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Chord Energy Corp.: Q3 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 4 November 2025: press release. Guidance figures: 13 raised, 14 lowered, 2 new, 4 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Oil volumes above guidance midpoint: 3Q25 oil production was 155.7 MBopd, above the midpoint of guidance. Total production was 280.9 MBoepd, with oil at 55.4% of volumes. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose on quarter: Adjusted EBITDA was $577.8MM in 3Q25, compared with $547.2MM in 2Q25 and $674.5MM in 3Q24. Source
  • LOE per Boe fell: Lease operating expense was $9.62/Boe in 3Q25, against $10.02/Boe in 2Q25, and $248.6MM in total. Management said 3Q25 LOE was toward the upper end of guidance. Source
  • Three more 4-mile wells turned in line: Three 4-mile wells were turned in line since August, each ahead of schedule and under budget. Source
  • XTO Williston assets closed: Chord completed the purchase of Williston Basin assets from XTO on October 31, 2025. Total cash consideration was $542.2MM, including a $55MM deposit paid in 3Q25. Source
  • Adjusted FCF rose on quarter: Adjusted FCF was $218.6MM in 3Q25, against $140.8MM in 2Q25. Excluding reimbursed non-op CapEx it was $230.3MM. Source
  • 69% of Adjusted FCF returned: Shareholder returns were 69% of Adjusted FCF, through the $1.30 per share base dividend and $83.0MM of repurchases. Source

“Chord’s operational momentum continues and the team delivered solid results in the third quarter”

Danny Brown, Chord Energy’s President and Chief Executive Officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Oil volumes Source4Q25149.0 - 153.0 MBopdRaised from 143.5 - 148.5 MBopd
Oil volumes SourceFY25153.8 - 154.8 MBopdRaised from 151.8 - 154.1 MBopd
NGL volumes Source4Q2549.5 - 53.5 MBblpdRaised from 48.0 - 53.0 MBblpd
NGL volumes SourceFY2551.7 - 52.7 MBblpdRaised from 50.2 - 52.5 MBblpd
Natural gas volumes Source4Q25421.0 - 433.0 MMcfpdLowered from 422.0 - 440.0 MMcfpd
Natural gas volumes SourceFY25420.4 - 423.4 MMcfpdLowered from 423.1 - 430.7 MMcfpd
Total volumes Source4Q25268.7 - 278.7 MBoepdRaised from 261.8 - 274.8 MBoepd
Total volumes SourceFY25275.6 - 278.1 MBoepdRaised from 272.5 - 278.3 MBoepd
E&P and other CapEx Source4Q25$315 - $345MMRaised from $295 - $325MM
E&P and other CapEx SourceFY25$1,350 - $1,380MMRaised from $1,320 - $1,380MM
Oil discount to WTI Source4Q25$(2.80) - $(0.80) per BblLowered from $(2.40) - $(0.40) per Bbl
Oil discount to WTI SourceFY25$(2.15) - $(1.65) per BblLowered from $(2.15) - $(1.15) per Bbl
NGL realization (% of WTI) Source4Q255% - 15%Lowered from 10% - 20%
NGL realization (% of WTI) SourceFY2510% - 13%Lowered from 11% - 16%
Natural gas realization (% of Henry Hub) Source4Q2530% - 40%Kept
Natural gas realization (% of Henry Hub) SourceFY2538% - 40%Raised from 36% - 41%
LOE Source4Q25$9.20 - $10.20 per BoeRaised from $9.15 - $10.15 per Boe
LOE SourceFY25$9.60 - $9.85 per BoeRaised from $9.35 - $9.85 per Boe
Cash GPT Source4Q25$2.70 - $3.00 per BoeLowered from $2.65 - $3.15 per Boe
Cash GPT SourceFY25$2.85 - $2.92 per BoeLowered from $2.80 - $3.05 per Boe
Cash G&A Source4Q25$20 - $25MMKept
Cash G&A SourceFY25$87 - $92MMLowered from $90 - $100MM
Production taxes (% of oil, NGL and gas sales) Source4Q258.3% - 8.8%Kept
Production taxes (% of oil, NGL and gas sales) SourceFY257.6% - 7.7%Lowered from 7.6% - 7.8%
Cash interest Source4Q25$25 - $27MMRaised from $17 - $19MM
Cash interest SourceFY25$78 - $80MMRaised from $68 - $72MM
Cash tax (% of Adjusted EBITDA) Source4Q250% - 3%Lowered from 3% - 10%
Cash tax (% of Adjusted EBITDA) SourceFY253% - 4%Lowered from 3.5% - 6.5%
Adjusted EBITDA SourceFY25approximately $2.4BKept
Adjusted free cash flow SourceFY25approximately $840MMLowered from approximately $850MM
Operated TILs SourceFY25115 - 125 gross operated wellsLowered from 115 - 135 gross operated wells
Operated TILs Source4Q2523 - 33 gross operated TILsNew
Marketing optimization FCF savings Sourceannualized$30MM-$50MMNew

