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Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp.: Q3 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 4 November 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 new, 14 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Production grew 17% year over year: Average production was 117.3 Mboe/d, up 17%, and oil was 49.1 Mbbls/d, up 24%. Results include only a partial period of WildFire ownership after the September closing. Source
  • Net income and diluted EPS reported: Net income was $80.5 million, or $0.35 per diluted share, against $78.2 million a year earlier. Adjusted net income was $166.3 million, or $0.71 per diluted share. Source
  • Adjusted operating margin reached 43%: Adjusted operating income as a percentage of revenue, a pre-tax margin, was 43% in the quarter, against 31% a year earlier. Source
  • Adjusted free cash flow of $223.7M: Operating cash flow was $369.0 million in the quarter, and adjusted free cash flow was $223.7 million, excluding transaction and integration costs. Source
  • 46% of adjusted FCF returned: Returns of $103.3 million, through share repurchases and dividends, equaled 46% of adjusted free cash flow for the quarter. Source
  • 2027 drilling mix tilts to Austin Chalk: The 2027 drilling program is expected to put about 65% of targeted activity in the Austin Chalk and 35% in the Eagle Ford. Source

“Magnolia continues to execute at a high level as we successfully integrate the WildFire assets,”

Magnolia’s Chairman, President and CEO Chris Stavros

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Total production SourceQ4 2026159 to 161 Mboe/dKept
Oil share of production SourceQ4 202649% to 50%Kept
D&C capital spending SourceQ4 2026roughly $235 millionKept
Lease operating expense per Boe SourceQ4 2026$5.80 to $6.20Kept
Gathering, transportation and processing per Boe SourceQ4 2026$1.80 to $2.10Kept
Depreciation, depletion and amortization per Boe SourceQ4 2026$14.00 to $15.00Kept
Production and ad valorem taxes SourceQ4 20265.5% to 6.5%Kept
Interest expense SourceQ4 2026$35 to $40 millionKept
Effective tax rate SourceQ4 2026about 21%Kept
Cash tax rate SourceQ4 20260% to 2%Kept
Pre-hedge oil realization to MEH SourceQ4 2026$(2.00)Kept
Production growth Source20274 to 5 percent for oil and total productionKept
D&C capital spending Source2027$900 to $950 millionKept
Share repurchases Sourceeach quarterat least 1% of shares outstandingKept
2027 drilling allocation Source2027about 65% Austin Chalk, 35% Eagle FordNew

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance kept: Fourth quarter 2026 guidance for production, oil share, D&C capital and unit costs matches the October 1 update. Source
  • New guidance: A 2027 split of targeted drilling between Austin Chalk and Eagle Ford was not in the prior update. Source
  • New: The WildFire Energy acquisition closed in the third quarter. Source
  • New: The Board added 15 million shares to the repurchase authorization, leaving 22.6 million shares remaining. Source
  • New: Early Austin Chalk results on WildFire acreage suggest more inventory than the acquisition baseline analysis assumed. Source
  • Ended: Non-core Dimmit and Zavala assets were sold in the third quarter, and 616 net acres in Gonzales County were received.

Results and growth drivers

  • Production grew 17% year over year: Average production was 117.3 Mboe/d, up 17%, and oil was 49.1 Mbbls/d, up 24%. Results include only a partial period of WildFire ownership after the September closing. Source
  • Net income and diluted EPS reported: Net income was $80.5 million, or $0.35 per diluted share, against $78.2 million a year earlier. Adjusted net income was $166.3 million, or $0.71 per diluted share. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDAX up 79%: Adjusted EBITDAX was $392.0 million, up 79% from $218.8 million a year earlier. Diluted EPS was down 13% from $0.40. Source

Production by asset and mix

  • Giddings supplied 83% of volume: Giddings production rose 23% to 97.7 Mboe/d, with oil volumes up 39%. Giddings represented 83% of total Company volumes in the quarter. Source
  • Oil mix set to rise in Q4: Third quarter oil mix was about 42% of volumes, with only a partial period of WildFire ownership. Fourth quarter oil is expected at 49% to 50% of production. Source
  • Austin Chalk results described as encouraging: Recent Austin Chalk well results on WildFire-operated acreage were described as encouraging and as supportive of the company's geological model. Source

“Our business generated $224 million of adjusted free cash flow during the quarter, with a reinvestment rate of just 38 percent of adjusted EBITDAX.”

