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Republic Services, Inc.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 17 February 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 13 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Quarterly revenue up 2.2 percent: Total revenue rose 2.2 percent. Recycling and waste organic growth was 2.9 percent, environmental solutions organic decline 2.0 percent, and acquisitions added 1.3 percent. Source
  • Quarterly adjusted EPS up 11.4 percent: Adjusted EPS was $1.76, up from $1.58. Reported EPS was also $1.76, up 8.0 percent from $1.63 in the prior-year quarter. Source
  • Recycling and waste margin 32.6 percent: Recycling and waste revenue was $3,714 million in the quarter, with adjusted EBITDA of $1,210 million. Full-year margin was 33.3 percent on $14,825 million of revenue. Source
  • Core price added 5.8 percent: Core price on total revenue raised revenue 5.8 percent in the quarter. Source
  • Adjusted free cash flow up 11.5 percent: Adjusted free cash flow was $2.43 billion for 2025, up 11.5 percent versus the prior year. Management said this measure is a key metric used to determine compensation. Source
  • Returned $1.6 billion to shareholders: Cash returned in 2025 was $1.6 billion: $854 million of share repurchases and $738 million of dividends paid. Source

“We delivered another strong year of results in 2025, underscoring the resilience of our business model and the strength of our differentiated capabilities.”

Jon Vander Ark, president and chief executive officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Revenue SourceFull-year 2026$17.050 billion to $17.150 billionNew
Average yield on total revenue SourceFull-year 20263.2 percent to 3.7 percentNew
Volume on total revenue SourceFull-year 2026decline of approximately 1.0 percentNew
Average yield on related business revenue SourceFull-year 20264.0 percent to 4.5 percentNew
Adjusted EBITDA SourceFull-year 2026$5.475 billion to $5.525 billionNew
Adjusted diluted earnings per share SourceFull-year 2026$7.20 to $7.28New
Diluted earnings per share (GAAP) SourceFull-year 2026$7.14 to $7.22New
Adjusted free cash flow SourceFull-year 2026$2.520 billion to $2.560 billionNew
Cash provided by operating activities SourceFull-year 2026$4,460 million to $4,540 millionNew
Property and equipment, net of sale proceeds SourceFull-year 2026$1.960 billion to $2.000 billionNew
Acquisitions SourceFull-year 2026approximately $1 billionNew
Net income attributable to Republic Services, Inc. SourceFull-year 2026$2,200 million to $2,220 millionNew
Restructuring charges and equity method losses SourceFull-year 2026restructuring $25 million; equity method losses $190 millionNew

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: 2026 guidance given for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EPS, adjusted free cash flow and acquisitions; the prior release gave no 2026 figures. Source
  • New: Polymer Center in Indianapolis began operations during 2025; the prior release did not mention it. Source

Fourth-quarter and full-year results

  • Quarterly revenue up 2.2 percent: Total revenue rose 2.2 percent. Recycling and waste organic growth was 2.9 percent, environmental solutions organic decline 2.0 percent, and acquisitions added 1.3 percent. Source
  • Quarterly adjusted EPS up 11.4 percent: Adjusted EPS was $1.76, up from $1.58. Reported EPS was also $1.76, up 8.0 percent from $1.63 in the prior-year quarter. Source
  • Quarterly adjusted EBITDA margin up 30 basis points: Adjusted EBITDA was $1.30 billion, 31.3 percent of revenue, against 31.0 percent a year earlier. Net income was $545 million, a 13.2 percent margin. Source
  • Full-year revenue up 3.5 percent: Full-year revenue growth of 3.5 percent: recycling and waste organic 3.2 percent, environmental solutions organic decline 1.0 percent, acquisitions 1.3 percent. Source
  • Full-year adjusted EPS up 8.7 percent: Full-year adjusted EPS was $7.02, against $6.46 a year earlier. Reported diluted EPS was $6.85, up 5.5 percent. Source
  • Full-year adjusted EBITDA margin up 90 basis points: Full-year adjusted EBITDA was $5.31 billion, 32.0 percent of revenue, against 31.1 percent in 2024. Source

Segments: recycling and environmental

  • Recycling and waste margin 32.6 percent: Recycling and waste revenue was $3,714 million in the quarter, with adjusted EBITDA of $1,210 million. Full-year margin was 33.3 percent on $14,825 million of revenue. Source
  • Environmental solutions margin 20.1 percent: Environmental solutions revenue was $422 million in the quarter, with adjusted EBITDA of $85 million. Full-year margin was 21.1 percent. Source
  • Environmental solutions revenue fell: Environmental solutions net revenue was $422 million, 10.2 percent of total, against $482 million a year earlier. The 2024 figure included about $50 million from a non-recurring emergency response project. Source
  • Landfill net revenue grew: Landfill, net revenue was $467 million, 11.3 percent of revenue, against $443 million. Full-year landfill, net revenue was $1,920 million. Source

“Through healthy pricing and disciplined cost management, we successfully navigated cyclical demand headwinds and exceeded expectations for full-year adjusted earnings and adjusted free cash flow”

Jon Vander Ark, president and chief executive officer

Pricing, yield and volume

  • Core price added 5.8 percent: Core price on total revenue raised revenue 5.8 percent in the quarter. Source
  • Open-market pricing ran ahead of restricted: On related business revenue, core price added 7.1 percent: 8.7 percent in the open market and 4.6 percent in the restricted portion. Source
  • Average yield lifted total revenue: Average yield added 3.7 percent to total revenue in the quarter, while volume reduced it 1.0 percent. Source
  • Related business volume declined: On related business revenue, average yield added 4.5 percent in the quarter and volume reduced revenue 1.2 percent. Source
  • Full-year yield growth 4.1 percent: For the year, average yield added 4.1 percent to total revenue and volume reduced it 0.6 percent. Source

