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Carnival Corp. Ltd.: Q1 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q1 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 27 March 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 5 raised, 6 lowered, 13 new, 2 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Diluted and adjusted EPS up 50 percent: Diluted EPS was $0.19 and adjusted EPS $0.20, which the company said was up 50 percent compared to the prior year. Source
  • Bookings for 2026 up double digits: Bookings for 2026 rose by double digits, adding to a record booked position for the rest of the year at historically high prices in constant currency. Source
  • Nearly 85 percent of 2026 already booked: About 85 percent of 2026 is already booked, with less inventory available than a year earlier, and the company expects yield improvement in the back half of the year. Source
  • Operational gains partly offset fuel prices: According to management, the operational improvement partially mitigates fuel price changes of more than $500 million in the full-year guidance. Source
  • Initial $2.5 billion buyback approved: The Boards approved an initial $2.5 billion buyback, which the company described as opportunistic and tied to free cash flow generation. Source
  • PROPEL sets long-term targets to 2029: The company introduced PROPEL, long-term targets for earnings growth, shareholder distributions and higher returns to be achieved by 2029. Source

“We delivered a strong start to the year, with record first-quarter operating results that exceeded our guidance, driven by healthy fundamentals and solid execution across the business.”

Carnival Corporation & plc’s Chief Executive Officer Josh Weinstein

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Net yields (constant currency) Sourcefull year 2026approx. 2.75%Raised from approx. 2.5%
Net yields (constant currency), normalized Sourcefull year 2026approx. 3.25%Raised from approx. 3.0%
Net yields (constant currency) Sourcesecond quarter 2026approx. 2.0% (current dollars approx. 3.7%)New
Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (constant currency) Sourcefull year 2026approx. 3.1%Lowered from approx. 3.25%
Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (constant currency) Sourcesecond quarter 2026approx. 2.6% (current dollars approx. 4.0%)New
Operational improvement in adjusted net income Sourcefull year 2026, compared with December guidancenearly $150 millionRaised
Adjusted net income Sourcefull year 2026approx. $3,070 millionLowered from approx. $3,450 million
Adjusted net income Sourcesecond quarter 2026approx. $470 millionNew
Adjusted EBITDA Sourcefull year 2026approx. $7.19 billionLowered from approx. $7.63 billion
Adjusted EBITDA Sourcesecond quarter 2026approx. $1.48 billionNew
Adjusted earnings per share, diluted Sourcefull year 2026approx. $2.21Lowered from approx. $2.48
Adjusted earnings per share, diluted Sourcesecond quarter 2026approx. $0.34New
Fuel cost per metric ton (excluding emission allowances) Sourcefull year 2026$718Raised from $524
Fuel expense (including emission allowances) Sourcefull year 2026$2.15 billionRaised from $1.63 billion
Brent fuel price assumption SourceApril and May 2026; third quarter 2026; fourth quarter 2026Brent $90, then $85, then $80 per barrelNew
Depreciation and amortization expense Sourcefull year 2026$2.97 billionLowered from $2.98 billion
Interest expense, net Sourcefull year 2026$1.09 billionLowered from $1.11 billion
ALBDs and capacity growth Sourcesecond quarter 2026; full year 202624.7 million (second quarter); 97.4 million (full year); capacity growth 0.9% for full yearKept
Fuel consumption Sourcefull year 20262.8 million metric tonsKept
Capital expenditures Sourceremainder of 2026newbuild $0.6 billion; non-newbuild $1.8 billion
Share buyback Sourcenot stated$2.5 billion initial programNew
Dividend distributions Sourcefull year 2026more than $800 millionNew
PROPEL return on invested capital Sourceby 2029greater than 16%New
PROPEL adjusted EPS growth Sourceby 2029, from 2025more than 50%New
PROPEL shareholder distributions Sourcethrough 2029more than 40% of cash from operations (approx. $14 billion)New
PROPEL net debt to adjusted EBITDA Sourcelong-term2.75xNew
PROPEL greenhouse gas emissions rate Sourcelong-term, compared with 2019reduction of more than 25%New

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Full-year net yield guidance raised to approx. 2.75% in constant currency from approx. 2.5%. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Full-year adjusted net income guidance lowered to approx. $3,070 million from approx. $3,450 million; adjusted EPS and adjusted EBITDA guidance also lowered. Source
  • New guidance: Second-quarter 2026 guidance given for the first time, including net yields, adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD, adjusted net income and adjusted EBITDA. Source
  • Guidance kept: Full-year ALBDs kept at 97.4 million and full-year fuel consumption kept at 2.8 million metric tons. Source
  • New: Long-term PROPEL targets introduced for 2029, covering returns, EPS growth, shareholder distributions, leverage and emissions. Source
  • New: Initial $2.5 billion share buyback program approved by the Boards. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Diluted and adjusted EPS up 50 percent: Diluted EPS was $0.19 and adjusted EPS $0.20, which the company said was up 50 percent compared to the prior year. Source
  • Passenger ticket and onboard revenue grew: Passenger ticket revenue was $4,023 million and onboard and other revenue $2,142 million, against $3,832 million and $1,978 million a year earlier. Source
  • Gross margin and net yields rose: Gross margin yields rose nearly 10 percent. Net yields in constant currency rose 2.7 percent, more than 1 point above guidance, on close-in demand. Source

