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Mach Natural Resources LP: Q3 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 5 November 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 3 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Net income and Adjusted EBITDA reported: Net income was $10 million and Adjusted EBITDA $183 million, against $98 million and $182 million in the second quarter. Source
  • Third quarter realized prices by product: Average realized prices, excluding derivatives, were $85.84 per barrel of oil, $2.17 per Mcf of gas and $30.02 per barrel of NGLs. Source
  • Lease operating expense fell per barrel: Lease operating expense was $88 million, or $6.49 per Boe, against $7.21 per Boe in the second quarter. Source
  • Development costs of $126 million: Development costs were $126 million: $120 million upstream and $6 million other, including midstream and land. Source
  • 2027 capital plan set: Total development capital for 2027 is planned at $275 million to $325 million, with reinvestment held at no more than 50% of operating cash flow. Source
  • 2027 production forecast given: Total production for 2027 is forecast at 134 MBoe/d to 142 MBoe/d. Source
  • Rig count cut after quarter-end: Operated rigs were cut from three to one after quarter-end; management said it remains positioned for a full-year 2026 reinvestment rate under 50%. Source
  • Third quarter distribution of $0.22: The board declared a $0.22 per common unit distribution for the third quarter of 2026. Source

“Since 2024, we have delivered a yield nearly four times the peer average, and over the last five years we have generated a cash return on capital invested averaging 35%.”

Tom L. Ward, Chief Executive Officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Total development capital Sourcefull-year 2027$275 million to $325 millionNew
Reinvestment rate Sourcefull-year 2027no more than 50% of operating cash flowNew
Total production Sourcefull-year 2027134 MBoe/d to 142 MBoe/dNew
Reinvestment rate Sourcefull-year 2026under 50%

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: 2027 total development capital guidance of $275 million to $325 million given in this release. Source
  • New guidance: 2027 total production guidance of 134 MBoe/d to 142 MBoe/d given in this release. Source
  • New: Operated rig count reduced from three to one after quarter-end. Source
  • New: 2027 plan allocates most capital to the Oswego play, with gas opportunities pursued selectively. Source

Third quarter results and growth

  • Production averaged 147 Mboe/d: Net production was 147 Mboe/d, compared with 148.9 Mboe/d in the second quarter, with 15% oil, 69% natural gas and 16% NGLs. Source
  • Net income and Adjusted EBITDA reported: Net income was $10 million and Adjusted EBITDA $183 million, against $98 million and $182 million in the second quarter. Source
  • Net income compared with prior-year loss: Net income was $10.2 million, against a net loss of $35.7 million in the third quarter of 2025, per the reconciliation table. Source
  • Total revenue for the quarter: Total revenue was $319 million, against $406 million in the second quarter. Source
  • Operating cash flow of $135 million: Net cash provided by operating activities was $135 million, against $154 million in the second quarter. Source

Realized prices and revenue mix

  • Third quarter realized prices by product: Average realized prices, excluding derivatives, were $85.84 per barrel of oil, $2.17 per Mcf of gas and $30.02 per barrel of NGLs. Source
  • Second quarter realized prices: Second quarter average realized prices, excluding derivatives, were $95.40 per barrel of oil, $1.93 per Mcf of gas and $28.99 per barrel of NGLs.
  • Revenue split by commodity: Production revenue from oil, natural gas and NGL sales was $360 million, split 49% oil, 34% natural gas and 17% NGLs. Source

“We are confident in the flexibility of our business model and look forward to distinguished cash returns in 2027.”

Tom L. Ward, Chief Executive Officer

Lease operating and midstream costs

  • Lease operating expense fell per barrel: Lease operating expense was $88 million, or $6.49 per Boe, against $7.21 per Boe in the second quarter. Source
  • Gathering and processing cost per Boe higher: Gathering and processing expenses were $57 million, or $4.24 per Boe, against $3.54 per Boe in the second quarter. Source
  • Production taxes as share of sales: Production taxes were about 4.5% of oil, natural gas and NGL sales, against 5.1% in the second quarter. Source
  • General and administrative expense: General and administrative expense excluding equity-based compensation was $6 million, against $7 million in the second quarter. Source
  • Interest expense rose year on year: Interest expense was $26 million, against $25 million in the second quarter and $16.9 million in the third quarter of 2025. Source

Development spending and drilling activity

  • Development costs of $126 million: Development costs were $126 million: $120 million upstream and $6 million other, including midstream and land. Source
  • Wells spud and brought online: 12 gross (8 net) operated wells were spud and 10 gross (6.3 net) operated wells were brought online in the quarter. Source
  • Second quarter development spend: Second quarter development costs were $97 million, including $80 million of upstream capital.

“The durable asset base we have built since 2018 through nearly two dozen disciplined acquisitions will continue to reward our unitholders.”

Tom L. Ward, Chief Executive Officer

2027 guidance and production plan

  • 2027 capital plan set: Total development capital for 2027 is planned at $275 million to $325 million, with reinvestment held at no more than 50% of operating cash flow. Source
  • 2027 production forecast given: Total production for 2027 is forecast at 134 MBoe/d to 142 MBoe/d. Source
  • Oswego to take most 2027 capital: Most 2027 capital is to go to the Oswego play, with the gas portion of the portfolio pursued opportunistically. Source

Capital, liquidity and equity program

  • Rig count cut after quarter-end: Operated rigs were cut from three to one after quarter-end; management said it remains positioned for a full-year 2026 reinvestment rate under 50%. Source
  • Equity program proceeds applied to debt: Year-to-date gross proceeds of $35.5 million came from the at-the-market program, with $34.6 million net applied to debt reduction. Source
  • Revolver draw and liquidity at June 30: At June 30, 2026, cash was $41 million and $730 million was drawn under the $1.0 billion revolver, leaving about $311 million of liquidity.

Distributions to unitholders

  • Third quarter distribution of $0.22: The board declared a $0.22 per common unit distribution for the third quarter of 2026. Source
  • Fourth quarter distribution expected to rise: Management said reduced fourth-quarter capital spending is expected to translate into a significant increase in the fourth-quarter per-unit distribution. Source
  • Second quarter distribution was $0.36: The second quarter 2026 distribution was $0.36 per common unit.

Strategy, acreage and oil focus

  • 2.8 million acres across three basins: The company reports 2.8 million acres across three basins and says it optimized the 2027 plan around oil market conditions. Source
  • Shift toward oil-weighted projects: Second quarter release said capital was directed to oil-weighted Mid-Continent projects, including an Oswego drilling restart in May 2026.
  • Returns-driven approach stated: The second quarter release said the company would remain returns-driven.

Coming up, as management said on 5 November 2026

  • Third quarter distribution payment date: The $0.22 per common unit distribution is to be paid November 30, 2026, to holders of record at the close of trading November 16, 2026. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Production volumes Source147 Mboe/d (15% oil, 69% natural gas, 16% NGLs)
Realized prices Sourceoil $85.84 per barrel; gas $2.17 per Mcf; NGLs $30.02 per barrel
Capital expenditure Source$126 million total development costs
Unit cost: lease operating expense Source$6.49 per Boe
Unit cost: gathering and processing Source$4.24 per Boe
Shareholder returns: distribution Source$0.22 per common unit
Shareholder returns: equity program Source$35.5 million gross proceeds year-to-date 2026

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: Management said Mach is on track with its 2026 plan. Source
  • On track: Management said Mach is on track to achieve its full-year 2026 production guidance. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.