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Diamondback Energy, Inc.: Q3 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 3 November 2025: press release, letter to shareholders. Guidance figures: 7 raised, 2 lowered, 1 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Oil output rose on Sitio closing: Oil averaged 503,750 barrels per day against 321,054 a year earlier, and combined output was 942.9 MBOE/d. Sitio closed in August. Source
  • Viper closed Sitio acquisition: Viper, a Diamondback subsidiary, closed its Sitio Royalties acquisition on August 19. Management says the combined company ranks among the largest minerals and royalty companies in North America. Source
  • Cash operating cost fell again: Cash operating cost was $10.05 per BOE, against $10.10 in the June quarter and $11.49 a year earlier. Source
  • Yellow zone maintained: Management said the company remains in the yellow zone, holding oil volumes roughly flat and reducing share count, with flexibility to move to green or red. Source
  • Oversupply estimates range widely: Forecast oversupply for Q4 2025 and first half 2026 ranges from under 500k bpd per OPEC to almost 4 million bpd per the IEA. Management's best guess sits between the two, leaning toward OPEC. Source
  • Q3 returns of $892 million: Total return of capital was $892 million, comprising buybacks and the base dividend, equal to 50% of Adjusted Free Cash Flow. Source
  • Largest quarterly buyback in history: About 4.3 million shares were retired for about $603 million at $140.70 average. This equals about 3.5% of average daily trading volume and cut shares outstanding about 1.5%. Source
  • Non-core sales beyond $1.5B target: Including potential earnouts, asset sales exceeded the $1.5 billion target within just over six months. Sales included the BANGL pipeline and Delaware non-operated properties. Source

“Until that time, we will put our head down and continue to work to lower our industry-leading oil price breakeven, reinvestment rate and cost structure so we can maximize Free Cash Flow to pay our dividend, buy back shares and pay down debt.”

Kaes Van't Hof, Chief Executive Officer and Director

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Oil production SourceFY 2025495 - 498 MBO/dRaised from 485 - 492 MBO/d
Net production (BOE) SourceFY 2025910 - 920 MBOE/dRaised from 890 - 910 MBOE/d
Oil production SourceQ4 2025505 - 515 MBO/d (927 - 963 MBOE/d)
Cash capital expenditures SourceFY 2025$3.45 - $3.55 billionKept
Cash capital expenditures SourceQ4 2025$875 - $975 million
Operated drilling and completion capex SourceFY 2025$2,925 - $2,950 millionRaised from $2,850 - $2,950 million
Capital workovers, non-operated properties and science SourceFY 2025$300 - $350 millionRaised from $250 - $300 million
Infrastructure, environmental and midstream capex SourceFY 2025$225 - $250 millionLowered from $300 - $350 million
Gross horizontal wells drilled (net) SourceFY 2025445 - 465 gross (412 - 430 net)Raised from 425 - 450 gross (395 - 418 net)
Gross horizontal wells completed (net) SourceFY 2025510 - 520 gross (471 - 481 net)Raised from 490 - 515 gross (458 - 482 net)
Average lateral length SourceFY 2025approximately 11,500 feet
Lease operating expenses, including workovers SourceFY 2025$5.40 - $5.70 per BOERaised from $5.30 - $5.70 per BOE
Gathering, processing and transportation SourceFY 2025$1.45 - $1.60 per BOELowered from $1.60 - $1.75 per BOE
DD&A SourceFY 2025$14.50 - $15.50 per BOE
Cash tax rate (% of pre-tax income) SourceFY 202515% - 18%
Cash taxes SourceQ4 2025$270 - $350 million
Midland Basin well costs per lateral foot SourceFY 2025$550 - $580
Delaware Basin well costs per lateral foot SourceFY 2025$860 - $910
Viper net production SourceFY 202592.8 - 93.5 MBOE/d
Viper oil production SourceQ4 202565.0 - 67.0 MBO/d (124.0 - 128.0 MBOE/d)
Return of capital SourceOngoingat least 50% of Adjusted Free Cash Flow

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Full-year oil production guidance raised to 495 - 498 MBO/d from 485 - 492 MBO/d. Source
  • Guidance raised: Full-year combined production guidance raised to 910 - 920 MBOE/d from 890 - 910 MBOE/d. Source
  • Guidance raised: Gross wells drilled and completed guidance raised; drilling range moved to 445 - 465 gross from 425 - 450 gross. Source
  • Guidance kept: Full-year cash capital expenditure midpoint unchanged at $3.5 billion; range narrowed. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Gathering, processing and transportation unit cost guidance lowered to $1.45 - $1.60 per BOE from $1.60 - $1.75 per BOE. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Infrastructure, environmental and midstream capex guidance lowered to $225 - $250 million from $300 - $350 million. Source
  • New: Viper Energy closed its acquisition of Sitio Royalties on August 19, 2025. Source
  • New: Board approved a $2.0 billion increase to the share repurchase authorization, bringing total capacity to $8.0 billion. Source
  • New: Environmental Disposal Systems divestiture closed October 1, 2025; Diamondback retained a 30% equity interest in Deep Blue. Source
  • Ended: Diamondback's 27.5% equity interest in EPIC Crude Holdings was divested on October 31, 2025. Source

