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NIQ Global Intelligence plc: Q3 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 12 November 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 6 raised, 3 lowered, 1 narrowed, 8 new, 2 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue up 6.3%, 5.8% organic: Reported revenue rose 6.3% to $1,119.1 million. Organic constant currency growth was 5.8%, driven mainly by value-based pricing and upselling of new capabilities and solutions. Source
  • Positive GAAP net income for first time: Net income attributable to NIQ was $35.8 million, or $0.12 per share, after a loss of $198.6 million a year earlier. Adjusted net income was $87.8 million, or $0.30 per share. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA up 17.8%: Adjusted EBITDA rose 17.8% to $263.6 million, and its margin expanded 230 basis points to 23.6%. Nine-month Adjusted EBITDA rose 19.6% to $750.3 million. Source
  • Americas drove revenue growth: Americas revenue rose 13.8% as reported and 11.5% organic constant currency. Americas Adjusted EBITDA margin was 31.4%, up 70 basis points. Source
  • Quarterly free cash flow fell: Free cash flow was $181.2 million in the quarter, down $43.2 million, driven by working-capital timing and higher capital spending. Operating cash flow was $254.4 million. Source
  • Net leverage reached 2.9x: Net leverage fell to 2.9x from 3.1x at June 30 and 4.6x at the IPO. Source
  • Full-year guidance raised: Full-year ranges were raised for reported revenue, organic growth, margin, levered free cash flow and Adjusted EPS, reflecting Q3 outperformance. Source
  • Fourth-quarter ranges added: Fourth-quarter ranges were added: reported Adjusted EBITDA of $315M to $323M, growth of 9% to 12%, and margin of 26.3% to 26.7%. Source

“Q3 was a milestone quarter - we exceeded the top end of our guidance across all key metrics for the sixth consecutive quarter”

Jim Peck, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Revenue, as reported Sourcefull year 2026$4,513M - $4,520MRaised from $4,496M - $4,510M
Revenue growth, as reported Sourcefull year 20267.5% - 7.7%Raised from 7.1% - 7.4%
Organic constant currency revenue growth Sourcefull year 20265.5% - 5.7%Raised from 5.2% - 5.6%
Adjusted EBITDA, as reported Sourcefull year 2026$1,065M - $1,073M
Adjusted EBITDA growth, as reported Sourcefull year 202616% - 17%
Adjusted EBITDA margin Sourcefull year 202623.6% - 23.8%Narrowed from 23.5% - 23.9%
Adjusted EPS Sourcefull year 2026$1.16 - $1.20Raised from $1.08 - $1.12
Levered free cash flow Sourcefull year 2026$249M - $257MRaised from $245M - $255M
Free cash flow implied for second half Sourcesecond half of 2026$303 millionRaised from $300 million
Revenue, as reported Sourcefourth quarter 2026$1,198M - $1,202MNew
Revenue growth, as reported Sourcefourth quarter 20265.2% - 5.5%New
Organic constant currency revenue growth Sourcefourth quarter 20265.4% - 5.7%New
Adjusted EBITDA, as reported Sourcefourth quarter 2026$315M - $323MNew
Adjusted EBITDA growth, as reported Sourcefourth quarter 20269% - 12%New
Adjusted EBITDA margin, as reported Sourcefourth quarter 202626.3% - 26.7%New
Adjusted EPS Sourcefourth quarter 2026$0.43 - $0.47New
Depreciation and amortization Sourcefull year 2026$600M - $605MLowered from $614M - $619M
Interest expense, net Sourcefull year 2026$210M - $215MLowered from $230M - $235M
Income tax expense Sourcefull year 2026$155M - $160MLowered from $165M - $170M
Capital expenditures, percent of revenue Sourcefull year 20266.5% - 7.0%Kept
Net leverage ratio Sourceyear end 2026< 3.0xKept
Share repurchase authorization Sourceauthorizedup to $150 millionNew

