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MDU Resources Group Inc.: Q1 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q1 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 7 May 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 2 raised, 1 new, 5 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Net income and EPS slightly lower: Net income was $80.8 million against $82.0 million a year earlier, and diluted EPS was $0.39 against $0.40. Management put the milder-weather impact at about $0.03 per share. Source
  • Electric earnings edged lower: Electric net income was $14.5 million. Badger Wind Farm recovery and rate mechanisms helped, but milder weather cut retail sales by about $2 million. Source
  • Gas distribution earnings near flat: Lower volumes from warmer weather, about $5 million, were largely offset by weather normalization and rate relief in Washington, Idaho, Montana and Wyoming. Source
  • Interest expense rose on new debt: Interest expense rose to $32.7 million from $26.8 million, which management tied to debt issued for recent capital investments. Source
  • Precedent agreements about 40% signed: About 40% of the submitted Bakken East interest is signed under precedent agreements, and more precedent agreements are in active negotiation. Source
  • No final decision on Bakken East: The company has not reached a final investment decision and will finish precedent negotiations first; financing options are under review. Source

“We delivered a strong first quarter when accounting for the impact of warmer weather across our service territory,”

Nicole A. Kivisto, president and CEO of MDU Resources

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Earnings per share (diluted) Source2026$0.93 to $1.00Kept
Long-term EPS growth SourceLong term6% - 8%Kept
Utility customer growth Source20261% - 2% annuallyKept
Capital expenditures Source2026 estimated$565 millionRaised from $560 million
Capital expenditures Source2026 - 2030 total$3,113 millionRaised from $3,108 million
Bakken East capital investment SourcePotential project$2.7 billion to $3.2 billionNew
Equity issuance Source2026$150 million to $175 millionKept
Equity issuance Source2027$100 million to $125 millionKept

What changed from last quarter

  • Ended: The binding open season for Bakken East closed with about 1.4 billion cubic feet per day of submitted interest. Source
  • New: North Dakota committed firm capacity of $50 million a year for ten years to the Bakken East project. Source
  • New: Montana interim electric rates were approved, subject to refund, after the commission denied interim relief in the prior release. Source
  • New: In April 2026 a Washington rate revision was filed, reducing annual revenue for plant not yet in service at year-end 2025. Source
  • New: Forward sale agreements from the December 2025 offering settled on March 13, 2026, issuing new common shares for proceeds. Source
  • New: The cost recovery agreement for the proposed Minot Industrial Project was extended through late 2026. Source
  • Guidance raised: The 2026 capital expenditure estimate rose from $560 million to $565 million in this release. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Net income and EPS slightly lower: Net income was $80.8 million against $82.0 million a year earlier, and diluted EPS was $0.39 against $0.40. Management put the milder-weather impact at about $0.03 per share. Source
  • Rate relief and new assets offset: Management said rate relief and recent investments contributed positive results, and normalization mechanisms in several states helped offset lower volumes. Source
  • Weather ran 10% to 30% milder: Temperatures were 10% to 30% milder than last year across the service territory, with temperatures 20% higher in Idaho and 30% higher in Montana. Source

Segments and regions

  • Electric earnings edged lower: Electric net income was $14.5 million. Badger Wind Farm recovery and rate mechanisms helped, but milder weather cut retail sales by about $2 million. Source
  • Gas distribution earnings near flat: Lower volumes from warmer weather, about $5 million, were largely offset by weather normalization and rate relief in Washington, Idaho, Montana and Wyoming. Source
  • Pipeline earnings below prior record: Pipeline net income was $15.3 million against a record $17.2 million, with contributions from a growth project recently placed in service. Source
  • Other net income rose on tax items: Other net income was $6.8 million against $5.1 million, reflecting tax adjustments tied to the annualized estimated tax rate, partly offset by higher operation and maintenance expense. Source

“Our ability to deliver consistent results in a dynamic energy environment speaks to the strength and operational discipline of our teams,”

