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Lincoln Educational Services Corp.: Q3 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 9 November 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 2 raised, 1 narrowed, 7 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue rose 12.6% on enrollment: Revenue reached $159.2 million, up $17.8 million or 12.6%, mainly from a 10.9% rise in average student population. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA up 30.8%: Adjusted EBITDA reached $17.4 million from $13.3 million. Net income rose 24.1% to $4.7 million, and diluted EPS was $0.15 against $0.12. Source
  • Starts rose 14.2% on comparable basis: Starts totalled 7,362, up 14.2% against the comparable 2025 base of 6,445. The 2025 comparable figures exclude 2,764 starts dated July 1, 2025. Source
  • Lead conversion back to historic levels: Management said lead conversion to starts improved during the quarter and returned to its historic levels. Source
  • Instruction costs up 17.2%: Educational services and facilities expense rose 17.2% to $67.1 million. Management cited a larger population, higher laptop pricing and depreciation from capital investment. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA method changed: From fiscal 2026, adjusted EBITDA no longer excludes pre-opening costs or new-campus operating losses. Prior periods were recast to the new method. Source
  • Operating cash flow up $11.0 million: Net cash from operating activities was $34.9 million against $23.9 million last year. The nine-month figure was $61.5 million against $15.8 million. Source

“During the third quarter, we generated double-digit growth across all our key metrics, highlighted by our 14.2% increase in student starts”

Scott Shaw, President & CEO

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Revenue SourceFull year 2026$600.0 - $605.0 millionRaised from $590.0 - $600.0 million
Student starts growth SourceFull year 202610% - 12%Narrowed, top end cut from 10% - 14%
Adjusted EBITDA SourceFull year 2026$76.0 - $80.0 millionKept
Net income SourceFull year 2026$23.0 - $26.0 millionKept
Diluted EPS SourceFull year 2026$0.74 - $0.83Kept
Capital expenditures SourceFull year 2026$95.0 - $100.0 millionKept
Campus-related losses inside adjusted EBITDA SourceFull year 2026approximately $10.0 millionKept
Adjusted EBITDA midpoint reconciliation SourceFull year 2026$78.0 million at midpointKept
Share repurchase authorization SourceCurrent authorization$70 million total; more than $37 million remainingRaised
Long-term targets Source2030$850 million revenue; $150 million EBITDAKept

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Full-year 2026 revenue guidance raised to $600.0 - $605.0 million from $590.0 - $600.0 million. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Student start growth range narrowed to 10% - 12% from 10% - 14%. The top of the range was reduced; the bottom was unchanged. Source
  • Guidance kept: Adjusted EBITDA, net income, diluted EPS and capital expenditure guidance reiterated; no change from the second quarter. Source
  • New: WorkforceLinc expanded its collaboration with CMC Corporation and added a new partnership with ABB for data center electrical training. Source
  • New: Signed a lease for a first campus in Arizona, in Tempe, about 90,000 square feet. Source
  • New: Revolving credit facility amended in November, adding daily borrowing and repayment flexibility and enhanced share repurchase flexibility. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Revenue rose 12.6% on enrollment: Revenue reached $159.2 million, up $17.8 million or 12.6%, mainly from a 10.9% rise in average student population. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA up 30.8%: Adjusted EBITDA reached $17.4 million from $13.3 million. Net income rose 24.1% to $4.7 million, and diluted EPS was $0.15 against $0.12. Source
  • Operating income rose 22.5%: Operating income reached $7.7 million against $6.3 million. Management attributed the gain to operating efficiencies in many of its operations. Source
  • Nine-month revenue up 18.7%: Nine-month revenue reached $445.7 million, up $70.3 million. Nine-month adjusted EBITDA reached $45.6 million, up 49.0%. Source

Program segments and enrollment

  • Transportation and trades starts up: Transportation and Skilled Trades starts were 6,120, up 16.5% on the comparable 2025 base of 5,253. Reported starts were down 20.6% from 7,705. Average population in this group rose 17.1%. Source
  • Healthcare starts up on comparable basis: Healthcare and Other Professions starts were 1,242, up 4.2% on the comparable base of 1,192. Reported starts fell 17.4% from 1,504. Source
  • Ending population up 11.4%: End-of-period population reached 20,325. Transportation and Skilled Trades was 16,571 and Healthcare and Other Professions was 3,754. Source

“we saw an improvement in lead conversion rate to starts during the quarter to our historic levels”

