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MSCI Inc.: Q3 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 20 October 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 1 lowered, 5 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue rose 12.4% to $892.0 million: Operating revenues were $892.0 million, up 12.4%, with organic growth of 12.3%. The $98.6 million increase came from $49.1 million in asset-based fees, $44.5 million in recurring subscriptions and $5.0 million in non-recurring revenue. Source
  • Index revenue up 18.1%: Index operating revenues were $532.6 million, up 18.1%, with organic growth of 18.0%. Index Run Rate reached $2.1 billion, up 16.5%, with asset-based fee Run Rate up $175.9 million. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA expenses up 12.8%: Adjusted EBITDA expenses were $337.2 million, up 12.8%, primarily reflecting higher non-compensation costs. Compensation rose on incentive pay and salaries. Source
  • Other expense rose 45.2% on debt: Other expense (income), net was $74.2 million, up 45.2%, due to higher interest expense from higher debt levels. Interest expense was $74.8 million against $53.6 million a year earlier. Source
  • Asset-based fees up 24.9%: Asset-based fee revenue was $246.6 million, up 24.9%, reflecting higher AUM in ETFs linked to MSCI equity indexes and in non-ETF indexed funds. Source
  • Free cash flow down 8.9%: Free cash flow was $385.4 million, down 8.9%, against $423.2 million a year earlier. Net cash provided by operating activities was $436.1 million, down 3.0%. Source
  • Buybacks of $552.3 million in quarter: Share repurchases in the quarter were $552.3 million, or 1.0 million shares, at an average price of $562.92. Through October 19, 2026, $627.2 million had been repurchased. Source
  • First Street acquisition completed: MSCI completed the First Street acquisition on August 3, 2026, for $122.6 million net of cash acquired. Its results are reported in the Sustainability and Climate segment. Source

“Among client segments and regions, we achieved our best-ever quarter both with asset owners and in Asia-Pacific”

Henry A. Fernandez, Chairman and CEO of MSCI

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Operating expense SourceFull-Year 2026$1,535 to $1,575 millionKept
Adjusted EBITDA expense SourceFull-Year 2026$1,340 to $1,370 millionKept
Interest expense (including amortization of financing fees) SourceFull-Year 2026$288 to $291 millionRaised from $282 to $286 million
Depreciation and amortization expense SourceFull-Year 2026$195 to $205 millionKept
Effective tax rate SourceFull-Year 202618.0% to 19.5%Lowered from 18.0% to 20.0%
Capital expenditures SourceFull-Year 2026$160 to $170 millionKept
Net cash provided by operating activities SourceFull-Year 2026$1,655 to $1,705 millionKept

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance lowered: The full-year effective tax rate range was narrowed to 18.0% to 19.5%, from 18.0% to 20.0%. Source
  • Guidance raised: Full-year interest expense guidance was raised to $288 to $291 million from $282 to $286 million. Source
  • New: The First Street acquisition, agreed on June 24, 2026 with a third-quarter close expected, was completed on August 3, 2026. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Revenue rose 12.4% to $892.0 million: Operating revenues were $892.0 million, up 12.4%, with organic growth of 12.3%. The $98.6 million increase came from $49.1 million in asset-based fees, $44.5 million in recurring subscriptions and $5.0 million in non-recurring revenue. Source
  • Diluted and adjusted EPS both grew: Diluted EPS was $4.86, up 14.4%, and adjusted EPS was $5.11, up 14.3%. Net income was $351.0 million, up 7.9%. Source
  • Operating income up 12.2%: Operating income was $502.1 million, up 12.2%. Operating margin was 56.3% against 56.4% a year earlier, and adjusted EBITDA was $554.8 million, up 12.2%. Source

