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Agree Realty Corp.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 10 February 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 7 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 AFFO per share rose 6.5%: Fourth-quarter AFFO per share reached $1.11 against $1.04 a year earlier. Core FFO per share rose 7.3% to $1.10, and net income per share rose 13.5% to $0.47. Source
  • Full-year AFFO per share up 4.6%: Full-year 2025 AFFO per share rose to $4.33 and Core FFO per share to $4.28. Full-year net income per share fell 0.7% to $1.77. Source
  • Q4 investment of $377 million: The company invested about $377 million in 94 retail net lease properties in the quarter across its three external growth platforms. Full-year investment was about $1.55 billion in 338 properties. Source
  • Portfolio 99.7% leased at year end: The 2,674 properties in all 50 states total about 55.5 million square feet. Remaining lease term averages 7.8 years, and 66.8% of annualized base rents come from investment grade tenants. Source
  • Interest expense rose in Q4: Net interest expense was $36.4 million in Q4 against $29.1 million, and $134.6 million for 2025 against $108.9 million. Source
  • Liquidity above $2.0 billion: Total liquidity was $2.0 billion at year end, including $929.5 million of revolver availability, $350 million of term loan availability, $716.1 million of forward equity and $20.6 million of cash. Source
  • Leverage 4.9 times, 3.8 pro forma: Net debt to recurring EBITDA was 4.9 times, or 3.8 times pro forma for forward equity proceeds. The fixed charge coverage ratio was 4.2 times at year end. Source
  • Forward equity settled for $428 million: The company settled 5.9 million shares of forward equity for about $428 million in Q4. It also sold 1.5 million shares under the ATM forward component for about $109 million. Source

“We paired this robust capital deployment with proactive balance sheet management, raising approximately $1.5 billion of long-term capital”

Joey Agree, President and Chief Executive Officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
AFFO per share Sourcefull year 2026$4.54 to $4.58New
Investment volume Sourcefull year 2026$1.4 to $1.6 billionRaised from $1.25 billion to $1.50 billion
Disposition volume Sourcefull year 2026$25 to $75 millionNew
General and administrative expenses (% of adjusted revenue) Sourcefull year 20265.3% to 5.6%New
Cash G&A (% of adjusted revenue) Sourcefull year 20263.7% to 4.0%New
Non-reimbursable real estate expenses (% of adjusted revenue) Sourcefull year 20261.0% to 1.5%New
Income and other tax expense Sourcefull year 2026$2 to $3 millionNew
Treasury stock method dilution Sourcefull year 2026Approximately $0.01New

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: Initial 2026 guidance was issued. The prior release gave 2025 guidance, with AFFO per share of $4.31 to $4.33. Source
  • Guidance raised: Investment volume guidance for 2026 rose from $1.25 billion to $1.50 billion, as issued January 5, 2026, to $1.4 to $1.6 billion. Source
  • New: A $350 million unsecured term loan was closed. The prior release said closing was expected in November, with a fixed rate of 4.02%. Source
  • New: A $400 million public bond offering of 5.60% senior unsecured notes due 2035 was completed. The prior release did not mention it. Source
  • New: The monthly common dividend declared for December was $0.262, up from $0.256 declared for September in the prior release. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Q4 AFFO per share rose 6.5%: Fourth-quarter AFFO per share reached $1.11 against $1.04 a year earlier. Core FFO per share rose 7.3% to $1.10, and net income per share rose 13.5% to $0.47. Source
  • Full-year AFFO per share up 4.6%: Full-year 2025 AFFO per share rose to $4.33 and Core FFO per share to $4.28. Full-year net income per share fell 0.7% to $1.77. Source
  • Q4 net income rose 24.9%: Fourth-quarter net income increased 24.9% to $54.2 million, compared with $43.4 million a year earlier. Source
  • Revenue rose in both periods: Total revenues were $190.5 million in Q4 against $160.7 million, and $718.4 million for 2025 against $617.1 million. Source

Investment and acquisition activity

  • Q4 investment of $377 million: The company invested about $377 million in 94 retail net lease properties in the quarter across its three external growth platforms. Full-year investment was about $1.55 billion in 338 properties. Source
  • Q4 acquisitions of 78 properties: Fourth-quarter acquisitions totaled about $347.4 million across 78 properties in 33 states, with a weighted-average remaining lease term of about 9.6 years. Source
  • Ground leases bought in Q4: The company bought 15 ground leases for about $68.3 million in Q4, representing 18.2% of annualized base rents acquired, including three Lowe's sites. Source

“putting us in excellent position to achieve our full-year 2026 AFFO per share guidance of $4.54 to $4.58”

