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Ocular Therapeutix, Inc.: Q2 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q2 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 3 August 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 lowered, 4 new, 2 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue flat year over year: Total net revenue was $13.5 million for the quarter, unchanged from the year-earlier quarter. Source
  • Net loss widened to $78.8 million: Net loss was $(78.8) million, or $(0.35) per share basic and diluted, against $(67.8) million, or $(0.39) per share, a year earlier. Source
  • NDA submission planned for Q4 2026: NDA to be based on SOL-1 efficacy and safety data, an interim SOL-R safety analysis and confirmatory evidence, following FDA alignment in May 2026. Source
  • SOL-1 post hoc shows 72% burden cut: Post hoc SOL-1 analysis estimates up to 72% fewer injections over 60 weeks versus projected aflibercept 2 mg every eight weeks; the reduction is 56% including loading doses. Source
  • SOL-R topline now expected 2028: SOL-R adds a Week 96 superiority endpoint against aflibercept 8 mg and an extended analysis period; topline is now expected in Q1 2028, versus Q1 2027 previously. The Week 56 primary endpoint is unchanged. Source
  • HELIOS-3 becomes single registrational trial: HELIOS-3 is the single potential registrational diabetic retinopathy trial, testing AXPAXLI dosed every 12 months against sham, with enrollment reduced from 930 to 620. Source
  • Retina specialists likely to use: Market research found about 80% of retina specialists surveyed would likely use a product with AXPAXLI's profile on SOL-1 data alone, with over 90% expecting to adopt within a year if approved. Source
  • Cash down to $598.6 million: Cash and cash equivalents were $598.6 million at June 30, 2026, down from $666.7 million at March 31, 2026. Source

“We continue to execute with discipline, precision, and urgency to redefine the retina experience and make AXPAXLI available to patients as early as possible.”

Pravin U. Dugel, MD, Executive Chairman, President and CEO of Ocular Therapeutix

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Cash runway Sourceinto 2028into 2028Kept
AXPAXLI NDA submission (wet AMD) SourceQ4 2026Q4 2026New
Pre-NDA FDA meeting SourceQ3 2026third quarter of 2026New
NDA review timeline (505(b)(2) pathway) SourceNDA reviewup to 60 daysKept
SOL-R topline data SourceQ1 2028first quarter of 2028
SOL-R interim safety dataset SourceQ4 2026 analysismore than 300 patientsNew
HELIOS-3 enrollment SourceHELIOS-3 trialapproximately 620 patientsLowered from 930 patients
AXPAXLI commercial launch Source2027potential 2027 launch, if approvedNew

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: NDA submission now dated to Q4 2026 under the 505(b)(2) pathway, with a pre-NDA meeting in Q3 2026. Source
  • New: FDA Type C minutes state that SOL-1 with confirmatory evidence is sufficient to support the NDA; the prior release said submission was subject to ongoing FDA discussions. Source
  • New: SOL-R amended to add a superiority endpoint against aflibercept 8 mg at Week 96; FDA confirmed SOL-R efficacy data is not required for the NDA. Source
  • New: SOL-R topline timing moved to Q1 2028 from Q1 2027. Source
  • Guidance lowered: HELIOS-3 enrollment cut from 930 to 620 patients, with the design changed to one dose every 12 months against sham. Source
  • Ended: HELIOS-2 is no longer named as a possible second registrational trial; HELIOS-3 is the single potential registrational trial. Source
  • New guidance: A potential 2027 launch of AXPAXLI, if approved, is now stated in the commercial readiness update. Source

Results and revenue

  • Revenue flat year over year: Total net revenue was $13.5 million for the quarter, unchanged from the year-earlier quarter. Source
  • DEXTENZA product revenue edged up: Gross DEXTENZA product revenue, net of discounts, rebates and returns, rose $0.1 million or 0.6%; collaboration revenue was $0.0 million versus $0.1 million a year earlier. Source
  • Net loss widened to $78.8 million: Net loss was $(78.8) million, or $(0.35) per share basic and diluted, against $(67.8) million, or $(0.39) per share, a year earlier. Source

AXPAXLI regulatory path

  • NDA submission planned for Q4 2026: NDA to be based on SOL-1 efficacy and safety data, an interim SOL-R safety analysis and confirmatory evidence, following FDA alignment in May 2026. Source
  • Pre-NDA FDA meeting set for Q3: A pre-NDA meeting is scheduled for Q3 2026. The company intends a 505(b)(2) submission, which could accelerate review by up to 60 days. Source
  • SOL-R efficacy data not required: The FDA confirmed that SOL-R efficacy data is not required for the NDA submission, after the company amended the SOL-R trial plan. Source
  • Axitinib history cited as support: The NDA is to draw on axitinib's established profile as a VEGFR inhibitor, after more than a decade of clinical use since its approval for renal cell carcinoma. Source

“SOL-1 is the first and only successful superiority trial of a novel agent against an approved anti-VEGF therapy since the class emerged two decades ago.”