Segments and Run Rate growth

  • Index revenue up 18.1%: Index operating revenues were $532.6 million, up 18.1%, with organic growth of 18.0%. Index Run Rate reached $2.1 billion, up 16.5%, with asset-based fee Run Rate up $175.9 million. Source
  • Analytics revenue up 4.8%: Analytics operating revenues were $191.0 million, up 4.8%, with organic growth of 5.2%. Analytics Run Rate was $793.5 million, up 6.9%, led by Equity Analytics and Multi-Asset Class products. Source
  • Sustainability and Climate grew 4.0%: Sustainability and Climate operating revenues were $93.7 million, up 4.0%, with organic growth of 2.2%. Its Run Rate was $384.8 million, up 3.8%, and First Street results are reported in this segment. Source
  • Private Assets revenue up 6.7%: All Other - Private Assets revenue was $74.7 million, up 6.7%. Growth was primarily driven by Private Capital Solutions products, including Total Plan Manager and Private Capital Intel. Source

“Notably, we have seen robust demand for both our traditional and newer solutions.”

Henry A. Fernandez, Chairman and CEO of MSCI

Client sales and retention

  • Net new recurring sales of $54.8 million: Consolidated new recurring subscription sales were $85.8 million, up 25.3%. After $31.0 million of cancellations, net new recurring subscription sales were $54.8 million. Source
  • Retention Rate rose to 95.0%: Retention Rate in the quarter was 95.0%, against 94.7% a year earlier. Index Retention Rate was 97.1% and Analytics Retention Rate was 94.3%. Source
  • Index sales grew 18.0%: Index new recurring subscription sales were $34.7 million, up 18.0%. Index total net sales were $41.7 million, up 29.9%. Source
  • Sustainability retention fell to 91.0%: Sustainability and Climate Retention Rate was 91.0%, against 93.6% a year earlier. Its net new recurring subscription sales were $(1.1) million, against $2.0 million a year earlier. Source

Costs and expense growth

  • Adjusted EBITDA expenses up 12.8%: Adjusted EBITDA expenses were $337.2 million, up 12.8%, primarily reflecting higher non-compensation costs. Compensation rose on incentive pay and salaries. Source
  • Total operating expenses up 12.8%: Total operating expenses were $389.9 million, up 12.8%. Excluding foreign exchange, total operating expenses rose 13.2% and adjusted EBITDA expenses rose 13.4%. Source
  • Acquisitions added to expenses: Compass, Vantager, PM Insights and First Street added $6.1 million of Adjusted EBITDA expenses and $1.9 million of intangible asset amortization in the quarter. Source
  • Incentive pay and salaries raised compensation: Non-compensation costs, including information technology, professional fees and market data, were cited as the primary driver of the expense increase. Compensation costs were also higher. Source

“All of this shows that MSCI is expanding our foundational, mission-critical role in global investing even as we transform our business for today’s AI-first world”

Henry A. Fernandez, Chairman and CEO of MSCI

Margins, interest and tax

  • Other expense rose 45.2% on debt: Other expense (income), net was $74.2 million, up 45.2%, due to higher interest expense from higher debt levels. Interest expense was $74.8 million against $53.6 million a year earlier. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin near 62%: Adjusted EBITDA margin in the quarter was 62.2%, against 62.3% a year earlier. Index margin was 77.4% against 77.6%. Source
  • Analytics margin fell to 44.9%: Analytics adjusted EBITDA was $85.7 million, down 4.9%, as Analytics adjusted EBITDA expenses rose 14.3% to $105.3 million. Source
  • Effective tax rate near 18%: The effective tax rate was 18.0%, against 17.9%. A lower operating tax rate was offset by smaller net discrete tax benefits than a year earlier. Source

Asset-based fees and AUM

  • Asset-based fees up 24.9%: Asset-based fee revenue was $246.6 million, up 24.9%, reflecting higher AUM in ETFs linked to MSCI equity indexes and in non-ETF indexed funds. Source
  • Record ETF AUM drove subscription Run Rate: Recurring subscription Run Rate rose $209.5 million, led by asset managers, hedge funds and banking and brokerage clients, along with record ETF AUM linked to MSCI indexes. Source
  • Index fee Run Rate reached $975.6 million: Index asset-based fee Run Rate was $975.6 million, up 22.0%, and Index recurring subscription Run Rate was $1,107.1 million, up 12.0%. Source

