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Carnival Corp. Ltd.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 19 December 2025: press release. Guidance figures: 24 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Record full-year operating income and adjusted income: Full-year operating income reached an all-time high of $4.5 billion, up 25 percent. Full-year net income was $2.8 billion and adjusted net income was $3.1 billion. Source
  • Fourth-quarter adjusted EPS above September guidance: Fourth-quarter net income was $422 million, or $0.31 diluted EPS. Adjusted EPS was $0.34, with adjusted net income $150 million above September guidance. Source
  • Net yields at record, above guidance: Fourth-quarter net yields were 5.4 percent higher than 2024 in constant currency and 1.1 points above September guidance. Full-year net yields were at record levels. Source
  • Two-thirds of 2026 booked at higher prices: About two-thirds of 2026 is booked, the highest booked occupancy for the upcoming year, at higher prices in constant currency. Source
  • Costs excluding fuel rose 0.5 percent: Fourth-quarter adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD rose 0.5 percent in constant currency, 2.7 points better than September guidance, on cost management and expense timing. Source
  • Investment grade reached on leverage: Net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 3.4x for 2025, nearly one turn better than 2024. Fitch recognized investment grade, and S&P rates the company one notch short. Source
  • Dual listing to one NYSE company: Carnival plc shares would convert one-for-one into Carnival Corporation shares. Carnival plc shares and ADSs would be delisted from the London and New York exchanges respectively. Source

“2025 was a truly phenomenal year. We set new records across our business, achieved investment grade leverage metrics and, as announced just today, reinstated our dividend.”

Josh Weinstein, Chief Executive Officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Adjusted net income SourceFull year 2026Approx. 12% growth on record 2025New
Adjusted net income ($ millions) Source1Q 2026 and full year 2026Approx. $235 (1Q); Approx. $3,450 (full year)New
Adjusted EPS, diluted Source1Q 2026 and full year 2026Approx. $0.17 (1Q); Approx. $2.48 (full year)New
Adjusted EBITDA ($ billions) Source1Q 2026 and full year 2026Approx. $1.24 (1Q); Approx. $7.63 (full year)New
Net yields, constant currency SourceFull year 2026Approx. 2.5%New
Net yields, constant currency, normalized SourceFull year 2026Approx. 3.0%New
Net yields, constant currency SourceFirst quarter 2026Approx. 1.6%New
Net yields, constant currency, normalized SourceFirst quarter 2026Approx. 2.4%New
Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD, constant currency SourceFull year 2026Approx. 3.25%New
Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD, constant currency, normalized SourceFull year 2026Approx. 2.5%New
Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD, constant currency SourceFirst quarter 2026Approx. 5.9%New
ALBDs (capacity), millions Source1Q to 4Q and full year 202623.7, 24.7, 24.9, 24.1; 97.4 full yearNew
Capacity growth Source1Q to 4Q and full year 20260.5%, 2.0%, 1.5%, (0.3)%; 0.9% full yearNew
Fuel consumption, metric tons (millions) Source1Q 2026 and full year 20260.7 (1Q); 2.8 (full year)New
Fuel cost per metric ton (excluding emission allowances) Source1Q 2026 and full year 2026$539 (1Q); $524 (full year)New
Fuel expense, including emission allowances ($ billions) Source1Q 2026 and full year 2026$0.38 (1Q); $1.63 (full year)New
Depreciation and amortization ($ billions) Source1Q 2026 and full year 2026$0.70 (1Q); $2.98 (full year)New
Interest expense, net ($ billions) Source1Q 2026 and full year 2026$0.29 (1Q); $1.11 (full year)New
Adjusted weighted-average diluted shares (millions) Source1Q 2026 and full year 20261,388 (1Q); 1,392 (full year)New
Adjusted return on invested capital SourceFull year 2026Exceed 13.5%New
Capital expenditures ($ billions) SourceFull year 2026Newbuild $0.6; non-newbuild $2.5New
Sensitivity: net yields (impact on adjusted net income) SourceFull year 2026$204 million per 1%New
Sensitivity: fuel cost per metric ton (impact on adjusted net income) SourceFull year 2026$145 million per 10%New
Currency assumptions (USD to 1) Source1Q 2026 and full year 2026AUD 0.67; CAD 0.73; EUR 1.17; GBP 1.34New

