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Sable Offshore Corp.: Q2 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q2 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 10 August 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 1 lowered, 5 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • First full quarter of revenue: Total revenue of $137.1 million and $9.4 million of operating cash flow, described as the first full quarter of revenue and positive operating cash flow since inception. Source
  • Oil sales exit rate near 40,000 barrels: Oil sales exited the quarter at about 40 thousand net barrels per day, a 149% increase from the first day of the quarter. Source
  • Summer sales estimates rising: Preliminary July sales were about 38,000 gross barrels per day; August sales averaged about 42,000 gross barrels per day through August 9. Source
  • Downstream cap at 40,000 barrels: From July, downstream partners limited oil sales throughput to 40,000 average gross barrels per day. Management expects relief starting in the back half of August. Source
  • Refiners limiting Pacific OCS crude: A sudden supply influx of Pacific OCS crude led refiners to limit throughput and apply quality deducts for sulfur content and other items. Source
  • Refinancing completed July 2: Proceeds repaid the former term loan and extended maturities to year-end 2028. Source

“We are encouraged by the productivity of the wells at the SYU with their higher than expected production with minimal to no observable decline.”

Jim Flores, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Gross average daily sales Source2H 2026E47,500 ‒ 52,500 Boe/d
Gross average daily sales SourceFY 2027E50,000 ‒ 55,000 Boe/d
Net average daily sales Source2H 2026E40,000 ‒ 45,000 Boe/d
Net average daily sales SourceFY 2027E42,500 ‒ 47,500 Boe/d
Working interest / net revenue interest Source2H 2026E and FY 2027E83.6%
Estimated marketing and GP&T deduct Source2H 2026E$24.00 ‒ $28.00 per Bbl
Estimated marketing and GP&T deduct SourceFY 2027E$21.00 ‒ $25.00 per Bbl
Lease operating expense per net Boe Source2H 2026E$17.00 ‒ $21.00
Lease operating expense per net Boe SourceFY 2027E$9.00 ‒ $12.00
Cash general and administrative per net Boe Source2H 2026E$6.00 ‒ $9.00
Cash general and administrative per net Boe SourceFY 2027E$3.50 ‒ $6.50
Severance and ad valorem taxes Source2H 2026E0.5% ‒ 1.0% of revenue
Severance and ad valorem taxes SourceFY 2027E0.5% ‒ 1.0% of revenue
Total capital expenditures Source2H 2026E$75 ‒ $95 million; midpoint $85 millionLowered
Total capital expenditures SourceFY 2027E$80 ‒ $100 million
Oil ratio SourceFY 2027Eapproximately 100%Raised from approximately 91% prior midpoint
Brent collars, bought put and sold call SourceJuly 1 to December 31, 202628.0 Mbo/d; $65.00 put; $89.39 callNew
Brent collars, bought put and sold call SourceFY 202725.0 Mbo/d; $65.00 put; $80.00 callNew
Production wells online, Harmony and Heritage SourceQ3 202677 wellsNew
Perf Adds at Platform Hondo SourceSeptember 2026 restart5 Perf Adds at about 600 gross bopd eachNew
Perf Adds at Platform Hondo Sourceearly Q4 20264 Perf Adds at about 600 gross bopd eachNew

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance lowered: Second-half 2026 midpoint capex reduced 41% to $85 million, described as aimed at optimizing cash flow and accelerating debt amortization. Source
  • Guidance raised: FY 2027 expected oil ratio raised to about 100% from a prior midpoint of 91%. Source
  • New: Refinancing transactions completed July 2, 2026, repaying the former term loan and extending maturities to year-end 2028. Source
  • New: Commodity hedging program commenced with Brent floor prices of $65 per barrel. Source
  • New: From July 2026, downstream partners limited Sable's oil sales throughput to a maximum of 40,000 average gross barrels per day. Source
  • New: A third-party acquisition of the Crimson Utilities pipeline network is pending, which could provide relief to California producers once it restarts. Source

Results and cash flow

  • First full quarter of revenue: Total revenue of $137.1 million and $9.4 million of operating cash flow, described as the first full quarter of revenue and positive operating cash flow since inception. Source
  • Oil sales exit rate near 40,000 barrels: Oil sales exited the quarter at about 40 thousand net barrels per day, a 149% increase from the first day of the quarter. Source
  • Capital spending in the quarter: Capital expenditures in the second quarter totaled $39.4 million. Source

Production and well ramp

  • Average net sales near 21,000 barrels: Average daily net sales were about 21 thousand barrels of oil per day while production increased and midstream constraints were worked through. Source
  • Wells online rose about 50%: Wells online averaged about 39 in June 2026, up 50% from about 26 in April 2026. Source
  • Per-well rate of 723 barrels: Production averaged 723 barrels of oil per day per well across an average of 35 producing wells per day during the quarter. Source
  • Summer sales estimates rising: Preliminary July sales were about 38,000 gross barrels per day; August sales averaged about 42,000 gross barrels per day through August 9. Source
  • Harmony and Heritage ramp under way: In July about 47 wells at Platforms Harmony and Heritage were online, averaging about 721 gross barrels of oil per day per well. Source

“we look forward to working with our midstream and downstream partners to maximize the amount of domestic crude oil from the SYU getting to market”

Jim Flores, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Midstream and marketing constraints

