greeksoup/ stock research

Kroger Co.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 5 March 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 8 new, 1 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Fulfillment impairment lowered full-year EPS: Full-year diluted EPS was $1.54. It includes a $2.5 billion impairment and related charge for the automated fulfillment network, a $2.91 loss per diluted share. Source
  • Adjusted EPS rose to $4.85: Adjusted EPS was $1.28 in the fourth quarter, against $1.14. Full-year adjusted EPS was $4.85, against $4.47. Source
  • Adjusted eCommerce sales up 20%: Adjusted eCommerce sales rose 20% in the fourth quarter. The measure excludes fulfillment center exits in markets without Kroger stores, the Vitacost sale and the Ship Marketplace discontinuation. Source
  • Q4 gross margin rose to 23.1%: Gross margin was 23.1% of sales in the fourth quarter, against 22.7% a year earlier. Source
  • Inflation Reduction Act weighed on Q4 sales: Identical sales without fuel in the fourth quarter include an unfavorable 38 basis point impact from the Inflation Reduction Act. Source
  • 2026 plan funds more value spending: Management said the 2026 guidance invests more in value for customers while improving gross margins, funded by eCommerce profitability, procurement efficiencies and productivity. Source
  • Greg Foran named chief executive: Greg Foran was appointed Chief Executive Officer. The third-quarter release named Ron Sargent as Chairman and CEO. Source

“Kroger delivered a strong finish to the year, with improving market share trends and solid sales growth that reflect meaningful progress strengthening the business.”

CEO Greg Foran

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Identical sales without fuel SourceFY20261.0% - 2.0%New
Adjusted FIFO operating profit SourceFY2026$5.0 - $5.2 billionNew
Adjusted EPS SourceFY2026$5.10 - $5.30New
Free cash flow SourceFY2026$2.7 - $2.9 billionNew
Capital expenditure SourceFY2026$3.8 - $4.0 billionNew
Adjusted tax rate SourceFY202623%New
ECommerce operating profit improvement SourceFY2026$400 millionNew
Share repurchases SourceBy end of FY2026$2 billion authorizationNew
Net total debt to adjusted EBITDA target SourceOngoing2.30 to 2.50Kept

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: Full-year 2026 guidance was issued for identical sales, adjusted FIFO operating profit, adjusted EPS, free cash flow, capital expenditure and tax rate. Source
  • New guidance: An eCommerce operating profit improvement of $400 million in 2026 is guided, following completion of the strategic review. Source
  • New: Greg Foran was appointed Chief Executive Officer. The third-quarter release named Ron Sargent as Chairman and CEO. Source
  • New: An additional $2 billion share repurchase authorization was approved in December 2025. Source

Fourth quarter and full-year results

  • Fourth-quarter sales rose: Total sales were $34.7 billion in the fourth quarter, against $34.3 billion a year earlier. Excluding fuel, sales rose 2.1%. Source
  • Q4 identical sales up 2.4%: Identical sales without fuel rose 2.4% in the fourth quarter, the same rate as a year earlier. Source
  • Full-year identical sales up 2.9%: Full-year identical sales without fuel rose 2.9%, against 1.5% in 2024. Full-year operating profit was $1.9 billion. Source
  • Fulfillment impairment lowered full-year EPS: Full-year diluted EPS was $1.54. It includes a $2.5 billion impairment and related charge for the automated fulfillment network, a $2.91 loss per diluted share. Source
  • Adjusted EPS rose to $4.85: Adjusted EPS was $1.28 in the fourth quarter, against $1.14. Full-year adjusted EPS was $4.85, against $4.47. Source

eCommerce and alternative profit businesses

  • ECommerce sales topped $16 billion: The company delivered more than $16 billion in eCommerce sales in 2025 and completed its eCommerce strategic review. Source
  • Adjusted eCommerce sales up 20%: Adjusted eCommerce sales rose 20% in the fourth quarter. The measure excludes fulfillment center exits in markets without Kroger stores, the Vitacost sale and the Ship Marketplace discontinuation. Source
  • Alternative profit businesses added $1.5 billion: Alternative profit businesses delivered $1.5 billion of operating profit in 2025, the company said. Source

“We have the right foundation in place, and I’m focused on making it even stronger by delivering more value to customers, improving the customer experience in stores and online, and driving cost savings and productivity to fund our growth.”

