs rose: Current-year casualty loss costs were 46.2 points, up from 44.9. Standard Commercial Lines reported 48.9 points, against 47.5. Source

“We view growth as an outcome of disciplined execution, and remain focused on delivering target underwriting profitability.”

John J. Marchioni, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Investments and balance sheet

  • After-tax investment income up 18%: After-tax net investment income was $113.1 million, up 18%, or $1.87 per share. The after-tax yield was 4.0% on the overall portfolio and 4.2% on fixed income, generating 13.3 points of annualized ROE. Source
  • Book value per share edged lower: Book value per common share was $56.58 at March 31, 2026, against $56.74 at year-end. Adjusted book value rose 2% to $58.94, which excludes total after-tax unrealized gains and losses on investments. Source
  • Leverage and premiums-to-surplus ratios: Debt to total capitalization was 20.1%, against 20.0% at year-end. Net premiums written to policyholders' surplus was 1.35, down from 1.36. Invested assets per dollar of common equity were $3.36. Source

Shareholder returns and book value

  • Repurchased 337,303 shares: The company repurchased $30 million of common stock, or 337,303 shares, at an average price of $88.94. The reduced share count guidance reflects these repurchases. Source
  • Book value bridge: earnings, dividends, rates: Book value per share moved on $1.58 of net income per diluted share, against $0.43 of common dividends and a $1.20 rise in after-tax unrealized losses on fixed income. Source
  • 57% of after-tax income returned: Management said the regular dividend and share repurchases returned 57% of after-tax net income in the quarter. Source

Strategy and management commentary

  • Investment in diversifying growth continues: Management said it is continuing to invest for diversifying, profitable growth, citing talented employees, distribution partner relationships and its capital position. Source
  • Pricing and claims discipline cited: Management said target underwriting profitability is supported by granular pricing, risk selection and claims discipline. Source
  • Operating ROE in line with target: Operating ROE of 12% was described as in line with the long-term target and as the seventh consecutive quarter of double-digit operating returns. Source

Coming up, as management said on 22 April 2026

  • Common dividend payable June 1: The $0.43 quarterly common dividend is payable June 1, 2026, to holders of record as of May 15, 2026. Source
  • Preferred dividend payable June 15: The preferred dividend of $287.50 per share is payable June 15, 2026, to holders of record as of May 29, 2026. Source
  • Supplemental investor package posted: A supplemental investor package with financial information not in the press release is posted on the Investors page of the website. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Combined ratio Source98.3%
Net premiums written Source$1,225.5 million
Prior-year reserve development Sourcenone on casualty lines
Catastrophe losses Source6.2 points
Investment income Source$113.1 million after-tax
Book value per share Source$56.58

Risks management discussed

  • Demand: Standard Personal Lines new business fell 15%, and premiums declined 6%, reflecting lower new business volume in the quarter. Source
  • External: Catastrophe losses of 6.2 points lifted the combined ratio, with management citing higher catastrophe losses as the primary driver of the increase. Source
  • Financial: Higher interest rates increased after-tax unrealized losses on the fixed income portfolio, which lowered book value per common share. Source
  • Operational: Non-catastrophe property losses in Excess and Surplus Lines rose to 13.9 points from 9.4 a year earlier. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: Management said the first-quarter results keep the company on track to achieve its 2026 guidance. Source
  • Met: Management said operating ROE of 12% was in line with the long-term target. Source
  • Not stated: Management described the Personal Lines combined ratio improvement as reflecting deliberate profit improvement actions, with no status given. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.