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Radian Group Inc.: Q2 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q2 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 6 August 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 2 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 93% year-over-year to $575M: Total revenues of $575 million in second quarter 2026 increased 93% from $299 million in second quarter 2025, driven by Inigo acquisition and combined mortgage and specialty insurance growth. Source
  • Net earned premiums surged 116% year-over-year: Net premiums earned reached $504 million, up 116% from $234 million in prior year period, reflecting both strong underlying business growth and Inigo contribution. Source
  • Adjusted EPS declined quarter-over-quarter to $1.14: Adjusted diluted net operating income per share decreased from $1.27 in first quarter to $1.14 in second quarter 2026, reflecting higher specialty segment losses. Source
  • Combined ratio deteriorated to 35.8% from 30.2%: Mortgage combined ratio worsened to 35.8% in second quarter from 30.2% in first quarter, driven by higher current period loss provisions. Source
  • Combined ratio deteriorated to 97.7% from 85.3%: Specialty combined ratio worsened significantly from 85.3% in first quarter to 97.7%, reflecting adverse claims experience and Middle East conflict reserves. Source
  • Reserves established for Middle East conflict claims: Provision for losses of $169 million included reserves established for expected and potential claims related to Middle East conflict. Source
  • Book value per share increased 8.5% year-over-year: Book value per share of $36.00 at June 30, 2026 represented 8.5% growth compared to $33.18 in second quarter 2025. Source
  • Expected $650M total dividends for full year 2026: Radian Guaranty expects to pay approximately $650 million in ordinary dividends during 2026, subject to Pennsylvania Insurance Department approval. Source
  • Divestitures simplify focus to core insurance: Strategic divestitures and portfolio simplification deepen company focus on core Mortgage and Specialty insurance operations. Source

“Our Mortgage and Specialty Insurance businesses together generated 93% revenue growth and 116% increase in net earned premiums year over year, demonstrating the strength and diversification of our insurance platform.”

Rick Thornberry, Chief Executive Officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Dividends from Radian Guaranty to holding company Sourceduring 2026approximately $650 millionRaised from over $600 million
Quota share reinsurance ceding - first tranche SourceJuly 1, 2027 to June 30, 202815% of new insurance written policiesNew
Quota share reinsurance ceding - second tranche SourceJuly 1, 2028 to June 30, 202920% of new insurance written policiesNew

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Radian Guaranty dividend guidance increased to approximately $650 million from prior guidance of over $600 million for full year 2026. Source
  • New guidance: Company announced specific reinsurance ceding percentages starting July 2027, ceding 15% of new policies through June 2028 and 20% thereafter. Source
  • New: Completed sale of Real Estate Services business to real estate technology and services company in August 2026. Source
  • New: Entered into definitive agreement to sell Title business to same buyer, pending customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals. Source

Revenue and Earnings Growth Acceleration

  • Revenue grew 93% year-over-year to $575M: Total revenues of $575 million in second quarter 2026 increased 93% from $299 million in second quarter 2025, driven by Inigo acquisition and combined mortgage and specialty insurance growth. Source
  • Net earned premiums surged 116% year-over-year: Net premiums earned reached $504 million, up 116% from $234 million in prior year period, reflecting both strong underlying business growth and Inigo contribution. Source
  • Specialty segment now 53% of net earned premiums: Specialty segment net premiums earned of $267 million represented 53% of total consolidated net premiums earned, demonstrating improved diversification. Source
  • Adjusted EPS declined quarter-over-quarter to $1.14: Adjusted diluted net operating income per share decreased from $1.27 in first quarter to $1.14 in second quarter 2026, reflecting higher specialty segment losses. Source
  • Adjusted pretax operating income fell to $196M: Adjusted pretax operating income of $196 million in second quarter declined from $232 million in first quarter due to deteriorating specialty segment results. Source

Mortgage Segment Performance and Growth

  • New insurance written grew 14% to $16.3 billion: New insurance written of $16.3 billion represented 14% growth compared to $14.3 billion in second quarter 2025, with 90% of volume for purchases. Source
  • Combined ratio deteriorated to 35.8% from 30.2%: Mortgage combined ratio worsened to 35.8% in second quarter from 30.2% in first quarter, driven by higher current period loss provisions. Source
  • Favorable prior-period reserve development of $20M: Mortgage provision for losses of $29 million included favorable reserve development on prior period defaults of $20 million, offset by current period increases. Source
  • Persistency rate stable at 82% annualized: Annualized quarterly persistency of 82% indicated solid retention of monthly premium policies in the primary mortgage insurance portfolio. Source

“With these actions, coupled with a seamless leadership transition, Radian is well-positioned to capitalize on future opportunities and deliver value for stockholders.”