Magnolia’s Chairman, President and CEO Chris Stavros

Costs and unit economics

  • Unit operating costs near prior year: Lease operating expense was $5.19 per boe against $5.25 a year earlier. Gathering, transportation and processing was $1.82 per boe against $1.92. Source
  • Transaction costs excluded from margin: Transaction and integration costs of $68.7 million are excluded from the adjusted operating income margin, which the company defines separately from operating margin. Source
  • Adjusted operating margin reached 43%: Adjusted operating income as a percentage of revenue, a pre-tax margin, was 43% in the quarter, against 31% a year earlier. Source

Pricing and hedging

  • Oil realized above WTI: Average oil price was $87.18 per Bbl against $63.55 a year earlier, with NYMEX WTI at $85.68. Oil realization was 102% of WTI, against 98%. Source
  • Gas realized 76% of Henry Hub: Natural gas averaged $2.24 per Mcf against Henry Hub at $2.96 per MMBtu. Realization was 76%, down from 80% a year earlier. Source
  • Costless collars and swaps added: Q4 2026 hedges include 3.68 million Bbl of costless collars with a $73.75 floor and $90.97 ceiling, plus 2.26 million Bbl of swaps at $63.85. Source

“The significant free cash flow generation allows us to continue aggressively reducing leverage, while consistently paying and growing our dividend, and maintaining our peer-leading program of repurchasing at least 1 percent of shares outstanding each quarter.”

Magnolia’s Chairman, President and CEO Chris Stavros

Cash flow and debt

  • Adjusted free cash flow of $223.7M: Operating cash flow was $369.0 million in the quarter, and adjusted free cash flow was $223.7 million, excluding transaction and integration costs. Source
  • Net debt about $1.9 billion: Net debt was $1,917.5 million at September 30, 2026, against $133.2 million at December 31, 2025, after WildFire-related borrowing. Source
  • Acquisition funded by equity and debt: Acquisitions used $2.56 billion of cash in the quarter. Financing included $1,225.6 million from common stock issuance and $500 million of long-term debt issued. Source

Shareholder returns

  • 46% of adjusted FCF returned: Returns of $103.3 million, through share repurchases and dividends, equaled 46% of adjusted free cash flow for the quarter. Source
  • Buybacks and authorization increase: The company repurchased 2.3 million shares for $60.2 million in the quarter. The authorization was increased by 15 million shares, or nearly 8.5% of current shares outstanding. Source
  • Quarterly dividend of $0.18: The quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share is payable December 1, 2026, to holders of record on November 10, 2026. Source

WildFire integration and drilling plans

  • Four rigs and two crews running: Four rigs and two completion crews are running, and some equipment has been substituted to capture further operational and capital efficiencies. Source
  • 2027 drilling mix tilts to Austin Chalk: The 2027 drilling program is expected to put about 65% of targeted activity in the Austin Chalk and 35% in the Eagle Ford. Source
  • Austin Chalk delineation across Giddings: Management plans to keep delineating the Austin Chalk across its 1.25 million net acre position in Giddings. Source

Coming up, as management said on 4 November 2026

  • Form 10-Q expected November 5: The Form 10-Q for the three months ended September 30, 2026, is expected to be filed with the SEC on November 5, 2026. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Oil production (Mbbls/d) Source49.1
Total production (Mboe/d) Source117.3
Realized oil price ($/Bbl) Source87.18
Realized total price ($/boe) Source47.63
D&C capital expenditure ($ millions) Source147.4
Lease operating expense ($/boe) Source5.19
Depreciation, depletion and amortization ($/boe) Source13.70
Shareholder returns ($ millions) Source103.3

Risks management discussed

  • Financial: Net unrealized losses on derivative contracts were $39.9 million and were excluded from adjusted net income. Source
  • Financial: Revolving credit facility borrowings were $435 million at quarter end, against $17.5 million of cash. Source
  • External: The 2027 drilling and completions estimate includes a modest amount of oilfield service inflation. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: Management said integration is progressing smoothly and the company is meeting its planned milestones. Source
  • Ahead: Synergy capture is described as ahead of expectations, with more than one-third of annual synergies on track by year-end. Source
  • Ahead: The leverage goal was reached more than a year sooner than the plan given when the WildFire acquisition was announced. Source
  • Not stated: Third quarter D&C capital of $147.4 million was described as below the earlier guidance. Source
  • Not stated: Management said the company maintains a program of repurchasing at least 1% of shares outstanding each quarter. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.