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Autoliv Inc.: Q2 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q2 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 17 July 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 2 raised, 2 lowered, 4 new, 6 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Organic sales grew 1.0%: Net sales rose 3.3% to $2,803 million. Organic growth of 1.0% ran 1.3pp ahead of global LVP, which fell 0.3%. FX added 2.3%. Source
  • Operating income fell on Türkiye costs: Operating income fell 22% to $192 million, mainly on higher capacity alignment costs for the Türkiye restructuring and higher R,D&E costs. Source
  • Adjusted profit rose on savings: Adjusted operating income rose 7.3% to $270 million, and adjusted operating margin reached 9.6%, despite FX and raw material headwinds. Source
  • Chinese OEM sales rose sharply: Sales to domestic OEMs in China rose about 44% organically, while global OEM sales fell about 24%. Chinese OEMs were 55% of China sales. Source
  • Call-offs improved year on year: Call-off accuracy improved versus Q2 2025 but declined slightly from Q1 2026, mainly on China market developments. Volatility remains above pre-pandemic levels. Source
  • Operating cash flow rose to $434m: Operating cash flow rose $157 million to $434 million, mainly from a $240 million working capital inflow as working capital normalized after Q1. Source
  • Türkiye plant closure underway: Steering wheel, airbag and seatbelt production in Türkiye will move to other EMEA facilities, affecting about 2,200 employees. Source

“Through focused execution, we maintained the positive momentum from the first quarter.”

Mikael Bratt, President & CEO

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Organic sales growth SourceFull year 2026Around 0%Kept
Adjusted operating margin SourceFull year 2026Around 10.5-11%Kept
Operating cash flow SourceFull year 2026Around $1.2 billionKept
Capex, net, % of sales SourceFull year 2026Less than 5%Kept
Share repurchases Source2026$300-500 millionKept
Adjusted operating margin SourceQ3 2026Around the first half 2026 levelNew
LVP growth assumption SourceFull year 2026Around 2.5% negativeLowered from Around 1% negative
FX impact on net sales assumption SourceFull year 2026Around 2.5% positiveLowered from Around 3% positive
Tax rate assumption SourceFull year 2026Around 30%Raised from Around 28%
Raw material price impact SourceFull year 2026Around $110 million grossRaised from Around $90 million gross
Tariff-related dilution on operating margin SourceFull year 2026Similar to around 20 bpsKept
Restructuring charges, Türkiye SourceTotal programApproximately $142 millionNew
Restructuring cash outflow, Türkiye SourceTotal programApproximately $129 millionNew
Annual pre-tax savings, Türkiye SourceFrom 2027, full run-rate in 2028$40 million per yearNew

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance kept: Full-year 2026 organic sales growth, adjusted operating margin and operating cash flow guidance were reiterated as the current best estimate. Source
  • Guidance raised: The gross raw material impact estimate for 2026 was raised to around $110 million from around $90 million in the prior quarter. Source
  • Guidance lowered: The assumed light vehicle production decline for 2026 widened to around 2.5% from around 1%, and the assumed FX benefit eased to around 2.5% from around 3%. Source
  • New guidance: Third-quarter adjusted operating margin guidance was given for the first time, at around the first half 2026 level. Source
  • New: Autoliv will gradually discontinue its manufacturing operations in Türkiye, covering steering wheels, airbags and seatbelts, as announced May 8, 2026. Source
  • New: Autoliv signed a Global Strategic Cooperation Framework Agreement with Great Wall Motor, announced July 6, 2026. Source
  • New: Autoliv signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with XPENG, announced July 7, 2026, covering safer mobility solutions for global markets. Source
  • New: The Autoliv Innovation Center in Vårgårda, Sweden, was inaugurated as a new global platform for advanced safety technology development. Source
  • Ended: Kevin Fox resigned as President, Autoliv Americas, for personal reasons; he remains in the role through August 31, 2026. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Organic sales grew 1.0%: Net sales rose 3.3% to $2,803 million. Organic growth of 1.0% ran 1.3pp ahead of global LVP, which fell 0.3%. FX added 2.3%. Source
  • Operating income fell on Türkiye costs: Operating income fell 22% to $192 million, mainly on higher capacity alignment costs for the Türkiye restructuring and higher R,D&E costs. Source
  • Diluted EPS down, adjusted up: Diluted EPS was $1.35, down 38%. Adjusted diluted EPS rose 10% to $2.43, the company reported. Source
  • Adjusted profit rose on savings: Adjusted operating income rose 7.3% to $270 million, and adjusted operating margin reached 9.6%, despite FX and raw material headwinds. Source

Segments and regions

  • Asia and China outgrew LVP: Asia excluding China grew 11.3% organically and China grew 3.4%, both ahead of their LVP. Americas and EMEA underperformed LVP. Source
  • Americas and EMEA sales declined: Americas sales were $910 million, down 3.3% organically. EMEA sales were $832 million, down 2.2% organically. Source
  • India sales grew 36%: India organic growth was 36% in the quarter, reflecting LVP growth and rising safety content per vehicle, with India outperforming LVP by 20pp. Source
  • Chinese OEM sales rose sharply: Sales to domestic OEMs in China rose about 44% organically, while global OEM sales fell about 24%. Chinese OEMs were 55% of China sales. Source

“I am pleased that our cash flow improved in line with our expectations, resulting in record operating cash flow for a second quarter”