Scott Shaw, President & CEO

Demand, starts and lead conversion

  • Starts rose 14.2% on comparable basis: Starts totalled 7,362, up 14.2% against the comparable 2025 base of 6,445. The 2025 comparable figures exclude 2,764 starts dated July 1, 2025. Source
  • Lead conversion back to historic levels: Management said lead conversion to starts improved during the quarter and returned to its historic levels. Source
  • Lead sources under review: Management said it continues to examine strategies to broaden future lead generation sources. The document names no specific new source. Source
  • Skilled-worker demand exceeds supply: Management said demand for skilled workers remains far higher than supply, and it continues pursuing partnerships to address that gap. Source

Costs, margins and accounting change

  • Instruction costs up 17.2%: Educational services and facilities expense rose 17.2% to $67.1 million. Management cited a larger population, higher laptop pricing and depreciation from capital investment. Source
  • New campuses added $3.1 million: Costs for the new campuses in Houston, Hicksville, Rowlett and Suitland added $3.1 million to educational services and facilities expense in the quarter. Source
  • SG&A up 8.4%: Selling, general and administrative expense rose 8.4% to $84.3 million, driven by higher student population and new-campus costs. Source
  • Corporate costs near prior year: Corporate and other expenses were $17.1 million, against $17.0 million a year earlier. Management described the two figures as relatively consistent. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA method changed: From fiscal 2026, adjusted EBITDA no longer excludes pre-opening costs or new-campus operating losses. Prior periods were recast to the new method. Source

“Our momentum increases our confidence in achieving our long-term 2030 objectives of $850 million in revenue and $150 million of EBITDA as we continue to expand our leadership position”

Scott Shaw, President & CEO

Cash, liquidity and debt

  • Operating cash flow up $11.0 million: Net cash from operating activities was $34.9 million against $23.9 million last year. The nine-month figure was $61.5 million against $15.8 million. Source
  • Liquidity about $136 million: Total liquidity was about $136 million, made up of $20.6 million cash and a $115.0 million credit facility, of which $10.0 million was outstanding. Source
  • Long-term debt now $24.8 million: Long-term debt was $24.8 million at September 30, 2026, against none at December 31, 2025. Nine-month cash flow shows $15.0 million of mortgage loan proceeds. Source

Capital, buybacks and share count

  • Third-quarter buybacks of $21.0 million: The company repurchased 871,135 shares for about $21.0 million in the third quarter. Nine-month repurchases in cash were $19.3 million. Source
  • Share count fell year to date: Shares outstanding were 30,850,093 at September 30, 2026, down from 31,623,795 at December 31, 2025. Source
  • Capex roughly flat year to date: Nine-month capital expenditures were $67.4 million, compared with $68.1 million a year earlier. Source

Campus expansion and partnerships

  • Washington and Phoenix plans advanced: Management said it signed leases and advanced plans to develop campuses in the Washington, D.C. and Phoenix markets during the quarter. Source
  • Rowlett campus construction continues: Construction of the Rowlett, Texas campus continues, while the Hicksville, New York campus is expected to begin classes this month. Source
  • Other underserved markets under review: Business development is examining other underserved markets for full-scale and focused-program campus models, which management said remains quite active. Source

Coming up, as management said on 9 November 2026

  • Hicksville campus first class in November: The second New York campus is expected to begin its first class in November 2026. Source
  • Tempe campus opening in 2028: The Tempe, Arizona campus, the company's first in the state, is expected to open in the first quarter of 2028. Source
  • Suitland campus opening in 2027: The focused-program Suitland, Maryland facility is expected to open in the fourth quarter of 2027. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Student starts (quarter) Source7,362, up 14.2% on comparable basis
Average student population (quarter) Source18,584, up 14.0% (10.9% comparable)
Ending student population Source20,325, up 11.4%
Campuses Source23 campuses in 12 states

Risks management discussed

  • Demand: Management cited a dynamic marketing environment as the setting for student starts. Source
  • Demand: Management continues to examine ways to broaden future lead generation sources. Source
  • Operational: Adjusted EBITDA guidance includes about $10.0 million of losses tied to new campus openings and growth initiatives. Source
  • Operational: Instruction cost growth included higher laptop pricing and depreciation from capital investment. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: Management said the narrowed start guidance sits within the range set after the first quarter. Source
  • Met: The company reported completing the purchase of the previously leased Melrose Park campus property for $18.8 million. Source
  • Not stated: Management said it remains confident in achieving 2030 targets of $850 million revenue and $150 million EBITDA. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.