greeksoup/ stock research

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 25 February 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 1 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Fourth-quarter revenue rose from prior year: Total revenue was $35.5 million, against $4.5 million a year earlier. Management attributed the rise to timing of a $30 million Roche and Genentech milestone and higher Sanofi collaboration revenue. Source
  • Sanofi fifth milestone paid $4 million: In February 2026 the fifth progress-based milestone under the Sanofi collaboration produced a $4 million payment, tied to an oncology program described as first-in-class. Source
  • REC-4881 reduced polyp burden in FAP: At 4 mg once daily, 75% of evaluable patients showed lower total polyp burden after 12 weeks, with a 43% median reduction (n=12). Source
  • Reduction held after 12-week break: After 12 weeks off therapy, 9 of 11 evaluable patients (82%) kept lower polyp burden, a 53% median reduction from baseline. Source
  • Operating cash expense about $400 million: Operating cash expense for 2025 was $399.2 million, about 10% below prior guidance. Management credited integration and investment-prioritization initiatives completed in 2025. Source
  • Cash reached $753.9 million: Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash totaled $753.9 million at December 31, 2025, up from $603.0 million a year earlier. Source

“Recursion has reached an inflection point: moving from proving that AI can participate in drug discovery to demonstrating that an AI-native operating system can generate clinical proof and durable value,”

Najat Khan, Ph.D., CEO & President of Recursion

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Operating cash expense Source2026less than $390 millionNew
Cash runway Sourceinto early 2028into early 2028Raised from through the end of 2027

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: The expected cash runway was extended from the end of 2027 to early 2028, based on current operating plans with no additional financing. Source
  • New guidance: A 2026 operating cash expense figure was given for the first time, as less than $390 million. The prior release gave no 2026 figure. Source
  • New: Najat Khan is now titled CEO & President. The prior release named Chris Gibson as Co-Founder and CEO, and Najat Khan as Chief R&D and Chief Commercial Officer. Source
  • New: REC-4881 TUPELO study expansion to patients aged 18 and older was added, to support a broader development strategy. Source
  • New: REC-4539 (LSD1) appears in the milestone list with early Phase 1 monotherapy data expected in 2H27. It was not in the prior release's milestone list. Source
  • New: Cumulative Sanofi upfront and progress-based milestone payments were given as $134 million, up from $130 million in the prior release. Source
  • Guidance kept: Phase 1 initiation timing for REC-7735 and REC-102 remains 2H26. The release now describes it as a data-driven go/no-go decision. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Fourth-quarter revenue rose from prior year: Total revenue was $35.5 million, against $4.5 million a year earlier. Management attributed the rise to timing of a $30 million Roche and Genentech milestone and higher Sanofi collaboration revenue. Source
  • Full-year revenue rose on Exscientia: Full-year revenue was $74.7 million, against $58.8 million. Management attributed the change mainly to including Exscientia's results for the full year. Source
  • Net loss narrowed in fourth quarter: Net loss was $108.1 million, against $178.9 million a year earlier. Basic and diluted loss per share was $(0.21), against $(0.53) in the prior-year quarter. Source

Partnered discovery and milestones

  • Sanofi fifth milestone paid $4 million: In February 2026 the fifth progress-based milestone under the Sanofi collaboration produced a $4 million payment, tied to an oncology program described as first-in-class. Source
  • Five Sanofi discovery packages accepted: Five Recursion discovery program packages have been accepted to date, forming a joint portfolio of AI-driven small molecules in immunology and oncology. Source
  • Roche and Genentech map progress: Roche and Genentech have accepted six Phenomaps and started one small molecule program from Phenomap insights. The company reported $213 million in total payments from the collaboration. Source

“We enter 2026 with five differentiated clinical programs advancing with defined next-stage milestones, a growing discovery portfolio informed by proprietary platform insights, and more than $500 million in upfront and progress-based milestone payments earned to date.”

