Natera, Inc.: Q3 FY2026 earnings call
What management said about Q3 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 5 November 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 3 raised, 1 kept. The quarter’s numbers.
Key takeaways
- Revenue rose 34.1% year over year: Total revenues were $794.0 million, compared with $592.2 million a year earlier, up 34.1%. Management attributed the increase to higher volume and average selling price improvements. Source
- Oncology tests grew 60.9%: Oncology tests processed were about 339,500, compared with about 211,000 a year earlier, an increase of 60.9%. Source
- Clinical MRD units grew sequentially: Clinical molecular residual disease oncology units increased by 32,700 over the second quarter of 2026. Source
- Headcount and trials drove spending: Management said the increase in operating expenses was primarily driven by headcount growth for new product offerings and higher clinical trial expenses. Source
- Gross margin nearly flat at 64.7%: Gross margin was 64.7%, against 64.9% a year earlier, and 64.5% in the second quarter. Gross profit was $513.5 million, against $384.4 million. Source
- Change-in-estimate benefit was smaller: Changes in estimates added $32.3 million to revenue, or 1.5 points of margin, against $55.1 million and 3.6 points a year earlier. Management said the decrease reflects accumulated collection experience. Source
- Net loss narrowed to $59.9 million: Net loss was $59.9 million, or $(0.42) per diluted share, against $87.5 million, or $(0.64) per diluted share, a year earlier. Source
- Cash rose $5.7 million in quarter: Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash was $1,097.2 million at September 30, up from $1,091.5 million at June 30 and $1,076.1 million at December 31, 2025. Source
“The increase in revenues was driven by an increase in volume and average selling price improvements.”
Natera, Inc., press release
Guidance
| Area | Period | Figure | Against last quarter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue Source | 2026 full year | $3.005 billion to $3.035 billion | Raised from $2.850 billion to $2.910 billion |
| Gross margin Source | 2026 full year | approximately 64% to 66% | Kept |
| Selling, general and administrative costs Source | 2026 full year | approximately $1.225 billion to $1.300 billion | Raised from approximately $1.125 billion to $1.225 billion |
| Research and development costs Source | 2026 full year | $825 million to $925 million | Raised from $800 million to $900 million |
What changed from last quarter
- Guidance raised: Full-year 2026 revenue guidance was raised by $140 million at the midpoint. Source
- Guidance raised: The 2026 SG&A cost estimate range was raised. Source
- Guidance raised: The 2026 R&D cost estimate range was raised. Source
- Guidance kept: The 2026 gross margin estimate was not changed. Source
- Guidance kept: The 2026 cash flow estimate, positive, was not changed. Source
Revenue and test volume growth
- Revenue rose 34.1% year over year: Total revenues were $794.0 million, compared with $592.2 million a year earlier, up 34.1%. Management attributed the increase to higher volume and average selling price improvements. Source
- Tests processed rose 22.3%: Tests processed were about 1,093,100, up 22.3% from about 893,600 a year earlier. Source
- Tests reported rose 23.0%: Revenue was recognized on about 1,024,800 tests with results reported to customers in the quarter, up 23.0% from about 832,900. Source
Oncology and product mix
- Oncology tests grew 60.9%: Oncology tests processed were about 339,500, compared with about 211,000 a year earlier, an increase of 60.9%. Source
- Clinical MRD units grew sequentially: Clinical molecular residual disease oncology units increased by 32,700 over the second quarter of 2026. Source
- Product revenue rose with volume: Product revenues were $789,981 thousand, against $590,197 thousand a year earlier. Licensing and other revenues were $4,000 thousand, against $1,986 thousand. Source
“The decrease in the change in estimate reflects the continued accumulation of historical collection experience, which has resulted in our estimates of variable consideration at the time of revenue recognition more closely approximating subsequent cash collections.”
Natera, Inc., press release
Operating expenses and loss
- Operating expenses rose 19.5%: Research and development plus SG&A totaled $576.1 million, compared with $482.0 million a year earlier. Source
- Headcount and trials drove spending: Management said the increase in operating expenses was primarily driven by headcount growth for new product offerings and higher clinical trial expenses. Source
- R&D and SG&A both higher: R&D expense was $242.4 million, against $173.4 million. SG&A was $333.7 million, against $308.5 million. Source
- Operating loss narrowed to $68.3 million: Loss from operations was $68.3 million, against $97.6 million a year earlier. Amortization of acquired intangibles was $5.7 million, with none in the prior year. Source
Gross margin and revenue estimates
- Gross margin nearly flat at 64.7%: Gross margin was 64.7%, against 64.9% a year earlier, and 64.5% in the second quarter. Gross profit was $513.5 million, against $384.4 million. Source
- Change-in-estimate benefit was smaller: Changes in estimates added $32.3 million to revenue, or 1.5 points of margin, against $55.1 million and 3.6 points a year earlier. Management said the decrease reflects accumulated collection experience. Source
- Non-GAAP margin up about 1.4% sequentially: Excluding the change in estimates, non-GAAP gross margin increased about 1.4% sequentially. The estimate changes were $32.3 million in the third quarter and $52.3 million in the second. Source
Net loss and per-share results
- Net loss narrowed to $59.9 million: Net loss was $59.9 million, or $(0.42) per diluted share, against $87.5 million, or $(0.64) per diluted share, a year earlier. Source
- Share count rose to 144.1 million: Weighted average shares were 144.1 million, against 137.2 million a year earlier. Source
- Nine-month net loss narrowed: Nine-month net loss was $212.0 million, or $(1.48) per share, against $255.4 million, or $(1.88), a year earlier. Source
Cash, debt and balance sheet
- Cash rose $5.7 million in quarter: Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash was $1,097.2 million at September 30, up from $1,091.5 million at June 30 and $1,076.1 million at December 31, 2025. Source
- Debt held at $80.3 million: Total debt was $80.3 million, including accrued interest on the UBS line of credit at 30-day SOFR plus 50 bps. Source
- Receivables rose to $471.4 million: Accounts receivable, net, was $471.4 million, against $296.5 million at December 31, 2025 and $422.0 million at June 30, 2026 per the prior release. Source
- Shares outstanding rose to 144.3 million: Shares outstanding were about 144,345,000 at September 30, 2026, against about 139,693,000 at December 31, 2025. Source
Laboratories and reporting definitions
- Three CLIA laboratories listed: Laboratories are ISO 13485-certified and CAP-accredited under CLIA in Austin, San Carlos and Boulder. The prior release described Boulder as operated through subsidiary Foresight Diagnostics. Source
- Tests processed definition: Tests processed combine tests accessioned in the company's laboratory with units processed outside the laboratory. Reported volumes are shown separately. Source
- Company focus areas: The company describes itself as a global leader in cell-free DNA and precision medicine, dedicated to oncology, women's health and organ health. Source
Figures management reported
| Figure | Reported |
|---|---|
| Tests processed Source | 1,093,100 (Q3 2025: 893,600) |
| Oncology tests processed Source | 339,500 (Q3 2025: 211,000) |
| Tests reported Source | 1,024,800 (Q3 2025: 832,900) |
Risks management discussed
- Financial: Gross margin gains were partly offset by a smaller benefit from changes in revenue estimates. Source
Other quarters
Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.