What changed from last quarter

  • New: The Boards reinstated the quarterly dividend, declaring an initial $0.15 per share. Source
  • New: The company proposes moving Carnival Corporation's legal incorporation from Panama to Bermuda. Source
  • New: The company announced development of Ensenada Bay Village - Treasures of Baja, a destination in Baja California, Mexico. Source
  • Ended: The company redeemed its outstanding convertible notes on December 5, 2025. Source

Full-year and fourth-quarter results

  • Record full-year operating income and adjusted income: Full-year operating income reached an all-time high of $4.5 billion, up 25 percent. Full-year net income was $2.8 billion and adjusted net income was $3.1 billion. Source
  • Fourth-quarter adjusted EPS above September guidance: Fourth-quarter net income was $422 million, or $0.31 diluted EPS. Adjusted EPS was $0.34, with adjusted net income $150 million above September guidance. Source
  • Fourth-quarter revenues reached a record: Fourth-quarter revenues were $6.3 billion, up nearly $400 million on 2024. Gross margin yields were 16 percent higher than 2024. Source
  • Full-year adjusted EBITDA up over $1 billion: Full-year adjusted EBITDA was $7.2 billion, up over $1 billion from 2024. Fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA was $1.5 billion, with margins up nearly 300 basis points. Source
  • Full-year diluted EPS rose to $2.02: Full-year diluted EPS was $2.02 against $1.44 in 2024. Fourth-quarter diluted EPS was $0.31 against $0.23. Source

Yields, bookings and demand

  • Net yields at record, above guidance: Fourth-quarter net yields were 5.4 percent higher than 2024 in constant currency and 1.1 points above September guidance. Full-year net yields were at record levels. Source
  • Record bookings for 2026 and 2027: Over the last three months the company achieved record booking volumes for 2026 and 2027 sailings. Booking volumes through Black Friday to Cyber Monday exceeded prior-year levels. Source
  • Two-thirds of 2026 booked at higher prices: About two-thirds of 2026 is booked, the highest booked occupancy for the upcoming year, at higher prices in constant currency. Source
  • 2026 advanced bookings level with 2025: The cumulative advanced booked position for 2026 is in line with 2025 record levels, at historical high prices in constant currency. Source
  • Yield improvement runway cited: Management said the company is well positioned for a tremendous runway of yield improvement and exceptional returns. Source

“The momentum is carrying into 2026, which is shaping up to surpass even these remarkable results with another year of double-digit earnings growth and return on invested capital expected to exceed 13.5 percent, closing in on our 20-year high.”

Josh Weinstein, Chief Executive Officer

Costs, fuel and margins

  • Costs excluding fuel rose 0.5 percent: Fourth-quarter adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD rose 0.5 percent in constant currency, 2.7 points better than September guidance, on cost management and expense timing. Source
  • Fuel use per ALBD fell: Fuel consumed per thousand ALBDs fell to 28.7 metric tons in the fourth quarter from 30.4, which the company attributes to efforts and investments to reduce fuel consumption. Source
  • Fuel expense declined year over year: Fuel expense was $425 million in the fourth quarter and $1,808 million for the full year, against $461 million and $2,007 million in 2024. Source
  • Cruise costs per ALBD up 2.2 percent: Cruise costs per ALBD increased 2.2 percent on 2024 in the fourth quarter. Adjusted cruise costs per ALBD were $142.41 for the quarter. Source

Brands, destinations and guests

  • Celebration Key passes one million guests: Celebration Key, opened in July, has welcomed over one million guests since its opening. Source
  • Star Princess named with McConaughey godparents: Princess Cruises named Star Princess, its newest ship, with Camila and Matthew McConaughey as godparents and a performance by Sheryl Crow. Source
  • AIDA Evolution reaches second ship: AIDALuna became the second of seven ships to get a complete upgrade under AIDA Evolution, the brand's most extensive modernization program. Source
  • Holland America record Black Friday bookings: Holland America Line recorded record Black Friday weekend bookings after its debut float in the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade. Source
  • New Carnival Cruise Line campaign launched: Carnival Cruise Line launched the “Carnival is Calling” campaign featuring Nick Offerman, inviting guests to rediscover the joy and connection of a cruise. Source
  • Travel awards for Carnival Cruise Line: Carnival Cruise Line was named Best Domestic Cruise Line at the 2025 Travel Weekly Readers' Choice Awards for the tenth consecutive year. Source

“These efforts strengthened our balance sheet by simplifying our capital structure, reducing interest expense and debt, optimizing our future debt maturities and enhancing our financial flexibility.”

