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Radian Group Inc.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 19 February 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 3 new, 1 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Fourth quarter earnings rose sequentially: Net income from continuing operations was $159 million, or $1.15 per diluted share, against $153 million, or $1.11, in the third quarter, and $164 million, or $1.08, a year earlier. Source
  • Book value per share up 13%: Book value per share was $35.29 at December 31, 2025, against $34.34 at September 30, 2025, and $31.33 a year earlier. Accumulated other comprehensive loss was $(1.64) per share. Source
  • New insurance written rose to $15.9 billion: New insurance written was $15.9 billion in the fourth quarter, up from $15.5 billion in the third quarter and $13.2 billion a year earlier. Full year new insurance written was $55.2 billion. Source
  • Primary insurance in force kept growing: Primary insurance in force was $282.5 billion at December 31, 2025, up from $280.6 billion at September 30 and $275.1 billion a year earlier. Source
  • Holding company liquidity rose to $1.8 billion: Available holding company liquidity rose from $995 million at September 30, 2025, to $1.8 billion at December 31, 2025, with funds received from Radian Guaranty in the quarter. Source
  • Inigo acquisition completed in February: Radian completed the Inigo acquisition on February 2, 2026, for $1.67 billion in a primarily all-cash transaction, funded from available liquidity sources. Source

“Just as importantly, we took meaningful steps to shape our company for the future - simplifying our focus and acquiring Inigo to expand our reach as a global multi-line specialty insurer”

Radian's Chief Executive Officer, Rick Thornberry

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Inigo return on equity accretion Source2026approximately 200 basis pointsKept
Radian Guaranty ordinary dividends to holding company Source2026over $600 millionNew
Repayment of revolving credit borrowing Source2026repay the $200 million drawn in January 2026New
Divestiture of Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses Sourceby end of third quarter 2026complete the divestiture plan by the end of the third quarter of 2026New

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: Divestiture completion timing given as the end of the third quarter of 2026. Source
  • New guidance: Radian Guaranty dividend capacity to the holding company stated for 2026 at over $600 million. Source
  • New guidance: Repayment of the January 2026 revolving credit borrowing expected during 2026. Source
  • New: Inigo acquisition completed on February 2, 2026; the prior quarter expected a first quarter 2026 close. Source
  • New: Radian Group executed a $600 million, ten-year intercompany note from Radian Guaranty at 6.50% in December 2025. Source
  • New: Radian Guaranty entered an excess of loss reinsurance arrangement covering about $373 million of policies written from 2016 through 2021. Source
  • New: Radian Group drew $200 million on its unsecured revolving credit facility in January 2026. Source
  • Guidance kept: Inigo accretion figures are the same as in the prior quarter; the stated period changed from the first full year after closing to 2026.

Fourth quarter and full year results

  • Fourth quarter earnings rose sequentially: Net income from continuing operations was $159 million, or $1.15 per diluted share, against $153 million, or $1.11, in the third quarter, and $164 million, or $1.08, a year earlier. Source
  • Full year earnings and return on equity: Full year net income from continuing operations was $618 million, or $4.39 per diluted share, against $660 million, or $4.28, in 2024. Return on equity from continuing operations was 13.1% for the year. Source
  • Adjusted operating income compared with prior year: Adjusted pretax operating income was $204 million, against $206 million in the third quarter and $220 million a year earlier. Adjusted diluted net operating income per share was $1.16. Source
  • Book value per share up 13%: Book value per share was $35.29 at December 31, 2025, against $34.34 at September 30, 2025, and $31.33 a year earlier. Accumulated other comprehensive loss was $(1.64) per share. Source

Mortgage insurance volumes and credit

  • New insurance written rose to $15.9 billion: New insurance written was $15.9 billion in the fourth quarter, up from $15.5 billion in the third quarter and $13.2 billion a year earlier. Full year new insurance written was $55.2 billion. Source
  • Refinances rose to 15% of volume: Refinances were 15% of total new insurance written in the fourth quarter, up from 5% in the third quarter and 10% a year earlier. Source
  • Primary insurance in force kept growing: Primary insurance in force was $282.5 billion at December 31, 2025, up from $280.6 billion at September 30 and $275.1 billion a year earlier. Source
  • Persistency dipped in the quarter: Annualized quarterly persistency was 82% for the three months ended December 31, 2025, against 84% in the third quarter and 83% a year earlier. Source
  • Primary delinquent loans increased: Primary delinquent loans were 25,230 at December 31, 2025, up from 23,819 at September 30 and 24,055 a year earlier. Source
  • Total net premium yield eased slightly: Total net mortgage insurance premium yield, including ceded premiums and profit commission, was 33.8 basis points, against 34.0 in the third quarter and 34.2 a year earlier. Source

“We believe this positions Radian to continue to deliver long-term value across market cycles.”