Mikael Bratt, President & CEO

Products and customers

  • Airbags grew, seatbelts fell: Airbags, steering wheels and other sales rose 3.0% organically to $1,906 million. Seatbelt products fell 3.0% organically to $897 million. Source
  • Side and center airbags led: Side and center airbags were the largest contributors to airbag growth, followed by driver airbags, inflatable curtains and knee airbags. Source
  • Launches aided outperformance: Product launches helped the relative outperformance, while regional and model LVP mix reduced it by around 60bps. Source

Costs and margins

  • Gross profit rose; margin slipped: Gross profit rose $8 million to $509 million, and gross margin fell 0.3pp to 18.2%. A $13 million supplier compensation reversal and $9 million Türkiye impairment were included. Source
  • Raw materials cost $21 million: Raw material price changes reduced Q2 profitability by a gross $21 million, which management expects to mitigate largely. Source
  • Tariffs cost $7 million net: Customer compensation covered more than 80% of new tariff costs, leaving a net $7 million impact. Operating margin dilution was about 35bps including dilution effects. Source
  • Tax rate rose on discrete items: The tax rate was 34.5% against 24.1% a year earlier. Discrete tax items were unfavorable by 5.4pp, mainly from Türkiye capacity alignment costs. Source
  • R,D&E costs rose $15 million: R,D&E costs rose $15 million to $122 million on lower engineering income timing, wage inflation and FX. S,G&A fell $7 million. Source

“The business environment remains uncertain but our current best estimate for the remainder of the year is to reiterate our full year 2026 guidance”

Mikael Bratt, President & CEO

Demand and call-offs

  • China LVP fell 4.0%: China LVP fell 4.0%, with global OEM production down 19% and Chinese OEM production up 3.1%, according to S&P Global data. Source
  • Call-offs improved year on year: Call-off accuracy improved versus Q2 2025 but declined slightly from Q1 2026, mainly on China market developments. Volatility remains above pre-pandemic levels. Source
  • Low visibility hits efficiency: Low customer demand visibility and short-notice call-off changes continued to weigh on production efficiency and profitability. Source
  • Americas and EMEA underperformed LVP: Autoliv underperformed LVP by 1.0pp in EMEA and by 4.9pp in Americas, mainly from a lower top-line effect of tariffs. Source

Capital, cash and shareholder returns

  • Operating cash flow rose to $434m: Operating cash flow rose $157 million to $434 million, mainly from a $240 million working capital inflow as working capital normalized after Q1. Source
  • Free cash flow more than doubled: Free operating cash flow was $340 million, against $163 million a year earlier. Cash conversion was 338%. Source
  • Capex fell to 3.4% of sales: Net capital expenditure was $95 million, or 3.4% of sales, with lower footprint optimization and capacity expansion activity. Source
  • Leverage at 1.2x: Net debt was $1,695 million and the leverage ratio was 1.2x, against a target of no higher than 1.5x. Source
  • Buybacks and dividend paid: The company repurchased 1.65 million shares for about $200 million at an average of $121.43, and paid a dividend of $0.87 per share. Source

Strategy and restructuring

  • Türkiye plant closure underway: Steering wheel, airbag and seatbelt production in Türkiye will move to other EMEA facilities, affecting about 2,200 employees. Source
  • Footprint optimization linked to Chinese OEMs: The CEO linked the company's opportunities with Chinese OEMs to optimizing its manufacturing footprint. Source
  • Innovation Center opened in Sweden: The Vårgårda center is a new global platform meant to speed innovation, collaboration and development of advanced safety technologies. Source

People and leadership

  • Headcount down 2.5% year on year: Total headcount was 63,500 at June 30, down about 1,600 from a year earlier. Direct workforce fell 3.7%. Source
  • Headcount down from March: Headcount fell about 600 from March 31, with direct headcount down about 500 and indirect down about 100. Source
  • Reclassification moved 300 people: About 300 people moved from direct to indirect headcount under a change in reporting classification, which lifted indirect headcount. Source

Coming up, as management said on 17 July 2026

  • Q3 2026 earnings report date: The company intends to publish its Q3 2026 earnings report on Friday, October 23, 2026. Source
  • Q4 mitigation effects expected larger: Customer compensation and other mitigation are expected to have a limited effect in Q3 and a significantly greater contribution in Q4. Source
  • Türkiye closure completion timing: Complete closure of the Türkiye manufacturing operations is expected in the first half of 2028. Source
  • Repurchase program window: Repurchases under the 2029 program may be made from July 1, 2025 through December 31, 2029, up to a $2.5 billion maximum. Source

Risks management discussed

  • Demand: Continued geopolitical uncertainty and future tariff or trade changes may lead to more negative call-off volatility. Source
  • External: Hostilities in and around the Persian Gulf were cited as adding uncertainty to the global economy, supply chains and commodity prices. Source
  • External: Geopolitical uncertainty and tariffs and trade restrictions may lead to a more adverse inflation environment for raw materials. Source
  • Regulatory: Recovery of tariff costs from customers may vary, creating uncertainty in the net tariff impact on profitability. Source
  • Financial: The Q2 tax rate was raised by discrete items from Türkiye capacity alignment costs, which the company recorded as negative tax impacts. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: Management said cash flow improved in line with its expectations, with record second-quarter operating cash flow. Source
  • Not stated: Management reiterated full-year 2026 guidance as its current best estimate for the rest of the year. Source
  • Not stated: Management expects to mitigate a majority of the raw material headwind through cost reductions, material mix and commercial negotiations. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.