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Stock research / United States / Macro

US economic data

This week brings 4 US releases that markets watch.

Fed funds target3.75 to 4.00%8 NovUnchanged in a monthThe past two years, the top of the rangeNov 2024low 3.75% · high 4.75%Nov 20260.25%10-year range5.50%10-year4.84%5 Nov-0.43 pts in a monthThe past two yearsNov 2024low 3.97% · high 5.29%Nov 20260.55%10-year range5.29%CPI, on the year3.7%Sep 2026+0.4 pts on AugThe past two yearsSep 2024low 2.3% · high 4.2%Sep 20260.2%10-year range9.0%Core PCE3.1%Sep 2026+0.1 pts on AugThe past two yearsSep 2024low 2.6% · high 3.2%Sep 20261.0%10-year range5.6%Unemployment4.1%Oct 2026-0.1 pts on SepThe past two yearsOct 2024low 4.0% · high 4.5%Oct 20263.4%10-year range14.8%Jobs added+165kOct 2026+60k in SepThe past two yearsOct 2024low -156k · high +237kOct 2026-20,469k10-year range+4,631k

This week, 2 to 8 Nov

Mon 2 Nov

Nothing that moves markets

Tue 3 Nov
10:00 ET, 20:30 ISTJob openings (JOLTS)September 2026 · BLSPrevious 7,190kActual 7,523k
Wed 4 Nov
08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTTrade balanceSeptember 2026 · BEAPrevious -$105.7 billionActual -$105.0 billion
Thu 5 Nov
08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTWeekly jobless claimsWeek ending 31 October 2026 · Labor Dept.Previous 195kActual 189k
Fri 6 Nov
08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTJobs report: payrolls and unemploymentOctober 2026 · BLSPrevious +60kActual +165k

Times in US Eastern, as the agencies publish them, and in India time.

Rates

The Fed's target rate and what the Treasury market pays for two and ten years.

Where each figure standsLatestOn the yearIts ten years, low to high, the marker today
Fed funds target8 Nov3.75 to 4.00%+0.00 pts0.25%5.50%
2-year5 Nov4.46%+0.83 pts0.11%5.07%
10-year5 Nov4.84%+0.67 pts0.55%5.29%
10y less 2y6 Nov0.35-0.19 pts-1.061.58

The Fed's target and Treasury yields

Fed target, top end 4.00%2-year 4.46%10-year 4.84%

The 10-year yield less the 2-year

0.356 Nov

Inflation

Prices on the year, against the 2% the Fed aims for.

Where each figure standsLatestOn the yearIts ten years, low to high, the marker today
CPI, on the yearSep 20263.7%+0.7 pts0.2%9.0%
Core CPISep 20262.6%-0.5 pts1.2%6.6%
Core PCESep 20263.1%+0.3 pts1.0%5.6%

Consumer prices and PCE prices, change on the year

CPI, on the year 3.7%Core CPI 2.6%Core PCE 3.1%The Fed's 2% goal

Jobs

Hiring, the unemployment rate, new claims for benefits and open jobs.

Where each figure standsLatestOn the yearIts ten years, low to high, the marker today
Jobs addedOct 2026+165k+305k-20,469k+4,631k
UnemploymentOct 20264.1%-0.3 pts3.4%14.8%
Jobless claims31 Oct189k-14.5%189k6,137k
Job openingsSep 20267,523k+4.9%4,606k12,301k

Jobs added

+165kOct 2026

Unemployment

4.1%Oct 2026

Jobless claims

189k31 Oct

Job openings

7,523kSep 2026

Growth and spending

Output, shoppers, builders and the trade gap.

Where each figure standsLatestOn the yearIts ten years, low to high, the marker today
GDP growthQ3 20263.4%-0.5 pts-28.0%34.9%
Retail salesSep 2026+0.8%+0.7 pts-14.2%+19.4%
Housing startsSep 20261,221k-7.4%936k1,807k
Trade balanceSep 2026-$105.0 billion-$45.7 billion-$133.0 billion-$35.5 billion

GDP growth

3.4%Q3 2026

Retail sales

+0.8%Sep 2026

Housing starts

1,221kSep 2026

Trade balance

-$105.0 billionSep 2026
Every line is the official US statistic, as the agency publishes it.
Read morePrice measures are the change on the same month a year earlier; retail sales and durable goods the change on the month; jobs added the change in nonfarm payrolls; GDP growth the BEA's annual rate.

