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Mgic Investment Corp.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 2 February 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Fourth-quarter net income declined: Net income was $169.3 million, or $0.75 per diluted share, against $191.1 million, or $0.83, in the third quarter and $184.7 million, or $0.72, a year earlier. Adjusted net operating income was $168.4 million. Source
  • Quarterly losses increased: Net losses incurred were $31.2 million in the fourth quarter, against $10.9 million in the third quarter and $8.7 million a year earlier. The loss ratio was 13.2%, against 4.5% and 3.6%. Source
  • Delinquency inventory rose: Primary delinquency inventory rose to 27,072 loans from 25,747 in the third quarter. The count-based delinquency rate was 2.43%, against 2.32% in the third quarter and 2.40% a year earlier. Source
  • Net premium yield declined: Net premium yield was 31.2 basis points, against 32.3 in the third quarter and 32.9 a year earlier. Source
  • New insurance written increased: New insurance written was $17.1 billion in the fourth quarter, against $16.5 billion in the third quarter and $15.9 billion a year earlier. Full-year NIW was $60.2 billion, against $55.7 billion. Source
  • Quarterly expense ratio improved: The underwriting expense ratio was 19.9% in the fourth quarter, against 21.1% in the third quarter and 20.8% a year earlier. Source
  • PMIERs excess held at $2.5 billion: PMIERs available assets were $5.7 billion, against $5.9 billion at September 30. The PMIERs excess was $2.5 billion, unchanged from the prior quarter. Source

“We closed 2025 on a strong note, once again delivering solid financial results and ending the year with more than $303 billion of insurance in-force.”

Tim Mattke, CEO of MTG and Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (“MGIC”)

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Dividend SourcePayable March 6, 2026; record date February 17, 2026$0.15 per common shareKept

What changed from last quarter

  • New: A $324 million excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement was executed in January through an insurance linked note transaction. It covers certain policies written between January 1, 2022 and March 31, 2025. Source
  • New: The $250 million traditional excess-of-loss transaction, agreed to terms in the third quarter, was executed effective December 1, 2025, covering NIW from 2021. Source
  • New: A 40% quota share with a group of unaffiliated reinsurers, agreed to terms in the third quarter, was executed. It covers eligible NIW in 2027. Source

Results and earnings

  • Fourth-quarter net income declined: Net income was $169.3 million, or $0.75 per diluted share, against $191.1 million, or $0.83, in the third quarter and $184.7 million, or $0.72, a year earlier. Adjusted net operating income was $168.4 million. Source
  • Full-year net income fell: Full-year 2025 net income was $738.3 million, or $3.14 per diluted share, against $763.0 million, or $2.89, in 2024. Adjusted full-year net operating income was $738.4 million. Source
  • Return on equity eased: Annualized return on equity was 13.1% in the fourth quarter, against 14.8% in the third quarter and 14.0% a year earlier. Source
  • Pre-tax income declined: Income before tax was $212.7 million, against $235.1 million in the third quarter and $234.7 million a year earlier. The provision for income taxes was $43.4 million. Source

Losses, delinquencies and reserves

  • Quarterly losses increased: Net losses incurred were $31.2 million in the fourth quarter, against $10.9 million in the third quarter and $8.7 million a year earlier. The loss ratio was 13.2%, against 4.5% and 3.6%. Source
  • Full-year losses reversed from benefit: Full-year net losses incurred were $48.9 million, with a loss ratio of 5.1%. In 2024 there was a benefit of $14.9 million, a loss ratio of (1.5)%. Source
  • Delinquency inventory rose: Primary delinquency inventory rose to 27,072 loans from 25,747 in the third quarter. The count-based delinquency rate was 2.43%, against 2.32% in the third quarter and 2.40% a year earlier. Source
  • Average claim payment rose: Primary average claim payment was $46.1 thousand in the fourth quarter, against $39.7 thousand in the third quarter and $34.0 thousand a year earlier. The full-year average was $40.4 thousand. Source
  • Primary reserves rose: Primary direct loss reserves were $472 million, against $450 million in the third quarter. The average direct reserve per delinquency was $17,449, against $17,462. Source

“We continued to strengthen and add flexibility to our balance sheet, while at the same time returning a significant amount of capital to shareholders totaling $915 million during the year.”

