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Autoliv Inc.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 30 January 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 3 new, 2 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Record full-year and quarterly sales: Net sales were $2,817 million in the quarter, up 7.7%, with organic growth of 4.2% against global LVP growth of 1.3%. Source
  • Chinese OEM sales grew sharply: Sales to Chinese OEMs grew close to 40% in the quarter, driven mainly by new product launches, and 23% for the full year. Source
  • Operating income declined on lower compensations: Operating income fell 9.6% to $319 million and adjusted operating income fell 3.6% to $337 million, mainly from lower out-of-period customer compensations and lower engineering income. Source
  • Gross margin declined in quarter: Gross margin was 20.3%, down 0.7pp, as lower out-of-period compensations and less inventory capitalization offset efficiency gains. Source
  • Q1 2026 margin expected weaker: Management expects Q1 2026 adjusted operating margin considerably weaker than Q1 2025, with improvement in the following three quarters. Source
  • Record quarterly and annual operating cash flow: Operating cash flow rose 30% to a quarterly record of $544 million; full-year operating cash flow was a record $1,157 million. Source
  • Free operating cash flow at record: Free operating cash flow was $434 million in the quarter and $734 million for the year, both records. Source
  • Tariff and trade uncertainty: Future tariffs or trade restrictions could materially affect operations, customer relationships or cost recovery, and recovery levels may vary. Source

“We reached new record high sales for a quarter and a full year, driven mainly by strong growth in India and with Chinese OEMs.”

Mikael Bratt, President & CEO

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Organic sales growth Sourcefull year 2026Around 0%
Adjusted operating margin Sourcefull year 2026Around 10.5-11.0%New
Operating cash flow Sourcefull year 2026Around $1.2 billionKept
Capex, net Sourcefull year 2026Less than 5% of salesNew
FX effect on net sales Sourcefull year 2026Around 1% positiveNew
Tax rate Sourcefull year 2026Around 28%Kept

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Full year 2026 guidance was issued, replacing the full year 2025 guidance; the documents do not describe a change in the prior guidance figures beyond the new period. Source
  • New: Management said the chief financial officer, Fredrik Westin, will leave on March 31, 2026, and a successor recruitment continues. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Record full-year and quarterly sales: Net sales were $2,817 million in the quarter, up 7.7%, with organic growth of 4.2% against global LVP growth of 1.3%. Source
  • Chinese OEM sales grew sharply: Sales to Chinese OEMs grew close to 40% in the quarter, driven mainly by new product launches, and 23% for the full year. Source
  • Operating income declined on lower compensations: Operating income fell 9.6% to $319 million and adjusted operating income fell 3.6% to $337 million, mainly from lower out-of-period customer compensations and lower engineering income. Source
  • Full-year 2025 milestones reached: Operating income exceeded $1 billion for the first time, EPS rose above $9, and dividends paid exceeded $3 per share in 2025. Source

Segments and regions

  • Outperformance in all regions: Organic growth outperformed LVP by 5.3pp in China, 4.8pp in Asia ex. China, 3.7pp in Americas and 1.5pp in Europe. Source
  • Domestic OEM growth offset global OEM decline: Sales to domestic Chinese OEMs grew about 40% while sales to global OEMs in China fell 11% in the quarter. Source
  • Regional reported sales growth: China sales rose 9.8% to $645 million, Europe rose 9.0% to $779 million, Americas rose 6.9% to $841 million and Asia excl. China rose 4.8% to $552 million. Source

“We expect Q1 2026 adjusted operating margin to be considerably weaker than Q1 2025, with improvements in the following three quarters.”

Mikael Bratt, President & CEO

Products and customers

  • Airbags and steering wheels grew: Airbags, steering wheels and other sales grew organically 5.1%, led by steering wheels, side airbags, center airbags and driver airbags. Source
  • Seatbelt sales grew modestly: Seatbelt products and other sales grew organically 2.2%, led by China. Source
  • Foldable steering wheel for autonomous driving: Autoliv and Tensor announced the world's first foldable steering wheel for autonomous driving on January 5, 2026. Source

Costs, margins and pricing

  • Gross margin declined in quarter: Gross margin was 20.3%, down 0.7pp, as lower out-of-period compensations and less inventory capitalization offset efficiency gains. Source
  • Tariff recovery near full in quarter: Close to 100% of tariff costs were recovered in Q4 and more than 80% for the full year; tariff dilution on operating margin was about 15bps in the quarter and 20bps for the year. Source
  • Labor inflation partly offset by pricing: Labor and other cost pressure hit profitability, though less than in Q4 2024, with most offset by price increases and customer compensations. Source
  • Currency translation charge on exits: Other expense of $15 million mostly reflected recycled currency translation differences tied to closing entities in the Netherlands and Italy. Source

Demand and the order book

  • COEM share of order intake: 30% of 2025 order intake came from Chinese OEMs, including COEM production in Europe. Source
  • Call-off volatility stays elevated: Call-off volatility rose slightly year on year and remains above pre-pandemic levels; 2026 volatility is expected to improve slightly but stay above pre-pandemic levels. Source
  • Q1 2026 margin expected weaker: Management expects Q1 2026 adjusted operating margin considerably weaker than Q1 2025, with improvement in the following three quarters. Source

Cash flow and capital returns

  • Record quarterly and annual operating cash flow: Operating cash flow rose 30% to a quarterly record of $544 million; full-year operating cash flow was a record $1,157 million. Source
  • Free operating cash flow at record: Free operating cash flow was $434 million in the quarter and $734 million for the year, both records. Source
  • Leverage ratio improved: The leverage ratio improved to 1.1x from 1.2x a year earlier, below the 1.5x target limit. Source
  • Share repurchases and dividend: A dividend of $0.87 per share was paid, up 2.4% from Q3 2025; 1.26 million shares were repurchased at an average of $118.98. Source

Strategy and investment

  • Capex fell to 3.9% of sales: Capex, net was $110 million in the quarter and $423 million for the full year, 3.9% of sales, reflecting less footprint optimization and capacity expansion. Source

People and leadership

  • Headcount reduced year on year: Total headcount was 64,300 at December 31, 2025, about 900 or 1.4% lower than a year earlier, despite organic sales growth of 4.1%. Source
  • CFO transition underway: CFO Fredrik Westin stays through March 31, 2026, and the recruitment of his successor continues. Source

Risks and uncertainty

  • Tariff and trade uncertainty: Future tariffs or trade restrictions could materially affect operations, customer relationships or cost recovery, and recovery levels may vary. Source
  • Inflation could worsen: Uncertainty over tariffs and trade restrictions may lead to a more adverse inflation environment. Source

Coming up, as management said on 30 January 2026

  • Q1 2026 earnings report: Autoliv intends to publish its first quarter 2026 earnings report on Friday, April 17, 2026. Source
  • CFO successor recruitment: Recruitment of a successor to the CFO continues; Westin remains in the role through March 31, 2026. Source

Risks management discussed

  • Regulatory: Tariffs and trade restrictions could materially affect operations, customer relationships and cost recovery. Source
  • Demand: Low customer demand visibility and short-notice call-off changes continued to affect production efficiency and profitability. Source
  • Operational: Labor and other cost pressure affected profitability in the quarter. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: Management stated its ambition and expectation to continue passing tariff costs on to customers, with close to 100% recovered in Q4. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.