Joey Agree, President and Chief Executive Officer

Portfolio, tenants and leasing

  • Portfolio 99.7% leased at year end: The 2,674 properties in all 50 states total about 55.5 million square feet. Remaining lease term averages 7.8 years, and 66.8% of annualized base rents come from investment grade tenants. Source
  • Walmart is the largest tenant: Walmart accounts for 5.6% of annualized base rent, Tractor Supply 4.9% and Dollar General 3.9%. Source
  • Grocery is the largest sector: Grocery stores are the largest retail sector at 10.3% of annualized base rent, followed by home improvement at 9.0%. Source
  • Q4 leasing covered 642,000 sq ft: Fourth-quarter leasing covered about 642,000 square feet of gross leasable area, including a Walmart Supercenter in Rochester, New York. Full-year leasing covered about 3.0 million square feet. Source
  • Ground lease portfolio fully occupied: The 251 ground leases in 39 states total about 7.0 million square feet and represent 10.2% of annualized base rents. The portfolio is fully occupied. Source

Development and dispositions

  • Four development projects started in Q4: Four development or DFP projects started in Q4 with about $35.3 million of anticipated costs. Three projects were completed for about $29.4 million. Full-year 2025 projects total about $225.3 million. Source
  • Full-year dispositions of $44.1 million: The company sold 22 properties in 2025 for about $44.1 million at a weighted-average capitalization rate of 6.9%. Source
  • Projects leased to national retailers: The projects are leased to tenants including TJX Companies, Burlington, 7-Eleven, Boot Barn, Ross Dress for Less, Five Below, Ulta and Sunbelt Rentals. Source

Costs, margins and pricing

  • Interest expense rose in Q4: Net interest expense was $36.4 million in Q4 against $29.1 million, and $134.6 million for 2025 against $108.9 million. Source
  • Depreciation and amortization rose: Depreciation and amortization was $63.4 million in Q4 against $56.6 million, and $239.3 million for 2025 against $207.0 million. Source
  • G&A and impairments rose: General and administrative expense was $11.1 million in Q4 against $8.9 million. Impairment provisions were $1.6 million in Q4 and $11.9 million for 2025, against $7.2 million. Source
  • Acquisition cap rates near 7%: Q4 acquisitions were made at a weighted-average capitalization rate of 7.1%, and full-year 2025 acquisitions at 7.2%. Q4 dispositions were completed at 6.4%. Source

Capital, liquidity and balance sheet

  • Liquidity above $2.0 billion: Total liquidity was $2.0 billion at year end, including $929.5 million of revolver availability, $350 million of term loan availability, $716.1 million of forward equity and $20.6 million of cash. Source
  • Leverage 4.9 times, 3.8 pro forma: Net debt to recurring EBITDA was 4.9 times, or 3.8 times pro forma for forward equity proceeds. The fixed charge coverage ratio was 4.2 times at year end. Source
  • Forward equity settled for $428 million: The company settled 5.9 million shares of forward equity for about $428 million in Q4. It also sold 1.5 million shares under the ATM forward component for about $109 million. Source
  • Forward equity still to settle: 9,619,245 shares remain to be settled under the forward equity offerings, anticipated to raise about $716.1 million in net proceeds. Source
  • Fitch issuer rating A-: Fitch Ratings assigned the company an A- issuer rating. The prior release also reported this rating. Source

Returns to shareholders

  • Full-year dividends up 2.7%: Dividends declared for 2025 totaled $3.081 per share, up 2.7%, with payout ratios of about 72% of Core FFO per share and 71% of AFFO per share. Source
  • Preferred dividends paid monthly: Monthly dividends on the 4.25% Series A preferred stock were declared for January and February 2026 at $0.08854 per depositary share. Source

Coming up, as management said on 10 February 2026

  • Forward equity settles June 2026 to May 2027: Remaining forward equity offerings must settle between June 2026 and May 2027, with about 9.6 million shares left to settle. Source
  • February dividend paid March 13: The February 2026 monthly common dividend is payable March 13, 2026, to holders of record on February 27, 2026. Source
  • Term loan undrawn with delayed draw: No amounts have been drawn under the $350 million term loan, which has a 12-month delayed draw feature. Source
  • 2026 development deliveries scheduled: Development and DFP projects are scheduled for delivery through Q2 2027, with five projects due in Q1 2026 at about $37.6 million total cost. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
AFFO per share Source$1.11 for Q4 2025; $4.33 for full year 2025
Core FFO per share Source$1.10 for Q4 2025; $4.28 for full year 2025
Occupancy Source99.7% leased at December 31, 2025
Acquisitions Source$347.4 million in Q4 2025; $1.44 billion for full year 2025
Dispositions Source$20.4 million gross proceeds in Q4 2025 (nine properties)
Leverage (net debt to recurring EBITDA) Source4.9 times; 3.8 times pro forma

Risks management discussed

  • Demand: Lease maturities in 2026 represent 1.5% of annualized base rents, the share expiring that year. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Met: The prior release expected the term loan to close in November. The current release reports the term loan as closed.
  • Not stated: The prior release raised 2025 investment guidance to this range. The current release reports about $1.55 billion invested in 2025.

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.