Najat Khan, Ph.D., CEO & President of Recursion

Pipeline and clinical programs

  • REC-4881 reduced polyp burden in FAP: At 4 mg once daily, 75% of evaluable patients showed lower total polyp burden after 12 weeks, with a 43% median reduction (n=12). Source
  • Reduction held after 12-week break: After 12 weeks off therapy, 9 of 11 evaluable patients (82%) kept lower polyp burden, a 53% median reduction from baseline. Source
  • REC-4881 Grade 3 events at 15.8%: Grade 3 events occurred in 15.8% of safety-evaluable patients on REC-4881, and no Grade 4 or higher treatment-related adverse events were reported to date. Source
  • REC-617 in combination studies: REC-617 (CDK7) is in Phase 1 combination studies in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer, alongside a Phase 2 monotherapy expansion. Further Phase 1/2 results were reported in November 2025. Source
  • REC-7735 selectivity over wild-type: REC-7735 (PI3Kα H1047R) is in IND-enabling studies. Management reported over 100-fold selectivity for the mutant over wild-type PI3Kα. Source

Costs and cash expense

  • Fourth-quarter R&D slightly lower: Fourth-quarter R&D was $95.9 million, against $98.3 million, which management attributed to operating efficiency and a Q2 2025 reprioritization of the clinical portfolio. Source
  • Full-year R&D rose on purchases: Full-year R&D was $475.3 million, against $314.4 million. The increase was driven by Tempus purchases of $49.9 million, IPR&D purchases of $22.8 million and Exscientia's full-year inclusion. Source
  • G&A fell after prior-year transaction costs: Fourth-quarter G&A was $33.7 million, against $77.2 million, mainly because transaction expenses from the Exscientia business combination were booked in Q4 2024. Source
  • Operating cash expense about $400 million: Operating cash expense for 2025 was $399.2 million, about 10% below prior guidance. Management credited integration and investment-prioritization initiatives completed in 2025. Source

Capital, cash and runway

  • Cash reached $753.9 million: Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash totaled $753.9 million at December 31, 2025, up from $603.0 million a year earlier. Source
  • Fourth-quarter operating cash use fell: Fourth-quarter operating cash use was $46.1 million, against $115.4 million. Management cited receipt of the Roche $30 million milestone and prior-year Exscientia transaction spend. Source
  • Full-year operating cash use rose: Full-year operating cash use was $371.8 million, against $359.2 million. The increase was driven mainly by inclusion of Exscientia's operations. Source

Platform, strategy and trial operations

  • Candidates reached with fewer compounds: Advanced candidates were delivered by synthesizing about 330 compounds per program over about 17 months, against industry averages of over 2,500 compounds and 42 months. Source
  • Platform designs 100 million molecules annually: The AI-native engine is used to generate over 100 million molecules annually, with synthetically aware design producing novel and patentable compounds. Source
  • Trial site selection cut to hours: A global clinical trial site intelligence database is used to reduce trial country and site selection from months to hours. Source

Coming up, as management said on 25 February 2026

  • REC-1245 early Phase 1 data: Early Phase 1 safety and PK monotherapy data for REC-1245 (RBM39) are expected in the first half of 2026. Source
  • REC-4881 additional data 1H27: Additional Phase 1b/2 clinical data for REC-4881 are expected in the first half of 2027. Source
  • REC-617 combination data 1H27: Early Phase 1 safety and PK combination data for REC-617 are expected in the first half of 2027. Source
  • Sanofi near-term milestones possible: Management says near-term milestones are possible over the next 12-18 months as first programs advance toward development candidates. Source
  • Roche insights into early programs: The company expects to move biological insights from maps delivered to Roche and Genentech into early-stage programs across 2026 and beyond. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
R&D expense, full year 2025 Source$475.3 million
REC-4881 reduction in total polyp burden at 12 weeks Source75% of evaluable patients; 43% median reduction (n=12)
REC-4881 reduction maintained after 12 weeks off therapy Source82% (9 of 11); 53% median reduction from baseline
REC-4881 Grade 3 treatment-related adverse events Source15.8% of safety-evaluable patients

Risks management discussed

  • Financial: Quarterly revenue moves with the timing of milestone achievement and recognition. Part of the October 2025 Roche milestone was recognized in Q4. Source
  • Regulatory: A registration pathway for REC-4881 is not yet aligned with FDA. Management plans to start FDA engagement in the first half of 2026. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Ahead: Management says cash cost savings exceeded the original guidance, and the runway is now into early 2028 without additional financing. Source
  • Not stated: The prior release said the company was on track for over $100 million in milestone payments by end of 2026. The current release does not restate this status.
  • Not stated: The prior release expected additional FAP data from the TUPELO Phase 2 study in December 2025. The current release does not state whether that timing was met.

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.