CEO Greg Foran

Gross margin, costs and pricing

  • Q4 gross margin rose to 23.1%: Gross margin was 23.1% of sales in the fourth quarter, against 22.7% a year earlier. Source
  • Sourcing and supply chain lifted margin: Sourcing improvements, lower supply chain costs, better fuel margins, lower depreciation and lower shrink helped. Price investments and pharmacy mix offset part of the gain. Source
  • Q4 OG&A rate rose 21 basis points: The OG&A rate rose 21 basis points on cycling last year's real estate gains and labor investments for the customer experience. Lower incentive costs and productivity partly offset it. Source
  • Full-year OG&A rate up 29 basis points: The full-year OG&A rate rose 29 basis points, mainly from the sale of Kroger Specialty Pharmacy, partly offset by improved productivity. Source
  • LIFO charge fell in Q4: The LIFO charge was $11 million in the fourth quarter, against $30 million a year earlier. Source

Pharmacy mix and Inflation Reduction Act

  • Inflation Reduction Act weighed on Q4 sales: Identical sales without fuel in the fourth quarter include an unfavorable 38 basis point impact from the Inflation Reduction Act. Source
  • Pharmacy growth carries lower margins: Growth in pharmacy sales carries lower margins, which offset part of the gross margin gains in the quarter and the year. Source
  • Specialty pharmacy sale added to margin rate: The sale of Kroger Specialty Pharmacy accounted for 30 basis points of the 44 basis point full-year FIFO gross margin rate increase. Source

“This guidance reflects our ability to invest more aggressively in value for customers while improving gross margins, funded by eCommerce reaching profitability, meaningful procurement efficiencies, and productivity gains across the business.”

CFO David Kennerley

2026 plan and investment

  • 2026 plan funds more value spending: Management said the 2026 guidance invests more in value for customers while improving gross margins, funded by eCommerce profitability, procurement efficiencies and productivity. Source
  • Foran's three priorities for the business: The CEO named more value for customers, a better in-store and online experience, and cost savings and productivity to fund growth. Source
  • ECommerce profitability path set for 2026: The third-quarter release said the completed strategic review would make eCommerce profitable in 2026. The year-end release describes a path to eCommerce profitability.

Capital, cash and shareholder returns

  • Adjusted free cash flow rose for 2025: Adjusted free cash flow was $3,868 million for 2025, against $2,499 million a year earlier. Source
  • Capital investment rose year on year: Total capital investments excluding lease buyouts were $3,862 million in 2025, against $3,623 million in 2024. Source
  • Net debt to EBITDA ratio at 1.76: Net total debt to adjusted EBITDA was 1.76 at year end, against 1.79 a year earlier. Net total debt was $14,448 million. Source
  • $7.5 billion buyback program completed: The $7.5 billion authorization was completed in 2025, with a $5 billion accelerated repurchase and open market purchases for the balance. Source
  • Additional $2 billion repurchase approved: The board approved a further $2 billion authorization in December 2025, to be completed by the end of fiscal 2026. Source

Leadership and management view

  • Greg Foran named chief executive: Greg Foran was appointed Chief Executive Officer. The third-quarter release named Ron Sargent as Chairman and CEO. Source
  • Q4 market share trends improving: The CEO said the year-end finish reflected improving market share trends and solid sales growth. Source
  • Third-quarter view on eCommerce: The third-quarter release said eCommerce posted another quarter of impressive performance.

Adjusted measures and adjustment items

  • Merger litigation charges excluded: Adjusted results exclude merger-related litigation and settlement charges tied to the terminated Albertsons merger, $17 million pre-tax in the fourth quarter. Source
  • Fulfillment adjustment was a Q4 credit: The fourth-quarter fulfillment network adjustment was $(88) million pre-tax, following the full-year charge of $2,497 million. Source
  • Adjusted FIFO operating profit rose: Adjusted FIFO operating profit was $1,206 million in the fourth quarter, against $1,174 million, and $4,905 million for the year, against $4,674 million. Source

Coming up, as management said on 5 March 2026

  • ECommerce profit gain expected in 2026: Management expects the completed eCommerce strategic review to deliver $400 million of operating profit improvement in 2026. Source
  • Buyback due by end of fiscal 2026: Management expects to complete the $2 billion repurchase authorization by the end of fiscal 2026. Source
  • Dividend expected to rise over time: Management expects to keep paying the quarterly dividend and to raise it over time, subject to board approval. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Comparable sales SourceIdentical sales without fuel +2.4% in Q4; +2.9% for fiscal 2025
Inventory Source$6,892 million at January 31, 2026, against $7,038 million at February 1, 2025
E-commerce sales SourceMore than $16 billion in 2025; adjusted eCommerce sales up 20% in Q4
Gross margin Source23.1% in Q4 (22.7% prior year); 22.9% for 2025 (22.3% prior year)

Risks management discussed

  • Regulatory: The Inflation Reduction Act is a headwind to identical sales, at 38 basis points in the fourth quarter. Source
  • Operational: Growth in pharmacy sales carries lower margins, which weighs on the gross margin rate. Source
  • Financial: The automated fulfillment network impairment reduced reported full-year EPS. It is excluded from adjusted results. Source
  • Demand: Price investments partly offset the gross margin gains in the quarter, and the 2026 plan invests more in value. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: The third-quarter release said the completed strategic review was expected to make eCommerce profitable in 2026.
  • Met: The company stated it completed the remaining authorization through open market purchases by the end of fiscal 2025. Source
  • Not stated: Management said it remains committed to maintaining its current investment grade debt rating. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.