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Altria Group, Inc.: Q3 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 30 October 2025: press release. Guidance figures: 2 raised, 3 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted EPS rose on higher OCI: Third-quarter adjusted diluted EPS rose 3.6% to $1.45, on higher adjusted OCI and fewer shares outstanding. Source
  • Net revenues fell 3.0% in quarter: Net revenues were $6.1 billion, down 3.0%, on lower smokeable and oral tobacco revenue. Revenues net of excise taxes fell 1.7% to $5.3 billion. Source
  • Cigarette shipments fell 8.2%: Domestic cigarette shipments fell 8.2%, or an estimated 9% after adjusting for trade inventory and calendar differences. Adjusted for other factors, industry volume fell an estimated 8%. Source
  • E-vapor goodwill impairment hit results: Nine-month asset impairment and exit costs were $916 million, or $0.53 per share, mainly a non-cash $873 million goodwill impairment on e-vapor. No tax benefit was recorded because the impairment is non-deductible. Source
  • Third-quarter buybacks of $112 million: In the quarter the company repurchased 1.9 million shares at an average $60.13, for $112 million. Nine-month repurchases were 12.3 million shares for $712 million, at an average $58.08. Source
  • Non-binding MOU with KT&G: The MOU covers international modern oral nicotine products, U.S. non-nicotine products and operating efficiency in traditional tobacco. Source

“Altria continued to build significant momentum in the third quarter with exciting progress across our businesses,”

Billy Gifford, Altria’s Chief Executive Officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Adjusted diluted EPS Source2025 full year$5.37 to $5.45Raised from $5.35 to $5.45
Adjusted effective tax rate Source2025 full year23% to 24%Kept
Capital expenditures Source2025 full year$175 million to $225 millionKept
Depreciation and amortization Source2025 full yearapproximately $290 millionKept
Share repurchase authorization SourceThrough December 31, 2026$2 billionRaised from $1 billion

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Low end of 2025 adjusted EPS guidance raised from $5.35 to $5.37; high end unchanged at $5.45. Source
  • New: Share repurchase authorization expanded from $1 billion to $2 billion, expiring December 31, 2026. Source
  • New: Non-binding global collaboration MOU signed with KT&G, covering international oral nicotine, U.S. non-nicotine products and efficiency in traditional tobacco. Source
  • New: Horizon filed a combined premarket and modified risk application with FDA for Ploom and Marlboro heated tobacco sticks in August. Source
  • New: Quarterly dividend raised 3.9% in August, the 60th increase in 56 years. Source

Third-quarter and nine-month results

  • Adjusted EPS rose on higher OCI: Third-quarter adjusted diluted EPS rose 3.6% to $1.45, on higher adjusted OCI and fewer shares outstanding. Source
  • Net revenues fell 3.0% in quarter: Net revenues were $6.1 billion, down 3.0%, on lower smokeable and oral tobacco revenue. Revenues net of excise taxes fell 1.7% to $5.3 billion. Source
  • Nine-month reported EPS fell 27.4%: Nine-month reported diluted EPS fell 27.4% to $3.45, mainly from the 2024 IQOS rights gain, while adjusted diluted EPS rose 5.9% to $4.12. Source
  • Reported EPS rose on several items: Reported diluted EPS rose 5.2% to $1.41 on higher reported OCI, fewer shares, favorable tax items and lower NJOY acquisition costs. Source

Smokeable products segment

  • Cigarette shipments fell 8.2%: Domestic cigarette shipments fell 8.2%, or an estimated 9% after adjusting for trade inventory and calendar differences. Adjusted for other factors, industry volume fell an estimated 8%. Source
  • Marlboro share fell, discount rose: Marlboro held 40.4% of the total cigarette category, down 1.2 points year over year and 0.5 points sequentially. The discount segment reached 32.2%, up 2.4 points year over year. Source
  • Smokeable net revenues fell 2.8%: Smokeable net revenues fell 2.8% on lower shipments and higher promotional investments, partly offset by higher pricing. Cigar shipments rose 2.0%. Source
  • Smokeable adjusted OCI rose 0.7%: Smokeable adjusted OCI rose 0.7% to $2,956 million, and the adjusted OCI margin rose 1.3 points to 64.4%. Source

“Our core tobacco businesses remained resilient; we advanced our smoke-free portfolio; and we opened new pathways for long-term adjacent growth in international modern oral and U.S. non-nicotine innovation.”

