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Sera Prognostics, Inc.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 18 March 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Fourth quarter revenue was $10,000: Fourth quarter revenue was $10,000 against $24,000 a year earlier. Total operating expenses were $9.0 million, compared with $9.4 million. Source
  • Full-year revenue rose to $81,000: Full-year 2025 revenue was $81,000, compared with $77,000 for 2024. Source
  • Advanced payer talks in 13 states: Advanced discussions are underway with 10 commercial and Medicaid payers across 13 states for PreTRM program adoption. Source
  • PRIME published in PREGNANCY journal: The randomized controlled trial of 5,018 women was published in January 2026 in PREGNANCY, the journal of the Society for Maternal-Fetal Medicine. Source
  • Fewer early preterm births: The company reported 56% and 32% fewer babies born before 32 and 35 weeks, respectively, in the PRIME study. Source
  • Cash and securities of $95.8 million: Cash, cash equivalents and available-for-sale securities were about $95.8 million at December 31, 2025, down from $102.4 million at September 30, 2025. Source

“2025 marked a pivotal year for Sera as we moved from clinical validation to commercial execution”

Zhenya Lindgardt, President and Chief Executive Officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Cash runway Sourcethrough 2028through 2028Kept

What changed from last quarter

  • New: Management said it added six field sales staff and a Head of Access in anticipation of PRIME publication. Source
  • New: A new partner program was added, bringing the number of active partner programs to two. Source
  • New: The company reported advancing commercialization preparations for the PreTRM Global Test across European markets. Source

Fourth quarter and full-year results

  • Fourth quarter revenue was $10,000: Fourth quarter revenue was $10,000 against $24,000 a year earlier. Total operating expenses were $9.0 million, compared with $9.4 million. Source
  • Fourth quarter net loss narrowed: The quarterly net loss was $7.9 million, down from $8.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2024. Source
  • Full-year revenue rose to $81,000: Full-year 2025 revenue was $81,000, compared with $77,000 for 2024. Source
  • Full-year net loss narrowed: The full-year net loss was $31.9 million, down from $32.9 million for 2024. Source

Payer and state engagement

  • Target states hold nearly half of pregnancies: Wave 1 and Wave 2 target states represent nearly half of U.S. pregnancies. The company said it expanded commercial engagement across those states. Source
  • Advanced payer talks in 13 states: Advanced discussions are underway with 10 commercial and Medicaid payers across 13 states for PreTRM program adoption. Source
  • Second active partner program added: A new partner program was added, bringing active partner programs to two. Source

“The publication of the landmark PRIME Study delivered strong, peer-reviewed evidence that the PreTRM® Test improves outcomes and reduces costs, creating a compelling value proposition for payers.”

Zhenya Lindgardt, President and Chief Executive Officer

PRIME study results

  • PRIME published in PREGNANCY journal: The randomized controlled trial of 5,018 women was published in January 2026 in PREGNANCY, the journal of the Society for Maternal-Fetal Medicine. Source
  • Fewer early preterm births: The company reported 56% and 32% fewer babies born before 32 and 35 weeks, respectively, in the PRIME study. Source
  • Fewer newborn complications and NICU admissions: The study reported 20% fewer babies admitted to the NICU and a 20% reduction in the odds of neonatal morbidity. Source
  • One NICU day saved per 4.2 screened: The company reported that one NICU day was saved for every 4.2 patients screened. Source

Operating expenses

  • Full-year R&D fell after PRIME: Full-year R&D was $13.2 million, down from $14.7 million, mainly on lower clinical study costs after the PRIME study completed. Source
  • Full-year SG&A rose on commercial spend: Full-year SG&A was $23.3 million, up from $21.9 million, as the company invested in targeted commercial activities and headcount. Source
  • Fourth quarter SG&A declined: Quarterly SG&A was $5.7 million, against $6.3 million a year earlier. Management attributed the spend to continued targeted commercial investment. Source

“we enter 2026 focused on converting this foundation into broader adoption, payer coverage, and measurable impact for the families we serve”

Zhenya Lindgardt, President and Chief Executive Officer

Cash and capital

  • Cash and securities of $95.8 million: Cash, cash equivalents and available-for-sale securities were about $95.8 million at December 31, 2025, down from $102.4 million at September 30, 2025. Source
  • Capital managed ahead of revenue expansion: Management said the company continued to manage its capital resources ahead of expected future revenue expansion. Source

Europe preparations

  • CE marking work underway: Regulatory work toward CE marking and clinical validation for the PreTRM Global Test in Europe is underway, according to management. Source
  • European expert commentary published March: Expert commentary in the Journal of Maternal-Fetal & Neonatal Medicine said the PreTRM approach aligned well with European healthcare systems. Source

Leadership and commercial team

  • Chief Commercial Officer joined May 2025: Lee Anderson joined as Chief Commercial Officer. He brings over three decades of leadership across sales, marketing, customer service, and strategic accounts. Source
  • Chief Medical Officer brings payer experience: Dr. Tiffany Inglis, appointed in October 2025, has clinical and payer-side experience at Elevance Health and Carelon Health. Source
  • Board member Jeff Elliott joined March 2025: Mr. Elliott brings experience in corporate strategy, business operations, analytics, public company finance and commercializing molecular diagnostics. Source

Coming up, as management said on 18 March 2026

  • Offering proceeds to fund U.S. and EU work: Management said net proceeds from the February 2025 offering will support U.S. commercial expansion and preparation for potential EU expansion of the PreTRM Test. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: The prior release said the company was on track to publish PRIME this year. The current release reports publication in January 2026.

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.