David Bernstein, Chief Financial Officer

Debt, leverage and credit ratings

  • Investment grade reached on leverage: Net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 3.4x for 2025, nearly one turn better than 2024. Fitch recognized investment grade, and S&P rates the company one notch short. Source
  • Debt down over $10 billion from peak: The company said it has reduced debt by over $10 billion since its peak less than three years ago. Source
  • $2.0 billion of debt repaid: Proceeds from a $1.25 billion 5.125 percent note due 2029, two $250 million loans due 2027 and cash on hand repaid $2.0 billion of debt in the quarter. Source
  • Convertible notes settled partly in shares: The convertible notes settled with $500 million in cash and 69 million common shares, 18 million fewer shares than an all-equity settlement would have needed. Source
  • Liquidity at $6.4 billion: Liquidity was $6.4 billion at November 30, 2025, against $4.2 billion a year earlier. Debt was $26.6 billion. Source

Capital and shareholder returns

  • Capital expenditure fell year over year: Capital expenditures were $3.6 billion for the full year, against $4.6 billion in 2024. Fourth-quarter capital expenditures were $1.5 billion, against $592 million. Source
  • Cash from operations for the full year: Cash from operations was $6.2 billion for the twelve months and $1.5 billion for the fourth quarter, against $911 million a year earlier. Source
  • Retained earnings and equity rose: Retained earnings rose to $4.8 billion from $2.1 billion, and total shareholders' equity was $12.3 billion at November 30, 2025. Source
  • Return on invested capital above 13 percent: The company reported adjusted return on invested capital above 13 percent for the year. Source

Corporate structure and listing

  • Dual listing to one NYSE company: Carnival plc shares would convert one-for-one into Carnival Corporation shares. Carnival plc shares and ADSs would be delisted from the London and New York exchanges respectively. Source
  • Expected benefits cited by management: Management said unification would create a single global share price, streamline governance and reporting, reduce administrative costs, and increase index weighting. Source
  • Shareholder rights expected preserved: Management expects the unification and Bermuda incorporation to preserve key shareholder voting and economic rights, with no material change to business fundamentals. Source

Coming up, as management said on 19 December 2025

  • Shareholder materials due February 2026: Shareholder materials for the proposed unification and Bermuda incorporation are expected in February 2026. Source
  • Shareholder meetings in April 2026: The company intends to hold shareholder meetings in April 2026 to consider the unification and redomiciliation proposals. Source
  • Unification targeted for second quarter 2026: Subject to shareholder approval and other conditions, the company intends to complete the unification and Bermuda incorporation in the second quarter of 2026. Source
  • Dividend record and payment dates: The initial $0.15 per share dividend has a record date of February 13, 2026 and a payment date of February 27, 2026. Source
  • Princess Cruises to join Celebration Key: Princess Cruises will join Carnival Cruise Line in sailing to Celebration Key beginning November 2026. Source
  • Star Princess Rose Parade and Alaska season: Star Princess will sail in the New Year's Rose Parade, highlighting its upcoming inaugural Alaska season. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Passengers carried (millions) Source3.3 million for the three months; 13.6 million for the twelve months
ALBDs, capacity (millions) Source24.1 million for the three months; 96.5 million for the twelve months
Net yields per ALBD Source$203.52 for the three months; $209.72 for the twelve months
Fuel cost per metric ton consumed (excluding emission allowances) Source$573 for the three months; $610 for the twelve months

Risks management discussed

  • Operational: Close-in redeployment of first-quarter voyages from the Arabian Gulf is a factor in the first-quarter 2026 net yield and cost figures. Source
  • Regulatory: The proposed unification and Bermuda incorporation depend on shareholder approval, regulatory approvals and UK court approval, plus the remaining conditions. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Ahead: Management said the company outperformed guidance for the fourth time this year. Source
  • Ahead: Management said the $19 billion refinancing plan was completed in less than a year. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.