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Prog Holdings, Inc.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 18 February 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 23 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue fell 5.2% year on year: Consolidated revenues were $574.6 million, down 5.2%. Net earnings from continuing operations were $19.9 million, against $58.3 million in a prior-year period that included a $27.8 million deferred tax benefit. Source
  • Non-GAAP EPS fell 5.1%: Diluted EPS from continuing operations was $0.49, against $1.36. Non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.74, down 5.1% from $0.78, with diluted weighted average shares 5.2% lower year on year. Source
  • Four revenue and GMV grew: Four revenues were $25.8 million, against $11.1 million a year earlier, and Four GMV was $303,966 thousand. Management said Four recorded its ninth consecutive quarter of triple-digit growth. Source
  • PROG Marketplace GMV nearly tripled: PROG Marketplace, the direct-to-consumer Leasing channel, nearly tripled GMV during the quarter, and the headline gives its GMV growth as 187%. Source
  • Full-year 2026 revenue guided: Full-year 2026 revenues from continuing operations are guided to $3,020,000 to $3,140,000 thousand, with diluted EPS of $3.34 to $3.79. Source
  • Free cash flow funds investment: Management said the business generates free cash flow that gives room to invest in growth, deleverage after the acquisition and build long-term shareholder value. Source
  • Vive portfolio sale simplified business: Management said the sale of the Vive portfolio simplified and strengthened the business. Source
  • Three-pillar strategy continues: Management is confident its three-pillar strategy to grow, enhance and expand will support sustainable growth, with a focus on customer acquisition and lifetime value. Source

“Q4 and full-year 2025 were periods of disciplined execution that demonstrated the strength and resilience of PROG’s multi-product platform,”

PROG Holdings President and CEO Steve Michaels

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Total revenues from continuing operations SourceFull year 2026$3,020,000 to $3,140,000 thousandNew
Net earnings from continuing operations SourceFull year 2026$132,000 to $155,000 thousandNew
Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations SourceFull year 2026$320,000 to $350,000 thousandNew
Diluted EPS from continuing operations SourceFull year 2026$3.34 to $3.79New
Diluted non-GAAP EPS from continuing operations SourceFull year 2026$4.00 to $4.45New
Progressive Leasing total revenues SourceFull year 2026$2,202,500 to $2,253,000 thousandNew
Progressive Leasing earnings before taxes SourceFull year 2026$182,000 to $193,000 thousandNew
Progressive Leasing adjusted EBITDA SourceFull year 2026$254,000 to $266,000 thousandNew
Purchasing Power total revenues SourceFull year 2026$680,000 to $730,000 thousandNew
Purchasing Power earnings before taxes SourceFull year 2026$13,000 to $22,000 thousandNew
Purchasing Power adjusted EBITDA SourceFull year 2026$50,000 to $60,000 thousandNew
Four total revenues SourceFull year 2026$125,000 to $140,000 thousandNew
Four earnings before taxes SourceFull year 2026$7,500 to $11,000 thousandNew
Four adjusted EBITDA SourceFull year 2026$17,500 to $22,500 thousandNew
Other total revenues SourceFull year 2026$12,500 to $17,000 thousandNew
Other loss before taxes SourceFull year 2026$(14,500) to $(12,000) thousandNew
Other adjusted EBITDA SourceFull year 2026$(1,500) to $1,500 thousandNew
Total revenues from continuing operations SourceThree months ended March 31, 2026$715,000 to $745,000 thousandNew
Net earnings from continuing operations SourceThree months ended March 31, 2026$9,000 to $17,000 thousandNew
Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations SourceThree months ended March 31, 2026$65,000 to $75,000 thousandNew
Diluted EPS from continuing operations SourceThree months ended March 31, 2026$0.22 to $0.42New
Diluted non-GAAP EPS from continuing operations SourceThree months ended March 31, 2026$0.70 to $0.90New
Effective tax rate for non-GAAP EPS SourceFull year 2026 and first quarter 2026approximately 26%New

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: The company issued full-year 2026 and first-quarter 2026 guidance for continuing operations; the prior release carried only 2025 and fourth-quarter 2025 guidance. Source
  • New: Adjusted EBITDA for 2026 includes estimated interest expense on Purchasing Power's asset-backed secured borrowings, a change from the earlier definition. Source
  • New: The 2026 guidance includes almost a full year of ownership of the recently acquired Purchasing Power business. Source
  • Ended: Vive is excluded from non-GAAP diluted EPS because its normal operations were discontinued after the October 2025 sale of its credit card portfolio. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Revenue fell 5.2% year on year: Consolidated revenues were $574.6 million, down 5.2%. Net earnings from continuing operations were $19.9 million, against $58.3 million in a prior-year period that included a $27.8 million deferred tax benefit. Source
  • Non-GAAP EPS fell 5.1%: Diluted EPS from continuing operations was $0.49, against $1.36. Non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.74, down 5.1% from $0.78, with diluted weighted average shares 5.2% lower year on year. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA was 10.7% of revenues: Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations was $61.5 million, or 10.7% of revenues, against $64.1 million, or 10.6% of revenues, in the prior-year quarter. Source
  • Non-GAAP items excluded from results: Non-GAAP results exclude intangible amortization, transaction-related costs and restructuring costs. The quarter recorded $2,179 thousand of transaction-related costs and $2,798 thousand of restructuring expense. Source