Radian's Chief Executive Officer, Rick Thornberry

Provisions, claims and expenses

  • Provision for losses edged up: The mortgage insurance provision for losses was $22 million, against $18 million in the third quarter and a de minimis amount a year earlier. Source
  • Loss ratio rose to 9%: The loss ratio was 9% in the fourth quarter, against 8% in the third quarter and 0% a year earlier. Source
  • Prior period reserve releases held steady: Favorable reserve development on prior period defaults was $35 million, the same as in the third quarter and down from $56 million a year earlier. Source
  • Full year claims paid rose: Full year net claims paid, including settlements and commutations, were $34 million, against $17 million in 2024. Source
  • Other operating expenses declined: Other operating expenses were $56 million in the fourth quarter, against $62 million in the third quarter and $58 million a year earlier. Source
  • Acquisition costs within operating expenses: Other general operating expenses included $2 million of acquisition-related expenses in the fourth quarter, against $9 million in the third quarter. Source

Capital, liquidity and shareholder returns

  • Holding company liquidity rose to $1.8 billion: Available holding company liquidity rose from $995 million at September 30, 2025, to $1.8 billion at December 31, 2025, with funds received from Radian Guaranty in the quarter. Source
  • $576 million returned to stockholders: Radian returned $576 million to stockholders through dividends and share repurchases during 2025. Source
  • Quarterly common dividend paid: The company paid a common dividend of $0.255 per share, totaling $35 million, in the fourth quarter of 2025. Source
  • Radian Guaranty distributions reached $795 million: Radian Guaranty distributed $795 million to Radian Group in 2025 through dividends and return of capital, including a $195 million ordinary dividend in the fourth quarter. Source
  • PMIERs excess Available Assets decreased: PMIERs Available Assets were $5.4 billion at December 31, 2025, with excess of $1.6 billion, against $1.9 billion at September 30. Source

Inigo acquisition and divestitures

  • Inigo acquisition completed in February: Radian completed the Inigo acquisition on February 2, 2026, for $1.67 billion in a primarily all-cash transaction, funded from available liquidity sources. Source
  • Inigo valued near 1.4 times tangible equity: Inigo was valued at approximately 1.4 times its estimated tangible equity at the end of 2025, estimated on a U.K. GAAP basis. Source
  • Shift to multi-line specialty insurer: Management described the acquisition as a milestone in the shift from a U.S. mortgage insurer to a global, diversified multi-line specialty insurer, adding product expertise and capabilities. Source
  • Held-for-sale carrying value reduced to $110 million: Distributions reduced the net carrying value of the held-for-sale Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses to $110 million at December 31, 2025, including estimated sale costs. Source
  • Active talks with potential buyers: Management said the company is in active discussions with potential acquirers for the Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses. Source

Management's view

  • Simplified focus and Inigo acquisition: The chief executive said the company simplified its focus and acquired Inigo to broaden its reach as a global multi-line specialty insurer. Source
  • Financial flexibility for growth and returns: Management said the company has the financial flexibility to invest in growth while continuing to return capital to stockholders. Source
  • Long-term value across market cycles: Management said the company believes its position supports continued long-term value across market cycles. Source

Coming up, as management said on 19 February 2026

  • Divestiture completion targeted for Q3 2026: Management continues to expect to complete the divestiture of the conduit, title and real estate services businesses by the end of the third quarter of 2026. Source
  • Revolver borrowing to be repaid in 2026: Management expects to repay the $200 million drawn on the revolving credit facility during 2026. Source
  • Radian Guaranty dividends planned for 2026: Radian Guaranty expects over $600 million in ordinary dividends to the holding company during 2026, which require prior Pennsylvania Insurance Department approval. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Net premiums written Source$234,431 thousand (fourth quarter 2025); $932,010 thousand (full year 2025)
Prior-year reserve development Source$35 million favorable (fourth quarter 2025)
Investment income Source$62,683 thousand (fourth quarter 2025); $248,764 thousand (full year 2025)
Book value per share Source$35.29

Risks management discussed

  • Regulatory: The $600 million intercompany note carries conditions, including prior Pennsylvania Insurance Department approval for all Radian Guaranty dividends for at least three years. Source
  • Regulatory: Management noted that Radian Guaranty dividends to the holding company require prior approval from the Pennsylvania Insurance Department. Source
  • Demand: Annualized quarterly persistency fell to 82% from 84% in the third quarter, reducing the share of insurance remaining in force after the period. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: The prior quarter expected a first quarter 2026 close; the current quarter reports completion on February 2, 2026.
  • Not stated: Management said the divestiture is consistent with the previously announced plan. Source
  • Not stated: The prior quarter planned to fund the acquisition from available liquidity, including a $600 million intercompany note; management now states the acquisition was funded from those sources. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.