The next eight weeks: 28 releases that move markets, 1 FOMC meeting

Week of 9 November

  • Tue 10 Nov08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTConsumer prices (CPI)October 2026Last print 3.7%BLS
  • Thu 12 Nov08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTWeekly jobless claimsWeek ending 7 November 2026Last print 189kLabor Dept.
  • Fri 13 Nov08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTProducer prices (PPI)October 2026Last print 6.3%BLS

Week of 16 November

  • Tue 17 Nov08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTRetail salesOctober 2026Last print +0.8%Census
  • Wed 18 Nov08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTHousing starts and building permitsOctober 2026Last print 1,221kCensus
  • Thu 19 Nov08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTWeekly jobless claimsWeek ending 14 November 2026Last print 189kLabor Dept.

Week of 23 November

  • Wed 25 Nov08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTDurable goods ordersOctober 2026Last print +1.9%Census
  • Wed 25 Nov08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTGDP, second estimate3rd Quarter 2026Last print 2.2%BEA
  • Wed 25 Nov08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTPCE prices, income and spendingOctober 2026Last print 3.1%BEA
  • Wed 25 Nov08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTWeekly jobless claimsWeek ending 21 November 2026Last print 189kLabor Dept.
  • Wed 25 Nov10:00 ET, 20:30 ISTNew home salesOctober 2026Last print 676kCensus

Week of 30 November

  • Tue 1 Dec10:00 ET, 20:30 ISTJob openings (JOLTS)October 2026Last print 7,523kBLS
  • Thu 3 Dec08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTWeekly jobless claimsWeek ending 28 November 2026Last print 189kLabor Dept.
  • Fri 4 Dec08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTJobs report: payrolls and unemploymentNovember 2026Last print +165kBLS

Week of 7 December

  • Tue 8 Dec08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTTrade balanceOctober 2026Last print -$105.0 billionBEA
  • Wed 9 Dec14:00 ET, 00:30 IST next dayFed rate decision (FOMC)Last print 4.00%Fed
  • Thu 10 Dec08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTConsumer prices (CPI)November 2026Last print 3.7%BLS
  • Thu 10 Dec08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTWeekly jobless claimsWeek ending 5 December 2026Last print 189kLabor Dept.

Week of 14 December

  • Tue 15 Dec08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTProducer prices (PPI)November 2026Last print 6.3%BLS
  • Wed 16 Dec08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTRetail salesNovember 2026Last print +0.8%Census
  • Thu 17 Dec08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTHousing starts and building permitsNovember 2026Last print 1,221kCensus
  • Thu 17 Dec08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTWeekly jobless claimsWeek ending 12 December 2026Last print 189kLabor Dept.

Week of 21 December

  • Wed 23 Dec08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTDurable goods ordersNovember 2026Last print +1.9%Census
  • Wed 23 Dec08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTGDP, third estimate3rd Quarter 2026Last print 2.2%BEA
  • Wed 23 Dec08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTPCE prices, income and spendingNovember 2026Last print 3.1%BEA
  • Wed 23 Dec10:00 ET, 20:30 ISTNew home salesNovember 2026Last print 676kCensus
  • Thu 24 Dec08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTWeekly jobless claimsWeek ending 19 December 2026Last print 189kLabor Dept.