Billy Gifford, Altria’s Chief Executive Officer

Oral tobacco products segment

  • Oral shipments fell 9.6%: Oral domestic shipment volume fell 9.6%, or an estimated 5.5% after adjusting for calendar differences and trade inventory, on retail share losses and other factors. Source
  • Industry oral volume rose on pouches: Total oral industry volume rose an estimated 14.5% in the period the company cites, driven by oral nicotine pouches, partly offset by declines in MST volumes. Source
  • On! held 15.6% of pouches: on! held 15.6% of the nicotine pouch category, down 4.1 share points year over year. Source
  • Oral net revenues fell 4.6%: Oral net revenues fell 4.6% to $689 million, on lower shipments and a higher share of on! volume relative to MST, partly offset by higher pricing. Source

Smoke-free products and launches

  • On! PLUS launched in three states: Helix launched on! PLUS in Florida, North Carolina and Texas in three flavors and three nicotine strengths. Management calls it a premium, differentiated product. Source
  • Ploom application filed with FDA: Horizon, the majority-owned joint venture, filed in August a combined premarket and modified risk application with FDA for Ploom and Marlboro heated tobacco sticks. Source
  • ITC orders limit NJOY ACE sales: Nine-month acquisition-related items were $96 million pre-tax, including $71 million tied to ITC orders barring NJOY ACE importation and sale in the U.S. Insurance recoveries partly offset these expenses. Source

“We also continue to demonstrate our commitment to returning value to our shareholders.”

Billy Gifford, Altria’s Chief Executive Officer

Costs, special items and taxes

  • E-vapor goodwill impairment hit results: Nine-month asset impairment and exit costs were $916 million, or $0.53 per share, mainly a non-cash $873 million goodwill impairment on e-vapor. No tax benefit was recorded because the impairment is non-deductible. Source
  • Quarter tax benefit from reserves: Third-quarter income tax items were a $20 million benefit, or $0.01 per share, mainly from tax reserves, partly offset by a valuation allowance increase tied to unrecognized capital losses. Source
  • ABI mark-to-market losses in quarter: ABI-related special items in the period were mainly mark-to-market losses on ABI financial instruments tied to its share commitments. Source
  • Amortization now excluded from adjusted: Amortization of intangibles, $38 million in the quarter, is treated as a special item and excluded from adjusted results. Prior periods were recast on the same basis. Source
  • Adjusted tax rate lower for nine months: Adjusted tax rate was 23.1% in the quarter, down 0.7 points, and 23.3% for the nine months, down 0.9 points. Source

Cash and shareholder returns

  • Third-quarter buybacks of $112 million: In the quarter the company repurchased 1.9 million shares at an average $60.13, for $112 million. Nine-month repurchases were 12.3 million shares for $712 million, at an average $58.08. Source
  • Dividends paid $5.2 billion year to date: Dividends paid were $1.7 billion in the quarter and $5.2 billion in the nine months. The current annualized dividend rate is $4.24 per share. Source
  • Cash and debt higher at quarter-end: Cash and cash equivalents were $3.5 billion at September 30, 2025, up from $3.1 billion at December 31, 2024. Total debt was $25.7 billion, up from $24.9 billion. Source

Strategy and partnerships

  • Non-binding MOU with KT&G: The MOU covers international modern oral nicotine products, U.S. non-nicotine products and operating efficiency in traditional tobacco. Source
  • KT&G deal fits adjacent growth goals: Management says the MOU aligns with adjacent growth goals in international smoke-free products and U.S. non-nicotine products, announced in March 2023. Source
  • Vision spending built into guidance: Guidance includes planned Vision investments in smoke-free marketplace activity, and in smoke-free research, development and regulatory preparation. Source

Guidance assumptions and conditions

  • Tariff costs included in guidance: Guidance reflects the current estimated tariff impact on costs, based on information available at the time. Source
  • Illicit and NJOY ACE assumptions: Guidance assumes limited impact on combustible and e-vapor volumes from illicit product enforcement, and that NJOY ACE does not return to the market this year. Source
  • Initiative savings reinvested: Guidance includes reinvesting anticipated cost savings from the Optimize & Accelerate initiative, and lower expected net periodic benefit income. Source

Coming up, as management said on 30 October 2025

  • Fourth-quarter EPS growth to moderate: Management expects EPS growth to moderate in the fourth quarter, as it laps the lower share count from the 2024 accelerated repurchase and the Master Settlement Agreement legal fund benefit. Source
  • Monitoring economy and consumer trends: Management will monitor the economy, adult tobacco consumer dynamics, illicit product enforcement, and regulatory, litigation and legislative developments. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Domestic cigarette shipment volume, third quarter Sourcedown 8.2%
Marlboro retail share, total cigarette category Source40.4%
Total oral tobacco shipment volume, third quarter Source178.2 million cans, down 9.6%
Nicotine pouch share of U.S. oral tobacco category Source55.7%
On! share of nicotine pouch category Source15.6%

Risks management discussed

  • External: Management said the external environment remains dynamic, and guidance covers a range of scenarios. Source
  • Demand: Management attributed the industry cigarette decline to flavored disposable e-vapor growth and discretionary income pressure on adult consumers. Source
  • Regulatory: Guidance rests on assumptions that illicit enforcement effects stay limited and that NJOY ACE stays off the market this year. Source
  • Regulatory: ITC exclusion and cease-and-desist orders bar NJOY ACE importation and sale in the U.S., producing $71 million of nine-month expense. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: Management says it continues to expect the 2025 adjusted tax rate of 23% to 24%, with capex and D&A figures also unchanged. Source
  • Not stated: Management says it maintains the goal of mid-single digits annual dividend per share growth through 2028. Source
  • Not stated: Guidance reflects reinvestment of anticipated savings from the previously announced Optimize & Accelerate initiative. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.