Results and production growth

  • Oil output rose on Sitio closing: Oil averaged 503,750 barrels per day against 321,054 a year earlier, and combined output was 942.9 MBOE/d. Sitio closed in August. Source
  • Net income and diluted EPS reported: Net income attributable to Diamondback was $1,018 million, or $3.51 diluted EPS, against $659 million and $3.19 a year earlier. Adjusted diluted EPS was $3.08. Source
  • Oil and gas sales rose: Oil, natural gas and NGL sales were $3,447 million for the quarter against $2,354 million a year earlier; total revenues were $3,924 million. Source

Segments: Viper and Permian assets

  • Viper closed Sitio acquisition: Viper, a Diamondback subsidiary, closed its Sitio Royalties acquisition on August 19. Management says the combined company ranks among the largest minerals and royalty companies in North America. Source
  • Viper fourth-quarter oil guidance: Viper guided fourth-quarter oil production to 65.0 - 67.0 MBO/d, or 124.0 - 128.0 MBOE/d, and 2025 net production to 92.8 - 93.5 MBOE/d. Source
  • Completed lateral mix by basin: Full-year 2025 completed net lateral feet are expected to be about 95% Midland Basin and about 5% Delaware Basin. Source

“This is the largest quarterly buyback in our Company’s history, both in terms of shares repurchased and capital deployed.”

Kaes Van't Hof, Chief Executive Officer and Director

Costs, margins and pricing

  • Cash operating cost fell again: Cash operating cost was $10.05 per BOE, against $10.10 in the June quarter and $11.49 a year earlier. Source
  • Lease operating expense rose: LOE was $5.65 per BOE, up from $5.26 in the June quarter, as spend on well-work and artificial lift increased. Source
  • Oil price down year over year: Average realized oil price was $64.60 per Bbl, or $63.70 hedged. Year to date, realized oil price fell about 13% to about $66 per barrel from about $76. Source
  • Gas price and hedged gas: Realized natural gas price was $0.75 per Mcf, against $0.88 in the June quarter. Hedged natural gas price was $1.75 per Mcf. Source
  • Tax legislation lowered cash taxes: Operating cash flow and free cash flow were helped by tax legislation, which lowered the estimated year-to-date cash tax rate and produced a cash tax true-up in the quarter. Source

Operations and well efficiency

  • Drilling days reached new record: Average spud-to-total-depth time fell to 8.19 days, a Company record; spud to rig release averaged 10.09 days. Source
  • Continuous pumping on custom fleets: Custom fleets now complete over one mile of lateral per day, up from 4,000 feet last quarter. All fleets are expected to convert to continuous pumping within the next couple of quarters. Source
  • Well costs back to 2020 levels: Well costs per lateral foot have declined to 2020 COVID-era levels, which management attributes to longer laterals and cost control. Source
  • Quarterly well activity counts: The Company operated 108 gross wells drilled and 137 completed in the quarter, and 356 drilled and 376 completed year to date. Average completed lateral was 11,020 feet in the quarter. Source

“Our commitment to stockholder returns remains steadfast, as seen through the return of approximately $892 million to stockholders in the third quarter through our base dividend and stock repurchases, representing ~50% of Adjusted Free Cash Flow.”

Kaes Van't Hof, Chief Executive Officer and Director

Demand and macro view

  • Yellow zone maintained: Management said the company remains in the yellow zone, holding oil volumes roughly flat and reducing share count, with flexibility to move to green or red. Source
  • Oversupply estimates range widely: Forecast oversupply for Q4 2025 and first half 2026 ranges from under 500k bpd per OPEC to almost 4 million bpd per the IEA. Management's best guess sits between the two, leaning toward OPEC. Source
  • Demand growth described as healthy: Management described global oil demand growth as healthy and the forward demand view as constructive. Source
  • Cost focus while price is unclear: Until pricing improves, management plans to lower its oil breakeven, reinvestment rate and cost structure to maximize free cash flow for dividends, buybacks and debt paydown. Source

Capital, cash and shareholder returns

  • Third-quarter capex in guided range: Cash capital expenditures were $774 million, in the lower half of the $750 - $850 million quarterly guidance range. Fourth-quarter capex is expected to rise moderately. Source
  • Capex cut $500 million this year: Over the past two quarters, 2025 capital expenditures were reduced by $500 million, about 13%, versus the original 2025 guidance. Source
  • Q3 returns of $892 million: Total return of capital was $892 million, comprising buybacks and the base dividend, equal to 50% of Adjusted Free Cash Flow. Source
  • Largest quarterly buyback in history: About 4.3 million shares were retired for about $603 million at $140.70 average. This equals about 3.5% of average daily trading volume and cut shares outstanding about 1.5%. Source
  • Buybacks continue into fourth quarter: Diamondback repurchased 610,996 shares for $87 million in Q4 to date. About $3.0 billion of authorization remained as of October 31, 2025. Source
  • Base dividend of $1.00 declared: The board declared a $1.00 per share base dividend for the third quarter, payable November 20, 2025, to holders of record on November 13. Source