Week of 28 December

  • Thu 31 Dec08:30 ET, 19:00 ISTWeekly jobless claimsWeek ending 26 December 2026Last print 189kLabor Dept.
Dates and times as the five agencies publish them.
Read moreWeekly jobless claims follow the Labor Department's standing schedule: every Thursday at 8:30 Eastern, the Wednesday before when the Thursday is a federal holiday.
Every other release on the agencies' schedules, 37 in the same weeks
DateTimeReleasePeriodSource
9 November 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTMonthly Wholesale Trade: Sales and InventoriesSeptember 2026Census
10 November 202608:30 ET, 19:00 ISTReal EarningsOctober 2026BLS
12 November 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTBusiness Formation StatisticsOctober 2026Census
17 November 202608:30 ET, 19:00 ISTU.S. Import and Export Price IndexesOctober 2026BLS
17 November 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTExperimental Super Intelligence Economic Statistics, 2024BEA
17 November 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTManufacturing and Trade: Inventories and SalesSeptember 2026Census
18 November 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTEmployer-Reported Workplace Injuries and Illnesses (Annual)2025BLS
18 November 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTOutdoor Recreation Economic Statistics, U.S. and States, 2025BEA
19 November 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTAdvance Services ReportThird Quarter 2026Census
20 November 202608:30 ET, 19:00 ISTActivities of U.S. Multinational Enterprises, 2024BEA
20 November 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTState Employment and Unemployment (Monthly)October 2026BLS
20 November 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTTotal Factor Productivity for Major IndustriesAnnual 2025BLS
25 November 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTPreliminary U.S. Imports for Consumption of Steel ProductsOctober 2026Census
27 November 202608:30 ET, 19:00 ISTAdvance Economic Indicators Report (International Trade, Retail, & Wholesale)October 2026Census
1 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTConstruction Spending (Construction Put in Place)October 2026Census
2 December 202608:30 ET, 19:00 ISTGDP by County and Personal Income by County, 2025BEA
2 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTCounty Employment and WagesSecond Quarter 2026BLS
2 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTMetropolitan Area Employment and Unemployment (Monthly)October 2026BLS
3 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTFull Report - Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and OrdersOctober 2026Census
7 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTQuarterly Financial Report--Manufacturing, Mining, Wholesale Trade, and Selected Service IndustriesThird Quarter 2026Census
7 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTQuarterly Financial Report--Retail TradeThird Quarter 2026Census
8 December 202608:30 ET, 19:00 ISTProductivity and Costs (R)Third Quarter 2026BLS
9 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTMonthly Wholesale Trade: Sales and InventoriesOctober 2026Census
10 December 202608:30 ET, 19:00 ISTReal EarningsNovember 2026BLS
10 December 202608:30 ET, 19:00 ISTReal Personal Consumption Expenditures by State and Real Personal Income by State, 2025BEA
10 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTQuarterly Services SurveyThird Quarter 2026Census
11 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTBusiness Formation StatisticsNovember 2026Census
16 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTCensus of Fatal Occupational InjuriesAnnual 2025BLS
16 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTEmployer Costs for Employee CompensationSeptember 2026BLS
16 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTManufacturing and Trade: Inventories and SalesOctober 2026Census
17 December 202608:30 ET, 19:00 ISTU.S. Import and Export Price IndexesNovember 2026BLS
18 December 202608:30 ET, 19:00 ISTU.S. International Transactions and Investment Position, 3rd Quarter 20263rd Quarter 2026BEA
18 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTState Employment and Unemployment (Monthly)November 2026BLS
18 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTWork Experience of the Population (Annual)2025BLS
22 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTPreliminary U.S. Imports for Consumption of Steel ProductsNovember 2026Census
28 December 202608:30 ET, 19:00 ISTAdvance Economic Indicators Report (International Trade, Retail, & Wholesale)November 2026Census
30 December 202610:00 ET, 20:30 ISTMetropolitan Area Employment and Unemployment (Monthly)November 2026BLS
Every figure as a table: the latest prints and two years month by month

The latest print of each series

SeriesSeries idLatestAs ofPreviousA year earlierChange on the year
Rates
Effective federal funds rateFEDFUNDS3.88%1 October 20263.75%4.09%-0.21 pts
Fed funds target range, lower endDFEDTARL3.75%8 November 20263.75%3.75%+0.00 pts
Fed funds target range, upper endDFEDTARU4.00%8 November 20264.00%4.00%+0.00 pts
2-year Treasury yieldDGS24.46%5 November 20264.79%3.63%+0.83 pts
10-year Treasury yieldDGS104.84%5 November 20265.27%4.17%+0.67 pts
10-year less 2-yearT10Y2Y0.356 November 20260.510.54-0.19 pts
Inflation
Consumer prices, change on the yearCPIAUCSL3.7%1 September 20263.4%3.0%+0.69 pts
Core consumer prices (no food or energy), change on the yearCPILFESL2.6%1 September 20262.4%3.0%-0.45 pts
PCE prices, change on the yearPCEPI3.6%1 September 20263.4%2.8%+0.87 pts
Core PCE prices (the Fed's target measure), change on the yearPCEPILFE3.1%1 September 20263.0%2.8%+0.30 pts
Producer prices, final demand, change on the yearPPIFIS6.3%1 September 20265.6%3.0%+3.30 pts
Jobs
Unemployment rateUNRATE4.1%1 October 20264.2%4.4%-0.30 pts
Jobs added on the month (nonfarm payrolls)PAYEMS+165k1 October 2026+60k-140k
Initial jobless claims, weeklyICSA189k31 October 2026195k221k-32k
Job openingsJTSJOL7,523k1 September 20267,190k7,169k+354k
Growth and spending
Real GDP growth, annual rateA191RL1Q225SBEA3.4%1 July 20262.2%3.9%-0.50 pts
Retail sales, change on the monthRSAFS+0.8%1 September 2026+1.3%+0.1%
Durable goods orders, change on the monthDGORDER+1.9%1 September 2026+0.1%+0.6%
Housing starts, annual rateHOUST1,221k1 September 20261,288k1,319k-98k
New home sales, annual rateHSN1F676k1 September 2026680k714k-38k
Trade balance, goods and servicesBOPGSTB-$105.0 billion1 September 2026-$105.7 billion-$59.4 billion-$45.7 billion