  • Downstream cap at 40,000 barrels: From July, downstream partners limited oil sales throughput to 40,000 average gross barrels per day. Management expects relief starting in the back half of August. Source
  • Refiners limiting Pacific OCS crude: A sudden supply influx of Pacific OCS crude led refiners to limit throughput and apply quality deducts for sulfur content and other items. Source
  • Las Flores Canyon inventory built: Crude inventory at Las Flores Canyon rose 49% during the quarter. About 224,000 barrels were held as of August 9, 2026. Source
  • Sulfur content expected to normalize: Platform Hondo's lower-sulfur oil is expected to bring field-wide sulfur back to normal levels after its planned September restart. Source

Pricing, hedging and costs

  • Brent hedges start at $65 floors: The hedging program started with $65 per barrel Brent floor prices, and post-closing requirements of the term loan were fulfilled. Source
  • Demurrage charges hit operating costs: Refineries displaced imported cargoes, which led to $18.5 million of non-recurring demurrage charges recognized in operating expenses. Source

Capital spending and budget

  • Second-half budget focused on integrity: Given midstream constraints and widened differentials, the second-half 2026 capex budget focuses on asset integrity, midstream throughput, Perf Adds and well optimization. Source
  • Guidance excludes marketing benefits: Guidance assumes no benefit from waterborne marketing, chemical treatments or broader California infrastructure improvements. Source
  • FY 2027 reflects normalized operations: FY 2027 guidance reflects the expected normalization of fully ramped operations following the restart. Source
  • Gas plant items deferred: The 2027 oil ratio increase reflects deferral of POPCO gas plant capital items and a stronger oil cut from producing wells. Source

Debt refinancing and equity

  • Refinancing completed July 2: Proceeds repaid the former term loan and extended maturities to year-end 2028. Source
  • Term loan terms set: The $675.0 million term loan B has a 15.0% coupon, amortization of 2.5% per quarter in 2H 2026 rising to 5.0%, and a 100% excess cash flow sweep. Source
  • Convertible notes and stock issued: The company issued $345.0 million of 6.5% convertible notes due 2031 at a $4.00 conversion price, and $115.0 million of common stock at $3.08 per share. Source
  • Revolver borrowing base at zero: The $500.0 million revolving credit facility is designed for commodity hedging, has a $0 borrowing base, and matures December 15, 2028. Source
  • No ATM sales in third quarter: No ATM equity sales had occurred in the third quarter to date. The earlier ATM program had raised about $95.0 million gross through Q1 2026.
  • Share count rose in quarter: Common stock outstanding ended the quarter at 154,531,910 shares. Source

Coming up, as management said on 10 August 2026

  • Platform Hondo restart in September: Platform Hondo is expected to restart in September 2026, with five completed Perf Adds expected online there. Source
  • Harmony and Heritage wells to come online: All 77 production wells on Platforms Harmony and Heritage are expected online during the third quarter of 2026. Source
  • Four more Perf Adds in fourth quarter: Four additional Perf Adds at Platform Hondo are planned for completion and to come online in early fourth quarter 2026. Source
  • Throughput constraint expected to ease: The downstream throughput constraint is expected to be alleviated starting in the back half of August. Source
  • Refineries adjust crude slate: California refineries are expected to start accepting more Pacific OCS barrels from the SYU starting in September 2026. Source
  • Chemical sweetening tests planned: Chemical-based solutions are expected to be tested in Q4 2026, with full implementation anticipated in 2027. Source
  • Waterborne marketing talks near-term: Active negotiations are under way to use existing Los Angeles-area marine terminals for waterborne crude marketing in the near term. Source
  • Crimson pipeline sale pending: A third-party acquisition of the Crimson Utilities pipeline is pending and could add California marketing options once it restarts. Source
  • More hedging as production ramps: The company expects to opportunistically hedge additional volumes as production ramps up. Source
  • Wireline campaign underway: A wireline campaign for Perf Adds and well optimization at Platform Harmony began in August 2026. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Average daily net oil sales, Q2 2026 Sourceapproximately 21 thousand barrels of oil per day
Oil sales exit rate, end of Q2 2026 Sourceapproximately 40 thousand net barrels of oil per day
Average producing wells per day, Q2 2026 Source35
Oil rate per well, Q2 2026 Source723 barrels of oil per day
Capital expenditures, Q2 2026 Source$39.4 million
Las Flores Canyon crude inventory, end of Q2 2026 Source316,495 barrels
Gross oil sales, July 2026 preliminary Sourceapproximately 38,000 gross barrels of oil per day
Brent hedge floor price Source$65/Bbl

Risks management discussed

  • Operational: Downstream partners capped oil sales throughput at 40,000 average gross barrels per day from July. Source
  • Demand: Refiners limited Pacific OCS throughput and charged quality deducts, which the company says affected its marketing. Source
  • Operational: Field-wide sulfur content is above normal levels until the planned Hondo restart brings lower-sulfur oil. Source
  • Regulatory: The California regulatory environment prevented refineries from planning in advance for first sales from the Santa Ynez Unit. Source
  • Financial: The term loan B carries a 15.0% coupon, rising quarterly amortization and a 100% excess cash flow sweep. Source
  • Financial: The revolving credit facility has a $0 borrowing base, so it provides no borrowing capacity at present. Source
  • External: Widened differentials were cited alongside midstream throughput constraints as a factor in the second-half capex budget. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: The refinancing was expected in Q2 2026 in the first-quarter release; the company reports it completed on July 2, 2026.
  • Not stated: Second-half 2026 midpoint capex reduced by 41% to $85 million; the prior plan's figure is not stated in the documents. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.