Sable Offshore Corp.: Q2 FY2026 earnings call
What management said about Q2 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 10 August 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 1 lowered, 5 new. The quarter’s numbers.
Key takeaways
- First full quarter of revenue: Total revenue of $137.1 million and $9.4 million of operating cash flow, described as the first full quarter of revenue and positive operating cash flow since inception. Source
- Oil sales exit rate near 40,000 barrels: Oil sales exited the quarter at about 40 thousand net barrels per day, a 149% increase from the first day of the quarter. Source
- Summer sales estimates rising: Preliminary July sales were about 38,000 gross barrels per day; August sales averaged about 42,000 gross barrels per day through August 9. Source
- Downstream cap at 40,000 barrels: From July, downstream partners limited oil sales throughput to 40,000 average gross barrels per day. Management expects relief starting in the back half of August. Source
- Refiners limiting Pacific OCS crude: A sudden supply influx of Pacific OCS crude led refiners to limit throughput and apply quality deducts for sulfur content and other items. Source
- Refinancing completed July 2: Proceeds repaid the former term loan and extended maturities to year-end 2028. Source
“We are encouraged by the productivity of the wells at the SYU with their higher than expected production with minimal to no observable decline.”
Jim Flores, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Guidance
| Area | Period | Figure | Against last quarter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross average daily sales Source | 2H 2026E | 47,500 ‒ 52,500 Boe/d | |
| Gross average daily sales Source | FY 2027E | 50,000 ‒ 55,000 Boe/d | |
| Net average daily sales Source | 2H 2026E | 40,000 ‒ 45,000 Boe/d | |
| Net average daily sales Source | FY 2027E | 42,500 ‒ 47,500 Boe/d | |
| Working interest / net revenue interest Source | 2H 2026E and FY 2027E | 83.6% | |
| Estimated marketing and GP&T deduct Source | 2H 2026E | $24.00 ‒ $28.00 per Bbl | |
| Estimated marketing and GP&T deduct Source | FY 2027E | $21.00 ‒ $25.00 per Bbl | |
| Lease operating expense per net Boe Source | 2H 2026E | $17.00 ‒ $21.00 | |
| Lease operating expense per net Boe Source | FY 2027E | $9.00 ‒ $12.00 | |
| Cash general and administrative per net Boe Source | 2H 2026E | $6.00 ‒ $9.00 | |
| Cash general and administrative per net Boe Source | FY 2027E | $3.50 ‒ $6.50 | |
| Severance and ad valorem taxes Source | 2H 2026E | 0.5% ‒ 1.0% of revenue | |
| Severance and ad valorem taxes Source | FY 2027E | 0.5% ‒ 1.0% of revenue | |
| Total capital expenditures Source | 2H 2026E | $75 ‒ $95 million; midpoint $85 million | Lowered |
| Total capital expenditures Source | FY 2027E | $80 ‒ $100 million | |
| Oil ratio Source | FY 2027E | approximately 100% | Raised from approximately 91% prior midpoint |
| Brent collars, bought put and sold call Source | July 1 to December 31, 2026 | 28.0 Mbo/d; $65.00 put; $89.39 call | New |
| Brent collars, bought put and sold call Source | FY 2027 | 25.0 Mbo/d; $65.00 put; $80.00 call | New |
| Production wells online, Harmony and Heritage Source | Q3 2026 | 77 wells | New |
| Perf Adds at Platform Hondo Source | September 2026 restart | 5 Perf Adds at about 600 gross bopd each | New |
| Perf Adds at Platform Hondo Source | early Q4 2026 | 4 Perf Adds at about 600 gross bopd each | New |
What changed from last quarter
- Guidance lowered: Second-half 2026 midpoint capex reduced 41% to $85 million, described as aimed at optimizing cash flow and accelerating debt amortization. Source
- Guidance raised: FY 2027 expected oil ratio raised to about 100% from a prior midpoint of 91%. Source
- New: Refinancing transactions completed July 2, 2026, repaying the former term loan and extending maturities to year-end 2028. Source
- New: Commodity hedging program commenced with Brent floor prices of $65 per barrel. Source
- New: From July 2026, downstream partners limited Sable's oil sales throughput to a maximum of 40,000 average gross barrels per day. Source
- New: A third-party acquisition of the Crimson Utilities pipeline network is pending, which could provide relief to California producers once it restarts. Source
Results and cash flow
- First full quarter of revenue: Total revenue of $137.1 million and $9.4 million of operating cash flow, described as the first full quarter of revenue and positive operating cash flow since inception. Source
- Oil sales exit rate near 40,000 barrels: Oil sales exited the quarter at about 40 thousand net barrels per day, a 149% increase from the first day of the quarter. Source
- Capital spending in the quarter: Capital expenditures in the second quarter totaled $39.4 million. Source
Production and well ramp
- Average net sales near 21,000 barrels: Average daily net sales were about 21 thousand barrels of oil per day while production increased and midstream constraints were worked through. Source
- Wells online rose about 50%: Wells online averaged about 39 in June 2026, up 50% from about 26 in April 2026. Source
- Per-well rate of 723 barrels: Production averaged 723 barrels of oil per day per well across an average of 35 producing wells per day during the quarter. Source
- Summer sales estimates rising: Preliminary July sales were about 38,000 gross barrels per day; August sales averaged about 42,000 gross barrels per day through August 9. Source
- Harmony and Heritage ramp under way: In July about 47 wells at Platforms Harmony and Heritage were online, averaging about 721 gross barrels of oil per day per well. Source
“we look forward to working with our midstream and downstream partners to maximize the amount of domestic crude oil from the SYU getting to market”
Jim Flores, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Midstream and marketing constraints
- Downstream cap at 40,000 barrels: From July, downstream partners limited oil sales throughput to 40,000 average gross barrels per day. Management expects relief starting in the back half of August. Source