Previous is the print before for weekly, monthly and quarterly series, and the reading a month back for daily ones.

Rates, month by month

MonthFed funds
FEDFUNDS		Fed target, low end
DFEDTARL		Fed target, top end
DFEDTARU		2-year
DGS2		10-year
DGS10		10y less 2y
T10Y2Y
Nov 2026n/a3.75%4.00%4.46%4.84%0.35
Oct 20263.88%3.75%4.00%4.56%4.94%0.38
Sep 20263.75%3.75%4.00%4.88%5.29%0.41
Aug 20263.63%3.50%3.75%4.34%4.75%0.41
Jul 20263.63%3.50%3.75%4.28%4.75%0.47
Jun 20263.63%3.50%3.75%4.14%4.44%0.30
May 20263.63%3.50%3.75%3.98%4.45%0.47
Apr 20263.64%3.50%3.75%3.88%4.40%0.52
Mar 20263.64%3.50%3.75%3.79%4.30%0.51
Feb 20263.64%3.50%3.75%3.38%3.97%0.59
Jan 20263.64%3.50%3.75%3.52%4.26%0.74
Dec 20253.72%3.50%3.75%3.47%4.18%0.71
Nov 20253.88%3.75%4.00%3.47%4.02%0.55
Oct 20254.09%3.75%4.00%3.60%4.11%0.51
Sep 20254.22%4.00%4.25%3.60%4.16%0.56
Aug 20254.33%4.25%4.50%3.59%4.23%0.64
Jul 20254.33%4.25%4.50%3.94%4.37%0.43
Jun 20254.33%4.25%4.50%3.72%4.24%0.52
May 20254.33%4.25%4.50%3.89%4.41%0.52
Apr 20254.33%4.25%4.50%3.60%4.17%0.57
Mar 20254.33%4.25%4.50%3.89%4.23%0.34
Feb 20254.33%4.25%4.50%3.99%4.24%0.25
Jan 20254.33%4.25%4.50%4.22%4.58%0.36
Dec 20244.48%4.25%4.50%4.25%4.58%0.33
Nov 20244.64%4.50%4.75%4.13%4.18%0.05

Inflation, month by month

MonthCPI, on the year
CPIAUCSL		Core CPI
CPILFESL		PCE prices
PCEPI		Core PCE
PCEPILFE		PPI
PPIFIS
Nov 2026n/an/an/an/an/a
Oct 2026n/an/an/an/an/a
Sep 20263.7%2.6%3.6%3.1%6.3%
Aug 20263.4%2.4%3.4%3.0%5.6%
Jul 20263.3%2.5%3.4%3.0%4.9%
Jun 20263.5%2.6%3.5%3.0%5.6%
May 20264.2%2.8%3.8%3.2%5.9%
Apr 20263.8%2.7%3.6%3.1%5.7%
Mar 20263.3%2.6%3.4%3.1%4.3%
Feb 20262.4%2.5%2.8%3.0%3.4%
Jan 20262.4%2.5%2.7%2.9%3.0%
Dec 20252.7%2.6%2.8%2.9%3.1%
Nov 20252.7%2.6%2.7%2.7%3.1%
Oct 2025n/an/a2.7%2.7%2.8%
Sep 20253.0%3.0%2.8%2.8%3.0%
Aug 20252.9%3.1%2.7%2.9%2.7%
Jul 20252.7%3.1%2.6%2.8%3.2%
Jun 20252.7%2.9%2.6%2.8%2.4%
May 20252.4%2.8%2.5%2.8%2.7%
Apr 20252.3%2.8%2.3%2.7%2.4%
Mar 20252.4%2.8%2.3%2.6%3.2%
Feb 20252.8%3.1%2.6%2.8%3.4%
Jan 20253.0%3.3%2.6%2.8%3.8%
Dec 20242.9%3.2%2.6%2.9%3.4%
Nov 20242.7%3.3%2.5%2.9%2.9%