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Full-year reported revenue range raised to $4,513M - $4,520M from $4,496M - $4,510M. Source
  • Guidance raised: Full-year organic constant currency growth, Adjusted EBITDA margin, levered free cash flow and Adjusted EPS ranges raised. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Depreciation and amortization, interest expense and income tax expense ranges lowered. Source
  • New guidance: Fourth-quarter 2026 guidance ranges added; the prior release gave third-quarter and full-year ranges only. Source
  • Guidance kept: Capital expenditure range of 6.5% - 7.0% of revenue and net leverage below 3.0x unchanged. Source
  • New: Board authorized a share repurchase program of up to $150 million of ordinary shares. Source
  • New: Partnership with OpenAI DeployCo to embed NIQ intelligence into client workflows. Source
  • New: Strategic retail collaboration with Maverik, a convenience and fuel retailer. Source
  • New: Collaboration with Similarweb on a solution for how products are purchased in an agentic-enabled economy. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Revenue up 6.3%, 5.8% organic: Reported revenue rose 6.3% to $1,119.1 million. Organic constant currency growth was 5.8%, driven mainly by value-based pricing and upselling of new capabilities and solutions. Source
  • Positive GAAP net income for first time: Net income attributable to NIQ was $35.8 million, or $0.12 per share, after a loss of $198.6 million a year earlier. Adjusted net income was $87.8 million, or $0.30 per share. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA up 17.8%: Adjusted EBITDA rose 17.8% to $263.6 million, and its margin expanded 230 basis points to 23.6%. Nine-month Adjusted EBITDA rose 19.6% to $750.3 million. Source
  • Eleventh straight quarter of growth: Management called this the eleventh consecutive quarter of mid-single-digit organic constant currency growth and cited client demand for core measurement and analytics. Source

Segments and regions

  • Americas drove revenue growth: Americas revenue rose 13.8% as reported and 11.5% organic constant currency. Americas Adjusted EBITDA margin was 31.4%, up 70 basis points. Source
  • EMEA margin up, growth slower: EMEA revenue rose 1.4% as reported and 2.9% organic constant currency. EMEA Adjusted EBITDA margin rose 140 basis points to 33.7%, while EMEA Activation revenue fell 4.7%. Source
  • APAC flat in constant currency: APAC revenue rose 2.4% as reported but 0.2% organic constant currency, as inorganic items added 2.4 points. APAC Adjusted EBITDA margin was 20.6%, up 200 basis points. Source
  • Activation grew faster than Intelligence: Intelligence revenue rose 6.1% as reported to $907.6 million. Activation rose 7.2% to $211.5 million. Nine-month revenue rose 8.4% to $3,316.0 million. Source

“On AI, momentum is turning into commercial traction.”

Jim Peck, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Products, AI and client wins

  • Seven-figure wins and upsells: The company closed 24 seven-figure wins, including an eight-figure deal upgrading a 25-year home-furnishings retailer relationship. Consumer Panel and eCommerce grew 20%+. Source
  • ConnectAI charter program expanded: The ConnectAI Charter Program has 10 signed clients, including Purina and Mars Snacking, and the client pipeline grew to 79. Source
  • OpenAI and Google partnerships: NIQ is working with OpenAI DeployCo to embed its intelligence in client workflows. The Google partnership now brings NIQ product data into the Shopping Graph. Source
  • Connect data engine volume up: The AI-powered Connect data engine processed about 4.7 trillion data records per week, up 24% from Q3 2025. Source
  • Amazon third-party beauty coverage added: Measurement of Amazon's $56 billion marketplace now covers third-party Health and Beauty sellers, which make up 68% of category sales. Source

Costs, restructuring and margin

  • Restructuring charges expected $65M - 75M: Total pre-tax 2026 Program charges are expected at about $65 million to $75 million, the substantial majority of which would be cash expenditures. Source
  • Nine-month program costs reached $86.3M: 2026 Program restructuring, including employee separation and accelerated technology investment, plus non-cash compensation totaled $86.3 million for the nine months. Source
  • Non-cash award changes excluded from EBITDA: Non-cash share-based compensation of $9.5 million for nine months arose from award modifications after the Chief Operating Officer resigned, and is excluded from Adjusted EBITDA. Source

“Levered free cash flow of $181 million brings our year-to-date improvement to $187 million and net leverage ratio to 2.9-times”