Cash, capital returns and balance sheet

  • Free cash flow down 8.9%: Free cash flow was $385.4 million, down 8.9%, against $423.2 million a year earlier. Net cash provided by operating activities was $436.1 million, down 3.0%. Source
  • Capex rose to $50.7 million: Capex was $50.7 million, against $26.2 million a year earlier, with both capitalized software development costs and other capital expenditures higher. Source
  • Buybacks of $552.3 million in quarter: Share repurchases in the quarter were $552.3 million, or 1.0 million shares, at an average price of $562.92. Through October 19, 2026, $627.2 million had been repurchased. Source
  • About $0.9 billion authorization remains: About $0.9 billion remains on the repurchase authorization as of October 19, 2026, against about $1.6 billion as of July 20, 2026 in the prior release. Source
  • Fourth-quarter dividend set at $2.05: The Board declared a $2.05 per share dividend for fourth quarter 2026. About $147.5 million was paid in the quarter, compared with $149.2 million in the second quarter. Source
  • Debt at $6.8 billion, 3.2x EBITDA: Total principal of debt was $6.8 billion at September 30, 2026, with debt to trailing adjusted EBITDA of 3.2x and debt to trailing net income of 4.9x. Cash was $261.0 million. Source

Acquisitions and deal consideration

  • First Street acquisition completed: MSCI completed the First Street acquisition on August 3, 2026, for $122.6 million net of cash acquired. Its results are reported in the Sustainability and Climate segment. Source
  • Contingent payments tied to revenue: Total consideration includes the fair value of possible cash payments over two years after closing, contingent on specified revenue thresholds. Source
  • Cash paid for acquisitions in the year: Cash paid for acquisitions is reported as $174.7 million for the nine months, covering the Compass, Vantager, PM Insights and First Street deals. Source
  • Acquisitions trimmed organic growth slightly: Acquisitions and divestitures reduced consolidated operating revenue growth by 0.3 percentage points in the quarter. Source

Headcount, compensation and adjusted earnings

  • Headcount 6,259, up 0.1%: Headcount was 6,259 at September 30, 2026, a 0.1% increase, with 29% of employees in developed markets and 71% in emerging markets. June 30 headcount was 6,327. Source
  • Stock-based compensation rose: Stock-based compensation within operating expenses was $27.5 million in the quarter, against $22.8 million a year earlier. Source
  • Adjusted net income of $369.0 million: Adjusted net income was $369.0 million, against $342.3 million a year earlier, and excludes after-tax amortization of acquired intangible assets. Source

Coming up, as management said on 20 October 2026

  • Fourth-quarter dividend payment: The $2.05 dividend is payable November 27, 2026 to shareholders of record at the close of trading on November 13, 2026. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Total Run Rate Source$3,571.9 million
Organic recurring subscription Run Rate growth Source8.7%
Period-end AUM in ETFs linked to MSCI equity indexes Source$2,905 billion
Period-end basis point fee, ETFs linked to MSCI equity indexes Source2.28

Risks management discussed

  • Demand: Sustainability and Climate Run Rate growth was partly offset by cancellations, according to the company. Source
  • External: Full-year guidance is based on assumptions about macroeconomic factors and the capital markets, which are subject to uncertainty. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: Management says it seeks a 3.0x to 3.5x total debt to adjusted EBITDA target range; the release reports 3.2x. Source
  • Not stated: The June release expected a third-quarter close. The September release reports completion on August 3, 2026.
  • Not stated: Management says it typically seeks minimum global cash of about $225.0 million to $275.0 million; cash was $261.0 million. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.