- Refiners limiting Pacific OCS crude: A sudden supply influx of Pacific OCS crude led refiners to limit throughput and apply quality deducts for sulfur content and other items. Source
- Las Flores Canyon inventory built: Crude inventory at Las Flores Canyon rose 49% during the quarter. About 224,000 barrels were held as of August 9, 2026. Source
- Sulfur content expected to normalize: Platform Hondo's lower-sulfur oil is expected to bring field-wide sulfur back to normal levels after its planned September restart. Source
Pricing, hedging and costs
- Brent hedges start at $65 floors: The hedging program started with $65 per barrel Brent floor prices, and post-closing requirements of the term loan were fulfilled. Source
- Demurrage charges hit operating costs: Refineries displaced imported cargoes, which led to $18.5 million of non-recurring demurrage charges recognized in operating expenses. Source
Capital spending and budget
- Second-half budget focused on integrity: Given midstream constraints and widened differentials, the second-half 2026 capex budget focuses on asset integrity, midstream throughput, Perf Adds and well optimization. Source
- Guidance excludes marketing benefits: Guidance assumes no benefit from waterborne marketing, chemical treatments or broader California infrastructure improvements. Source
- FY 2027 reflects normalized operations: FY 2027 guidance reflects the expected normalization of fully ramped operations following the restart. Source
- Gas plant items deferred: The 2027 oil ratio increase reflects deferral of POPCO gas plant capital items and a stronger oil cut from producing wells. Source
Debt refinancing and equity
- Refinancing completed July 2: Proceeds repaid the former term loan and extended maturities to year-end 2028. Source
- Term loan terms set: The $675.0 million term loan B has a 15.0% coupon, amortization of 2.5% per quarter in 2H 2026 rising to 5.0%, and a 100% excess cash flow sweep. Source
- Convertible notes and stock issued: The company issued $345.0 million of 6.5% convertible notes due 2031 at a $4.00 conversion price, and $115.0 million of common stock at $3.08 per share. Source
- Revolver borrowing base at zero: The $500.0 million revolving credit facility is designed for commodity hedging, has a $0 borrowing base, and matures December 15, 2028. Source
- No ATM sales in third quarter: No ATM equity sales had occurred in the third quarter to date. The earlier ATM program had raised about $95.0 million gross through Q1 2026.
- Share count rose in quarter: Common stock outstanding ended the quarter at 154,531,910 shares. Source
Coming up, as management said on 10 August 2026
- Platform Hondo restart in September: Platform Hondo is expected to restart in September 2026, with five completed Perf Adds expected online there. Source
- Harmony and Heritage wells to come online: All 77 production wells on Platforms Harmony and Heritage are expected online during the third quarter of 2026. Source
- Four more Perf Adds in fourth quarter: Four additional Perf Adds at Platform Hondo are planned for completion and to come online in early fourth quarter 2026. Source
- Throughput constraint expected to ease: The downstream throughput constraint is expected to be alleviated starting in the back half of August. Source
- Refineries adjust crude slate: California refineries are expected to start accepting more Pacific OCS barrels from the SYU starting in September 2026. Source
- Chemical sweetening tests planned: Chemical-based solutions are expected to be tested in Q4 2026, with full implementation anticipated in 2027. Source
- Waterborne marketing talks near-term: Active negotiations are under way to use existing Los Angeles-area marine terminals for waterborne crude marketing in the near term. Source
- Crimson pipeline sale pending: A third-party acquisition of the Crimson Utilities pipeline is pending and could add California marketing options once it restarts. Source
- More hedging as production ramps: The company expects to opportunistically hedge additional volumes as production ramps up. Source
- Wireline campaign underway: A wireline campaign for Perf Adds and well optimization at Platform Harmony began in August 2026. Source
Figures management reported
| Figure | Reported |
|---|---|
| Average daily net oil sales, Q2 2026 Source | approximately 21 thousand barrels of oil per day |
| Oil sales exit rate, end of Q2 2026 Source | approximately 40 thousand net barrels of oil per day |
| Average producing wells per day, Q2 2026 Source | 35 |
| Oil rate per well, Q2 2026 Source | 723 barrels of oil per day |
| Capital expenditures, Q2 2026 Source | $39.4 million |
| Las Flores Canyon crude inventory, end of Q2 2026 Source | 316,495 barrels |
| Gross oil sales, July 2026 preliminary Source | approximately 38,000 gross barrels of oil per day |
| Brent hedge floor price Source | $65/Bbl |
Risks management discussed
- Operational: Downstream partners capped oil sales throughput at 40,000 average gross barrels per day from July. Source
- Demand: Refiners limited Pacific OCS throughput and charged quality deducts, which the company says affected its marketing. Source
- Operational: Field-wide sulfur content is above normal levels until the planned Hondo restart brings lower-sulfur oil. Source
- Regulatory: The California regulatory environment prevented refineries from planning in advance for first sales from the Santa Ynez Unit. Source
- Financial: The term loan B carries a 15.0% coupon, rising quarterly amortization and a 100% excess cash flow sweep. Source
- Financial: The revolving credit facility has a $0 borrowing base, so it provides no borrowing capacity at present. Source
- External: Widened differentials were cited alongside midstream throughput constraints as a factor in the second-half capex budget. Source
Earlier plans management reported on
- Not stated: The refinancing was expected in Q2 2026 in the first-quarter release; the company reports it completed on July 2, 2026.
- Not stated: Second-half 2026 midpoint capex reduced by 41% to $85 million; the prior plan's figure is not stated in the documents. Source
Other quarters
Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.