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Northrop Grumman Corp.: Q2 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q2 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 21 July 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 5 raised, 1 lowered, 6 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Sales rose 5 percent to $10.9 billion: Sales were $10,876 million, up $525 million or 5 percent from $10,351 million. Sequentially, sales rose 10 percent from $9,881 million in the first quarter. Source
  • Operating income fell on prior-year gain: Operating income was $1,096 million, down 23 percent. The prior year included a $231 million gain on the training services divestiture. Operating margin was 10.1 percent, from 13.8 percent. Source
  • Defense margin fell to 7.5 percent: Defense Systems operating income fell 38 percent to $156 million. Margin was 7.5 percent, from 12.7 percent, after a $76 million prior-year favorable Sentinel adjustment did not recur. Source
  • Backlog reached $104.7 billion on awards: Net awards were $20.0 billion in the quarter. Backlog was $104.7 billion, up 9 percent from $95.7 billion at December 31, 2025. Source
  • Adjusted free cash flow up 54 percent: Second-quarter adjusted free cash flow was $978 million, up 54 percent, on higher operating cash flow, partly offset by higher capital expenditures of $302 million. Source
  • Sales guidance raised $250 million: 2026 sales guidance is $43,750 million to $44,250 million, up from $43,500 million to $44,000 million. Source
  • MTM-adjusted EPS guidance raised $1.20: MTM-adjusted EPS guidance is $28.60 to $29.10, up $1.20 from $27.40 to $27.90. Source

“Northrop Grumman achieved a new record backlog, driven by robust global demand for our products,”

Kathy Warden, chair, chief executive officer and president

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Sales Source2026$43,750 - $44,250Raised from $43,500 - $44,000
Segment operating income Source2026$4,850 - $5,000Kept
MTM-adjusted EPS Source2026$28.60 - $29.10Raised from $27.40 - $27.90
Adjusted free cash flow Source2026$3,100 - $3,500Kept
Aeronautics Systems sales Source2026~$14Raised from Mid $13
Aeronautics Systems operating margin rate Source2026Mid to High 9%Raised from Low to Mid 9%
Defense Systems sales Source2026Mid to High $8Kept
Defense Systems operating margin rate Source2026~10%Kept
Mission Systems sales Source2026High $12Kept
Mission Systems operating margin rate Source2026~15%Raised from High 14%
Space Systems sales Source2026~$11Kept
Space Systems operating margin rate Source2026Low 10%Lowered from ~11%
Intersegment eliminations sales Source2026~($2.7)

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: 2026 sales guidance raised to $43.75 billion-$44.25 billion from $43.5 billion-$44.0 billion. Source
  • Guidance raised: 2026 MTM-adjusted EPS guidance raised to $28.60-$29.10 from $27.40-$27.90. Source
  • Guidance raised: Aeronautics Systems 2026 sales guidance raised to about $14 billion, and margin guidance raised to mid to high 9 percent. Source
  • Guidance raised: Mission Systems 2026 margin guidance raised to about 15 percent from high 14 percent. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Space Systems 2026 margin guidance lowered to low 10 percent from about 11 percent. Source
  • Guidance kept: Segment operating income and adjusted free cash flow guidance reaffirmed. Source
  • New: Tax rate reflects recent developments with the IRS on previously filed federal returns and refund claims. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Sales rose 5 percent to $10.9 billion: Sales were $10,876 million, up $525 million or 5 percent from $10,351 million. Sequentially, sales rose 10 percent from $9,881 million in the first quarter. Source
  • Diluted EPS fell to $7.68: Diluted EPS was $7.68 against $8.15 a year earlier. Diluted shares were 142.4 million, down from 144.0 million. Source
  • Operating income fell on prior-year gain: Operating income was $1,096 million, down 23 percent. The prior year included a $231 million gain on the training services divestiture. Operating margin was 10.1 percent, from 13.8 percent. Source
  • Segment income down 5 percent: Segment operating income was $1,158 million, down 5 percent. Defense Systems and Space Systems were lower, while Mission Systems and Aeronautics Systems were higher. Source

Segment results

  • Aeronautics sales rose 13 percent: Aeronautics Systems sales rose 13 percent to $3,519 million, and operating income rose 13 percent to $362 million. Margin was 10.3 percent, comparable with the prior year. Source
  • Defense margin fell to 7.5 percent: Defense Systems operating income fell 38 percent to $156 million. Margin was 7.5 percent, from 12.7 percent, after a $76 million prior-year favorable Sentinel adjustment did not recur. Source
  • Mission margin rose to 15.4 percent: Mission Systems sales rose 3 percent to $3,250 million, and operating income rose 14 percent to $501 million. Margin rose to 15.4 percent from 14.0 percent on higher net EAC adjustments. Source
  • Space margin fell to 8.6 percent: Space Systems sales rose 4 percent to $2,753 million, but operating income fell 16 percent to $236 million. Margin was 8.6 percent from 10.6 percent, including a $91 million unfavorable GEM 63XL adjustment. Source

“We are raising our sales and EPS guidance for the year based on our confidence in our team and the demand for our technologies.”

