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agilon health, Inc.: Q3 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 4 November 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 7 raised, 1 lowered, 1 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue rose 6% year over year: Total revenues were $1.52 billion, up 6% from $1.44 billion a year earlier. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA turned positive: Adjusted EBITDA was $64 million, against negative $91 million a year earlier. Nine-month Adjusted EBITDA was $187.1 million, against negative $154.3 million. Source
  • Total members down 8%: Total members on the platform were 566,000 at September 30, 2026, down from 618,000 a year earlier, including 454,000 Medicare Advantage members and 112,000 ACO model beneficiaries. Source
  • MSER fell to 88.5%: MSER was 88.5% in the third quarter, against 104.0% a year earlier. Management said the ratio includes favorable claims development in the first half of 2026. Source
  • Cash and securities of $312 million: Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $312 million at September 30, 2026, with total debt of $32 million. ACO entities held $74 million of cash. Source

“agilon’s third quarter results exceeded our expectations, reflecting the disciplined execution and operational progress our team has delivered this year,”

Tim O’Rourke, Chief Executive Officer of agilon health

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Medicare Advantage members (end of period) SourceFiscal year 2026445,000 to 450,000Raised from 435,000 to 445,000
ACO model members (end of period) SourceFiscal year 2026108,000 to 112,000Raised from 100,000 to 105,000
Total members live on platform (end of period) SourceFiscal year 2026553,000 to 562,000Raised from 535,000 to 550,000
Average Medicare Advantage members SourceFiscal year 2026451,000 to 453,000Raised from 438,000 to 443,000
Total revenues SourceFiscal year 2026$5,870 million to $5,890 millionRaised from $5,775 million to $5,860 million
Medical services expense ratio (MSER) SourceFiscal year 202690.5% to 90.3%Lowered from 91.9% to 91.4%
Adjusted EBITDA SourceFiscal year 2026$145 million to $155 millionRaised from $75 million to $95 million
Adjusted EBITDA contribution from ACO model entities SourceFiscal year 2026approximately $40-$45 millionRaised from approximately $25-$30 million
Geography entry costs SourceFiscal year 2026$15 millionKept

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Full-year 2026 guidance raised for total revenues, membership and Adjusted EBITDA, as stated in the release headline. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Full-year MSER range moved lower, to 90.5% to 90.3% from 91.9% to 91.4%. Source
  • New: The third-quarter release reports the medical services expense ratio, which the second-quarter release did not present. Source
  • Ended: The third-quarter release no longer reports Medical Margin or gross profit. The second-quarter release reported Medical Margin of $197 million for that quarter.

Results and growth drivers

  • Revenue rose 6% year over year: Total revenues were $1.52 billion, up 6% from $1.44 billion a year earlier. Source
  • Revenue drivers named by management: Management attributed revenue to higher-than-expected burden of illness performance, payor contracting and improved pricing. Lower membership partly offset these gains. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA turned positive: Adjusted EBITDA was $64 million, against negative $91 million a year earlier. Nine-month Adjusted EBITDA was $187.1 million, against negative $154.3 million. Source
  • Net income and operating income positive: Income from operations was $24.1 million, against a $131.3 million loss. Nine-month net income was $101.8 million. Source
  • Diluted EPS turned positive: Diluted EPS from continuing operations was $1.97, against $(6.65) a year earlier. Nine-month diluted net income per share was $5.92. Source

Segments and regions

  • Consolidated Medicare Advantage revenue: Consolidated Medicare Advantage medical services revenue was $1,517.8 million in the third quarter, against $1,432.4 million a year earlier. Source
  • Unconsolidated ACO model results: CMS ACO model entities, which are not consolidated, reported $429.1 million of medical services revenue and an MSER of 91.4% in the third quarter. Nine-month ACO MSER was 89.1%. Source
  • ACO entities' Adjusted EBITDA share: ACO model entities contributed $11 million to third-quarter Adjusted EBITDA, against $18 million a year earlier. Source
  • Geography entry costs declined: Geography entry costs were $1.8 million in the third quarter, against $4.8 million a year earlier. Nine-month costs were $6.4 million. Source

“Central to that progress is our proximity to physicians and their patients, which differentiates our model and enables us to pair trusted relationships with actionable insights that help deliver better outcomes at the point of care.”