Peter K. Kaiser, MD, Chief Development Officer of Ocular Therapeutix

Pipeline trials

  • SOL-1 post hoc shows 72% burden cut: Post hoc SOL-1 analysis estimates up to 72% fewer injections over 60 weeks versus projected aflibercept 2 mg every eight weeks; the reduction is 56% including loading doses. Source
  • SOL-R topline now expected 2028: SOL-R adds a Week 96 superiority endpoint against aflibercept 8 mg and an extended analysis period; topline is now expected in Q1 2028, versus Q1 2027 previously. The Week 56 primary endpoint is unchanged. Source
  • HELIOS-3 becomes single registrational trial: HELIOS-3 is the single potential registrational diabetic retinopathy trial, testing AXPAXLI dosed every 12 months against sham, with enrollment reduced from 930 to 620. Source
  • SOL-X enrollment continues to accelerate: Most investigators and eligible patients are opting into the SOL-X open-label extension, which began enrolling its first subject in April 2026. Source

Operating expenses

  • R&D spend rose to $54.1 million: Research and development expense rose from $51.1 million, reflecting clinical costs for SOL-1, SOL-R, SOL-X and HELIOS-3 and NDA preparation. Source
  • Selling and marketing expense rose: Selling and marketing expense was $17.3 million, up from $13.7 million, reflecting commercial team expansion and pre-commercial investment including stock-based compensation. Source
  • G&A rose on personnel and professional fees: General and administrative expense was $22.2 million, up from $14.3 million, driven by personnel costs including stock-based compensation, professional fees and facility costs. Source

“This approach is designed to support the fastest risk-mitigated path to NDA submission and review.”

Pravin U. Dugel, MD, Executive Chairman, President and CEO of Ocular Therapeutix

Demand, pricing and launch readiness

  • Retina specialists likely to use: Market research found about 80% of retina specialists surveyed would likely use a product with AXPAXLI's profile on SOL-1 data alone, with over 90% expecting to adopt within a year if approved. Source
  • Payers see premium pricing potential: The payer team has engaged 100% of Tier 1 Medicare Advantage and commercial payers, who indicated a superior-durability label could command premium pricing. Source
  • Discontinuation tied to treatment burden: Management said up to 40% of wet AMD patients discontinue therapy within the first year, largely attributable to treatment burden and its impact on patients and caregivers. Source
  • Commercial readiness ahead of 2027 launch: Market and payer research are advancing ahead of a potential 2027 launch of AXPAXLI, if approved. Source

Cash, runway and shares

  • Runway excludes full launch costs: The runway projection includes pre-commercial investment but not the full expenses the company anticipates for near-term AXPAXLI commercialization, if approved. Source
  • Cash down to $598.6 million: Cash and cash equivalents were $598.6 million at June 30, 2026, down from $666.7 million at March 31, 2026. Source
  • Runway into 2028 unchanged: Current cash is expected to cover planned operating expenses, debt service and capital expenditure into 2028, the same runway as the prior release. Source
  • Shares outstanding about 225.0 million: Outstanding shares as of July 31, 2026 were about 225.0 million, compared with about 219.0 million as of May 1, 2026 in the prior release. Source

Coming up, as management said on 3 August 2026

  • SOL-R efficacy analysis extended to Week 96: The efficacy analysis and sponsor masking in SOL-R will run to the end of the study at Week 96. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
DEXTENZA product revenue, net Source$13.5 million in Q2 2026 (Q2 2025: $13.4 million)
R&D expense Source$54.1 million in Q2 2026 (Q2 2025: $51.1 million)
SOL-1 Week 36 primary endpoint Source74.1% maintained vision in the AXPAXLI arm; 17.5% risk difference (p=0.0006)
NDA submission, wet AMD Sourceplanned for Q4 2026

Risks management discussed

  • Operational: SOL-R topline timing moved to Q1 2028 after the trial amendment, later than the prior Q1 2027 readout. Source
  • Regulatory: NDA submission timing depends on a pre-NDA meeting with the FDA still scheduled for Q3 2026. Source
  • Demand: Payers' premium pricing view is conditional on the label demonstrating superior durability. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: Management said the NDA submission remains on track for Q4 2026 following the May 2026 Type C meeting. Source
  • Met: The June Investor Day announced the FDA-aligned NDA path, which the prior release had planned to cover. Source
  • Ahead: Management said commercial readiness is accelerating ahead of a potential 2027 launch. Source
  • Not stated: The prior release said SOL-R topline was on track for Q1 2027; the current release moves topline to Q1 2028.

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.