Balance sheet and asset sales

  • Non-core sales beyond $1.5B target: Including potential earnouts, asset sales exceeded the $1.5 billion target within just over six months. Sales included the BANGL pipeline and Delaware non-operated properties. Source
  • Environmental Disposal Systems sale: Diamondback received $694 million upfront and retains a 30% stake in Deep Blue, with up to $200 million contingent on completion thresholds for 2026 through 2028. Source
  • EPIC Crude stake sold: The 27.5% EPIC Crude interest sold for $504 million upfront, with a possible $96 million if a capacity expansion is sanctioned before year-end 2027. Source
  • Gross and net debt rose in quarter: Consolidated gross debt increased $1.1 billion and net debt about $795 million in the quarter, mainly from Viper notes issued to fund Sitio's debt redemption. Source
  • Term loan cut and bonds repurchased: The 2025 term loan was reduced by $500 million to $1.0 billion. Longer-dated bonds of $203 million principal were repurchased at 82.3% of par in October. Source
  • Liquidity of $2.4 billion: Total liquidity at September 30, 2025 was $2,431 million, with $106 million standalone cash. Consolidated total debt was $16,432 million. Source

Strategy and cost structure

  • Lowest-cost operator focus: Management said the lowest-cost operator wins over the long term because returns compound when cost structures stay resilient through the cycle. Source
  • Full-year buybacks above prior years: Year to date, 10.9 million shares were repurchased for $1.6 billion. Management expects 2025 to end with more shares repurchased than 2023 and 2024 combined. Source
  • Viper to pursue minerals deals: Viper is positioned to pursue disciplined transactions in a fragmented minerals market, applying its land and data capabilities to source and evaluate them. Source

Coming up, as management said on 3 November 2025

  • Net debt to fall in Q4: Management expects net debt to decline significantly in the fourth quarter through free cash flow and non-core asset sale proceeds. Source
  • Q4 capex rises moderately: Fourth-quarter cash capital expenditures are guided to $875 - $975 million, up from $774 million in the third quarter. Source
  • Term loan to keep falling: Management expects to continue reducing the 2025 term loan balance, now $1.0 billion, over the coming quarters. Source
  • Continuous pumping across fleets: Management expects all fleets to convert to continuous pumping within the next couple of quarters. Source
  • Deep Blue earnout through 2028: Up to $200 million of contingent consideration depends on completion thresholds for the years 2026 through 2028. Source
  • EPIC earnout tied to expansion: Up to $96 million is possible if an EPIC Crude capacity expansion is formally sanctioned before year-end 2027. Source
  • Dividend payable November 20: The base dividend of $1.00 per share is payable November 20, 2025, to stockholders of record at the close of business on November 13, 2025. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Oil production (Q3 2025) Source503.8 MBO/d
Combined production (Q3 2025) Source942.9 MBOE/d
Realized oil price Source$64.60 per Bbl
Hedged oil price Source$63.70 per Bbl
Combined realized price Source$39.73 per BOE
Natural gas realized price Source$0.75 per Mcf
Cash capital expenditures Source$774 million
Total cash operating expense Source$10.05 per BOE
Lease operating expenses Source$5.65 per BOE
Total return of capital Source$892 million (50% of Adjusted Free Cash Flow)
Shares repurchased Source4,286,080 shares for about $603 million

Risks management discussed

  • External: Management said oil markets are cyclical and the price received for production is outside the company's control. Source
  • Demand: Realized oil price fell about 13% year to date, to about $66 per barrel from about $76. Source
  • Operational: LOE rose on expected increases in well-work and artificial lift spend. Source
  • Financial: Fourth-quarter cash taxes include a tax impact of about $175 million from asset divestitures. Source
  • Financial: Part of the divestiture proceeds depends on future completion thresholds and sanctioning decisions, so the contingent amounts are not assured. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Ahead: Management committed to at least $1.5 billion of non-core sales at the Double Eagle announcement; it says the target was delivered ahead of expectations. Source
  • Met: Third-quarter oil production averaged 504 MBO/d, at the top of the revised 494 - 504 MBO/d range published after the Sitio closing. Source
  • Met: Third-quarter capital expenditures of $774 million were in the lower half of the $750 - $850 million range. Source
  • Met: Third-quarter returns were about 50% of Adjusted Free Cash Flow, matching the board's stated commitment. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.