Kathy Warden, chair, chief executive officer and president

Products and customers

  • Sentinel volume rose as program ramps: Defense Systems sales rose 5 percent to $2,093 million, with higher Sentinel volume as the program ramps, partly offset by a $40 million reduction from the divested training services business. Source
  • Missile prime investment continued: Management said the company kept investing in its missile prime business during the quarter, a spending area within Defense Systems. Source
  • CRS missions lifted Space sales: Space Systems sales rose 4 percent to $2,753 million, mainly on a $139 million increase for CRS missions, with higher GPI and GMD WS volume. Source
  • Marine programs added $130 million: Mission Systems sales rose $93 million, mainly on a $130 million increase on marine systems programs, partly offset by lower advanced microelectronics volume. Source

Costs and margins

  • Sentinel incentives gave favorable adjustment: A favorable Sentinel adjustment tied to achieved contract incentives partly offset the costs of the missile investments in Defense Systems. Source
  • Missile costs rose at Defense Systems: Management projected higher costs on AARGM-ER production maturity and SiAW development, which led to a $68 million unfavorable SiAW adjustment in the quarter. Source
  • Segment margin rate fell to 10.6 percent: Segment operating margin rate was 10.6 percent, down from 11.8 percent. Defense Systems and Space Systems were lower, partly offset by a higher rate at Mission Systems. Source

“As momentum accelerates across our portfolio and the budgets continue to support demand, we remain focused on delivering for our customers with speed and precision,”

Kathy Warden, chair, chief executive officer and president

Demand and order book

  • Backlog reached $104.7 billion on awards: Net awards were $20.0 billion in the quarter. Backlog was $104.7 billion, up 9 percent from $95.7 billion at December 31, 2025. Source
  • Sentinel and restricted awards led: Significant second-quarter awards included $7.6 billion for Sentinel and $4.3 billion for restricted programs, mainly at Aeronautics Systems and Space Systems. Source
  • Defense backlog rose 25 percent: Defense Systems backlog rose 25 percent to $34.7 billion. Mission Systems backlog fell 1 percent to $18.5 billion. Source

Cash and shareholder returns

  • Adjusted free cash flow up 54 percent: Second-quarter adjusted free cash flow was $978 million, up 54 percent, on higher operating cash flow, partly offset by higher capital expenditures of $302 million. Source
  • Lower tax payments lifted operating cash: Operating cash flow was $1,280 million in the quarter, up 47 percent, mainly on lower net cash tax payments. The six-month operating cash flow was negative $376 million. Source
  • Cash balance fell to $2.3 billion: Cash and cash equivalents were $2,307 million at June 30, 2026, down from $4,403 million at December 31, 2025. Source
  • Dividends rose, buybacks were small: Six-month cash dividends were $684 million, up from $634 million. Common stock repurchases were $68 million, against $891 million a year earlier. Source

2026 guidance changes

  • Sales guidance raised $250 million: 2026 sales guidance is $43,750 million to $44,250 million, up from $43,500 million to $44,000 million. Source
  • MTM-adjusted EPS guidance raised $1.20: MTM-adjusted EPS guidance is $28.60 to $29.10, up $1.20 from $27.40 to $27.90. Source
  • Segment operating income guidance held: Guidance for operating income and adjusted free cash flow was reaffirmed, at $4,850 million to $5,000 million and $3,100 million to $3,500 million. Source
  • Aeronautics guidance raised: Aeronautics Systems sales guidance is about $14 billion, up from mid $13 billion. Margin guidance is mid to high 9 percent, up from low to mid 9 percent. Source
  • Space margin guidance lowered: Space Systems margin guidance is low 10 percent, down from about 11 percent. Sales guidance is about $11 billion. Source

Tax and other income

  • Effective tax rate fell to 6.3 percent: Income tax expense was $74 million, down from $253 million, as the effective rate fell to 6.3 percent from 17.7 percent on remeasured uncertain tax positions. Source
  • Other income rose on investment sale: Other, net rose $29 million, largely on favorable returns from an investment sold during the quarter. Source
  • Net earnings fell 7 percent: Net earnings were $1,094 million, down 7 percent, as lower operating income was partly offset by lower income tax expense and a higher pension benefit. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Net awards Source$20.0 billion
Total backlog Source$104.7 billion
Funded backlog Source$45.9 billion
Defense Systems backlog Source$34.7 billion

Risks management discussed

  • Operational: Projected cost to complete GEM 63XL increased, which led to a $91 million unfavorable adjustment in Space Systems. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: Management reaffirmed its 2026 guidance for operating income and adjusted free cash flow. Source
  • Met: Management reported achieving certain Sentinel contract incentives, which produced a favorable EAC adjustment. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.