Demand and the order book

  • Bookings for 2026 up double digits: Bookings for 2026 rose by double digits, adding to a record booked position for the rest of the year at historically high prices in constant currency. Source
  • Nearly 85 percent of 2026 already booked: About 85 percent of 2026 is already booked, with less inventory available than a year earlier, and the company expects yield improvement in the back half of the year. Source
  • Customer deposits at first-quarter record: Customer deposits were $7,923 million, up from $7,246 million at November 30, 2025, which the company called a first-quarter record. Source
  • Onboard revenue and pre-cruise sales rose: Higher first-quarter onboard revenues and faster pre-cruise onboard sales were cited as evidence of continued demand. Source

“Initiating an opportunistic buyback program reflects our strong and growing free cash flow generation and ongoing commitment to return value to our shareholders,”

Carnival Corporation & plc’s Chief Financial Officer David Bernstein

Costs, fuel and fuel assumptions

  • Cruise costs per ALBD rose 4.9 percent: Cruise costs per ALBD rose 4.9 percent. Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD rose 5.3 percent in constant currency, which the company said was better than guidance. Source
  • Fuel consumption per ALBD fell 4.7 percent: Fuel consumption per ALBD decreased 4.7 percent, which the company attributed to its efforts and investments to reduce fuel consumption. Source
  • Operational gains partly offset fuel prices: According to management, the operational improvement partially mitigates fuel price changes of more than $500 million in the full-year guidance. Source

Cash, capital and shareholder returns

  • Operating cash flow rose to $1.26 billion: Cash from operations was $1,263 million against $925 million; capital expenditures were $566 million and dividends paid $208 million. Source
  • Initial $2.5 billion buyback approved: The Boards approved an initial $2.5 billion buyback, which the company described as opportunistic and tied to free cash flow generation. Source
  • Dividend distributions above $800 million expected: Dividend distributions above $800 million are expected this year, alongside the new buyback program. Source
  • Debt declined in the quarter: Total debt, current and long-term, was $25,290 million at February 28, 2026, down from $26,640 million at November 30, 2025; cash was $1,424 million. Source

“PROPEL builds on that foundation and reflects our confidence in the durability and earnings power of our business”

Carnival Corporation & plc’s Chief Executive Officer Josh Weinstein

PROPEL long-term targets

  • PROPEL sets long-term targets to 2029: The company introduced PROPEL, long-term targets for earnings growth, shareholder distributions and higher returns to be achieved by 2029. Source
  • Return, EPS and distribution targets set: Targets are above 16% return on invested capital, above 50% adjusted EPS growth from 2025, and more than 40% of cash from operations distributed, about $14 billion. Source
  • Leverage and emissions targets set: Targets include net debt to adjusted EBITDA of 2.75x and a greenhouse gas emissions rate reduction of more than 25% compared with 2019. Source
  • Fleet, destinations and technology as keys: The company named midlife ship refurbishment, exclusive Caribbean and Alaska destinations, cost structure and technology as keys to PROPEL. Source

Destinations, products and corporate matters

  • AIDAluna upgrade completed: AIDAluna completed its upgrade under AIDA Evolution, the brand's modernization program. Source
  • Dual-listed unification vote timing: The buyback timing is set by legal requirements tied to the open voting period for the proposed unification of the dual-listed structure. Source
  • Fortune recognition for second year: Carnival was named one of the World’s Most Admired Companies by Fortune for the second consecutive year, and America’s Most Trusted Companies by Forbes. Source

Coming up, as management said on 27 March 2026

  • Buyback starts after April meetings: The buyback will start after the shareholder meetings expected on April 17, 2026, and has no expiration date. Source
  • AIDAluna sails to Celebration Key: AIDAluna will begin sailing to Celebration Key in November 2027, joining Carnival Cruise Line and Princess Cruises. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Volumes SourceALBDs 23.7 million (2025: 23.6); passengers carried 3.1 million (2025: 3.2); PCDs 24.4 million (2025: 24.3)
Yields or revenue per unit Sourcenet yields per ALBD $197.44 (2026); $189.86 constant currency; $184.95 (2025)
Fuel costs Sourcefuel expense $397 million (2025: $465 million); $559 per metric ton (2025: $643)

Risks management discussed

  • External: Fuel prices had a recent spike and volatility, which management said shaped the forecast basis for guidance. Source
  • Financial: A 10% change in fuel cost per metric ton would change adjusted net income by $56 million in the second quarter and $160 million over the rest of 2026. Source
  • Financial: A 100 basis point change in variable rate debt would change adjusted net income by $31 million over the rest of 2026. Source
  • External: A 1% change in currency exchange rates would change adjusted net income by $6 million in the second quarter and $23 million over the rest of 2026. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Ahead: Management said SEA Change targets were surpassed in nearly half the expected time, with return on invested capital more than doubled. Source
  • On track: Management said the company remains on track for solid yield growth, cost discipline and $7 billion in adjusted EBITDA this year. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.