Segments and business lines

  • Progressive Leasing GMV down 10.6%: Progressive Leasing GMV was $534.0 million, down 10.6% from the prior-year quarter. Source
  • Four revenue and GMV grew: Four revenues were $25.8 million, against $11.1 million a year earlier, and Four GMV was $303,966 thousand. Management said Four recorded its ninth consecutive quarter of triple-digit growth. Source
  • Segment adjusted EBITDA by business: Adjusted EBITDA was $63,934 thousand for Progressive Leasing, $(1,152) thousand for Four and $(1,235) thousand for Other, totaling $61,547 thousand. Source

“Our business is generating significant free cash flow, providing us with the flexibility to invest in growth, deleverage following the acquisition, and continue building long-term value for our shareholders,”

PROG Holdings President and CEO Steve Michaels

Products and customers

  • PROG Marketplace GMV nearly tripled: PROG Marketplace, the direct-to-consumer Leasing channel, nearly tripled GMV during the quarter, and the headline gives its GMV growth as 187%. Source
  • Four and MoneyApp feed Leasing: Management said Four and MoneyApp both drove incremental Leasing volume through cross-sell. Source
  • Lease write-offs within target range: Provision for lease merchandise write-offs was 7.6% of leasing revenues, 30 basis points lower than the prior year and within the 6-8% targeted annual range. Source

Costs, margins and tax

  • Operating expenses rose on year: Operating expenses were $135.1 million, against $105.2 million a year earlier, while depreciation of lease merchandise fell to $366.2 million from $403.7 million. Source
  • Effective tax rate was 36.6%: The effective income tax rate was 36.6% in the fourth quarter. The prior-year quarter included a $27.8 million deferred tax benefit tied to an election to terminate a wholly-owned partnership for tax purposes. Source
  • Full-year adjusted EBITDA reported: Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations for 2025 was $269.2 million, compared with $270.0 million for 2024, with Progressive Leasing at $265.3 million. Source

Demand and 2026 guidance

  • Full-year 2026 revenue guided: Full-year 2026 revenues from continuing operations are guided to $3,020,000 to $3,140,000 thousand, with diluted EPS of $3.34 to $3.79. Source
  • First-quarter 2026 revenue and EPS guided: First-quarter 2026 revenues are guided to $715,000 to $745,000 thousand and diluted EPS to $0.22 to $0.42. Source
  • Progressive Leasing guided separately: Progressive Leasing is guided to revenues of $2,202,500 to $2,253,000 thousand and adjusted EBITDA of $254,000 to $266,000 thousand for 2026. Source

Capital, cash and shareholder returns

  • Free cash flow funds investment: Management said the business generates free cash flow that gives room to invest in growth, deleverage after the acquisition and build long-term shareholder value. Source
  • Year-end cash and gross debt: Cash was $308.8 million and gross debt was $600.0 million at the end of the quarter. Source
  • No buybacks; dividend stayed at $0.13: No shares were repurchased in the quarter, leaving $309.6 million of capacity under the $500 million program. The quarterly dividend was $0.13 per share. Source

Strategy and portfolio changes

  • Vive portfolio sale simplified business: Management said the sale of the Vive portfolio simplified and strengthened the business. Source
  • Three-pillar strategy continues: Management is confident its three-pillar strategy to grow, enhance and expand will support sustainable growth, with a focus on customer acquisition and lifetime value. Source
  • Purchasing Power acquisition announced: Management cited the announcement of the Purchasing Power acquisition alongside the Vive sale as steps that simplified and strengthened the business. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Progressive Leasing GMV Source$534.0 million, down 10.6%
Four GMV Source$303,966 thousand
Four GMV growth Source126%
PROG Marketplace GMV growth Sourceup 187%
Total GMV Source$837,970 thousand

Risks management discussed

  • Demand: Management's 2026 guidance assumes a difficult operating environment with soft demand for consumer durable goods. Source
  • Operational: Management cited a challenging retail environment and a large partner bankruptcy at Progressive Leasing, which led to a $4,996 thousand write-off of assets. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.