Rick Thornberry, Chief Executive Officer

Specialty Segment Results and Headwinds

  • Combined ratio deteriorated to 97.7% from 85.3%: Specialty combined ratio worsened significantly from 85.3% in first quarter to 97.7%, reflecting adverse claims experience and Middle East conflict reserves. Source
  • Reserves established for Middle East conflict claims: Provision for losses of $169 million included reserves established for expected and potential claims related to Middle East conflict. Source
  • Net earned premiums of $267M across insurance and reinsurance: Specialty net premiums earned of $267 million comprised $146 million from direct insurance and $190 million from assumed reinsurance. Source
  • Favorable prior-year reserve development of $24M: Favorable reserve development on prior accident year loss reserves of $24 million partially offset current period loss provisions. Source
  • Adjusted operating income $29M, down from $40M: Specialty adjusted pretax operating income of $29 million declined from $40 million in first quarter due to current year loss experience. Source

Credit Quality and Default Trends

  • Default rate declined to 2.47% from 2.51%: Percentage of primary loans in default decreased quarter-over-quarter from 2.51% to 2.47%, continuing favorable credit trend trajectory. Source
  • Continued favorable credit trends in portfolio: Mortgage portfolio demonstrated improving credit metrics with declining default rates despite mixed macroeconomic environment. Source

Capital Position and Dividend Capacity

  • Book value per share increased 8.5% year-over-year: Book value per share of $36.00 at June 30, 2026 represented 8.5% growth compared to $33.18 in second quarter 2025. Source
  • $200M ordinary dividend paid by Radian Guaranty: Radian Guaranty paid ordinary dividend of $200 million to holding company in second quarter, following $140 million in first quarter. Source
  • Expected $650M total dividends for full year 2026: Radian Guaranty expects to pay approximately $650 million in ordinary dividends during 2026, subject to Pennsylvania Insurance Department approval. Source
  • Holding company debt-to-capital ratio of 19.2%: Debt-to-capital ratio of 19.2% maintained at conservative levels, providing flexibility for capital management. Source

Liquidity and Share Repurchase Program

  • Available holding company liquidity of $412 million: Radian Group maintained available liquidity of $412 million as of June 30, plus $425 million of undrawn revolving credit facility capacity. Source
  • Repurchased $126M of shares in Q2 and July: Company repurchased $76 million of shares in second quarter and additional $50 million in July under share buyback authorization. Source
  • $686 million repurchase authority remaining: Approximately $686 million of share repurchase authority remains available under $750 million authorization scheduled to expire December 2027. Source
  • Expect full repayment of credit facility in 2026: Company repaid $125 million of $200 million revolving credit facility during first half and expects full repayment by year-end 2026. Source

Strategic Divestitures and Portfolio Simplification

  • Real Estate Services business sold in August: Company completed sale of Real Estate Services business to real estate technology and services company in August 2026. Source
  • Title business sale definitive agreement pending: Entered definitive agreement to sell Title business to same buyer, subject to customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals. Source
  • Mortgage Conduit wind-down substantially completed: Mortgage Conduit business wind-down was substantially completed by June 30, 2026, following strategic decision made in first quarter. Source
  • Divestitures simplify focus to core insurance: Strategic divestitures and portfolio simplification deepen company focus on core Mortgage and Specialty insurance operations. Source

Reinsurance Risk Distribution Strategy

  • Agreed quota share reinsurance with third-party panel: Radian Guaranty agreed to two quota share reinsurance arrangements with panel of third-party reinsurance providers. Source
  • Plan to cede 15% of new policies starting July 2027: Expect to cede 15% of policies issued July 2027 through June 2028, increasing total reinsurance coverage to 30%. Source
  • Expect 20% ceding from July 2028 forward: Starting July 2028, plan to cede 20% of new policies through June 2029 under second reinsurance arrangement. Source

Coming up, as management said on 6 August 2026

  • Title business sale expected to complete by end of Q3: Completion of Title business sale pending satisfaction of customary closing conditions including regulatory approvals, previously targeted for end of Q3 2026. Source
  • Full repayment of revolving credit by year-end 2026: Company expects to repay remaining $75 million on $200 million revolving credit facility in full during remainder of 2026. Source
  • Approximately $650 million dividends expected for full year: Radian Guaranty expects to pay approximately $650 million in ordinary dividends during remainder of 2026, subject to Pennsylvania Insurance Department approval. Source
  • Reinsurance ceding to begin July 2027 at specified rates: Starting July 2027, Radian expects to cede 15% of new policies through June 2028, then 20% from July 2028 forward under quota share arrangements. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Combined ratio - Mortgage Source35.8%
Combined ratio - Specialty Source97.7%
Prior-year reserve development - Mortgage Source$20 million favorable
Prior-year reserve development - Specialty Source$24 million favorable
Book value per share Source$36.00
Net investment income Source$74.7 million

Risks management discussed

  • External: Specialty segment provision for losses includes reserves for expected and potential claims arising from Middle East conflict. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: Radian Guaranty paid $200 million in second quarter and $140 million in first quarter, totaling $340 million through two quarters toward $650 million annual target. Source
  • Met: Mortgage Conduit business wind-down was substantially completed as of June 30, 2026. Source
  • On track: Company repaid $125 million during first half and expects to repay remaining balance in full by year-end 2026. Source
  • Met: Company completed sale of Real Estate Services business in August 2026 to real estate technology and services company. Source
  • On track: Definitive agreement entered for Title business sale, pending customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.