Mike Burwell, Chief Financial Officer

Cash flow and working capital

  • Quarterly free cash flow fell: Free cash flow was $181.2 million in the quarter, down $43.2 million, driven by working-capital timing and higher capital spending. Operating cash flow was $254.4 million. Source
  • Nine-month free cash flow improved: Nine-month free cash flow was $132.1 million, up $187.2 million, on higher cash from operations and lower cash interest. Nine-month unlevered free cash flow was $302.0 million. Source
  • Capital spending rose on data platform: Nine-month cash capital expenditures were $198.8 million, or 6% of revenue versus 5% a year earlier, for the Connect data platform and AI-native product development. Source

Balance sheet and capital returns

  • Net leverage reached 2.9x: Net leverage fell to 2.9x from 3.1x at June 30 and 4.6x at the IPO. Source
  • Buyback sits beside growth funding: Management describes deleveraging as the top priority, with the buyback framework also funding organic growth, AI investment and strategic M&A. Source
  • Available liquidity above $1.3 billion: Cash of $572.6 million plus $747.5 million of Revolver capacity gave $1,320.1 million of available liquidity at September 30, 2026. Source
  • Weighted interest rate 4.9%: Average unhedged and hedged rates were 4.6% and 5.6%, giving a total weighted average rate of 4.9% at quarter end. Source

Full-year 2026 guidance

  • Full-year guidance raised: Full-year ranges were raised for reported revenue, organic growth, margin, levered free cash flow and Adjusted EPS, reflecting Q3 outperformance. Source
  • Fourth-quarter ranges added: Fourth-quarter ranges were added: reported Adjusted EBITDA of $315M to $323M, growth of 9% to 12%, and margin of 26.3% to 26.7%. Source
  • Second-half cash flow implied higher: The full-year levered free cash flow range implies $303 million in the second half, against $300 million implied in the prior release. Source
  • Interest, tax and D&A guidance lowered: Depreciation and amortization is guided at $600M - $605M, interest expense at $210M - $215M and income tax at $155M - $160M, each below the prior range. Source
  • Capex and leverage guidance held: Capital expenditures stay at 6.5% to 7.0% of revenue and the Net Leverage Ratio stays below 3.0x, both unchanged from the prior release. Source
  • Constant currency basis explained: Constant currency growth assumes foreign currency exchange rates are consistent between years, so results are assessed without currency effects. Source

Strategy and AI positioning

  • Automation to speed optimization: Investments in automation and AI are expected to accelerate optimization of the workforce, sales and support functions as NIQ puts these tools to use. Source
  • Hedging for predictable cash flow: The hedging program aims to protect against sharp rate rises while keeping participation in an improving rate environment, for greater predictability of cash flows. Source
  • Core and AI momentum into 2027: Management says the core business and momentum in AI solutions leave NIQ positioned well heading into 2027. No 2027 figures were given. Source

Coming up, as management said on 12 November 2026

  • 2027 expected to strengthen further: The CFO said the company expects further strengthening in 2027 after raising 2026 guidance. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Annualized Intelligence Subscription revenue Source$3,061.8 million, up 5.5%
Intelligence Subscription net dollar retention Source105%
Intelligence Subscription gross dollar retention Source99%
ConnectAI Charter signed clients and pipeline Source10 signed clients; pipeline of 79
Seven-figure client wins Source24

Risks management discussed

  • Demand: EMEA Activation revenue fell 4.7% as reported, with Middle East volatility affecting ad hoc project demand. Source
  • Financial: Nine-month operating cash flow gains were partly offset by higher restructuring expense. Source
  • Demand: APAC organic constant currency growth was flat against a difficult comparison with the prior year. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Ahead: The sub-3.0x net leverage target was reached one quarter earlier than planned. Source
  • On track: The 2026 Restructuring Program is described as remaining on track for annualized savings of about $70 million to $80 million. Source
  • Ahead: Results were described as exceeding revenue, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EPS guidance for the sixth straight quarter. Source
  • Not stated: The prior release expected 2026 Program execution mainly in the first half of 2026. This release expects the remaining charges in Q4 2026 and H1 2027. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.