Tim O’Rourke, Chief Executive Officer of agilon health

Membership and customers

  • Total members down 8%: Total members on the platform were 566,000 at September 30, 2026, down from 618,000 a year earlier, including 454,000 Medicare Advantage members and 112,000 ACO model beneficiaries. Source
  • Medicare Advantage members fell 10%: Medicare Advantage members were 454,000, against 503,000 a year earlier. Average Medicare Advantage members were 488,000, down 4%. Source
  • Membership change explained by contracting: Management attributes the membership change to disciplined contracting focused on profitability, previously disclosed market exits, and a measured approach to growth. Source

Costs, margins and pricing

  • MSER fell to 88.5%: MSER was 88.5% in the third quarter, against 104.0% a year earlier. Management said the ratio includes favorable claims development in the first half of 2026. Source
  • Medical services expense fell: Medical services expense was $1,343.5 million, against $1,489.5 million a year earlier. Source
  • Other medical expenses rose sharply: Other medical expenses were $78.0 million in the third quarter, against $13.5 million a year earlier. The release gives no reason for the change. Source
  • General and administrative cost rose: General and administrative expense was $67.1 million, against $56.2 million. Platform support costs were $44.4 million, against $38.7 million. Source
  • Platform support costs to fall as share: Management expects platform support costs to decrease over time as a percentage of revenue as physician partners add members and revenue grows. Source
  • Medical Margin no longer reported: The release no longer shows Medical Margin or gross profit, and omits the Medical Margin guidance range of $465 million to $505 million given in the second-quarter release.

“We believe this foundation positions agilon to create sustainable, long-term value for our shareholders, physician partners, and the patients we serve.”

Tim O’Rourke, Chief Executive Officer of agilon health

Capital, cash and returns to shareholders

  • Cash and securities of $312 million: Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $312 million at September 30, 2026, with total debt of $32 million. ACO entities held $74 million of cash. Source
  • Nine-month operating cash flow positive: Net cash provided by operating activities was $16.3 million for the nine months, against $85.2 million used a year earlier. Source
  • Capital spending lower than last year: Purchases of property, equipment and capitalized software were $9.8 million for nine months, against $10.3 million. Intangible purchases were $0.9 million, against $23.1 million. Source
  • Shares outstanding rose slightly: Shares outstanding were 16.8 million, against 16.6 million at December 31, 2025. The documents describe no dividends or share repurchases. Source

Strategy and investment

  • Total Care Model for senior patients: Management describes agilon as accelerating how physician groups and health systems move to a value-based Total Care Model for senior patients. Source
  • Network of about 2,300 PCPs: The company provides technology, people, capital and process to a peer network of about 2,300 primary care physicians, and is in approximately 30 communities. Source
  • Physician partners keep independence: The model is described as allowing physician partners to keep their independence while focusing on the total health of their most vulnerable patients. Source

People and leadership

  • Severance costs rose for nine months: Severance and related costs were $3.2 million in the third quarter, against $4.1 million. Nine-month severance was $16.9 million, against $4.7 million. Source
  • Stock compensation rose: Stock-based compensation expense was $18.9 million in the third quarter, against $7.5 million a year earlier. Source
  • CEO comments on the quarter: The release quotes Tim O’Rourke, Chief Executive Officer, on the quarter's results and the company's physician-focused model. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Total members on platform Source566,000 as of September 30, 2026
Medical services expense ratio (medical cost ratio) Source88.5%

Risks management discussed

  • Financial: A significant part of overall earnings comes from equity method investments in entities whose revenues the company does not record. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: The second-quarter release set third-quarter 2026 ranges, including total revenues of $1,445 million to $1,475 million and medical margin of $105 million to $115 million.
  • Not stated: Second-quarter guidance assumed cost trends in the low 7% range for the remainder of 2026. The third-quarter release does not restate this assumption.

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.