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: FY25 oil volume guidance raised; CapEx guidance maintained excluding XTO impacts. Source
  • Guidance raised: FY25 Cash interest guidance raised to $79MM at midpoint. Source
  • Guidance lowered: FY25 Adjusted FCF guidance at midpoint lowered from about $850MM to about $840MM. Source
  • Guidance lowered: FY25 Cash G&A guidance lowered to $90MM at midpoint. Source
  • Guidance lowered: FY25 gross operated TIL plan narrowed to 115 - 125 wells from 115 - 135. Source
  • Guidance lowered: FY25 cash tax guidance narrowed to 3% - 4% of Adjusted EBITDA. Source
  • New guidance: 4Q25 gross operated TIL plan provided, at 23 - 33 wells. Source
  • Guidance kept: Adjusted EBITDA guidance kept at approximately $2.4B. Source
  • New: Acquisition of Williston Basin assets from XTO completed on October 31, 2025. Source
  • New: Marketing agreements executed year-to-date, with expected annualized FCF savings. Source
  • New: 2030 Senior Notes issued in September, as the document notes for the Cash interest change. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Oil volumes above guidance midpoint: 3Q25 oil production was 155.7 MBopd, above the midpoint of guidance. Total production was 280.9 MBoepd, with oil at 55.4% of volumes. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose on quarter: Adjusted EBITDA was $577.8MM in 3Q25, compared with $547.2MM in 2Q25 and $674.5MM in 3Q24. Source
  • Net income and diluted EPS: 3Q25 net income was $130.1MM, or $2.26 per diluted share. Adjusted diluted EPS was $2.35. Source
  • Oil, NGL and gas revenue: Oil, NGL and natural gas revenues were $966.8MM in 3Q25, up from $950.3MM in 2Q25 and down from $1,121.0MM in 3Q24. Source

Products and realized prices

  • Crude oil revenue increased: Crude oil revenue was $910.8MM in 3Q25, against $878.9MM in 2Q25. Crude oil without realized derivatives averaged $63.59/Bbl, against $61.62/Bbl. Source
  • Oil differential narrowed: The oil differential to NYMEX WTI was $(1.41)/Bbl in 3Q25, against $(2.15)/Bbl in 2Q25. Crude oil realized derivatives were a gain of $8.3MM. Source
  • NGL price and volume: NGL volumes were 55.1 MBblpd, against 54.1 MBblpd in 2Q25. NGL price without realized derivatives was $4.89/Bbl, against $5.80/Bbl, and NGL revenue was $24.8MM. Source
  • Natural gas revenue and price fell: Natural gas revenue was $31.2MM in 3Q25, against $42.8MM in 2Q25. Gas price without realized derivatives was $0.81/Mcf, against $1.10/Mcf. Source

“Third quarter oil volumes and capital were favorable to guidance and Chord raised FY25 oil volume guidance for the second time this year, excluding impacts from the recent acquisition”

Danny Brown, Chord Energy’s President and Chief Executive Officer

Regions and gas exposure

  • Williston Basin is primary asset base: Chord describes its assets as primarily in the Williston Basin, where it develops unconventional onshore oil-rich resources. Source
  • Marcellus gas volumes lower: Marcellus gas volumes were 117.5 MMcfpd in 3Q25, down from 129.9 MMcfpd in 2Q25. Source
  • Marcellus realized gas price: Marcellus natural gas realized price was $2.16/Mcf in 3Q25, against $2.49/Mcf in 2Q25 and $1.32/Mcf in 3Q24. Source

Costs, margins and pricing

  • LOE per Boe fell: Lease operating expense was $9.62/Boe in 3Q25, against $10.02/Boe in 2Q25, and $248.6MM in total. Management said 3Q25 LOE was toward the upper end of guidance. Source
  • Cash G&A declined: Cash G&A was $16.5MM in 3Q25, against $21.7MM in 2Q25. Source
  • Production taxes rose: Production taxes were 8.2% of oil, NGL and natural gas sales in 3Q25, against 7.3% in 2Q25, which included non-recurring reimbursements.
  • Cash GPT per Boe: Cash GPT was $2.86/Boe in 3Q25, within the guidance range shown for the quarter. Source
  • Cash taxes low in quarter: Cash taxes paid were $7.0MM in 3Q25, or 1.2% of Adjusted EBITDA. Source

“the purchase of certain XTO assets closed at the end of October, which extends our inventory runway in core areas while allowing for further capital efficiency through longer lateral development”