Nicole A. Kivisto, president and CEO of MDU Resources

Costs, margins and pricing

  • Purchased gas cost fell sharply: Purchased natural gas sold fell to $239.4 million from $317.2 million, and average natural gas cost per dekatherm was $5.87 against $6.33. Source
  • Operation and maintenance rose: Operation and maintenance expense rose to $114.8 million from $111.1 million, with materials and payroll costs cited in the pipeline segment. Source
  • Interest expense rose on new debt: Interest expense rose to $32.7 million from $26.8 million, which management tied to debt issued for recent capital investments. Source
  • Pass-through costs have minimal effect: Items such as electric fuel, natural gas costs and conservation are passed through to customers, with minimal effect on earnings. Source

Demand and the order book

  • Demand trends called encouraging: Management said it sees encouraging demand trends, including continued data center interest and interest in the proposed Bakken East project. Source
  • Precedent agreements about 40% signed: About 40% of the submitted Bakken East interest is signed under precedent agreements, and more precedent agreements are in active negotiation. Source
  • Short-term transport demand continued: Customer demand for short-term natural gas transportation contracts continued, supporting pipeline results. Source

“Our employees remain focused on safety, reliability and cost-effectiveness, enabling us to deliver long-term value to our customers and stockholders.”

Nicole A. Kivisto, president and CEO of MDU Resources

Capital, cash and returns to shareholders

  • Operating cash flow fell: Net cash from operating activities was $149.2 million against $217.5 million; investing used $91.2 million and financing used $32.9 million. Source
  • Debt share and market value: Total debt was $2,596 million against $2,194 million, and debt was 47.2% of capitalization. Market value was 149.2% of book value. Source
  • Electric capital spending for 2026: Estimated 2026 capital spending is $144 million for electric, $361 million for natural gas distribution and $60 million for pipeline. Source

Strategy and investment

  • No final decision on Bakken East: The company has not reached a final investment decision and will finish precedent negotiations first; financing options are under review. Source
  • Financing options under review: Management will weigh balance sheet use, potential partnerships and other options to finance a project of this size. Source
  • Line 32 serves new power plant: The Line Section 32 expansion will provide gas transportation to a new electric generation facility in northwest North Dakota. Source
  • Minot Industrial project scope: The proposed Minot Industrial Project could be a pipeline of about 90 miles plus ancillary facilities to serve anticipated industrial demand. Source

Regulatory and rate cases

  • Oregon gas case still pending: The Oregon gas rate case filed in November 2025 is pending and requests a $16.4 million annual increase. Source
  • North Dakota filing expected later: Management anticipates a North Dakota general rate case filing later this year, and a Minnesota filing is also anticipated later this year. Source
  • Wyoming safety rider awaits ruling: The Wyoming System Safety and Integrity Rider had a hearing on April 9, 2026 and remains before the Wyoming Public Service Commission. Source

Coming up, as management said on 7 May 2026

  • Bakken East phase dates: Phase One is targeted for completion in November 2029, and Phase Two in November 2030. Source
  • Line 32 construction target: Construction of Line Section 32 is targeted for completion in late 2028 and depends on regulatory approvals. Source
  • Washington rate case this year: Management expects to file a multi-year Washington general rate case during 2026. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Rate cases SourceIdaho settlement: $13.0 million annual increase, effective Jan. 1, 2026
Capital plan Source$3,113 million, 2026 - 2030
Customer growth Source1% - 2% annually
EPS growth target Source6% - 8% long-term

Risks management discussed

  • External: Guidance assumes normal weather for the rest of the year, after milder temperatures reduced volumes in the quarter. Source
  • Demand: Lower interruptible storage withdrawals reduced storage-related revenue in the pipeline segment. Source
  • Financial: Higher interest and depreciation tied to Badger Wind Farm reduced electric earnings in the period. Source
  • Regulatory: Higher Montana property tax accruals reduced pipeline results. Source
  • External: Management noted evolving market dynamics, including data center development considerations, as the Bakken East project advances. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Met: The prior release anticipated a FERC filing in March 2026; this release reports the application was filed in March 2026. Source
  • Met: The prior release anticipated Wyoming electric rates effective April 1, 2026; this release reports them effective that date. Source
  • Met: The prior release said year two rates would take effect March 1, 2026; this release reports them effective that date. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.