Tim Mattke, CEO of MTG and Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (“MGIC”)

Premiums and yield

  • Earned premiums were lower: Net premiums earned were $236.0 million, against $241.8 million in the third quarter and $241.3 million a year earlier. Source
  • Net premium yield declined: Net premium yield was 31.2 basis points, against 32.3 in the third quarter and 32.9 a year earlier. Source
  • In force yield declined: In force portfolio yield was 38.0 basis points, against 38.3 in the third quarter and 38.6 a year earlier. Source

New business and portfolio

  • New insurance written increased: New insurance written was $17.1 billion in the fourth quarter, against $16.5 billion in the third quarter and $15.9 billion a year earlier. Full-year NIW was $60.2 billion, against $55.7 billion. Source
  • Refinance share rose to 17%: Refinances were 17% of primary NIW in the fourth quarter, against 6% in the third quarter and 8% a year earlier. Full-year refinances were 9% of NIW. Source
  • Insurance in force reached $303.1 billion: Primary insurance in force was $303.1 billion at year end, covering 1,112,727 loans. That compares with $300.8 billion at September 30 and $295.4 billion a year earlier. Source
  • Annual persistency held near 85%: Annual persistency was 84.8%, against 85.0% in the third quarter and 84.8% a year earlier. Source
  • Top ten customers' NIW share fell: The top ten customers accounted for about 32% of 2025 NIW, against 37% in 2024. Source

“Grounded in decades of experience across market cycles, we are further strengthened by our disciplined risk management and financial stability.”

Tim Mattke, CEO of MTG and Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (“MGIC”)

Underwriting expenses and ratio

  • Quarterly expense ratio improved: The underwriting expense ratio was 19.9% in the fourth quarter, against 21.1% in the third quarter and 20.8% a year earlier. Source
  • Full-year expense ratio improved: The full-year underwriting expense ratio was 21.4%, against 23.0% in 2024. Source
  • Underwriting expenses decreased: Underwriting and other expenses, net were $45.8 million in the fourth quarter, against $49.6 million in the third quarter and $49.1 million a year earlier. Full-year expenses were $200.6 million. Source

Capital and liquidity

  • PMIERs excess held at $2.5 billion: PMIERs available assets were $5.7 billion, against $5.9 billion at September 30. The PMIERs excess was $2.5 billion, unchanged from the prior quarter. Source
  • Holding company liquidity increased: Holding company liquidity was $1,074 million, against $858 million at September 30 and $1,076 million a year earlier. MGIC paid a $400 million dividend to the holding company. Source
  • Risk-to-capital ratio rose to 10.0: MGIC's risk-to-capital ratio was 10.0 to 1 at December 31, against 9.7 to 1 at September 30 and 10.0 to 1 a year earlier. Source
  • Tangible book value per share rose: Tangible book value per share was $24.08, against $23.58 at September 30 and $21.98 a year earlier. Source
  • S&P moved its view to positive: On October 27, S&P changed its rating view to positive from stable for the holding company and its core operating subsidiaries, including MGIC. Source

Reinsurance and ceded results

  • Excess-of-loss ceded premiums declined: Excess-of-loss ceded premiums earned were $14.8 million in the fourth quarter, against $16.2 million in the third quarter and $16.9 million a year earlier. The full-year figure was $61.1 million. Source
  • Quota share NIW share declined: 86.2% of NIW was subject to quota share reinsurance in the fourth quarter, against 88.2% in the third quarter. The full-year share was 87.2%. Source
  • Profit commission declined: Profit commission was $28.3 million in the fourth quarter, against $32.6 million in the third quarter and $27.9 million a year earlier. The full-year figure was $121.9 million. Source
  • Ceded losses increased: Ceded losses incurred were $11.9 million in the fourth quarter, against $6.1 million in the third quarter and $6.1 million a year earlier. Source

Shareholder returns and governance

  • Fourth-quarter share repurchases: The company repurchased 6.8 million shares for $189.1 million in the fourth quarter, after 7.0 million shares for $187.9 million in the third quarter. Source
  • January repurchases continued: In January the company repurchased a further 2.7 million shares for $73.2 million. Source
  • Shares outstanding declined: Shares outstanding were 219.4 million at December 31, against 226.2 million at September 30 and 248.4 million a year earlier. Source
  • Two directors appointed to board: Martin (Marty) P. Klein and Daniela A. O’Leary-Gill were appointed to the board of MGIC Investment Corporation and its principal subsidiary, MGIC. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Net premiums written Source$230.5 million (fourth quarter); $938.5 million (full year 2025)
Investment income Source$61.6 million (fourth quarter); $246.3 million (full year 2025)
Book value per share Source$23.47 at December 31, 2025

Risks management discussed

  • External: Recession, unemployment, falling home prices and similar events could raise delinquencies and claims. Management said these events are outside its control. Source
  • Regulatory: Changes to GSE business practices, federal legislation, or GSE restructuring could reduce revenues or increase losses, because the GSEs influence the industry. Source
  • Financial: Higher delinquencies require more Minimum Required Assets under the PMIERs, which could require holding more capital against insured loans. Source
  • Financial: Reinsurance may not be available on acceptable terms or costs, which would require holding additional capital against risk in force. Source
  • Demand: Competition may increase, and a potential new market entrant is expected to begin writing mortgage insurance in 2026. Source
  • Operational: Failed or inadequate information technology systems could affect operations and financial results. Source
  • Financial: Loss reserves are estimates, so paid claims may differ substantially from reserves. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.