Danny Brown, Chord Energy’s President and Chief Executive Officer

Operations and drilling execution

  • Faster and cheaper well execution: Management said wells were executed faster and below initial cost estimates. Drilling days fell from 2024 levels, and simulfrac increased daily footage. Source
  • Downtime lower year over year: Management said downtime was lower year over year, with autonomous rod lift supporting lower failure rates. Source
  • Facilities cost savings: The facilities team used modular prefabricated designs and more wells per facility to lower costs. Source
  • Higher volumes on lower capital: Management said 2025 brought higher volumes for lower capital spending, with an excellent safety record. Source

Four-mile lateral program

  • Three more 4-mile wells turned in line: Three 4-mile wells were turned in line since August, each ahead of schedule and under budget. Source
  • Rystedt matches 2-mile analogs: The first 4-mile well, Rystedt, has matched production from two 2-mile well analogs after six months. Source
  • State Line early production: The State Line well in Montana shows encouraging early production, with tracer data indicating contribution from the full lateral. Source
  • Wheelock wells free-flowing: The Violet-Olson wells in North Dakota are free-flowing, with early results after post-frac cleanouts and tracer data showing full-lateral contribution. Source

Capital spending and activity

  • 3Q25 capital below guidance midpoint: 3Q25 E&P and other CapEx was $321.9MM excluding $11.7MM of reimbursed non-op CapEx, below the guidance midpoint on program timing. Source
  • Operated TILs in 3Q25: Chord had 25.0 gross (17.0 net) operated TILs in 3Q25. Source
  • Second completions crew returns: Chord plans to bring back a second completions crew in 4Q25, which guidance reflects. Source
  • Total CapEx including acquisitions: Total CapEx including capitalized interest and acquisitions was $336.3MM in 3Q25, against $365.0MM in 2Q25. Source

Acquisition, marketing and strategy

  • XTO Williston assets closed: Chord completed the purchase of Williston Basin assets from XTO on October 31, 2025. Total cash consideration was $542.2MM, including a $55MM deposit paid in 3Q25. Source
  • Marketing agreements across Williston: Chord has executed marketing agreements for crude oil, natural gas and water marketing and midstream services across its Williston acreage. Source
  • Contract streamlining and partners: Management said it is streamlining contract structures and partnering with high-quality service providers to reduce controllable costs. Source
  • Strategy centers on capital allocation: Management described strategy as built on capital allocation and continuous improvement. Source

Cash flow and shareholder returns

  • Adjusted FCF rose on quarter: Adjusted FCF was $218.6MM in 3Q25, against $140.8MM in 2Q25. Excluding reimbursed non-op CapEx it was $230.3MM. Source
  • 69% of Adjusted FCF returned: Shareholder returns were 69% of Adjusted FCF, through the $1.30 per share base dividend and $83.0MM of repurchases. Source
  • Buybacks at average $105.27: Chord repurchased 788,444 shares at a weighted average price of $105.27 for $83.0MM in 3Q25. Source
  • Share count reduced: Shares outstanding were 56.9MM at September 30, 2025, against 57.6MM at June 30, 2025. Source
  • Debt and liquidity at quarter end: Total debt was $1,500.0MM with no revolver borrowings at September 30, 2025. Cash was $142.0MM, pro forma for the XTO closing payment. Source

Coming up, as management said on 4 November 2025

  • Base dividend payable December 5: The $1.30 base dividend is payable on December 5, 2025, to holders of record as of November 19, 2025. Source
  • More 4-mile wells possible in 2026: Management said operational efficiency and performance support the potential for more 4-mile wells in the 2026 program. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Oil production Source155.7 MBopd (3Q25)
Realized oil price before derivatives Source$63.59/Bbl
Oil differential to WTI Source$(1.41)/Bbl
NGL price before derivatives Source$4.89/Bbl
Natural gas price before derivatives Source$0.81/Mcf
Marcellus natural gas realized price Source$2.16/Mcf
E&P and other CapEx Source$333.7MM
LOE per Boe Source$9.62/Boe
Production taxes as % of sales Source8.2%
Shareholder returns as % of Adjusted FCF Source69%

Risks management discussed

  • External: Management said it continues to monitor the macro environment and may reduce activity if conditions warrant. Source
  • Operational: Management described continued progress in de-risking the 4-mile program, with three incremental 4-mile wells executed. Source
  • External: Management cited persistent commodity volatility as the setting for its efficiency and inventory work. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: Management expects to bring back a second completions crew in 4Q25, reflected in guidance. Source
  • Not stated: Management expects seven 4-mile laterals to be turned in line in FY25. Source
  • Ahead: Management said the three new 4-mile wells were each ahead of schedule and under budget. Source
  • Not stated: Management expects marketing agreements executed year-to-date to deliver annualized FCF savings. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.