Costs, margins and expenses

  • Cost of operations ratio rose: Cost of operations was 58.1 percent of revenue in the quarter, against 57.3 percent a year earlier, a period that included a $29 million gain on divestitures and impairments. Source
  • Labor costs rose to 20.1 percent: Labor and related benefits were $831 million, 20.1 percent of revenue, against $801 million and 19.8 percent a year earlier. Source
  • Transportation and subcontract costs fell: Transportation and subcontract costs were $298 million, 7.2 percent of revenue, down from $328 million and 8.1 percent a year earlier. Source
  • Overhead ratio improved: Selling, general and administrative expenses were $437 million, 10.6 percent of revenue, against 11.0 percent a year earlier. Source
  • Depreciation rose $15 million: Depreciation, depletion and amortization was $458 million in the quarter, up from $443 million. Full-year figure was $1,814 million against $1,677 million. Source

“We expect to deliver another year of profitable growth in 2026 in a macro environment that remains dynamic,”

Jon Vander Ark, president and chief executive officer

Recycled commodities and revenue lines

  • Full-year recycled commodity price lower: Average recycled commodity price per ton sold was $135 for the year, down $29 from the prior year. Source
  • Recycling processing revenue up: Recycling processing and commodity sales were $105 million in the quarter, 2.5 percent of revenue, against $99 million. Full-year figure was $433 million. Source
  • Other non-core revenue edged up: Other non-core revenue was $95 million in the quarter, against $91 million. Full-year figure was $391 million. Source

Cash flow and capital spending

  • Operating cash flow up 9.2 percent: Cash provided by operating activities was $4.30 billion for 2025, up 9.2 percent from the prior year. Source
  • Adjusted free cash flow up 11.5 percent: Adjusted free cash flow was $2.43 billion for 2025, up 11.5 percent versus the prior year. Management said this measure is a key metric used to determine compensation. Source
  • Property and equipment received rose: Property and equipment received was $1,923 million in 2025, against $1,818 million in 2024. Source
  • Acquisition cash outlay rose: Cash used in acquisitions and investments, net of cash acquired, was $1,430 million in 2025, against $753 million in 2024. Source
  • Receivable days edged up: Days sales outstanding were 41.8 at December 31, 2025, against 40.9 a year earlier; net of deferred revenue they were 30.8 days against 30.0. Source

Shareholder returns and balance sheet

  • Returned $1.6 billion to shareholders: Cash returned in 2025 was $1.6 billion: $854 million of share repurchases and $738 million of dividends paid. Source
  • Fourth-quarter buybacks of $270 million: In the quarter, 1.3 million shares were repurchased for $270 million, at a weighted average cost of $215.57 per share. Source
  • About $1.7 billion repurchase capacity left: Remaining capacity under the October 2023 program was about $1.7 billion at December 31, 2025, against about $1.9 billion at September 30, 2025. Source
  • Long-term debt rose: Long-term debt, net of current maturities, was $12,985 million at December 31, 2025, against $12,353 million at September 30, 2025. Source
  • Dividend payable of $193 million: A quarterly dividend payable of $193 million, to holders of record on January 2, 2026, was recorded at year end and paid January 15, 2026. Source

Strategy, investment and growth

  • Pricing and productivity support plans: Management cites pricing above cost inflation, productivity gains from digital tools and strategic acquisitions as support for its 2026 plans. Source
  • Polymer Center in Indianapolis opened: The company commenced operations at its Polymer Center in Indianapolis during 2025. Source
  • Renewable natural gas projects completed: Three renewable natural gas projects were completed and began operations in the quarter; nine were completed during 2025. Source

Non-GAAP items and restructuring

  • Restructuring tied to receivables system: Restructuring charges were $7 million in the quarter and $20 million for 2025, against $29 million for 2024, mainly for a new accounts receivable system. Source
  • Adjusted quarterly net income $547 million: Adjusted net income was $547 million, against reported $545 million, after restructuring and a pension withdrawal item. Source
  • Equity method losses narrowed: Loss from unconsolidated equity method investments was $92 million in the quarter, against $139 million; full-year $163 million against $255 million. Source
  • Pension withdrawal charge of $1 million: A $1 million charge was recorded for a withdrawal event at a multiemployer pension fund to which the company contributes. Source

Coming up, as management said on 17 February 2026

  • Dividend payable April 15, 2026: Quarterly dividend of $0.625 per share, with record date April 2, 2026, payable April 15, 2026. Source

Risks management discussed

  • Financial: Estimated multiemployer pension withdrawal liabilities may change as new information arrives, which could affect reserves for withdrawal costs. Source
  • Operational: Labor disruptions in certain isolated markets cost $56 million in 2025, including $16 million of customer credits and $40 million of cost of operations. Source
  • External: Average recycled commodity price fell to $112 per ton in the fourth quarter, down $41 per ton from the prior year. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Ahead: Management said the company exceeded full-year 2025 guidance for adjusted EPS and adjusted free cash flow. Source
  • Not stated: The prior release said revenue would be near the low end of the 2025 range and reiterated the other 2025 financial components.

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.