Jobs, month by month

MonthUnemployment
UNRATE		Jobs added
PAYEMS		Jobless claims
ICSA		Job openings
JTSJOL
Nov 2026n/an/an/an/a
Oct 20264.1%+165k189kn/a
Sep 20264.2%+60k199k7,523k
Aug 20264.1%+186k207k7,190k
Jul 20264.1%-10k198k7,335k
Jun 20264.2%+31k217k7,182k
May 20264.3%+63k225k7,537k
Apr 20264.3%+148k190k7,585k
Mar 20264.3%+214k203k6,887k
Feb 20264.4%-156k214k6,922k
Jan 20264.3%+160k230k7,240k
Dec 20254.4%-17k203k6,550k
Nov 20254.5%+41k216k6,846k
Oct 2025n/a-140k221k7,170k
Sep 20254.4%+76k225k7,169k
Aug 20254.3%-70k236k6,919k
Jul 20254.3%+64k219k7,089k
Jun 20254.1%-20k231k7,204k
May 20254.3%+13k244k7,310k
Apr 20254.2%+108k239k7,098k
Mar 20254.2%+67k220k6,952k
Feb 20254.2%+42k241k7,242k
Jan 20254.0%-48k212k7,431k
Dec 20244.1%+237k212k7,295k
Nov 20244.2%+134k222k7,566k

Growth and spending, month by month

MonthGDP growth
A191RL1Q225SBEA		Retail sales
RSAFS		Durable goods
DGORDER		Housing starts
HOUST		New home sales
HSN1F		Trade balance
BOPGSTB
Nov 2026n/an/an/an/an/an/a
Oct 2026n/an/an/an/an/an/a
Sep 2026n/a+0.8%+1.9%1,221k676k-$105.0 billion
Aug 2026n/a+1.3%+0.1%1,288k680k-$105.7 billion
Jul 20263.4%-0.4%+0.9%1,369k647k-$92.8 billion
Jun 2026n/a+0.2%+0.6%1,439k680k-$71.2 billion
May 2026n/a+1.0%-4.0%1,182k636k-$75.8 billion
Apr 20262.2%+0.6%+8.5%1,414k641k-$52.9 billion
Mar 2026n/a+1.7%+1.3%1,522k659k-$53.7 billion
Feb 2026n/a+0.9%-1.2%1,346k630k-$52.5 billion
Jan 20262.5%-0.6%-0.4%1,385k576k-$52.7 billion
Dec 2025n/a+0.1%-0.9%1,378k723k-$76.1 billion
Nov 2025n/a+0.7%+5.4%1,319k757k-$63.9 billion
Oct 20250.2%-0.0%-2.1%1,273k652k-$37.4 billion
Sep 2025n/a+0.1%+0.6%1,319k714k-$59.4 billion
Aug 2025n/a+0.3%+3.0%1,291k698k-$59.6 billion
Jul 20253.9%+0.9%-2.8%1,432k648k-$75.1 billion
Jun 2025n/a+0.9%-9.4%1,379k665k-$58.7 billion
May 2025n/a-1.4%+16.5%1,289k622k-$66.7 billion
Apr 20254.0%+0.1%-6.6%1,400k701k-$60.3 billion
Mar 2025n/a+1.6%+7.6%1,346k656k-$133.0 billion
Feb 2025n/a-0.5%+1.0%1,491k641k-$117.1 billion
Jan 20250.1%-0.7%+0.2%1,353k665k-$124.7 billion
Dec 2024n/a+0.9%+0.8%1,494k702k-$96.8 billion
Nov 2024n/a+0.6%-1.7%1,300k669k-$79.8 billion
For a daily or weekly series the month's figure is its last observation in that month; a monthly or quarterly series is as published for its period.
Read moren/a means no figure for that month: the agency published none, or the month is not out yet.